LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

July 01/16

 Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletin16/english.july01.16.htm

 

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Bible Quotations For Today

The harvest is plentiful, but the labourers are few; therefore ask the Lord of the harvest to send out labourers into his harvest
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 09/36-38/:"When he saw the crowds, he had compassion for them, because they were harassed and helpless, like sheep without a shepherd. Then he said to his disciples, ‘The harvest is plentiful, but the labourers are few; therefore ask the Lord of the harvest to send out labourers into his harvest.’"

There is no distinction between Jew and Greek; the same Lord is Lord of all and is generous to all who call on him. For, ‘Everyone who calls on the name of the Lord shall be saved
Letter to the Romans 10/12-21/:'For there is no distinction between Jew and Greek; the same Lord is Lord of all and is generous to all who call on him. For, ‘Everyone who calls on the name of the Lord shall be saved.’ But how are they to call on one in whom they have not believed? And how are they to believe in one of whom they have never heard? And how are they to hear without someone to proclaim him? And how are they to proclaim him unless they are sent? As it is written, ‘How beautiful are the feet of those who bring good news!’ But not all have obeyed the good news; for Isaiah says, ‘Lord, who has believed our message?’So faith comes from what is heard, and what is heard comes through the word of Christ. But I ask, have they not heard? Indeed they have; for ‘Their voice has gone out to all the earth, and their words to the ends of the world.’
Again I ask, did Israel not understand? First Moses says, ‘I will make you jealous of those who are not a nation; with a foolish nation I will make you angry.’ Then Isaiah is so bold as to say, ‘I have been found by those who did not seek me; I have shown myself to those who did not ask for me.’But of Israel he says, ‘All day long I have held out my hands to a disobedient and contrary people.’"

Pope Francis's Tweet For Today
Today the Lord repeats to all pastors: follow me despite the difficulties, follow me by proclaiming the Gospel to all.
Le Seigneur aujourd’hui répète à tous les Pasteurs : Suis-moi malgré les difficultés ; suis-moi dans la prédication de l’Évangile.
يكرر الرب اليوم لكل راعٍ: اتبعني بالرغم من الصعوبات: اتبعني في إعلان الإنجيل للجميع


Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 30-July 01/16

Hezbollah Admits: The LAF Is More than Enough/Ahmad El-Assaad/June 30/16
The bear giving life to a mouse/Roger Bejjani/Face Book/June 30/16

The New York Times Still Falls for Ben Rhodes' Iran Lies/Clifford Smith/PJ Media/June 30/16
Turkey's Growing Influence over Islam in Austria/Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/June 30/16
Extremism: Between magic and ideology/Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
Saudi Arabia, France and Gulf cooperation/Fahad Suleiman Shoqiran/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
Intervention: Syria’s most unresolved issue/Dr. Halla Diyab/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
Israel: A country at a crossroad/Yossi Mekelberg/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
We must all admit, it’s the occupation/Daoud Kuttab/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
U.S. Legitimizes Iranian Presence And Activity In Iraq/ Y. Carmon and A. Savyon/MEMRI/June 30/16
Anti-Houthi Yemeni And Arab Media Report: Houthis Apologized To Americans For 'Death To America And Israel' Slogan/MEMRI/ June 30/16
Erdogan’s climb-down/Turkey’s moves could mean an important shift in Syria/Michael Young/Now Lebanon/June 30/16
Turkey's Istanbul Attack Vengeance Will Be Like 'Rain From Hell'/Soner Cagaptay/he Washington Institute/CNN/June 30/16
Obama Doesn't Understand Jihadist Doctrine/Mark Durie/The Washington Examiner/June 30/16
How Merkel and Middle Eastern Migration Ensured Britain's EU Exit/Michel Gurfinkiel/PJ Media/June30/16


Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on June 30-July 01/16

Lebanese army says it foils planned attacks by ISIS
Hezbollah Admits: The LAF Is More than Enough
The bear giving life to a mouse.
Suicide Vest Seized in Arsal Outskirts as Man Held for Smuggling Grenades
Army Foils Terror Plots Planned by the Islamic State
Hariri and Geagea Denounce Qaa Bombings, Reject Self-Security
Quds Day Rally Canceled, Nasrallah to Make Televised Address
Australian TV Crew to be Freed in Toddlers Kidnap Case, Mother Faces Jail Term
Baalbek Gunmen Intercept ISF Vehicle, Free Prisoner
Cabinet Tackles Security Situation away from Thorny Files
Man Opens Fire on Resistance Brigades Official in Central Bekaa
Report: Security Situation Growing More Difficult
French MP Benoît Hamon to NNA: If France wants to play role in Middle East, Beirut inevitable entrance for it
Mashnouq, Shorter sign MOU in support of ISF: Clear message of UK support to efforts by security forces
Berri in interview to Shiraa Magazine: Dialogue and consensus Lebanese interest
Hout: To ensure political cover for army, police
Hussein Mousawi visits Qaa to offer condolences to families of martyrs
Bassil: Terrorism has become cross border
Pharaon: to reach political agreement on security
Basbous, De Freij hold talks
General Security raids terrorist hotbed in Wadi Ata, seizes explosive belt

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 30-July 01/16

ISIS may be on the decline — but beware al Qaeda
ISIS claims responsibility for shooting dead Egypt priest
UN envoy to Syria: ‘I found a solution for Assad knot’
Turkish forces kill two suspected ISIS members at Syria border
Istanbul bombers were ‘Russian, Uzbek and Kyrgyz’
Turkey: All criteria met for visa-free travel to Europe
Erdogan: Turkey will overcome terror groups
Putin says Turkey has said sorry for downing jet
Iraq says 260 is vehicles destroyed in Fallujah flight
Pakistan launches crackdown against sectarian militants in southwest
Taliban suicide bombers kill 27, wound 40
Palestinian kills teen in settlement, then shot dead
Egypt marks overthrow of Islamist president with new holiday
US sailors detained by Iran spoke ‘too much’ under interrogation
UN hands road map to Yemen’s warring sides
A president Trump would ‘complicate’ US-Europe ties: Hollande
Senate panel grants more visas for Afghans who supported US
CIA paid Romania ‘millions of dollars’ to host secret prisons
Sisi: ‘Nothing to hide’ on islands transfer to Saudi
Obama confident Europe will come up with prudent post-Brexit plan
EU Opens New Chapter in Turkey Accession Talks
Iraq Says IS Ripped Apart by Airstrikes as It Fled Fallujah


Links From Jihad Watch Site for June 30-July 01/16
CIA Director: Brexit is bigger crisis for the EU than the Islamic State

Homesick for “Islamophobic” US, “Clock Boy” returns to Texas
Ramadan in Israel: Muslim murders 13-year-old Israeli girl in her bed, is celebrated as hero by “Palestinians”
DHS top dog Jeh Johnson refuses to answer Senate on scrubbing terror docs of all mention of jihad and Islam
Wikipedia removes Orlando jihad massacre from ‘Islamist Terror Attack’ list
Robert Spencer in FrontPage: Hillary’s ‘Serious Lack of Competence’ Cost Lives at Benghazi
Foreign Policy: “It’s Time for the Elites to Rise Up Against the Ignorant Masses”
Obama administration to deny public records requests on Mateen’s jihad attack at the Pulse
Robert Spencer in PJ Media: Obama-Appointed Prosecutor Chills Free Speech in Idaho Migrant Sex Assault
Reading the Qur’an during Ramadan 26: Juz Ha Mim
Southern Poverty Law Center president points to “radical right terrorism”, diminishes Islamic jihad


Latest Lebanese Related News published on June 30-July 01/16

Lebanese army says it foils planned attacks by ISIS
Reuters, Beirut Thursday, 30 June 2016/Lebanon’s army said on Thursday it had foiled planned terrorist attacks by ISIS on a tourist site and a crowded area, days after suicide bombers killed five people in a Christian village. Five people involved in the two thwarted attacks, including the mastermind, were arrested on Thursday, an army statement quoted by the National News Agency said. “Those arrested confessed to having carried out terroris tacts against the army previously. Investigations are continuing,” the army said. It gave no further details. Lebanese security services have been on heightened alert for in recent weeks. ISIS had urged its followers to launch attacks on “non-believers” during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, which began in early June. The government warned this week of a heightened terrorist threat after eight suicide bombers targeted a Christian village on the border with Syria on Monday, killing five people. Prime Minister Tammam Salam said he feared “a new wave of terrorist operations”. Lebanon has been repeatedly jolted by attacks linked to the war in neighboring Syria, where powerful Lebanese Shi’ite group Hezbollah is fighting in support of President Bashar al-Assad. A bombing attack in a mostly Shi’ite area of Beirut, claimed by ISIS, killed more than 40 people in November. The army said it had arrested more than 400 Syrians in a series of raids in recent days, on suspicion of illegal entry into Lebanon or illegal movement inside the country. Interior Minister Nohad Machnouk said on Tuesday most of Monday’s attackers came from Syria.
 

Hezbollah Admits: The LAF Is More than Enough
Ahmad El-Assaad/June 30/16
What happened a few days ago in Qaa affected the entire country. Everyone felt the sadness and shock.
In the village of Qaa, terrorism once again made a gruesome appearance, through Daesh: A pack of suicide bombers, and an operation, the first of its kind, on a Christian region in Lebanon.
Once again, Hezbollah is trying to make profit from the blood of the victims of terrorism, to prove its point and justify its participation in the Syrian war.
Hezbollah wants to use the tragedy inQaato promote the idea that terrorist organizations are not targeting the Hezb alone, nor singling out the Shiite community, but they are targeting the entire Lebanese people, of all sects and factions; so by fighting in Syria, Hezbollah is actually defending all the Lebanese people. This, of course, is not true, because what Hezbollah has done is drag the Shiites and all the Lebanese people in the Syrian war, and bring the vindictive actions of Daesh, and the likes, upon us.
We will abstain from going into a useless debate, about whether Qaa itself was the target, or whether it just happened to be a passageway for the terrorists. But one thing is for sure: Daesh targets Muslims before Christians, and its victims are Sunnis, Shiites and Christians.
Therefore, we cannot label the attacks on Qaa as aimed at the Christian presence per se, nor can Hezbollah capitalize on that to get Christian approval in its absurd battle.
It is true that Daesh’s terrorism hits everywhere, and kills everyone. But Hezbollah’s implication in the Syrian conflict put Lebanon in the bullseye.
What grabbed my attention the most in what was said after visits were made to Qaa, was by a Hezbollah Minister, in comment of the inhabitants of Qaacarrying weapons in the aftermath of the attacks. He said, “The Lebanese Armed Forces are present on the border and in Qaa, and they are doing the job right”.
To Hezbollah, we say: it is true that the LAF are doing their job right, both on the borders and in the interior. If you were saying this to the people of Qaa, why don’t you say it to yourselves? Why don’t you abide by it?
Yes, the LAF is more than enough, and there is no need whatsoever for Hezbollah’s weapons, or for the wars it wages.


The bear giving life to a mouse.
Roger Bejjani/Face Book/June 30/16
Putin with his decision of intervening militarily is Syria under the false cover of fighting ISIS, has succeeded in killing thousands of civilians and has boosted the moral of Assad forces. Temporarily. Not anymore.The draw back for Putin and Russia, is the eloquent display of the inefficiency and technologically backward of its armed forces. They are even unable to challenge Turkish F16s and proved totally inefficient against ISIS as a game changer. Whereas all steady progress against ISIS in Syria and in Iraq were due exclusively to the guidance and close supervision of US special forces and of course US Air Force. Certainly not to Russians or even less to Iranians.Thinking of how ridiculous some Lebanese sounded when they were cheering Putin as if he was St Georges combatting the Dragon!! The elephant or shall we say the bear giving life to a mouse.


Suicide Vest Seized in Arsal Outskirts as Man Held for Smuggling Grenades
Naharnet/June 30/16/Security forces on Thursday seized an explosive vest and a quantity of arms during a raid in the outskirts of the northeastern border town of Arsal. “Based on the confessions of a detained terrorist, and as part of its security duties, the General Directorate of General Security carried out a preemptive raid on a terrorist den in the Wadi Ata area in Arsal's outskirts, assisted by the Lebanese Army,” a General Security statement said. “A suicide vest, weapons and various military equipment were seized,” it added. “Efforts are still underway to arrest the rest of the terrorist cell's members,” General Security said. Media reports said the detained militant is a Lebanese national from the Fliti family, which hails from Arsal. Separately, the army arrested Lebanese national H. H. Ezzeddine after he drove his pickup truck past a military checkpoint in Arsal, state-run National News Agency reported. “Five hand grenades and two binoculars were found in the truck,” it added. The developments come three days after eight suicide bombers targeted the nearby border town of al-Qaa where the killed five people and wounded 28 others.Militants from the Qaida-linked al-Nusra Front and the Islamic State group are entrenched in rugged mountains along the Lebanese-Syrian border and the Lebanese army regularly shells their positions while Hizbullah and the Syrian army have engaged in clashes with them on the Syrian side of the border. The two groups overran the town of Arsal in 2014 and engaged in deadly battles with the Lebanese army for several days. The retreating militants abducted around 35 troops and policemen of whom four have been executed and nine remain in captivity.

Army Foils Terror Plots Planned by the Islamic State

Naharnet/June 30/16/The army intelligence said on Thursday that it had foiled two Islamic State group plots that aimed to carry out attacks on a tourist facility and a densely populated area in Lebanon, the Army Command Orientation Directorate said in a statement on Thursday. “The army was able to thwart a highly dangerous scheme planned by the terrorist Islamic State group,” the statement said. “It arrested five IS members involved, including the mastermind behind the plot,” added the statement. “The detainees confessed to having carried out terrorist acts attacks against the army previously.”“The plan aimed to target a large tourist facility and a densely populated area in Lebanon.”Investigations have been kicked off under the supervision of the related judicial authorities. A military official told Agence France-Presse that the famed Casino du Liban was among the targets. It was not clear when the arrests took place, but the military official said the attacks were to have been carried out "10 days ago."They would have targeted "the Casino du Liban as well as a crowded area, like a shopping center, the southern suburbs of Beirut or indeed the neighborhoods of Hamra or Ashrafieh," the official said. He said "suicide bombers and armed men" were to have carried out the attacks, and added that investigations would follow on other possible cells and potential targets. Earlier in the day, Voice of Lebanon radio (100.5) had quoted unnamed sources as saying that the two targets that were eventually mentioned in the army statement were the Casino du Liban and the City Center mall in Hazmieh.

Hariri and Geagea Denounce Qaa Bombings, Reject Self-Security
Naharnet/June 30/16/Al-Mustaqbal Movement chief MP Saad Hariri met with Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea late on Wednesday where talks denounced the attacks that targeted the eastern town of al-Qaa and rejected the principle of “autonomous security”, Hariri's media office said on Thursday. Hariri received Geagea, accompanied by LF media officer Melhem Riachi, over a Suhoor banquet in the Central House in the presence of Hariri's adviser Ghattas Khoury. The gatherers denounced Monday's suicide attacks that targeted al-Qaa and stressed the necessity to stand strong behind the army and security forces in their fight against terrorism. They also rejected the principle of self-security and affirmed that the role of the town families must be limited to assist and support the army. The controversial file of the presidential elections was tackled during the three-hour meeting and discussions stressed the necessity to end the vacuum and emphasized that the two sides are ready to go to the parliament and elect a president to secure quorum. They agreed to pave way for further discussions with political forces. Hariri and Geagea affirmed backing for the electoral law that was submitted by both sides including the Progressive Socialist Party, but agreed to hold consultations with other parties in order to agree on a new law.Mustaqbal and LF agreed to reactivate coordination in various issues including the student and syndicate elections. Relations between the March 14 officials, Hariri and Geaega, have been shaken after Hariri endorsed March 8 figure Marada Movement chief Suleiman Franjieh for the presidential post. The step drew the ire of Geagea who withdrew his own candidacy for the post and nominated Change and Reform bloc MP Michel Aoun.

