LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

November 04/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletin16/english.november04.16.htm

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
John came to you in the way of righteousness and you did not believe him, but the tax-collectors and the prostitutes believed him;
and even after you saw it, you did not change your minds and believe him".

Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 21/28-32/:"‘What do you think? A man had two sons; he went to the first and said, "Son, go and work in the vineyard today." He answered, "I will not"; but later he changed his mind and went. The father went to the second and said the same; and he answered, "I go, sir"; but he did not go. Which of the two did the will of his father?’ They said, ‘The first.’ Jesus said to them, ‘Truly I tell you, the tax-collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you. For John came to you in the way of righteousness and you did not believe him, but the tax-collectors and the prostitutes believed him; and even after you saw it, you did not change your minds and believe him".

"If I speak in the tongues of mortals and of angels, but do not have love, I am a noisy gong or a clanging cymbal
First Letter to the Corinthians 13/01-13/:"If I speak in the tongues of mortals and of angels, but do not have love, I am a noisy gong or a clanging cymbal. And if I have prophetic powers, and understand all mysteries and all knowledge, and if I have all faith, so as to remove mountains, but do not have love, I am nothing. If I give away all my possessions, and if I hand over my body so that I may boast, but do not have love, I gain nothing. Love is patient; love is kind; love is not envious or boastful or arrogant or rude. It does not insist on its own way; it is not irritable or resentful; it does not rejoice in wrongdoing, but rejoices in the truth. It bears all things, believes all things, hopes all things, endures all things. Love never ends. But as for prophecies, they will come to an end; as for tongues, they will cease; as for knowledge, it will come to an end. For we know only in part, and we prophesy only in part; but when the complete comes, the partial will come to an end. When I was a child, I spoke like a child, I thought like a child, I reasoned like a child; when I became an adult, I put an end to childish ways. For now we see in a mirror, dimly, but then we will see face to face. Now I know only in part; then I will know fully, even as I have been fully known. And now faith, hope, and love abide, these three; and the greatest of these is love."
 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 03-04/16
Lebanon's New Leader: What Gen. Michel Aoun Means for the Middle East/Jaime Loizzo/The National Interest/November 03/2016
Lebanon after the elections, between dependency and independence/Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/November 03/16
Lebanon under General Michel Aoun – A Profile and a Preliminary Assessment/Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah/Jerusalem Centre For Public Affairs/November 031/16
Gaza: Christians continue to be forced to convert to Islam/Raymond Ibrahim/November 03/16
Justin Welby, Archbishop of Canterbury: Christianity Is Threatened As Never Before In Middle East/Ruth Gledhill/Christian Today/November 03/16
Toronto: Muslim police chaplain says wife who refuses sex to husband has committed “major sin”/Jihad Watch/November 03/16
Toronto Police chaplain speaks out after online comments on women’s ‘obedience’ draw concern”/Natalie Nanowski, CBC News, November 03/16
Documented: Obama's "Traditional Muslim Bias" against Christians/Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/November 03/16
Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Plans/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/November 03/16
America's "Arab Spring"/ Nonie Darwish/Gatestone Institute/November 03/16
Is a Turkey-Iraq war likely/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/November 03/16
Iraq after the liberation of Mosul/Talmiz Ahmad/Al Arabiya/November 03/16
The ‘Jungle’ is closed, but the chaos of EU migration policy continues/Yossi Mekelberg/Al Arabiya/November 03/16
Western Leaders: Pressure Saudis to Give Christians Religious Rights/Hilal Khashan/The Hill/November 1, 2016


Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 03-04/16
Hariri Named Lebanon's New Prime Minister by Majority of 112 Votes
Hariri to From National Unity Government, Emphasizes Openness to all Blocs
Hizbullah Refrains from Naming Hariri for Premiership, Berri Says 'Time to Pay Back the Debt'
Hariri's Supporters Rally across Lebanon to Celebrate Nomination
UK Looks Forward to Working with Hariri on 'Economy, Security, Refugees'
Hizbullah Bloc Urges Preserving 'Army-People-Resistance Elements of Strength'
Hariri Visits ex-PMs, Says Govt. Formation to be 'Quick'
Hollande congratulates Hariri on new appointment
Rahi contacts Salam, thanks him for his wisdom and patience
Hariri's Return to Power Illustrates Ability to Cope with Shifting Political Sands
Hariri to Form Government, but Path Tough
Hariri to Central House felicitators: We hope that Aoun's era is full of hope and the government will include all political factions
Representative of Khamenei: Aoun's Election Thwarted Plan to Isolate Hizbullah
Geagea Says 'Iran, Vast Majority of Countries' Did Not Want Aoun for President
Aoun Mulling Participation in Climate Change Conference in Morocco Next Week
Jumblatt discusses developments with Russian Ambassador
Lebanon's New Leader: What Gen. Michel Aoun Means for the Middle East
Lebanon after the elections, between dependency and independence
Saad Hariri named Lebanon’s new prime minister
Lebanon under General Michel Aoun – A Profile and a Preliminary Assessment
Lebanese Presidential Elections/Position Statement by the Lebanese Information Center