Quds Day Rally Canceled, Nasrallah to Make Televised Address
Naharnet/June 30/16/Hizbullah has decided to call off a Dahieh mass rally scheduled for Friday over security concerns, the party said in a statement on Thursday. “In light of the security situations, it has been decided to cancel the Quds Day mass rally that was supposed to be held tomorrow, Friday at the Sayyed al-Shohada Complex in Rweiss,” Hizbullah said. “Hizbullah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah will instead deliver a televised speech at 5:30 pm,” it added. This is the second major event that the party calls off this week over security reasons. On Tuesday, Hizbullah canceled religious ceremonies marking the Laylat al-Qadr holy night of Ramadan that were supposed to be held at Shiite shrines and mosques in the northern Bekaa region, a day after eight suicide bombers attacked the nearby Christian border town of al-Qaa where they killed five people and wounded 28 others. The country has been on high alert since the unprecedented bombings and the army confirmed earlier on Thursday that it had recently arrested an Islamic State group cell that was plotting to attack “an important touristic facility and a crowded area." Media outlets are also buzzing with news about possible terrorist attacks in the country, especially during the holy month of Ramadan, and Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq announced Wednesday that seven terrorist cells had been busted in the past two months.

Australian TV Crew to be Freed in Toddlers Kidnap Case, Mother Faces Jail Term
Naharnet/June 30/16/Australian reporter Tara Brown and her crew involved in snatching two children on a street in southern Beirut have been charged with a small misdemeanor and will be freed after paying a minimal fine, but the children’s Australian mother Sally Faulkner and the abductors face up to seven years in jail, media reports have said. Beirut prosecuting judge Rami Abdullah laid formal charges against Faulkner, saying the mother of five-year-old Lahala and three-year-old Noah was critical to the botched kidnapping. Faulkner, child-recovery specialist Adam Whittington and three operatives will now face kidnapping charges. Judge Abdullah discounted suggestions that the 60 Minutes program team formed a criminal alliance with the child-abduction team — which could have resulted in jail terms of up to 20 years — saying the media crew was acting on instructions from the Nine TV bosses. “It is over for them,’’ Judge Abdullah said. “I was fair with them, much too fair, more than fair with their job. They go to difficult places and they were asked to be part of this by their bosses,” Abdullah said. Brown, sacked producer Stephen Rice, sound recordist David Bailment and cameraman Ben Williamson will have to pay a fine of less than $1,000. The 60 Minutes crew was charged with a misdemeanor for not reporting a crime. The toddlers had been handed over to their father, Ali al-Amin, after they were freed by the Internal Security Forces on April 13. The mother had said that their father took them for a holiday in Lebanon and then allegedly refused to return them to Australia. "The woman made an agreement with the 60 Minutes program from Channel Nine to come help her recover her children from Lebanon," a security source told AFP at the time. The source said the children had been snatched while with their grandmother and there was a plan for them to be removed from Lebanon by boat. A grainy video of the incident released by Lebanon's al-Jadeed television showed the children walking with an older figure, reportedly their grandmother. Several figures jump out of a nearby car and carry the children into the vehicle, which then speeds off.

Baalbek Gunmen Intercept ISF Vehicle, Free Prisoner
Naharnet/June 30/16/Gunmen from the powerful Jaafar clan intercepted an Internal Security Forces prisoner transport vehicle in the eastern city of Baalbek on Thursday and facilitated the escape of an inmate who was being taken to a judicial session, state-run National News Agency reported. It identified the prisoner as Rabih Asem Awada. Al-Jadeed television said the incident happened in the Baalbek neighborhood of al-Sharawneh.

Cabinet Tackles Security Situation away from Thorny Files
Naharnet/June 30/16/An ordinary cabinet session chaired by Prime Minister Tammam Salam convened at the Grand Serail on Thursday and focused on the security issues mainly after the Qaa bombings, without touching on any of the controversial files. “Salam has assured that the Security Forces maintain readiness levels and capability to confront terrorism,” Information Minister Ramzi Jreij said after the meeting. Referring to the bombing attacks, the latest in the eastern town of al-Qaa, Jreij said: “Salam has warned against linking the bombings to the Syrian displacement.”The eastern town of al-Qaa was subject to a series of suicide bombings early this week. Four suicide bombers targeted the town in a pre-dawn attack on Monday, killing five people and wounding 15 others, as another four bombers attacked the town in the evening and wounded 13 people. Touching on the presidential vacuum, the Prime Minister stressed the necessity to elect a head of state as soon as possible, said Jreij. Lebanon has been without a president since the term of President Michel Suleiman ended in May 2014.

Man Opens Fire on Resistance Brigades Official in Central Bekaa
Naharnet/June 30/16/An unknown assailant opened gunfire at the vehicle of the Resistance Brigades official in the central Bekaa valley in eastern Lebanon without hurting him, the state-run National News Agency reported on Thursday. The shooter opened fire at the black BMW when the official, Rami Mohammed Hamoura, parked his car near his place of residence in Bar Elias. The vehicle was hit with two bullets, said NNA. The assailant managed to escape, it added. Hamoura has filed a complaint at the Chtoura police station.

Report: Security Situation Growing More Difficult
Naharnet/June 30/16/The security situation in Lebanon will become more difficult in light of an intensified campaign to eradicate terrorism in the region, As Safir daily reported on Thursday. The situation is to become harder in light of reports alleging that the terror groups are using new tactics of bringing candidates for the attacks they carry out from outside Lebanon, a related source told the daily on condition of anonymity. The source added that the danger lies in that most of the sleeper cells inside Lebanon are under close monitoring and the security apparatuses have data that help them identify or arrest them. If the terror groups started bringing their members from outside Lebanon, the security forces will no more be able to obtain the required information. The source added that seven of the eight suicide attackers in the eastern town of al-Qaa were unknown Syrian nationals, and that their pictures were shown to detainees who only recognized them as participants in training centers for brief periods without being able to identify their names. Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq had stated on Wednesday that detainees in the custody of the security forces have identified seven out of the eight bombers, noting that the detainees were shown pictures of the attackers' faces. “According to the detainees' confessions, the seven criminals came from Syria, specifically from Raqa, not from the encampments” of the Syrian refugees in al-Qaa's outskirts, the minister said. Fears of bombings spiked lately after a series of suicide attacks rattled the eastern town of al-Qaa on Monday evening, injuring eight people, only hours after four suicide bombers killed five people and wounded 15 others in the town before dawn. In the evening violence, three suicide bombers riding motorcycles blew themselves up in the center of the predominantly Christian town, media reports said. One struck in front of a church and the two others in front of the municipality building. In the pre-dawn attack, five people were killed and fifteen others were wounded when four suicide bombers targeted the town. The suicide explosions struck at 10 minute intervals.


French MP Benoît Hamon to NNA: If France wants to play role in Middle East, Beirut inevitable entrance for it
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - French MP Benoît Hamon said on Thursday that there was a great opportunity for France to enhance its partnership with Lebanon, whether at cultural, political or other levels and "if France wants to play a role in the Middle East, Beirut is an inevitable entrance for it." MP Hamon's fresh words came during press conference held in the French parliament. Hamon responded to NNA correspondent, Georges Sassine's questions by saying that France cannot take decisions on behalf of Lebanese on the presidential elections. He called the French government to exert further efforts to help Lebanon on the economic and security levels. "The country is on the brink of the abyss, but we do not know where the edge is, and this is what distinguishes Lebanon," remarked the French MP. "No country can bear what Lebanon endures; it is facing a presidential vacuum, a locked up government, an efficient parliament, a refugee crisis, a zero growth rate and external threats," he said.

Mashnouq, Shorter sign MOU in support of ISF: Clear message of UK support to efforts by security forces
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - The British Ambassador to Lebanon Hugo shorter and the Minister of Interior Nohad Al-Machnouk signed a Memorandum of Understanding today at Aramoun Training Facility that anchors future co-operation with the Internal Security Forces worth £13million from the Conflict, Security and Stability Fund over the next three years.The MOU was signed in the presence of Major General Ibrahim Basbous, senior ISF officers, British police attaché Rob Shepherd, and representatives from the British policing force. In a press release by the British Embassy in Beirut, it said: "This MOU confirms the UK’s support as agreed when the Minister of Interior visited London earlier this year. We are proudly supporting his plan to establish a credible police force for all of Lebanon, and will work with General Basbous in every way we can to help the ISF meet the security challenges Lebanon faces every day. In particular, we will continue to work on establishing a community-led police force across the whole of Beirut and beyond; working with the ISF’s Academy to improve the professionalism of new recruits and train experienced officers in the skills needed to engage with communities and respond to their needs; and with the new Strategic Planning Team, the Mobile Forces, and the Inspectorate General, we will help improve long term planning, accountability, and respect for Human Rights."
After the signature, Ambassador Shorter said: "This is yet another shining example of our support to Lebanon and our long term relationship with the Ministry of Interior and the Internal Security Forces. We recognize the challenges that face the men and women of the police on a daily basis and we are determined to support them as they confront mounting security threats and the scourge of terrorism. I applaud the ministry’s determination to build a modern police force based on state of the art training, human rights and community focused policing. The United Kingdom has been providing assistance to the Ministry of Interior for almost a decade. And achievements have been many: the establishment of the Strategic Planning Team and office, Community Policing Training, the Ras Beirut Policing Pilot, the Code of Conduct, the new VTC facility for Crisis Management, ISF Human Rights Department, to name a few.
I have assured Minister Al-Machnouk, as I did yesterday PM Salam, that the UK remains committed to Lebanon’s stability, security and prosperity. The UK’s vote to leave the EU will not affect our relations or commitments to Lebanon and our partners. We stand by Lebanon’s side in confronting the scourge of terrorism, defending its borders, promoting jobs and livelihoods, expanding access to education and managing the impact of the Syrian crisis."For his part, Minister Machnouk said: "On this occasion, I would like to thank the British Government represented by Ambassador Hugo Shorter for signing the Memorandum of Understanding that projects the practical implementation of the British government’s decision in supporting the Lebanese State represented by the Directorate General of the Internal Security Forces for £13m last March following my official visit to London. This initiative is a clear and honest message by which the British Government reiterates its support to the exceptional efforts carried by the Lebanese security forces especially the Internal Security Forces in countering terrorism and reinforcing security and stability in Lebanon. The Memorandum of Understanding is a clear example of the priorities that I have put in place and have been working on implementing since I assumed my position at the ministry, based on reinforcing and developing the training capacities of the ministry’s security forces."

Berri in interview to Shiraa Magazine: Dialogue and consensus Lebanese interest
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - Speaker of the House, Nabih Berri, underlined the paramount importance of dialogue and consensus in foiling any strife attempt, saying that "dialogue is a stringent Lebanese need and interest." "There is no alternative to consensual democracy," Speaker Berri said in an interview to "Ash-Shiraa" Magazine to be published tomorrow, whereby he dwelt on an array of local and regional issues. Berri regarded the currently undertaken Hezbollah-Future Movement dialogue as an affirming platform to lessen the ceilings of tensions and an open session to agree on major national headlines. The Speaker also deemed the election of the president of the republic as a crucial and vital priority; yet, he added, it should be accompanied by the endorsement of a new election's law, holding parliamentary elections and the formation of a national unity government. "1960 election law inflicts political 'nakba' in Lebanon," remarked Berri, pointing out that "we need a unified national front to wage the future political battle of Lebanon."Berri also disclosed that his relation with head of "Democratic Gathering" MP Walid Jumblatt as "strategic and constant," and considered former Prime Minister Saad Hariri as a "national need." Berri expressed readiness to carry out any role that would contribute to bridging the gap in relations between Arabs and Iran, bringing to attention that he asked of Egyptian President, Abdel Fattah al-Sissi to exert utmost efforts to help building confidence in Gulf relations, notably Saudi Arabia, with Iran. He also indicated that "Sykes-Picot has finished," pointing out that what is currently taking place is in fact targeting the central state, in the aim of producing Federalists and confederalists on the basis of religions, sects and ethnic groups. On the other hand, Berri expressed his belief that neither the United States nor Russia wants in fact a cease fire in Syria.

Hout: To ensure political cover for army, police
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - MP Imad Hout said on Thursday that a political cover should be ensured to the army and the police. Hout's words came from Dar Al Fatwa as he met with Mufti of the Lebanese Republic, Sheikh Abdel Latif Derian. The pair tackled the situation in Lebanon and the region, notably after Qaa attacks. out said that they underlined the importance of national unity and of electing a President. He added that they rejected autonomous security or actions that might weaken the Lebanese state.

Hussein Mousawi visits Qaa to offer condolences to families of martyrs
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - Deputy Hussein Mousawi visited on Thursday Qaa village to extend his condolences to the families of the martyrs. "Terrorists are targeting all the Lebanese without exception," he confirmed.

Bassil: Terrorism has become cross border
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - Foreign and Expatriates Minister, Gebran Bassil, met on Thursday with his Danish counterpart Kristin Jensen, in the presence of Ambassador of Denmark to Lebanon, Svend Waever and the accompanying delegation. Discussions focused on the situation in Lebanon and the region as well as the rapid spread of terrorism. "We have agreed that terrorism has become a cross-border and delicate balance of our system in the demographic, economic and political risk," the minister said in a press conference with his counterpart. Bassil said that he has focused during the meeting on the Israeli daily violations against Lebanon's sovereignty. The minister thanked Denmark for the help whether at the south within the UNIFIL, the Trust Fund or through local projects. Discussions highlighted the risk of Syrian refugees into Lebanon, "we renewed our call to find a political solution in Syria," Bassil asserted. "A lasting political solution to the crisis is to return the displaced back to their home, confirming that their naturalization is not an option," he concluded.

Pharaon: to reach political agreement on security
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - Tourism Minister, Michel Pharaon hoped in a statement on Thursday "to reach a political agreement on security to safeguard the country."He expressed full confidence in the security apparatuses, calling on the media outlets to be accurate in the transfer of information. "The recent bombings in Qaa and at Turkey's Ataturk Airport require raising the level of caution," the minister asserted. The minister held series of contacts with security leaders and officials in the tourism sector, hoping "to coordinate to take necessary measures."

Basbous, De Freij hold talks
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - ISF General Director, Major General Ibrahim Basbous met on Thursday before noon at his office with Minister of State for Administrative Development Affairs, MP Nabil de Freij. Discussions tackled the general situation in the country.

General Security raids terrorist hotbed in Wadi Ata, seizes explosive belt
Thu 30 Jun 2016/NNA - The Directorate General of General Security raided on Thursday with the army a terrorist hotbed in Arsal's Wadi Ata according to the confessions of detained terrorists and as part of its security activity. It discovered an explosive belt, weapons, and war ammunitions. The Directorate seized the objects and is following up the issue to arrest the remaining members of the terrorist cell.

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 30-July 01/16

ISIS may be on the decline — but beware al Qaeda
Daveed Gartenstein-Ross/New York Post/June 30/16/After the latest terror attacks in Orlando and Istanbul, it's clearer than ever that our strategy against ISIS is lacking. The Post asked a panel of terrorism experts what needs to be done to win the war against ISIS on the military, diplomatic and ideological fronts. Here are their answers: Recent attacks inspired or executed by ISIS show how dangerous a militant organization in decline can be. But make no mistake: The group is in a state of decline. ISIS, which is so proficient at making enemies that it has been fighting a war on at least five fronts for the past two years, has been losing ground in Iraq and Syria. The group is also on the verge of losing the Libyan city of Sirte, which is the capital of its Africa-based network. But jihadism neither begins nor ends with ISIS, which itself is a bloodier offshoot of al Qaeda, whose 2001 attacks on New York City and Washington, DC, kicked off the current conflict in which the United States has been embroiled. And al Qaeda has masterfully used ISIS as a foil since the latter’s advance from Syria into Iraq in June 2014. Since the onset of the 2011 Arab uprisings, al Qaeda has experienced sustained and alarming — but somewhat below-the-radar — growth. The group has accomplished this through a strategy of localization, portraying itself as an organic part of the population’s struggles in places like Syria, Yemen and Libya. ISIS’s emergence has provided al Qaeda the opportunity to fly even further below the radar of counterterrorists and counterinsurgents, as governmental resources have disproportionately focused on the flashier and more overt ISIS. Further, al Qaeda has been able to “rebrand,” portraying itself as a more restrained alternative to ISIS’s over-the-top barbarity. It can still carry out bloody and tragic attacks in places like Paris, Brussels and Istanbul, but ISIS’s network is losing steam. Al Qaeda’s is not. It has survived the ISIS challenge, and has a militant network that is on the rise. We should hasten ISIS’s collapse and discredit the group. But the main thing we need to do now is look beyond ISIS.
Al-Qaeda, our original jihadist foe, may be the strongest it has ever been.
**Daveed Gartenstein-Ross is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and the chief executive officer of Valens Global.

 

ISIS claims responsibility for shooting dead Egypt priest
AFP, Cairo Thursday, 30 June 2016
The Egyptian branch of ISIS claimed responsibility for a shooting attack that killed a Coptic priest in the Sinai Peninsula on Thursday. The jihadist group said a “squad” of its gunmen killed the 46-year-old priest for “combating Islam,” in a statement posted on social media accounts. Police and the Coptic Church had said the priest was gunned down in the North Sinai capital of El-Arish while standing next to his car. Raphael Moussa was killed instantly when a man shot him in the head while he was standing next to his car in North Sinai capital El-Arish, said Boulos Halim, a church spokesman. Moussa had earlier left a church where he attended a mass, Halim said. Security officials said more than one gunman had been involved in the shooting and had followed the priest and opened fire when he emerged from his car. A branch of ISIS in the frontier peninsula has waged an insurgency that has killed hundreds of policemen and soldiers. Moussa was not the first priest killed in Arish. Another, Mina Aboud, was shot dead on July 6, 2013, three days after the Egyptian military toppled Islamist president Mohamed Morsi, unleashing clashes and a crackdown on his supporters. Pro-Islamists attacked and torched dozens of churches and Christian properties a month later, after police killed hundreds of Morsi supporters in Cairo clashes. They accused the Coptic minority of supporting the overthrow of Morsi, whom the army deposed after millions of Egyptians rallied to demand his resignation. Leading Muslim clerics, as well as the opposition and the Coptic Orthodox Church, supported his overthrow after a year of divisive rule.While no one has claimed responsibility yet for the attack, jihadists in Sinai have targeted Christians before, as well as Muslims they accuse of working with the government. They have also attacked tourists. ISIS claimed responsibility for last October’s bombing of a Russian airliner carrying holidaymakers from a south Sinai resort, killing all 224 people on board. “The whole situation in El-Arish and North Sinai is under threat,” said Halim. “Many people (Christians) have left.”Copts, who make up about 10 percent of Egypt’s population of 90 million, have faced persecution and discrimination that spiked during the 30-year rule of Hosni Mubarak, who was toppled by a popular uprising in 2011.
Dozens have been killed in recent years in sectarian attacks and clashes throughout Egypt.

UN envoy to Syria: ‘I found a solution for Assad knot’
Talal al-Haj, Al Arabiya English Thursday, 30 June 2016/The UN’s special envoy to Syria told al-Hadath, the sister channel of Al Arabiya News, that he had found a “solution for [Syrian President Bashar] Assad knot,” without elaborating on his newly found answer over the Syrian leader’s iron hold on power. “Assad knot” is a term used by mediators who are trying to find a solution between the Syrian regime, which is insisting that Assad must stay, versus the country’s opposition which stipulates that the leader must go for any real political solution to take place. In an exclusive interview conducted near the UN headquarters on Wednesday in New York, Staffan de Mistura said a looming August deadline for peace talks and upcoming US presidential elections means that a political solution must be found urgently. He highlighted the UN’s plight to finally drop aid to besieged areas across Syria, as well as the hope that cessation of hostilities will be reinforced and maintained across the region and respected by all warring factions. De Mistura expressed his regret at the suffering of the Syrian people, while also claiming the five-year war as being the cruelest one. While the NGOs and struggling citizens are losing hope day by day, the UN Syrian envoy insists that a bridge is in sight, one that would allow both sides to come together and a political transition can be met.
Here are some of the main points Mistura discussed in the interview:
* “You know who is the last casualty of the Syrian war? Brexit. When you look at it the consequences of this conflict which have been going on for five years is affecting everyone, even producing a sense of concern in European countries to the point of reaching that type of consequence, so the hope is based on the fact that I know there is a sense of urgency, a sense of urgency in finding a political solution.”
* “This is crunch time, July time, August, September will be the last General Assembly of the Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon, the last General Assembly of President Obama, there will be a moment when perhaps in the G20 President Obama and President Putin will meet.”
* “I do intend to have the intra Syrian talks in July - but I want them well prepared. Only then I announce them.”
* “The Special Envoy of the UN is a mediator, the mediator is supposed to be creative enough to find where are the differences between the two sides and see whether there can be a bridge in order to help both sides to climb down the tree and come up with some area where negotiation can take place.”
* “I want to believe and I think I have reasons to believe that both Russia and the US - who are crucial because they are the co-chairs - have both an urgent vested interest in avoiding this conflict starts again and becomes open ended.”
* “Now in the besieged areas we had 18 locations which were besieged and just today - there is actually being an announcement that even those last two have been reached. Is that enough? No. But is that very different from a year ago.”
* “Ideally, the cessation of hostilities should have been holding much longer but in those two months many lives were saved and we were able to prove it can be done. The most dangerous thing in this conflict is when people say -it cannot be done; it is impossible- It was done, and it needs to be repeated.”
* “The ceasefire is failing but it has not totally failed. I feel that with sufficient moral pressure on both sides there is a possibility of recalling it.”
* “Civilians should not be dying any more in this conflict. They should not be victims of barrel bombs. They should not be victims of also the canisters which have been thrown on the other side. I say that we together and the public opinion should be, like we have been doing, putting more pressure on both Russia and the US to actually come up again with the same deal they were able to do on 26 February. It is not impossible.”

Turkish forces kill two suspected ISIS members at Syria border
AFP, Ankara Thursday, 30 June 2016/Turkish security forces have killed two suspected members of the ISIS group on the Syrian border, one of whom was believed to be planning a suicide attack in Turkey, news agencies reported Thursday. The two men were shot dead on Saturday, days ahead of the triple suicide bombings at Istanbul’s Ataturk airport on Tuesday that left 42 people dead, the Anadolu and Dogan agencies said. One of the suspects, named as Mohammad Arab, was planning an attack either in the Turkish capital Ankara or in the southern city of Adana, Dogan added. Ankara was the scene of Turkey’s worst ever attack last October when 103 people were killed in suicide bombings blamed on ISIS. Special forces also rounded up several ISIS suspects in Istanbul early on Thursday, Dogan said. No details were given about their identity. The government has said ISIS militants were likely behind the carnage at Istanbul airport, one of the busiest hubs in Europe. Turkey has cracked down on ISIS after a string of deadly attacks blamed on the militants, who have seized swathes of land in Iraq and Syria, right up to the Turkish border.

Istanbul bombers were ‘Russian, Uzbek and Kyrgyz’
Staff writer, Al Arabiya News Thursday, 30 June 2016/Three suspected ISIS suicide bombers who killed 43 people in a gun and bomb attack at Istanbul airport this week were from Russia, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, a Turkish government official said on Thursday. The attack on Europe’s third-busiest airport was the deadliest in a series of suicide bombings in Turkey this year. The three bombers opened fire to create panic outside, before two of them got inside the terminal building and blew themselves up. The third detonated his explosives at the entrance. A further 239 people were wounded. The official gave no further details beyond confirming the attackers’ nationalities and declined to be named because details of the investigation have not yet been released. Investigators had been struggling to identify the bombers from their limited remains, officials said earlier. “A medical team is working around the clock to conclude the identification process,” one of the officials said. The pro-government Yeni Safak newspaper said the Russian bomber was from Dagestan, which borders Chechnya, where Moscow has led two wars against separatists and religious militants since the Soviet Union collapsed in The Kyrgyz security service declined to comment, while the Uzbek security service could not immediately be reached. Turkish police detained 13 people, three of them foreigners, in raids across Istanbul in connection with Tuesday night’s attack. Counter-terrorism teams led by police special forces launched simultaneous raids at 16 locations in the city, two officials told Reuters. Turkish authorities have said they believe ISIS was behind the airport attack. Yeni Safak said the organiser of the attack was suspected to be a man called Akhmed Chatayev, of Chechen origin. Chatayev is identified on a United Nations sanctions list as a leader in ISIS responsible for training Russian-speaking militants, and as wanted by Russian authorities. The Hurriyet newspaper named one of the attackers as Osman Vadinov, also Chechen, and said he had come from Raqqa, the heart of ISIS-controlled territory in Syria. Turkish officials did not confirm to Reuters that either Chatayev or Vadinov were part of the investigation. Nine suspected militants, thought to have been in contact with ISIS members in Syria, were meanwhile detained in the dawn raids in four districts of Izmir, the news agency said. It said they were accused of financing, recruiting and providing logistical support to the extremist group. Turkey is part of a US-led military coalition against ISIS and home to around 3 million refugees from the five-year civil war in neighboring Syria.

Turkey: All criteria met for visa-free travel to Europe
Reuters, Ankara Thursday, 30 June 2016/Turkey has met the required criteria to secure visa-free travel for its citizens to Europe, but the European Union says it has not yet met stipulations on personal data and terrorism, Turkey’s EU minister said on Thursday. Omer Celik, flanked by Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu, made the comments to reporters in Brussels ahead of talks to “open” Chapter 33 of its European Union accession process, which covers budget policy. Cavusoglu told CNN Turk that it was important for Turkey to retain momentum in EU talks. Turkey won visa-free travel for its citizens to Europe in return for agreeing to curb the flow of migrants to the bloc. However, sticking points have remained over Turkey’s anti-terror laws, which some in Europe see as too broad. The opening of Chapter 33 marks a modest step forward in Ankara’s accession process to Europe.

Erdogan: Turkey will overcome terror groups
The Associated Press, Istanbul Thursday, 30 June 2016/Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan says his country will overcome terror groups, including Kurdish rebels and ISIS, which have intensified their attacks. Speaking at a Ramadan fast-breaking dinner Wednesday, Erdogan said the terror organizations were trying to impede Turkey’s ambitions, including becoming one of the world’s 10 strongest economies and building the world’s largest airport. He was addressing his staff a day after suspected ISIS militants attacked Istanbul’s busiest airport with gunfire and bombs, killing 42 people and wounding scores of others. Erdogan said: “Neither the PKK, the DHKP-C, nor Daesh ... will succeed in deterring Turkey from its goals.” He was referring in turn to the Kurdish rebels, an outlawed leftist militant group and ISIS. The Turkish leader also said the airport attackers were “not Muslims” and “have prepared their place in hell.” Erdogan thanked world leaders including US President Barack Obama and Russian President Vladimir Putin, for calling to offer their condolences.Watch: Saudi victims in Istanbul attack: 6 killed, 5 missing

Putin says Turkey has said sorry for downing jet
Staff writer, Al Arabiya News Thursday, 30 June 2016/In politics, as in life, sorry seems to be the hardest word. According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Turkey on Thursday has apologized for the shooting down of a Russian war plane last year. But officials in Ankara say they had expressed regret but stopped short of apologizing. The news is part of a fresh saga of tensions and reconciliation between the two countries, which fell out after Turkey downed a Russian warplane in November. The tensions caused Moscow slap an embargo on Turkish food products and ban charter flights and the sale of package tours to the country, long popular with Russian tourists seeking warmer weather. Putin and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayip Erdogan on Wednesday held their first phone call since Ankara downed one of Moscow's jets in Syria last year, both sides said, and will later meet in person. Extending an apparent olive branch of peace, Putin said after the phone call with Erdogan that he would lift travel restrictions to Turkey. The Turkish president said in a statement after the call that the two leaders would “remain in contact and “meet in person” to “reinvigorate bilateral relations and fight terrorism together.” Turkey this week has been left reeling after 42 people were killed and 239 injured at Istanbul’s Ataturk airport, the country’s main hub. ISIS is suspected to have carried out the attack. The three suicide bombers who carried out an attack on the airport were of Russian, Uzbek and Kyrgyz nationality, a Turkish official said on Thursday.
Russia expects full compensation
Interfax news agency quoted Russia’s ambassador to Turkey, Andrei Karlov, as saying on Thursday that Moscow expects compensation from Ankara for the shooting down of the Russian jet before a full restoration of Russian-Turkish relations. “Vladimir Vladimirovich has made clear our terms which will allow to restore our relations: apologies, punishment for those guilty and compensation,” Karlov told Interfax referring to Russian President Vladimir Putin. “The first has happened, we are now waiting for the second and third.”(With Reuters)

Iraq says 260 is vehicles destroyed in Fallujah flight
AFP, Baghdad Thursday, 30 June 2016/Air strikes on ISIS group fighters fleeing after their defeat in Fallujah have destroyed more than 260 vehicles and killed at least 150 militants, Iraqi officers said. The strikes began late on Tuesday as hundreds of vehicles carrying weapons and ammunition attempted to leave the militants’ last positions to the west of the city, the Joint Operations Command said. “Our heroes in the military aviation destroyed more than 200 vehicles,” JOC spokesman Yahya Rasool said. He said commandos had also seized large quantities of weapons and ammunition. Rasool said at least 150 ISIS militants were killed in the strikes, although it was not clear how the dead were counted and identified. He was referring to a first series of strikes on a massive convoy of several hundred vehicles heading south of Fallujah toward the desert, apparently to areas IS still controls near the border with Syria. At least another 60 ISIS vehicles were destroyed later by air strikes conducted by Iraqi and US-led coalition aircraft on a convoy heading northwest of Fallujah, Anbar Operations Command chief Ismail Mahalawi. He could not provide an estimate for the number of IS fighters killed in the strikes. Iraqi forces have retaken full control of Fallujah, an emblematic jihadist bastion just 50 kilometres (30 miles) west of Baghdad, after a vast operation that was launched in May.

Pakistan launches crackdown against sectarian militants in southwest
Gul Yousafzai, Reuters, Quetta, Pakistan Thursday, 30 June 2016/Pakistani forces killed three militants at the start of a crackdown on sectarian militant group in the southwestern province of Baluchistan, officials said on Thursday, following a spate of attacks targeting security forces. The extremist Sunni Muslim group Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ), whose roots are in Punjab province, claimed responsibility for gunning down four policemen on Tuesday and four soldiers of the paramilitary Frontier Corps in the city of Quetta on Wednesday. A spokesman for the paramilitary Frontier Corps said the government had decided to launch an armed operation against LeJ at a late night meeting on Wednesday. “Three terrorists belonging to LeJ have been killed in an armed clash with Frontier Corps and intelligence personnel,” said Khan Wasey, the spokesman for the paramilitary force. He said the killings took place during a search operation in the early hours of Thursday. Last year, police killed the leader of the LeJ, Malik Ishaq, signalling a shift in the Pakistani government's strategy for dealing with the group. Baluchistan chief minister Sananullah Zehri condemned the killing of the policemen and soldiers and said "strict actions would be launched against terrorists and their supporters." Baluchistan is Pakistan’s poorest and least developed province and has suffered a long-running separatist violence. Ethnic Baluch activists and human rights groups accuse the military of carrying out a campaign of kidnapping, torture and extrajudicial killing against suspected separatists, and a security measures have severely limited freedom of movement in the province. Pakistan and China are developing multi-billion-dollar energy and infrastructure projects in the sparsely populated region as part of a plan to create a corridor stretching from the Arabian Sea to China's Xinjiang region.

Taliban suicide bombers kill 27, wound 40
Reuters, Kabul Thursday, 30 June 2016/Two Taliban suicide bombers killed at least 27 police and wounded around 40 in an attack on Thursday on buses carrying recently graduated cadets on the western outskirts of Kabul. A police official said that, according to preliminary information, three buses were attacked as they approached the Afghan capital from neighboring Wardak province. “Initial information we have is that two suicide bombers were involved and there are many casualties,” he said, declining to be identified by name. An Interior Ministry official said at least 27 people were killed and 40 wounded.
The incident comes 10 days after an attack on a bus carrying Nepali security guards working for the Canadian embassy in Kabul that killed 14 people. In April, at least 64 people were killed by a Taliban attack on a security services facility in Kabul in the deadliest bombing of its kind in Afghanistan since 2011.

Palestinian kills teen in settlement, then shot dead

Reuters, Jerusalem Thursday, 30 June 2016/A Palestinian fatally stabbed a 13-year-old girl inside her home in a Jewish settlement in the occupied West Bank on Thursday, before guards shot him dead, the military and hospital officials said. A member of the response team that killed the assailant was also wounded in the incident, said an official from the Kiryat Arba settlement, near the city of Hebron. Over the past eight months, Palestinians have killed 33 Israelis and two visiting US citizens in a wave of street attacks, mostly stabbings. Israeli forces have shot dead at least 198 Palestinians, 134 of whom Israel has said were assailants. Others were killed in clashes and protests. An Israeli military spokesman said the girl was attacked in her bedroom. Hospital officials in Jerusalem said she died of her wounds, giving her age as 13. Israeli media reports identified the suspected attacker as a 17-year-old Palestinian from a village near Kiryat Arba. Malachi Levinger, chairman of Kiryat Arba’s government council, said on Army Radio that a Palestinian climbed a security fence and entered a family home where he attacked the girl.
“Two members of a response team exchanged fire with him. One of them was wounded and the terrorist was killed,” Levinger said. Palestinian leaders say assailants have acted out of desperation over peace talks frozen since 2014 and Israeli settlement building in occupied territory that Palestinians seek for a state. Tensions over Jewish access to a contested Jerusalem holy site, revered by Muslims as Haram al-Sharif (Noble Sanctuary) and Jews as Temple Mount, have also fueled the violence. Israel says incitement in the Palestinian media and personal problems at home have been important factors that have spurred assailants, often teenagers, to launch attacks.

Egypt marks overthrow of Islamist president with new holiday
AP, Cairo Thursday, 30 June 2016/Egypt is celebrating the army’s 2013 overthrow of an Islamist president with a new national holiday. On Thursday warplanes flew over the capital, Cairo, where supporters of President Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi plan to hold rallies later in the day and in the evening, after the breaking of the Ramadan fast. The holiday, which the government refers to as the "June 30 Revolution" and which it announced earlier this week, will be also marked with musical performances and free entry to museums. In the ancient city of Luxor, balloons carrying Egyptian flags flew over pharaonic temples and authorities plan a parade along the River Nile. Sisi, then Egypt’s defense minister, led the ouster of his freely elected but divisive predecessor, Mohammed Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood, following mass demonstrations against his presidency.

US sailors detained by Iran spoke ‘too much’ under interrogation
Reuters, Washington Thursday, 30 June 2016/American sailors who were detained by Iran in January gave away too much information to their captors and were seized in the Gulf following a series of missteps by the crew and their superiors, the US Navy said in a report on Thursday. The report said some of the 10 crew members, detained at gunpoint Jan. 12 by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), had revealed sensitive information, such as phone and laptop passwords, to the Iranians. At the time of their capture, an international incident that rattled nerves days before the implementation of a nuclear accord between Iran and world powers, the sailors were in transit in two vessels from Kuwait to Bahrain. Iran used the detentions for propaganda purposes that kept the incident in the headlines for weeks afterward. The US Navy report blamed the incident on poor planning, leaders who did not properly consider risks, and complacency amid a lack of oversight and low morale. The report cited the instance of one crew member revealing details to the Iranian interrogators such as the top speed of his vessel and that it conducted “presence” missions. “It is clear that some, if not all, crew members provided at least some information to interrogators beyond name, rank, service number and date of birth,” the report said. Indeed, some crew members told the Iranians the capabilities of their vessels, and passwords to their personal phones and laptops, the report said.
Problems
Problems had plagued the mission from the beginning. The commander of the crews’ task force ordered the 250-nautical-mile transit, the longest the crews had attempted, on short notice, and “severely underestimated” the transit’s risks.“He lacked a questioning attitude, failed to promote a culture of safety, and disregarded appropriate backup from his staff and subordinate commands,” the report said. The report redacted names, but the Navy last week identified the commander of the boats’ task force as Captain Kyle Moses and said he had been relieved of his command. The boats’ captains and crew did not review or stick to their planned course from the moment they left port, the report said, and inadvertently went through Saudi Arabian territorial waters before entering Iranian waters off the coast of Iran’s Farsi Island in the Gulf. At one point, the crew members did not realize they were near Farsi Island because they did not zoom into their navigation system’s map. “Had any crew member zoomed into the purple dot, they would have discovered the purple dot was Farsi Island,” the report said.
Taken at gunpoint
Near the island, one of the boats suffered a faulty engine, and the two crafts were approached by two IRGC boats, which pointed their weapons. They were soon after joined by two other IRGC boats. The boat captains did not direct their gunners to put on protective gear or to man the weapons on the boat. Under the standard rules of engagement, U.S. military personnel are obligated to defend their units. However, in the hopes of de-escalating the situation, the captains directed their gunners to step away from their weapons. “I didn’t want to start a war with Iran,” one of the boat captains told investigators. “My thought at the end of the day was that no one had to die for a misunderstanding.” The Iranians forced the sailors to remove their body armor, kneel, and place their hands behind their heads, and took video and pictures of the crew doing so. At Farsi Island, they interrogated and detained the sailors overnight before releasing them the next day.
Filmed acting happy
The sailors also acquiesced to Iranian demands that they eat and act happy while being filmed in order to be released, and one captain read an apology prepared by the Iranians. Unbeknownst to them, the US government had already negotiated their unconditional release. In addition to Moses, in May, the U.S. Navy fired Eric Rasch, commander of the squadron that included the sailors. The report said administrative action had been taken with regard to two personnel, and recommended action be taken regarding six others.
The report also faulted the IRGC for violating international norms. The Iranians replaced an American flag on board with an IRGC one, ransacked the vessels, and damaged equipment, the report said. The militaries of the United States and Iran keep a close eye on each other in Gulf waters, with the US naval presence there meant to reassure Gulf allies of its commitment to their security. For Iran, which sees itself as resisting US interests throughout the Middle East, the detention was a public relations coup. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei awarded medals to IRGC commanders, and Iranian media broadcast videos of the detainees. “This event was an act of God, it happened at a good time, and you acted admirably,” Khamenei told the Iranian sailors in January.

UN hands road map to Yemen’s warring sides

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Thursday, 30 June 2016/UN envoy to Yemen said on Thursday that he offered Yemen’s warring sides a “road map” that includes a unity government and details a comprehensive political dialogue to end conflict in the southern Arabian Peninsula country. Ismail Ould Cheikh Ahmed also the next two weeks will be “dedicated” to support consultation with the warring sides and their leaderships. The diplomat made his statement following what he described as a two-week break in peace talks the day before. He said the delegations would return to Kuwait on July 15 to “embark on a new phase” in the talks. The UN-backed talks between Iran-backed Shiite Houthi rebels, who have seized control of large parts of the country, and President Abedrabbu Mansour Hadi’s government began in Kuwait on April 21. Ould Cheikh Ahmed said Kuwait talks have tackled most of the contentious issues, indicating that “there is a big improvement” in delivering humanitarian aid to Yemen. The envoy has urged both sides to make concessions to end the conflict, which has cost more than 6,400 lives since March 2015 and displaced 2.8 million people. He also said the warring sides have agreed to transfer the pacification committee to Dhahran city, south of Saudi Arabia. UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon on Sunday met the two delegations in Kuwait and urged them to accept the roadmap. Despite a Saudi-led military intervention launched last year in support of Hadi’s government, the militias and their allies remain in control of many key areas territory, including the capital Sanaa. (With AFP)

A president Trump would ‘complicate’ US-Europe ties: Hollande
AFP, Paris Thursday, 30 June 2016/If US Republican candidate Donald Trump is elected president it would be a dangerous result and “complicate” relations between Europe and the United States, French President Francois Hollande has warned. “Those who say that Donald Trump could not possibly become the next president of the United States are the same ones who thought that Brexit would never be voted in,” Hollande said, referring to last week’s British referendum which backed withdrawal from the European Union. Trump was running on the kind of slogans peddled by the extreme right in France and elsewhere in Europe; fear of the wave of migration, stigmatization of Islam, questioning representative democracy, denouncing elites, the French leader said in an interview to be published Thursday in the French financial daily Les Echos. When asked whether a Trump presidency would be a dangerous thing he answered “yes”. Trump’s presence in the White House “would complicate relations between Europe and the United States,” Hollande added. A new opinion poll in the US showed that the race for the White House is too close to call. Respondents to the latest Quinnipiac University national poll put Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton ahead of Trump by just 42 percent to 40 percent, a narrowing from Clinton’s four-point margin in the organization’s June 1 survey. Trump, the New York celebrity tycoon, has caused alarm in Europe with his abrasive style and pledges to deport millions of undocumented immigrants and build a wall on the border with Mexico. His proposal to ban Muslims from entering the United States drew the ire of Britain’s Prime Minister David Cameron, who called the idea “stupid, divisive and wrong”. Trump has criticized the continent’s leaders as “weak” and accused them of taking inadequate measures to combat terrorism following the Islamist attacks on Brussels in March. Last month French Prime Minister Manuel Valls accused the presumptive US Republican presidential nominee Trump of being a “bad man”.

Senate panel grants more visas for Afghans who supported US
The Associated Press, Washington Thursday, 30 June 2016/A Senate panel decided Wednesday to provide an additional 4,000 visas to allow Afghans who sided with the American-led coalition and are at risk of being killed or injured by the Taliban to resettle in the United States. The Appropriations Committee voted unanimously, 30 to 0, to approve a foreign operations spending bill that includes a provision granting the extra visas and extending the so-called special immigrant visa program for another year. The Afghan civilians worked for the coalition as interpreters, firefighters and construction laborers. But the militants considered them traitors. The top American commander in Afghanistan, Army Gen. John Nicholson, urged Congress to extend the special immigrant visa program so they and their families could escape what he called “grave consequences.”Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H., pushed for the program to be continued, telling her colleagues that many Americans who served in Afghanistan are alive today because of the support they received from Afghans willing to put themselves in danger. “If Congress fails to extend this program, this could be a death sentence for many Afghans who have stood shoulder-to-shoulder with our military and diplomats,” Shaheen said.Shaheen and Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the Republican chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, had sought earlier this month to extend and expand the visa program by adding an amendment to the annual defense policy bill. But a procedural dispute prevented most amendments from being debated and included in the legislation. Senate backers of the visa program still face objections from skeptical lawmakers in the GOP-led House. In the House’s version of the defense bill, lawmakers refused to provide the 4,000 additional visas. They did extend the program for a year, but restricted eligibility for visas only to Afghans whose jobs took them outside the confines of a military base or secured facility. Congress has added 7,000 visas to the program over the last two years alone to meet the demand and the Obama administration requested 4,000 more for the fiscal year that begins Oct. 1. Since December 2014, the State Department has issued more than 3,000 special immigrant visas to Afghans who worked for the coalition. Thousands more visas are being processed through a pipeline that can take 270 days from start to finish. Shaheen said the supply of visas could expire by end of the year unless more were approved. The Congressional Budget Office has estimated the additional 4,000 visas would cost $446 million over the next 10 years. Afghans who resettle in the US become lawful permanent residents and are entitled to federally supported benefits such as Medicaid, subsidies for health care and food stamps. The cost has worried fiscal conservatives, who said it is not clear more visas are needed when so many haven’t been used. The program’s critics also said allowing so many Afghans to exit the country will drain Afghanistan of much needed talent. Shaheen, a member of the Armed Services Committee, called objections over the cost a “red herring.” The expenses are offset by cost-saving measures found elsewhere in the Defense Department budget, she said.

CIA paid Romania ‘millions of dollars’ to host secret prisons
The Associated Press, Bucharest Thursday, 30 June 2016/The CIA paid Romania “millions of dollars” to host secret prisons, a rights lawyer said Wednesday as the European Court of Human Rights heard accusations that Romania allowed the agency to torture terrorism suspects in a secret renditions program under President George W. Bush. Amrit Singh told the court on the opening day of the case that CIA prisons were in Romania from 2003-2005 with the government’s “acquiescence and connivance,” something authorities have denied. Romanian government representative Catrinel Brumar countered that it takes more than “hints and speculation to establish the state’s responsibilities.” She said an investigation was ongoing. The court said it would rule in a few months on whether Romania knowingly allowed CIA secret prisons where torture occurred, and whether it failed to prevent the torture of Singh's client. The alleged presence of CIA secret prisons remains a sensitive subject in Romania, a strong US ally which at the time was seeking support from Washington to join NATO, something it did in 2004. Singh told The Associated Press by telephone that Romania was "obfuscating and in denial" in its arguments. Singh said her client, Saudi Arabian national Abd al-Rahim Al Nashiri, was shackled, sleep-deprived, subjected to loud noise and bright lights, slapped and given forced rectal feeding at a Bucharest CIA prison in 2004. He is currently in US custody at Guantanamo Bay. She noted that his alleged mistreatment had not yielded useful information. The US Senate Intelligence Committee report on CIA torture was completed in 2014. It detailed the torture of prisoners and how government oversight was prevented. The report did not directly mention Romania. Amnesty International called Wednesday’s hearing a “milestone in accountability.”

Sisi: ‘Nothing to hide’ on islands transfer to Saudi

The Associated Press, Cairo Thursday, 30 June 2016/Egypt’s President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi has defended the transfer of two Red Sea islands to Saudi Arabia, which sparked the largest protests of his presidency and was declared unconstitutional last week. He said on Wednesday that “the state will present all documents and evidence,” adding “we have to nothing to hide.” The transfer, announced during an April visit by Saudi Arabia’s King Salman bin Abduaziz, alongside billions of dollars in Saudi aid, ignited street protests, with critics accusing the government of selling off sovereign territory. Last week a court struck down the transfer in a rare public rebuke of el-Sisi’s government. The government is appealing the ruling. It says the islands of Tiran and Sanafir were always Saudi, but were placed under Egyptian protection in 1950. Sisi had previously refused to discuss the matter. In April this year, Saudi Arabia and Egypt signed agreements to specify maritime borders, allowing both countries to benefit from maritime zones that were previously untapped. The agreement was signed during Saudi Arabia’s King Salman visit to Egypt during which several investment projects were announced. The technical drawing of the border include the Tiran and Sanafir islands as part of Saudi Arabia’s territory, the statement said. In 1950, Saudi Arabia’s founder King Abdulaziz Al Saud had requested Egypt to protect those islands which has been the case since then. Drawing up the maritime border for both countries had been in progress for over six years. “This enables both countries to benefit from the exclusive economic zone for each, with whatever resources and treasures they contain,” a statement said. Watch: Warm welcome for King Salman in Egypt

Obama confident Europe will come up with prudent post-Brexit plan
Reuters, Washington Thursday, 30 June 2016/US President Barack Obama said on Wednesday he is confident Europeans will come up with a prudent plan to move forward after Britain's vote last week to leave the European Union. “Despite some of the initial reactions, I am confident that the process can be managed in a prudent, orderly way. I expect that our friends on both sides of the Channel will develop a workable plan for how to move forward,” Obama said in a speech to the Canadian Parliament.
‘rhetoric is xenophobic, not populist’
Obama is tired of hearing Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump described as a populist. The Democratic leader, who has made no secret of his dislike for the wealthy businessman’s rhetoric, closed a news conference in Canada on Wednesday with a long riff on what makes a leader qualified for the “populist” mantra. Trump did not meet the criteria, Obama said, without mentioning the Republican by name. “Somebody ... who has never shown any regard for workers, has never fought on behalf of social justice issues or making sure that poor kids are getting a decent shot at life or have health care,” does not meet the definition, Obama said.“They don’t suddenly become a populist because they say something controversial in order to win votes. That’s not the measure of populism. That’s nativism, or xenophobia. Or worse. Or it’s just cynicism,” he said. Trump won enough grassroots support among Republicans to make him the party’s presumptive presidential nominee with a pledge to ban Muslims temporarily from entering the United States and to build a wall on the US border with Mexico, and a series of other inflammatory remarks.Obama has sharply criticized Trump for such rhetoric. He plans to campaign with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, next week. The president’s latest criticism of Trump could foreshadow Obama’s strategy to help Clinton on the campaign trail. He made a point of saying US Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Clinton’s opponent in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, genuinely deserved the title of populist.

 

EU Opens New Chapter in Turkey Accession Talks
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/June 30/16/The European Union agreed Thursday to open a new negotiating chapter with Turkey on its long-stalled bid for membership of the bloc, an EU source said. The decision was part of an EU agreement in March to speed up accession talks in return for Turkey helping to control the massive inflow of migrants, mostly fleeing Syria, which overwhelmed the bloc last year. The EU source gave no further details, with a formal statement expected shortly after a meeting between Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu and top bloc officials in Brussels. Muslim-majority Turkey formally launched its membership bid in 2005 and since then the EU has opened 15 chapters out of the 35 required to join the bloc. So far, however, only one chapter has been completed, with disagreements over Turkey's human rights record a cause for concern in many EU states and blocking progress.
The new chapter, number 33, covers finance and budget affairs. Under the March agreement, the EU also agreed to boost aid to Turkey to cope with millions of refugees on its territory and to speed up visa liberalisation.

Iraq Says IS Ripped Apart by Airstrikes as It Fled Fallujah
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/June 30/16/Iraqi commanders said Thursday that Islamic State group fighters fleeing their once emblematic bastion of Fallujah had taken a heavy toll from strikes by both Iraqi and US-led coalition aircraft. They said at least 260 vehicles were destroyed and 150 militants killed in strikes that began late Tuesday as routed jihadists attempted to leave their last positions west of the city in huge convoys. "Our heroes in the military aviation destroyed more than 200 vehicles," Yahya Rasool, the spokesman of the Joint Operations Command coordinating the fight against IS, said.
The ministry of defense released aerial footage showing dozens of vehicles being taken out.
Rasool said commandos had also seized large quantities of weapons and ammunition.
He said at least 150 IS militants were killed in the strikes, although it was not clear how the dead were counted and identified. Rasool was referring to a first series of strikes on a massive convoy of several hundred vehicles heading south of Fallujah toward the desert, apparently to areas IS still controls near the border with Syria. At least another 60 IS vehicles were destroyed later by air strikes conducted by Iraqi and US-led coalition aircraft on a convoy heading northwest of Fallujah, Anbar Operations Command chief Ismail Mahalawi told AFP. He could not provide an estimate for the number of IS fighters killed in those strikes. "This is a desperate attempt on the part of the terrorists to flee to their areas in al-Qaim near the Syrian border and Tharthar," Mahalawi said. Tharthar is a lake north of the Euphrates surrounded by desert through which IS fighter still have lines to reach Mosul, the country's second city and their last remaining major Iraqi hub. Iraqi forces have retaken full control of Fallujah, a longtime jihadist bastion just 50 kilometers (30 miles) west of Baghdad, after a vast operation that was launched in May. After tough battles to breach IS defenses in south Fallujah, elite Iraqi forces conquered the rest of the city with relative ease. They took full control of the city on Sunday after IS fighters abandoned the Jolan neighborhood without firing a shot in anger and retreated to rural areas to the west.The account of the air strikes provided by the JOC suggests IS fighters had no other choice but to attempt a suicidal convoy, which they knew would leave them exposed to air strikes. According to Rasool and other military sources, the first strikes broke up a massive initial convoy that stretched several kilometers (miles).
Foreign fighters
Some left their vehicles and hid in a spot which was subsequently struck by Iraqi aircraft, resulting in a very high death toll, he said. Fragments of the convoy were able to move on and some more vehicles were destroyed in subsequent strikes. "We achieved a great victory by killing dozens of militants and the leaders of this organization who tried to flee after their defeat," Rasool said. The JOC said that the majority of the strikes were carried out by Iraqi aircraft and that US-led coalition warplanes joined the operation later. Speaking from the scene in a video released by the defense ministry, the head of Iraq's army aviation said many of the militants killed were foreigners. "Most of them were foreign fighters who refused to surrender to our forces" during the Fallujah operation, Lieutenant General Hamed al-Maliki said. "They left corpses in the desert and took some of the wounded with them," he said. It was not immediately clear whether some IS militants were able to survive the aerial onslaught and reach their strongholds near Syria. The strikes appear to spell the end of fixed IS positions in eastern Anbar province, further shrinking the "caliphate" the group proclaimed over large parts of Iraq and Syria two years ago. After losing the provincial capital Ramadi, as well as the towns of Hit and Rutba, defeat in Fallujah means the jihadist footprint in their traditional stronghold of Anbar is limited to areas near the Syrian border. Iraqi forces are now training their sights of Mosul and pressing simultaneous operations from the south and the east of Qayyarah, a town in the Tigris valley they want to use as a launchpad for a fully-fledged offensive on IS' de facto Iraqi capital.

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 30-July 01/16

The New York Times Still Falls for Ben Rhodes' Iran Lies
Clifford Smith/PJ Media/June 30/16
Originally published under the title "Even After Ben Rhodes Came Clean, New York Times Still Reports His Iran Lies as Truth."
The New York Times really wants to continue believing that White House aide Ben Rhodes told the truth about Iran.
"I want to believe," the slogan from The X-Files, seems to also be the operating principle for the New York Times regarding its coverage of Iran. The Times continues to report on events in Iran as a series of meaningful confrontations between "moderates" and "hard-liners" that will shape Iran's behavior toward the U.S. -- even after the Times was directly told that the White House had lied about it.
Central to the Obama administration's case for the Iran nuclear deal was the narrative that the election of Hassan Rouhani and other Iranian "moderates" made the deal possible. Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategic Communications Ben Rhodes admitted, in a New York Times article no less, that such a story was "the center of the arc" of a narrative that was "largely manufactured" for the purpose of selling the deal.
On some level, the narrative worked: it fooled much of the public, the press, and well over 100 members of Congress. The New York Times certainly swallowed this narrative, hook, line, and sinker, and the Times hardly stands alone -- but the paper has indeed been the most prominent, slavishly devoted dupe.
Candidates for the Iran's presidency and parliament are pre-approved by the unelected Guardian Council. The notion of an Iranian "moderate" controlling the regime was always spurious on its face. Elections don't significantly affect major policy decisions in Iran. People who stand for "election" for president and Parliament must first be approved by an unelected body beholden to the Supreme Leader. Iran is functionally a theocratic dictatorship. And Rouhani is simply not a moderate, as Rhodes essentially admitted. Instead, he is a master deceiver.
He feigns his concern for human rights, but according to UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights Ahmed Shaheed and former opposition leaders, human rights have actually gotten worse under Rouhani. Shaheed believes that this has escaped widespread attention because of the focus on the nuclear deal.
These kinds of distractions are not new tactics for Rouhani. In his previous role as a nuclear negotiator, his goal was to split Iran's adversaries while buying time for their nuclear program to develop. He remains a tool of the worst actors in Iran.
However, and in spite of the implausibility of the narrative, not to mention Rhodes having explained his cynical manipulation to the Times itself, the Times continues to insist on the centrality of this fictional "moderates/hard-liners" dynamic in understanding Iran's behavior.
Literally the day after the Times published Rhodes' explanation of his falsehoods, the Times opened up its editorial page to excoriate not Iran, but the United States. The notion of an Iranian 'moderate' controlling the regime was always spurious on its face.Because international finance is still skittish, the Times was concerned the U.S. might infuriate the "hard-liners" because some Iranian sanctions were not lifted as part of the deal. I'm not sure what is worse: the fact that the Times continued to play up the moderate/hard-liner narrative, or that it blamed the U.S. for not doing enough to placate the hard-liners.
Another story, published six days after the Rhodes mea culpa, played up the moderate/hardliner narrative while ironically proving it false.
It seems that a woman, Minoo Khaleghi, was elected to Parliament -- but was ruled ineligible because she broke Iranian law by being photographed without her hijab, something she denies. The Times later reported on the "hardliners" more general crackdown on women who don't wear headscarves.
Assuming Ms. Khaleghi is a real moderate, her ineligibility proves again that hardliners hold all the power.
Such self-contradictory reporting has continued unabated with the re-election of Parliamentary Speaker Ali Larijani. According to the Times, Larijani's landslide victory was a "mild surprise" since "reformists" had done so well in February elections.
It never occurred to the Times that Iranian officials' actions might not match up with the "reformist" label. Even when "moderates" win in Iran, they either aren't actually moderates or are not allowed to hold power. The idea that a moderate/hardliner conflict affects how the Iranian regime behaves toward the U.S. is false. But even now, even after Rhodes' mea culpa, essentially no Iran-related story by the Times fails to follow this false narrative.
Of course, there are plenty of moderate voices and genuine would-be reformers in Iran. The Iranian people's spontaneous organization during the "green revolution" and the ongoing saga of the frequently imprisoned but irrepressible filmmaker Jafar Panahi are just two examples that demonstrate moderate, reformist sentiments exist outside of government. But the idea that a moderate/hardliner conflict affects how the current Iranian regime behaves toward the U.S. is false.
Further, the Times knows it is false based on its own reporting. However, it just keeps reporting it as fact, and even Agent Mulder didn't want to believe that badly.
**Clifford Smith is director of the Middle East Forum's Washington Project.

Turkey's Growing Influence over Islam in Austria
Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/June 30/16
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/8352/austria-islam-turkey
The Berlin-based expert on Turkey, Ralph Ghadban, warns that the Islam being preached in Turkish-controlled mosques in Europe is a "Sharia Islam with strong Turkish-nationalist overtones" that calls for a "strict separation from Western individualistic values."
In February 2016, the University of Vienna published study which found that Islamic kindergartens in the capital are dominated by "intellectual Salafists and political Islamists" who are contributing to the "theologically-motivated isolation" of Muslim pupils. The report calls into question claims by the IGGiÖ that anti-Western textbooks have been removed from Austrian schools.
Muslim students now outnumber Roman Catholic students at middle and secondary schools in Vienna, according to official statistics, which show that Muslim students are also on the verge of overtaking Catholics in Viennese elementary schools. The data confirms a massive demographic and religious shift in Austria, traditionally a Roman Catholic country.
The selection of an ethnic Turk to lead the Islamic Religious Community in Austria (Islamischen Glaubensgemeinschaft in Österreich, IGGiÖ), the primary representative of Muslims in the country, is being challenged by Muslim groups opposed to Turkey's growing influence over the practice of Islam in Austria.
Ibrahim Olgun, a 28-year-old Austrian-born Islamic theologian with ties to the Turkish state, was quietly named on June 19 to replace 62-yer-old Fuat Sanac, who stepped down after serving as IGGiÖ president for five years.
Sanac, also a Turk, was reviled by Turkish authorities for helping the Austrian government draft a new Islam Law (Islamgesetz) that aims to promote an "Islam with an Austrian character." The law, which was promulgated in February 2015, seeks to reduce outside meddling by prohibiting foreign funding for mosques, imams and Muslim organizations in Austria. It also stresses that Austrian law must take precedence over Islamic Sharia law for Muslims living in the country.
Observers worry that Olgun — a member of the Turkey-financed Turkish-Islamic Union for Cultural and Social Cooperation in Austria (ATIB), an influential group that has vowed to challenge the Islam Law at Austria's Constitutional Court — will use his new position both to undermine the Islam Law and to increase further Turkey's influence over Muslims in Austria.
At least eight Austrian Muslim groups (representing Albanian, Arab, Bosnian and Sufi Muslims) are challenging Olgun, who was selected by the IGGiÖ's Shura Council (Schurarat), a rules committee (Shura is an Arabic word for consultation) whose five members all happen to be ethnic Turks.
IGGiÖ statutes require a person to be at least 35 years old to head the group, but the Shura Council secretly annulled that stipulation last December, according to Hassan Mousa, head of the Arab Religious Community in Austria (Arabischen Kultusgemeinde in Österreich). He said that Olgun's selection was "undemocratic" and "illegal" and added that his ties to ATIB would shift IGGiÖ's balance of power further in Turkey's direction.
ATIB, an umbrella group that operates more than 60 mosques in Austria, is directly managed by the religious affairs attaché at the Turkish embassy in Vienna, and the imams of these mosques are Turkish civil servants. ATIB and its German counterpart, the Turkish-Islamic Union for Religious Affairs (DITIB), are financed by the Turkish government's Directorate for Religious Affairs, known in Turkish as Diyanet.
According to the Berlin-based expert on Turkey, Ralph Ghadban, the primary mission of ATIB and DITIB is to "install the Turkish government's official version of Islam" in Austria and Germany. He says the two groups are the "extended arms" of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who uses them to promote Turkish nationalism as an antidote to integration among the Turkish diaspora.
Ghadban warns that the Islam being preached in Turkish-controlled mosques in Europe is a "Sharia Islam with strong Turkish-nationalist overtones" that calls for a "strict separation from Western individualistic values." He also says that DITIB has been strengthening its ties to Milli Görüs (Turkish for "National Vision"), an influential Islamist movement strongly opposed to Muslim integration into European society.
Olgun, who studied Islamic theology at the University of Ankara, has vowed to represent all Muslims in Turkey:
"I myself have experienced what it is like to grow up in Austria and to question my own identity. What is religion and what is tradition? It is worthwhile to reflect on it and then do theological research. Today I feel at home as a Muslim in Austria, but I also do not forget my roots. Therefore I will build bridges."
Olgun insists that he will not be Erdogan's puppet and will not allow himself to be influenced by ATIB. Until recently, however, Olgun was ATIB's point man for "interreligious dialogue," a key method of spreading Islam in the West by portraying it as a religion of peace and tolerance.
In Austria, ATIB directly competes with the Vienna-based, Saudi-funded King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz International Centre for Interreligious and Intercultural Dialogue, which, according to critics, is a permanent "propaganda center" in central Europe from which to spread the conservative Wahhabi sect of Islam.
Olgun also was an "inspector for Islamic religious instruction" (Fachinspektor für islamischen Religionsunterricht) for the IGGiÖ in Vienna, where he worked to ensure that Muslim children are being taught a version of Islam that presumably complies with standards established by the Turkish government.
The selection of 28-year-old Ibrahim Olgun (left) as the new leader of the Islamic Religious Community in Austria has been criticized by other local Muslim leaders as "undemocratic" and "illegal." They believe Olgun will work to increase Turkey's influence over Muslims in Austria. At right, the Saudi-funded King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz International Centre for Interreligious and Intercultural Dialogue in Vienna, which critics say spreads fundamentalist Wahhabi Islam.
The IGGiÖ, which represents more than 250 Muslim associations across Austria, supplies state-funded Islamic religious education at Austrian public and private schools.
In 2014, the IGGiÖ introduced new taxpayer-funded textbooks for the formal teaching of Islam in all public elementary schools across the country. According to the IGGiÖ, the new textbooks — called "Islam Hour" (Islamstunde) — are based on "secure and recognized sources of Islam" aimed at "embedding Islam into the lives of students."
Unlike previous versions of the books, which were criticized for being "overly martial in tone" and for not being "sufficiently oriented toward European values," the new books have been developed based a "completely new didactic model for competency-based education."
In February 2016, however, the University of Vienna published study which found that Islamic kindergartens in the capital are dominated by "intellectual Salafists and political Islamists" who are contributing to the "theologically-motivated isolation" of Muslim pupils. The report calls into question claims by the IGGiÖ that anti-Western textbooks have been removed from Austrian schools: "In many of their publications the Muslim Brotherhood and Milli Görüs reject the Western way of life as an inferior worldview."
Olgun rejects the criticism levelled against him: "They say that I am too young, that I am the extended arm of the Turkish state. That is not true. I was born in Austria. I grew up here and am an Austrian citizen. I am not a Turkish civil servant."
Olgun's supporters say it is time for a "generational change" at the IGGiÖ because Austria's Muslim community is young and growing fast. The Muslim population in Austria now exceeds 500,000 (or roughly 6% of the total population), up from an estimated 150,000 (or 2%) in 1990. The Muslim population is expected to reach 800,000 (or 9.5%) by 2030, according to recent estimates.
Muslim students now outnumber Roman Catholic students at middle and secondary schools in Vienna, according to official statistics, which show that Muslim students are also on the verge of overtaking Catholics in Viennese elementary schools. The data confirms a massive demographic and religious shift in Austria, traditionally a Roman Catholic country.
*Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute. He is also Senior Fellow for European Politics at the Madrid-based Grupo de Estudios Estratégicos / Strategic Studies Group. Follow him on Facebook and on Twitter. His first book, Global Fire, will be out in 2016.
© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Extremism: Between magic and ideology
Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
The repercussions of the Saudi twins’ murder of their parents have not ended. People are still discussing it in councils and gatherings. The crime was so horrific that some have suggested magic was one of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria’s (ISIS) tricks. Such justifications, however, are very shallow. Magic has nothing to do with extremist ideology. There are ideas planted and spread everywhere. ISIS has tricks such as resorting to electronic games, where it sends messages – particularly to youths – and holds conversations with them to gather information and know about their household secrets.
Extremism is not magic, where the cure lies in removing a spell. Extremism is based on wrong thinking, and is due to weak education and supervision, and lack of discussion. Children spend around six hours, from 11pm until dawn, in their bedrooms by themselves. During this time, they can communicate with people worldwide. Extremism is not magic, where the cure lies in removing a spell. Extremism is based on wrong thinking, and is due to weak education and supervision, and lack of discussion
Solutions
The solution first lies in proper education at home, as an absent mind is a sign that the child’s head has been filled with wrong ideas. Then comes individual responsibility and ending limits between parents and children. Parents must let their children talk about everything they see and watch, about the messages they receive and the discussions they engage in. Saudi cleric Sheikh Adel al-Kalbani responded to these comments about magic, and said resorting to the latter to justify ISIS crimes is a means to escape from confronting the truth. May God protect homes and people’s minds.
This article was first published in Okaz on June 30, 2016.

Saudi Arabia, France and Gulf cooperation
Fahad Suleiman Shoqiran/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
Following Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s landmark US visit he headed to France, with which Saudi Arabia has had historic relations that are exceptional when compared to those with other European countries. France was one of the first countries to acknowledge the governance of founder King Abdulaziz bin Abdulrahman in 1926. It sent a consul to handle its affairs there in 1929, and the Al-Jazirah Pact crystallized between the two countries in 1931. After Saudi unity was achieved, France was one of the first countries to establish diplomatic ties with the kingdom, via forming the first diplomatic mission in Jeddah in 1936. Bilateral ties have remained strong, and over international and regional affairs both countries have had mutual understandings, almost to the point of complete harmony, from the era of Charles de Gaulle to the present day. Strong bilateral ties have enabled powers of moderation and an insistence on basic solutions regarding Palestine. France took it upon itself to curb the Syrian regime and its practices in Lebanon. Paris and Riyadh contributed to establishing the Special Tribunal for Lebanon to try the murderers of former Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri. France also supports the popular revolution against the Syrian regime, and supports the moderate opposition. Bilateral ties have remained strong, and over international and regional affairs both countries have had mutual understandings, almost to the point of complete harmony. Paris cares for and understands Arab and Muslim causes the most out of European countries, and encourages moderate political and ideological powers in the region. France also supports Arab think tanks to help spread knowledge. Thinker Edgar Morin says the current Arab and Muslim reality resembles the dark ages that Europe, particularly France, experienced due to civil wars between 1562 and 1598, and wars between Protestants and Catholics. The French civil war destroyed everything, but rare historical moments made the country politically mature and secular. Philosophical enlightenment followed, allowing literature and arts to flourish. However, all this came after decades of war and bloodshed.
Prince’s visit
The Saudi prince’s visit to France aims to discuss development plans. President Francois Hollande has voiced support for Saudi Vision 2030, and the two have discussed Iran’s regional meddling, which is clearly seen in Yemen and Bahrain. This in addition to the massacres that Tehran and its proxies are committing in Syria and Iraq against civilians. Iran is also obstructing the election of a Lebanese president, and gives Hezbollah weapons to use against the Lebanese people. Party leader Hassan Nasrallah acknowledged Tehran’s support a few days ago. The prince will co-chair the third meeting of the Saudi-French Joint Committee to discuss issues such as economic cooperation. Bilateral commercial trade has increased in the past decade, and last year France was reportedly the kingdom’s eighth most important trading partner. According to the General Authority for Statistics, bilateral trade amounted to 36.6 billion riyals ($9.7 billion) in 2015. Total trade between them from 2006-2015 reached 373.6 billion riyals ($99.6 billion).France supports Saudi-led alliances, such as the Arab alliance in Yemen, and the military and Islamic alliance against terrorism. Paris and Riyadh are both fighting the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) via the international coalition. France always supports Saudi operations against al-Qaeda and ISIS. The French are aware of ISIS’s threats - they remember the Bataclan massacre in Nov. 2015, and do not want a repeat. France benefits from Saudi expertise in the war on terror, as do other countries such as Britain. Prince Mohammed’s visit bolsters bilateral cooperation, activates economic work and organizes political work. It is through this visit that French-Saudi relations will be at their best. Everyone knows that the two countries largely agree on regional and global affairs. France is an exceptional and historical ally - the details of the prince’s visit are proof of that.
This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on June 28, 2016

Intervention: Syria’s most unresolved issue
Dr. Halla Diyab/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
The Middle East is littered with remnants of failed Western military interventions that at first were based on sound reason and logic, from Afghanistan and Iraq to Libya and Syria. With Russian military forces and US back-pocket arms deals to rebels, the Syrian conflict is constantly being reshaped by the changing face of modern Western intervention. Contrary to its claims, the United States is not entirely excluding a military solution to the crisis. The Syria Democratic Forces (SDF), a rebel coalition in eastern Syria, is heavily backed by Washington. Meanwhile, France does not shy away from the fact that it has deployed boots on the ground to assist in the SDF offensive, mainly in Manbij in Aleppo. So intervention in Syria is happening, but it is indirect and unconventional, with Western powers allying with local factions. Despite the enmity between these alliances, they share a common desire to annihilate extremist militants, mainly al-Nusra Front and the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Giving the SDF a democracy-orientated name legitimizes the indirect US military intervention, but by no means serves democratic reform in Syria. Rather, Washington is fostering the idea that democracy will only be achieved by military power. Instead of the West taking a step back and promoting a solution that is sustainable and not based on what seems ideal in the moment, it is pouring yet more arms into a highly militarized conflict
Militarization
Instead of the West taking a step back and promoting a solution that is sustainable and not based on what seems ideal in the moment, it is pouring yet more arms into a highly militarized conflict. The most bizarre facet of this intervention is how Western powers are competing for local allies with financial and military offers. With Russia trying to recruit US-supported rebel groups to fight al-Nusra and ISIS, Syrians’ desire for political reform and democracy is compromised. With rebel leaders weighing up the best offers, the question of their loyalty arises. One day, so-called “democratic” fighters may claim to stand with the United States, and tomorrow they could declare their support for Russia. As a result, arms are easily passed to the rebels, whose nationalistic and “democratic” relativism is not fully defined or known. Western intervention is distorting the history of the Syrian people’s popular struggle, diverting attention and diminishing it into a proxy war. The current Western intervention will not produce a free democratic state, but rather small divided territories ruled by the most ruthless and powerful. There is no magic wand to end the conflict, but the West will be forced to live with its miscalculation for decades to come.

Israel: A country at a crossroad
Yossi Mekelberg/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
For the last sixteen years the Interdisciplinary Centre Herzliya (IDC), one of the leading academic institutions in Israel, convenes what is probably the most important political-strategic conference in the country. The Herzliya Conference, named after the city which hosts this prestigious institution, became a place of pilgrimage for vigorous and rigorous debates on the most fundamental issues affecting Israeli security and prosperity. It is an opportunity for politicians, generals, academics and social activists to reflect on the past and set an agenda for the years ahead. A notable absentee was Prime Minister Netanyahu, who despite being scheduled to deliver the closing speech opted for a no show. By skipping this year’s conference he spared himself hearing some home truths about his lack of leadership and the disastrous direction in which he takes the country. Some of the boldest criticism was delivered by those who served in his government not that long ago. As always, public debates in Israel are vibrant and painfully frank. They also bring to the surface not only areas of consensus, but likewise areas of deep divisions that polarise the political system and the society. Divisions are not confined to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which is the most obvious issue that splits political opinion, or to relations with the surrounding Arab world, or even Iran. They are as much about domestic priorities in education, the economy, welfare, and role of law for instance. With very few exceptions there is general agreement that the country’s military and economic strength ensures that Israel does not face any existential threat right now or in the foreseeable future. It is the short-sightedness of this government that sees peace and ending the occupation as a price to pay for gaining acceptance in the region, instead of a win-win situation
Nevertheless, an absence of an existential threat does not equate to a lack of looming security challenges. Israeli strategists see in front of them an increasingly more complex region, in which state rivalries and conventional battlefields are almost confined to the past. It is the perils of uncertainty and unpredictability, which are disconcerting to any political and military leadership, and Israel is no exception to this rule. Military doctrines find it very difficult to thwart, for instance, terrorism carried out by individuals or by small groups with no organisation behind them, but who are instead motivated by fanatical ideology and hatred.
There is also a growing understanding that in my mind is well overdue, that the term Arab-Israeli conflict is irrelevant anymore. Most of the Arab world appears to have no interest in conflict with the Jewish state. Peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan have survived considerable tests, and the turmoil in large parts of the region has presented not only threats, but also new opportunities for closer cooperation with those who are seen as pragmatic or stability seeking states, whether in the Gulf or in North Africa.
The Arab Peace Initiative
This resulted in a newfound enthusiasm, some tactical some strategic, with the Arab Peace Initiative (API) – conceived in Riyadh and delivered by the Arab League in Beirut more than fourteen years ago. Whereas, the Netanyahu government and the prime minister himself pay no more than lip service to this initiative, others in Israel gradually internalise that this initiative provides Israel with the best opportunity to end the conflict with the Palestinians and be accepted in the region. Netanyahu and his delusional political camp hope that rapprochement between Israel and those in the Arab world, who see Israel as an asset in fighting radicalism or containing Iran, could be satisfied by statements of support for the API alone. Those who are more grounded in Middle Eastern realities, and I had heard quite a few of them over this past week, recognise that there is a need for progress on the Palestinian track to create a more conducive environment for improving relations with Israel. It is the short-sightedness of this government that sees peace and ending the occupation as a price to pay for gaining acceptance in the region, instead of a win-win situation. Not surprisingly the most critical views, in a packed and fascinating gathering, came from two figures, who served in Netanyahu’s government as Defence Ministers and intimately know how he operates. Both Ehud Barak and Moshe Ya’alon, former generals who also led the Israeli military, accused the current prime minister of endangering the product of the Zionist movement – the state of Israel.
It would be difficult to argue with their very sober and sombre verdict that Netanyahu is ruling by dividing the society, very effectively utilising fear and cronyism as his main tools for staying in power. Moreover, due to his obsession with power, he left himself hostage in the hands of the most fanatical in the Israeli political system, and wanders from one political crisis to another with no strategy or direction.
Beyond these gentlemen’s own personal ambitions, there was a real concern in their voices that the current government is destroying the very foundations of Israeli democracy through anti-democratic legislation and attacks on the High Court of Justice. Furthermore, corruption, growing inequalities, incitement and discrimination of the ‘other’, is crushing the Israeli society, and evidence is definitely on their side. Moreover, without peace with the Palestinians based on a two state solution, Israel is heading, as Barak warned, towards becoming either an apartheid state or a bi-national one, but not one that is Jewish and democratic. Not for the first time, I left Israel with mixed feelings regarding the direction the country is taking and concerned about its future. I have heard diverse and lucid expressions about the need for peace and the sacrifices that come with it, the need for engagement with the region and the need for urgent domestic reforms. However, there is a sense of resignation that the same public that expresses support of all of this, still elects those who do exactly the opposite to power. I cannot help but think that one must rely on the discipline of psychology to explain this phenomenon instead of political science. No one understands this better than the incumbent prime minister.

We must all admit, it’s the occupation
Daoud Kuttab/Al Arabiya/June 30/16
Every psychologists or substance advisor will tell you that you can’t deal with disease or an addiction or any other problem without first recognizing that there is a problem. The same applies to the decades old Middle East conflict. The conflict has long passed the stage of being focused entirely about Israel’s existence; the world recognizes Israel on the June 1967 border. The PLO in 1993 recognized Israel and exchanged letters of recognition, even President Bill Clinton was witness to the 1998 vote in the Palestinian National Council meeting in Gaza that amended the PLO charter that removed all clauses to the contrary of the PLO-Israel memorandum of Understanding, also known as the Oslo Accords. Professor Cornell West is absolutely right as he pleaded with the Democratic Party’s platform committee to be honest and truthful and call things by their names. Professor West and his colleagues lost the vote in the Hillary majority committee 5-8 and had to abstain in the vote for the entire platform due to the failure of fellow members willing to call the situation for which Palestinian are suffering under as occupation. Sure the term foreign military occupation is abhorrent to Zionist Israelis who built their ideology on the fact that Palestine was a land without a people for a people without a land. Secular Zionists are now saying that the entire mandatory Palestine was given to them by the God of the Jews. Ironically while President Abbas and before him Arafat are devout Muslims they didn’t make the religious claims that Hamas and others make that Palestine is an Islamic Endowment (waqf) that should not be compromised on. International law doesn’t even deal with the Israeli legalistic term of “disputed” territory nor is there any international legal reference to the rights of people under this invented Israeli term. The fact that it is a military occupation is hardly difficult to see. The rulers of the West Bank and the enforcers of the siege on Gaza is the coordinator of activities in the Israeli army. Even Israel, which unilaterally annexed East Jerusalem and has border patrols throughout the old city and the outlying areas of the city 24/7, doesn’t claim that the West Bank is part of the state of Israel. Palestinians, who as West said accurately, feel daily the boots of the occupiers are not citizens of Israel and the International Criminal Court has ruled that their lands across the 1967 Green line are indeed “occupied territories.”
International law doesn’t even deal with the Israeli legalistic term of “disputed” territory nor is there any international legal reference to the rights of people under this invented Israeli term. The only international reference that has been validated by international humanitarian law and the UN system is the Geneva Conventions created after World War II to specifically address the cases of long term occupations.
Security Council
In fact the United Nations Security Council speaking of these territories forcible taken in the June 1967 war declared in the preamble of resolution 242 the “inadmissibility of the acquisition of territory by war.” All international resolutions since have refer to “the Occupied Palestinian territories.”Palestinians and the world have reluctantly come around to accept the post Holocaust needs of European Jews and have come to terms with the existence of Israel. Now is the time to understand that there is another people, the Palestinians, who are also in need of a homeland on their land. Admitting the existence of occupation is naturally the first step in curing this decades-long conflict. The next move, as Cornell West and James Zogby correctly pointed in the Democratic platform discussions is the need to put a stop to the discriminatory and illegal colonial settlement enterprise. If the entire world including most Israelis and Palestinians accept that the two states for two peoples is the best possible compromise, then the idea that the prevailing military power confiscating lands and transferring its population to these occupied territories make no sense. Settlement colonies built in the West Bank (including east Jerusalem) for Jews in the occupied territories are illegal according to international law as they violate the IV Geneva convention which explicitly forbids the transfer of people from the occupying country to the occupied areas. Not only do we need to speak truth to power and fight off one issue political donors like Haim Saban, but Palestinians and Israelis must also admit that they are unable to solve the conflict on their own and that they need help. Palestinians have accepted the French Initiative and have for 16 years been promoting the Arab Peace Plan which would normalize relations between Israel with the Arab and Islamic world. Israel has rejected these peace offers and has vowed in the name of its prime minister to forever live with the sword and “will control all territory for the foreseeable future.” The efforts by the most successful American Jewish nominee, Bernie Sanders, and his delegates to put some common sense in the foreign policy planks of the Democratic Party’s platform provides a rare breath of fresh air in a US campaign that has been marred with hate, racism and xenophobia by the presumptive Republican nominee. If the Democratic leader Hillary Clinton wants to seriously tackle the conflict in the Middle East, she needs to focus on an honest appraisal and recognition of the problem at hand. Re-applying a slogan made famous by her husband, all people genuinely interested in peace in the Middle East must admit a simple truth. “It’s the occupation s----.”


U.S. Legitimizes Iranian Presence And Activity In Iraq
By: Y. Carmon and A. Savyon/MEMRI/June 30/16
June 30, 2016 MEMRI Daily Brief No.94
In June 28, 2016 remarks at the Aspen Ideas Festival in Colorado, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry was asked whether Iran's influence in Iraq was "more helpful or more harmful." He replied: "Look, we have challenges with Iran as everybody knows, and we're working on those challenges. But I can tell you that Iran in Iraq has been, in certain ways, helpful, and they clearly are focused on ISIL-Daesh, and so we have a common interest, actually."[1]
This statement grants U.S. legitimacy to Iran's military presence and activity on Iraqi soil, based on the claim that Iran and the U.S. have shared interests in the fight against the Islamic State (ISIS) and that "Iran is a helpful" element. Additionally, Kerry claims that Iran's focus in Iraq is the war against ISIS.
According to this statement, Kerry is disregarding the activity by Iran and the Shi'ite militias that it operates in Iraq against the local Sunni population, as well as reports of ethnic cleansing and targeting of non-Shi'ite civilians in the country.[2]
Likewise, in granting this legitimacy, he has set no conditions or restrictions, thereby giving a U.S. seal of approval to the Iranian regime's historic ambition to bring Iraq under its control and divide it into Shi'ite and Sunni sections.[3]
It should be noted that for the past two years, Iran has been operating militarily in Iraq by means of Shi'ite militias that it established under the command of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Qods Force commander Qassem Suleimani, and also, recently, with direct involvement of Iranian troops. A comprehensive report on this subject is forthcoming.
The Facebook page "Iran Military," which affiliated with the IRGC, posted an image of armed Iranian and Iraqi soldiers together in Iraq.
Armed Iranian and Iraqi soldiers in Iraq (Facebook.com/Iran.Military, June 27, 2016)
This legitimization by the U.S. administration also provides insight into its affinity for supporting the Shi'ite Iran against the Sunni world, which was also manifested in the far-reaching concessions made to Iran in the JCPOA. This affinity is part of President Obama's political-ideological view, which he has expressed in media interviews discussing the need to create Shi'ite-Sunni equilibrium in the region.[4] To this end, Obama even urged the Saudis to accept Iran's upgraded geopolitical status and a downgrade in the geopolitical status of the Sunni world. It should be mentioned that Shi'ite Muslims are only about 10% of the global Muslim population, and therefore the U.S. plan to strengthen Shi'ites at the expense of Sunnis is vehemently opposed in leading Sunni countries.
It should also be mentioned that this U.S. support for an Iranian presence in Iraq is interpreted as, and in actuality constitutes, support for the entire resistance axis of Iran-Syria-Hizbullah-Yemen-Iraq, and not just for Iran – thus, further increasing the Sunni world's opposition to the U.S.'s policy in the region.
*Y. Carmon is President of MEMRI; A. Savyon is Director of the MEMRI Iran Media Project.
Endnotes:
[1] State.gov/secretary/remarks/2016/06/259165.htm, June 28, 2016.
[2] Foreign Policy, February 19 and March 28, 2015.
[3] It should be mentioned that Iran is also fighting the Kurds in Northern Iraq. According to reports in the past two weeks in Iranian and Arab press, IRGC forces bombed Kurdish troops on the Iran-Iraq border. Tasnim (Iran), June 28, 2016; Orient-news.net, June 28, 2016.
[4] See MEMRI Daily Brief No. 51, Obama's Strategy Of Equilibrium, August 5, 2016.

Anti-Houthi Yemeni And Arab Media Report: Houthis Apologized To Americans For 'Death To America And Israel' Slogan

MEMRI/ June 30/16
June 30, 2016 Special Dispatch No.6498
On June 27, 2016, a Western delegation headed by U.S. Under Secretary of State Thomas Shannon, U.S. ambassador to Kuwait Douglas Silliman and British Special Envoy to Yemen Alan Duncan met with the Houthi delegation to the Yemen peace talks in Kuwait, headed by Houthi spokesman Muhammad 'Abd Al-Salam. Following the meeting, Yemeni and Arab media outlets that oppose the Houthis in Yemen published numerous reports claiming that the Houthi representatives had apologized to the Americans for the Houthis' use of the slogan "death to America, death to Israel, a curse upon the Jews and victory for Islam," claiming that they merely used it to recruit support in Yemen.
According to the reports, the Houthis asked the Western delegation to dissuade the Arab coalition from attacking and capturing Sana'a, the Houthi capital, and promised to give up their weapons and to make substantial changes on the ground as a gesture to the U.S. The reports claimed further that the Houthis had promised not to harm American interests, and some reports stated that this revealed the Houthis' grim situation in Yemen.
The London-based Qatari daily Al-Quds Al-Arabi claimed that this meeting exposed the ties between the Houthis and the Americans. It added that this was not the first meeting between the sides and that many Houthi officials have visited Washington in the recent years, more than any other Yemeni representatives.
Houthi fighters bearing a banner with the slogan "Death to America, death to Israel, a curse upon the Jews and victory for Islam" (Image:Arabi21.com, June 29, 2016)
Yemeni Journalist: The Houthis Told The Americans They Were Ready To Change Their Slogan To 'Long Live America', Asked U.S. To Dissuade Arab Coalition From Attacking Sana'a
A few hours after the meeting in Kuwait between the Western and Houthi delegations, Yemeni journalist Sam Al-Ghubari, who opposes the Houthis, posted on his Facebook page details from the meeting that he claimed to have learned from the U.S. ambassador to Kuwait, who had attended it. Al-Ghubari stated that these details reflected the Houthi's grim situation in Yemen. He quoted the U.S. ambassador as saying that "[Houthi delegation member] Hamza Al-Houthi vehemently apologized for the slogan 'death to America,' explaining that it was for local consumption [only] and that [the Houthis] were prepared to surrender all their weapons as [a sign of their] commitment to their new friends [the Americans]. [Houthi delegation member and former Hadramaut governor] Nasser Baqzaqouz, [who also attended the meeting,] occasionally intervened [in the conversation] to stress that [the Houthis] would not pose a threat to the U.S., saying 'who are we to threaten you?'"
According to the report, Houthi spokesman Muhammad 'Abd Al-Salam opened the meeting by saying that the Houthis were protecting American interests better than the Americans themselves, and apologized repeatedly for the Houthis' anti-American discourse. He emphasized that the U.S. was the only country in the world capable of stopping the moves of the Arab coalition and of persuading it to forgo liberating Sana'a and restoring the country to president Hadi.
The American ambassador, for his part, pointed out to the Houthis that they had not made any concessions in the peace talks, and had not even expressed a commitment to UNSC 2216 (demanding to end Yemen violence). Muhammad 'Abd Al-Salam replied that they had mouthed opposition to the resolution only because they feared for their military bases, and that all they wanted now was to reach an agreement and protect their supporters against retaliation after they withdrew their forces. He said: "We are prepared to make genuine concessions and work with the [Yemeni] government and with president Hadi as an unarmed civilian force, provided that our security is guaranteed..." He added that the war had taught them a great deal and had cost them much more than they had anticipated, and that they had completely changed..."
The American diplomats emphasized, according to the report, that Saudi Arabia was their historic strategic ally and the U.S. would not permit the Houthis to harm its security and would not allow the situation in Yemen to remain as it was. Rather, the Houthis had to work to end what they had begun. Muhammad 'Abd Al Salam responded that the Houthis were prepared "to heed the Americans if they persuaded the Arab coalition not to enter Sana'a and not to restore the country [to Hadi] by force. Moreover, they were prepared to change their slogan to 'long live America.'" The report claimed that the American ambassador and the other diplomats had responded to this with laughter, but the ambassador stressed that the Houthis had to make practical concessions on the ground. Muhammad 'Abd Al-Salaam and Hamza Al-Houthi asked for an extension to consult with the Houthi leadership in Sad'a."
Al-Ghubari stated further that the meeting was very cordial and that, upon emerging from it, Houthi delegation member 'Hamid 'Assim "pranced like a child" and congratulated 'Abd Al-Salam for cleverly hoodwinking the Americans, but 'Abd Al-Salam ignored him."[1]
A few hours after the publication of this report, the anti-Houthi news network Sada Aden reported, citing a diplomatic source in Kuwait, that Hamza Al-Houthi had told the American delegation: "We are your tool in the war on terror. You must support us as you supported the [Nouri] Al-Maliki government in Iraq. Our goal is one and we are confident that the U.S. will not forgo [our help]."[2]
'Al-Quds Al-Arabi': The Meeting Exposed The Close Secret Ties Between The Houthis And The U.S.
On June 29, 2016, the London-based Qatari daily Al-Quds Al-Arabi, which also opposes the Houthis, likewise reported on the meeting and on the Houthis' apology for using the slogan "Death to America, death to Israel." Citing sources "close to the meeting in Kuwait," the daily claimed that Hamza Al-Houthi had promised the Americans that, as "a gesture of friendship towards the U.S." the armed Houthi forces would withdraw from the Yemeni cities and surrender their weapons (though without specifying to whom). The daily speculated that the "amicable" meeting revealed the existence of secret understandings between the Houthis and the U.S., and that this was why the American State Department opposed designating the Houthis a terrorist organization. The daily also claimed that this was not the first meeting between the parties. In the last two years, it said, many senior Houthi officials have visited Washington, coming there much more frequently than any other senior Yemeni officials. Moreover, there were also meeting in Muscat and other capitals, attesting to "the real [character of the] relations between the Houthis and the Americans, to the point that that some view the Houthis as Iran's tool for promoting Washington's objectives to spark regional political instability".
As proof of ties between the Houthis and the U.S. the daily cited a senior Yemeni official as saying that, a few weeks before the Houthi invasion of Sana'a he had visited the home of the deputy U.S. ambassador in Sana'a. At her home he saw a banner bearing the Houthi slogan 'Death to America, death to Israel'. When he asked her about it she had smiled and said, "this hostility [between the Houthis and the U.S.] is a big joke."[3]
The London-based Saudi daily Al-Sharq Al-Awsat likewise reported on the meeting between the Houthis and the Western delegation in Kuwait, stating that the Houthis had emphasized they had never harmed American interests and would not do so in the future.[4]
Endnotes:
[1] Facebook.com/samgh4u, June 28, 2016.
[2] Sadaaden.me, June 28, 2016.
[3] Al-Quds Al-Arabi, June 29, 2016.
[4] Al-Sharq Al-Awsat (London), June 29, 2016.


Erdogan’s climb-down/Turkey’s moves could mean an important shift in Syria
Michael Young/Now Lebanon/June 30/16
The attack against Istanbul’s airport earlier this week overshadowed a significant move by the Turkish government that highlighted the failure of its Syria policy: President Recep Tayyip Erdogan apologized to Russia for the death of a Russian pilot whose aircraft was shot down last November by Turkey.
This came as Turkey also mended ties with Israel, another step back from Erdogan’s pro-Arab posturing several years ago. This may lead to lucrative gas deals, allowing Israel to send gas to Europe via a pipeline to Turkey, once it is built. In other words the reconciliation is hardly a timorous, temporary step.
However, it was Erdogan’s efforts to patch up his relationship with Russia, Bashar al-Assad’s main backer, and to refer to the country as a “friend and strategic partner,” that represented a climb-down of major proportions. It effectively underlined that the regional coalition against Assad has disintegrated.
That’s not to say that Turkey has abandoned those fighting the Syrian regime, but rather that other priorities have now taken over in a country that has been almost entirely focused on Syria in recent years. The Turks now must turn to other pressing issues, above all the Kurdish question, but also the difficult economic situation that the rift with Russia exacerbated, and that the reopening of contacts with Israel may help allay.
Nor is Erdogan alone. The second pillar of the anti-Assad coalition, Saudi Arabia, has similarly drifted away from Syria. Prince Mohammad bin Salman is seeking to reorient the Saudi economy away from dependency on oil, and has cut spending across the board. Consequently, Riyadh’s attention to Syria has dwindled, a trend only reinforced by the stalemate in Yemen.
To many Arab countries the situation in Syria has reached a point where the prevailing interest is bringing the conflict to an end, not scoring strategic points. This mood was already visible when Egypt and Jordan soured on the conflict, shifting their attitudes toward the anti-Assad opposition. By the start of this year the Arab coalition against Assad existed only in name.
Assad and his backers can take pleasure in the fact that their destructive policies during the past five years have virtually ensured that the Syrian regime will remain in place. All those who aligned against him, whether inside the region or outside, have more or less given up the fight, even if the result is chaos.
That hardly means that the war in Syria is over, but it has reached a state of pointlessness. Assad’s future is no longer on the table, as the breakdown in the Geneva negotiations has made clear. The ISIS challenge has spawned new dynamics, leading the United States to back Kurdish forces in Syria whose successes threaten Turkey. Russian intervention, though utterly barbaric in places, has not harmed its diplomatic relations with a majority of Assad’s foes. In other words, all developments have served to reinforce the Syrian president’s position.
Assad’s only problem is that he doesn’t have the manpower to regain the territory that his regime lost. Everywhere his army is struggling, and the willingness of his Iranian-backed Shiite allies to go all the way on his behalf is not guaranteed. For instance, despite Hassan Nasrallah’s statements last week to the contrary, unconfirmed reports indicate that Hezbollah has told the Syrian regime that it refuses to spearhead the recapture of Aleppo, fearing it would lose too many men in the battle.
The silver lining in this story of bloody deadlock is that it may facilitate a solution in Syria. However, that is not likely soon since Assad’s enemies, even if they have been weakened, are not about to give up on their demands that he leave office. There are tens of thousands of armed men, probably more, in Syria who will not suddenly cease fighting the regime and go home. No one can win the war, but no side will admit it cannot.
But with Erdogan’s apology to Russia wider spaces have been created for diplomacy. The Saudis, trapped in Yemen, have an incentive to participate in a new round of talks over Syria. The challenge is to persuade them to do so with Iran in attendance, and to find a way to de-escalate the toxic Saudi-Iranian rivalry.
It’s improbable that Geneva will be formally abandoned as a framework for discussion, which is why such talks should be conducted quietly to work out an amended arrangement. Assad may be poison, but to many countries Geneva could be turning into an obstacle to an agreement. A more ambiguous framework, where Assad’s fate is left vague, may be preferable.
As Syria’s most powerful neighbor, Turkey was always the linchpin of the anti-Assad coalition. Erdogan has effectively retreated on Syria, and the Istanbul airport attack will have only persuaded him he is right in doing so. The war in Syria will continue, but with Turkey possibly neutralized, the template of the war for the past five years has been decisively changed.
***Michael Young is a writer and editor in Beirut. He tweets @BeirutCalling.

Turkey's Istanbul Attack Vengeance Will Be Like 'Rain From Hell'
Soner Cagaptay/he Washington Institute/CNN/June 30/16
ISIS may be trying to sow domestic suspicion by not claiming responsibility for the airport attack, but the incident could still spur Turkey into full-scale war against the group.
The suicide bombing at Turkey's Ataturk Airport is a symbolic attack at the heart of Istanbul. If ISIS is indeed behind this attack, as the U.S. and Turkey say, this would be a declaration of war. Turkey's vengeance will come down like rain from hell. Thus far, Turkey has avoided engaging ISIS in full war, instead prioritizing its battle against Syria's Assad regime as well as blocking advances by the Syrian Kurds. For Turkey, fighting ISIS as a first order battle could now be unavoidable.
SYMBOLIC TARGET
In the past, ISIS has carried out attacks in Turkey, but this attack eclipses those in scale. Previously ISIS has targeted tourists; this time they're going for the heart of Turkey, and in a brazen attack that has claimed many more lives than previous ISIS attacks.
Istanbul's Ataturk Airport is the main entry point for the majority of the more than 30 million people who visit Turkey every year. It's also the hub of Turkish Airlines, the country's only known international brand and the gateway to doing business in Istanbul. This attack is going to hurt Turkey's tourism economy and the business community by seriously challenging the idea that Turkey is a safe place to visit and do business.
WHY IS ISIS TARGETING TURKEY?
If ISIS is the anomaly in Islam, Turkey is the norm in Islam. Turkey has a secular constitution. It's a democratic society where you have gender equality between men and women. It's a member of NATO and is in accession talks with the European Union. It's a friend of the West and the United States and only yesterday agreed to restore diplomatic ties with Israel.
The question was not if, but when ISIS would carry out an attack like this. For a while now, Turkey-backed rebels have been attacking the Islamic State inside Syria, together with U.S.-backed Kurds, so the attack could also be seen as retaliation by ISIS.
BUILD UP TO WAR
For a very long time, the relationship between ISIS and Turkey looked like a Cold War, with both sides avoiding fighting each other. For instance, when ISIS surrounded the Turkish exclave in Syria in 2014, it did not run that over. And similarly, Turkey avoided joining the U.S. to fight ISIS.
Then, the relationship evolved into what looked like limited warfare as Turkey came on board in 2015 to help the U.S. combat ISIS. At that time, ISIS carried out a number of small attacks in Istanbul's old city, killing mostly foreigners. If ISIS is indeed behind the attack today, this would represent a significant escalation towards Turkey.
TURKISH RETALIATION
Turkey will continue to crack down on ISIS, as well as increase cooperation with the U.S. and Western intelligence agencies against the group. ISIS, though, will continue to play its nefarious game of creating an environment of fog and suspicion through attacks, this time in Turkey. The group, which did not take responsibility for past attacks in Turkey, will likely also not assume responsibility for the Istanbul airport attack.
This is because ISIS wants to create an environment of suspicion in Turkish politics. Al Qaeda in Iraq, the mothership jihadi organization from which ISIS was spawned, carried out a number of suicide attacks in Iraq after 2005, and yet the group claimed responsibility for none of these attacks. This led to an environment of suspicion in which the Sunnis and Shiites in Iraq blamed each other for the attacks, starting retribution-style attacks. Subsequently, Iraq descended into civil war.
By not taking responsibility for its attacks in Turkey, ISIS wants to do the same, triggering societal fault lines, this time between supporters and opponents of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, leftists and rightists, Turks and Kurds, seculars and conservatives. Turks of all political persuasions and backgrounds ought to learn from Iraq and unite in the face of the ISIS threat. At the same time, the Turkish government needs to use its full force to combat the ISIS threat to prevent Turkey's potential catastrophic descent into chaos as a result of ISIS attacks.
**Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.

Obama Doesn't Understand Jihadist Doctrine
Mark Durie/The Washington Examiner/June 30/16
In his June 14 address to the nation, President Obama attributed Omar Mateen's attack on patrons of Orlando, Fla.'s, Pulse nightclub to "homegrown extremism," saying "we currently do not have any information to indicate that a foreign terrorist group directed the attack."
While Obama acknowledged that the Islamic State has called for attacks around the world against "innocent civilians," he suggested these calls were incidental, emphasizing that Mateen was a "lone actor" and "an angry, disturbed, unstable young man" susceptible to being radicalized "over the Internet."
It is a terrible thing to misunderstand one's enemy so deeply. The doctrine of jihad invoked by terrorist groups is an institution with a long history, grounded in legal precedent going back to the time of Muhammad.
Militants who invoke the doctrine of jihad follow principles influenced by Islamic law. The point to be grasped is that the doctrinal basis of jihad generates conditions that can incite "bottom-up" terrorism, which does not need to be directed by jihadi organizations.
The doctrinal basis of jihad generates conditions that can incite bottom-up terrorism.
When the Ottoman Caliphate entered World War I in 1914, it issued an official fatwa calling upon Muslims everywhere to rise up and fight the "infidels." In 1915, a more detailed ruling was issued, entitled "A Universal Proclamation to All the People of Islam."
This second fatwa gave advice on the methods of jihad, distinguishing three modes of warfare: "jihad by bands," which we would today call guerrilla warfare; "jihad by campaigns," which refers to warfare using armies; and "individual jihad."
The fatwa cited approvingly as an example of individual jihad the 1910 assassination of Boutros Ghaly, a Christian prime minister of Egypt (and grandfather of former U.N. Secretary General Boutros Boutros-Ghaly), at the hands of Ibrahim Nassif al-Wardani, a Muslim graduate in pharmacology who had been educated in Lausanne, Paris, and London.
A mass-produced leaflet with the Ottoman fatwa.
This Ottoman fatwa cited precedents from the life of Muhammad for each of the three modes of warfare. To support individual jihad, it referenced three instances when companions of Muhammad conducted assassinations of non-Muslims. Two of these involved attacks on Jews that were personally instigated by Muhammad.
When the Islamic State issued a call for Muslims around the world to rise up and kill their neighbors, it was invoking the individual mode of jihad. This mode relies upon the teaching that when Muslim lands are attacked or occupied by infidel armies, jihad becomes farḍ al-'ayn, an "individual obligation," which a Muslim can act upon without needing to come under anyone else's command.
This principle of individual obligation has been much emphasized by jihadi clerics. Abdullah Azzam wrote in his influential tract Join the Caravan, "There is agreement ... that when the enemy enters an Islamic land or a land that was once part of the Islamic lands, it is obligatory ... to go forth to face the enemy."
It was undoubtedly in response to this dogma that Omar Mateen went forth to kill Americans. In line with this, Mateen reported to his victims that his attack was in retaliation for Americans bombing Afghanistan. By this understanding, it was America's military action against a Muslim country — the country of origin of Mateen's family — that justified an act of individual jihad.
Preventing future "lone wolf" attacks requires the disruption of the Islamic doctrine that underpins these acts and legitimizes them in the eyes of many Muslims. Teachers and preachers in Islamic institutions across America must openly reject the dogma of farḍ al-'ayn in relation to U.S. military action.
They need to teach their congregants that this doctrine does not apply, that anyone who uses it to attempt to legitimize his or her personal jihad is acting against God's laws and that no martyr's paradise awaits them.
At the same time, U.S. homeland security agencies need to closely watch and monitor any Muslim teacher who promotes this doctrine, which, once it is taken on board and applied against a nation, will lead to acts of jihadi terrorism as surely as night follows day.
During his June 14 speech, Obama defended his refusal to use the phrase "radical Islam" in connection with terrorism, asking, "What exactly would using this label accomplish?"
The answer is simple. It will be difficult to elicit the cooperation of Muslim religious leaders in discrediting the Islamic doctrine at the heart of America's homegrown terrorism epidemic when President Obama himself is reluctant to acknowledge that doctrine matters — they can simply point to him and decline.
*Mark Durie is the pastor of an Anglican church, a Shillman-Ginsburg Fellow at the Middle East Forum, and Founder of the Institute for Spiritual Awareness.

How Merkel and Middle Eastern Migration Ensured Britain's EU Exit
Michel Gurfinkiel/PJ Media/June30/16
Originally published under the title "The Road to Brexit: How Merkel Thwarted Cameron's Smart Gamble."
Polls show mass migration was the number one concern of voters in the Brexit referendum.
There were many signposts on the road to Brexit. As early as 2001, the Swiss rejected access to the EU by an overwhelming 72.5%. Four years later, in 2005, both the French and the Dutch rejected a European constitutional treaty project in separate referendums. Polls indicated that similar referendums would have turned the same way in other places.
In recent years, anti-EU defiance increased. Radical anti-EU parties and more moderate Eurosceptic parties won higher and higher returns in most countries, either in national or European ballots. In some countries -- Hungary, Poland, Greece -- they simply won the election and took over the cabinet. In others -- Austria -- they almost won.
Brexit is thus not so much a revolution in European affairs as the culmination of a long and steady process.
United Europe had been popular among Europeans, and every European nation was willing to join it -- as long as it delivered prosperity, democracy, stability. Global security.
This was true of the six founding nations in the 1950s and 1960s, of Britain, Ireland, Scandinavia and the former Mediterranean dictatorships in the 1970s, and of the former Communist countries of Eastern Europe in the 1990s.
Things changed by the mid-1990s, however, when what had been known hitherto as the European Community was changed into the much tighter European Union. It soon became apparent, whatever the political class would say, that the more centralized the Union became, the less it could actually deliver.
Instead of the ever-increasing prosperity they had taken for granted for a half-century, many Europeans had to face zero growth, bankruptcy, and long-term austerity programs. Instead of more democracy -- free expression, the rule of elected and responsible governments -- they were getting more political correctness and more bureaucracy.
Instead of more global security, a new pervading sense of powerlessness in front of Russian imperialism and jihadist terror. Instead of more stability, more social disruption -- especially in such essential areas as family and national identity.
The EU leadership was aware that things had gone sour and that disaffection was accumulating, but it was not mentally equipped to draw the proper consequences and find solutions.
David Cameron, the conservative Eurosceptic PM of Britain, was an exception in this regard: he had a plan, and a rather brilliant one at that. He was convinced he could have it both ways by organizing a British referendum on Europe -- thus allowing the anti-EU tide to rise very high – but to win it, even by a thin edge. He would then have appeared as the savior of Europe, and be in a position to ask for a global reshaping and loosening of the European treaties.
Maybe such a calculation was sound enough in 2013, when Cameron promised to hold a referendum on the British EU membership. There was, however, a dramatic acceleration in the European and British anti-EU public opinion over the past three years. So much so that while Cameron may have been banking on 52% to 48% returns against Brexit, he got just the opposite.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel brought some 800,000 migrants almost overnight into her own 80-million-person country.
Several developments contributed to the pro-Brexit shift. The EU political leadership's failure to address the global Middle Eastern and North African issues -- from the rise of ISIS to the return of Russia, and from the involvement of European Muslims in jihadist massacres in Europe to the migrant crisis -- and German Chancellor Angela Merkel's role in those issues were probably decisive.
Above all, Merkel's sudden and unilateral embrace one year ago of the Middle Eastern and North African migrants and refugees changed everything. She called for the immediate admission of hundreds of thousands, even millions, to the EU on a proportional per country basis. Indeed, she brought some 800,000 migrants almost overnight into her own 80-million-person country. This move brought a wide range of intractable difficulties, including with sexual ethics and women's rights issues.
Most other European countries acquiesced to Merkel's call -- but in fact downsized their own admission quotas to much smaller numbers. Hungary, Slovenia, and Poland flatly rejected Merkel's guidelines.
Many Brits concluded that Eurofederalism led to reckless decisions concerning mass immigration.
Merkel's then made a no-less-sudden and unilateral rapprochement with Turkey once it was clear that more migrants were planning to settle in the EU. She traded a promise by Ankara to tighten its borders with European countries against a promise to resume decades-old talks for Turkey's access to the Union. In the meantime, she proposed letting all Turkish citizens into the EU as visitors -- even without a visa. There are exactly as many Turks today as Germans: 80 million.
The British -- who in spite of an outwardly tolerant view of multiculturalism, have more restrictive immigration laws than most other EU nations, and who never endorsed the Schengen accords about free movement in the EU -- were deeply puzzled. Many of those who had wavered until then between Euroscepticism and Eurofederalism concluded that Eurofederalism was leading to reckless, ill-conceived, and unstoppable decisions in such essential fields as mass immigration.
The mess had to be checked, or at least Britain should be kept out of it. Brexit might have looked in the past a bit quixotic, and the European option might have been seen as safer. Thanks to Merkel, the proposition was now reversed.
*Michel Gurfinkiel, a Shillman-Ginsburg Fellow at the Middle East Forum, is the founder and president of the Jean-Jacques Rousseau Institute, a conservative think tank in France.