 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 03-04/16

Gaza: Christians continue to be forced to convert to Islam
Justin Welby, Archbishop of Canterbury: Christianity Is Threatened As Never Before In Middle East
Popular Mobilization Units cutoff vital ISIS supply route in Mosul
Baghdadi says no Mosul retreat in audio message
US talks to Turkey about role to recapture Raqqa
Aid agencies in Iraq on high alert as families flee Mosul offensive
12 Dead, 200 Hurt as Syria Rebels Renew Aleppo Attack before Russia Ceasefire
Syria's Kurds Say to 'Lead' Raqa Fight, Reject Turkish Role
Syrian suspected of belonging to terrorist group held in Germany
Iran commander says US in ‘strong decline’
Iran court acquits defendants in Saudi mission attack case
Three Saudis sentenced to jail for plotting in Iran
UN envoy to reach Sana’a for another round of talks
Palestinian tries to stab soldier in West Bank, shot dead
Turkey slams Germany, accuses it of supporting terrorism
Neither Clinton, nor Trump popular in Arab world: poll
High Court Rule UK Parliament Must Have Vote on Brexit
Over 100 Dead in New Migrant Tragedy Off Libya, 2nd Wreck Feared
 

Links From Jihad Watch Site for on November 03-04/16

Karen Armstrong, Vali Nasr hit West on Atlantic Council “Islamophobia” panel
Austria: Muslim migrant arrested after breaking into hospital to sexually assault female patient
Putin hits Europe for letting Muslim migrants get away with crimes: “A society that cannot defend its children has no future”
As global jihad advances, Obama Pentagon mulls easing rules for obese, pot smokers
UK: Muslim leader says Muslims have “right” to use Sharia law in Britain
Robert Spencer in FrontPage: Yes, ‘Jihad’ Means Warfare Against Unbelievers
Toronto: Muslim police chaplain says wife who refuses sex to husband has committed “major sin”
Met presents Islam “cleansed of imperialism, brutality, absolutism, and institutionalized inequality of non-Muslims”
Australia: Muslim bookstore owner finances jihad in Syria; his “faith drove him” to do it
Force and Fanaticism — Wahhabism in Saudi Arabia and Beyond
Gaza: Christians continue to be forced to convert to Islam
Switzerland: Police raid Islamic State-linked mosque, arrest imam who said Muslims should be killed for not praying

Links From Christian Today Site for on November 03-04/16
Justin Welby: Christianity Is Threatened As Never Before In Middle East
Iraqi Christians Want To Return Home But Need Compensation And Safety, Say Church Leaders
Syrian Pastor Tells Of Life On The Front Line In Aleppo
Muslims In Aleppo Meet Christians For The First Time - And Are Shocked By What They Discover
Catholic Church Apologises, Admits 'Grief And Pain' Caused By Forced Adoption
Six Years After Being Imprisoned And Tortured For Her Faith, Christian Girl Forgives Her Father
Rabbi Unravels Bible Code To Find Prediction That Donald Trump Will Be President
'Overwhelmingly' Targets Families With Children, Warn Church Leaders
Christians To Floodlight Churches Red For Middle East Martyrs
Calais Church Torn Down As 'Jungle' Demolished

Latest Lebanese Related News published on November 03-04/16

Hariri Named Lebanon's New Prime Minister by Majority of 112 Votes

Naharnet/November 03/16/Al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri was named as Lebanon's new prime minister on Thursday, the office of President Michel Aoun announced. “After the necessary parliamentary consultations... the president has entrusted Saad Hariri with the formation of a government,” said a statement read by the president's chief of staff Antoine Chouqair. The binding parliamentary consultations with Aoun for the designation of a new premier kicked off on Wednesday and continued until Thursday at the presidential palace in Baabda. The nomination comes days after Aoun was elected, with Hariri's surprise support, ending a vacuum of more than two years. Hariri was endorsed by 112 members of the 127-seat parliament, with only the Hizbullah movement, the Syrian Social National Party and the Lebanese Baath party -- all supporters of Syria's government -- declining to back him as prime minister. But his return was assured as part of the deal he struck to throw his support behind former general Michel Aoun, a Hizbullah ally. Hariri returns to the post of prime minister five years after his last cabinet collapsed when his longtime rival Hizbullah and its allies pulled their ministers from a unity government that had taken months to form.

 

Hariri to From National Unity Government, Emphasizes Openness to all Blocs

Naharnet/November 03/16/Newly designated Prime Minister Saad Hariri announced after his designation on Thursday that he will begin his national duty with openness to all political blocs even those that abstained from naming him, as he assured that he will form a national unity government. “President of the Republic General Michel Aoun honored me by asking me to form the government. I accepted, and would like to thank him for his confidence and the confidence of the deputies who honored me with this national assignment. I will be open to all parliamentary blocs, including those who did not name me, in accordance with our constitution and our democratic values,” said Hariri from Baabda Palace. “On this particular day, we must underscore on the extraordinary effort exerted by Prime Minister Tammam Salam, in a difficult and sensitive phase, to protect the country's unity, legitimacy, institutions, state, coexistence and civil peace in our country,” he added. “I look forward to starting the consultations to form a national unity government that overcomes political divisions,” he went on to say. “It is a new term. I have great hope -in this positive moment that ends the suffering of the country and its citizens that lasted for two and a half years of vacancy and paralysis- to form a government quickly, that will work on an electoral law that secures just representation and oversees the completion of the parliamentary elections on schedule,” the PM added. “It is a new term. I hope to form a government that keeps pace with the new term and enables us all to join efforts to address the socio-economic, economic, environmental, security and political crises suffered by the Lebanese people.” Hariri concluded as saying: “We owe it to the Lebanese to start working as soon as possible to protect our country from the flames burning around it, to reinforce its immunity in the face of terrorism, to help it deal with the difficulty of the refugees issue, to restore hope and confidence to our young men and women in a better future, and restore the confidence of the Arabs and the world in Lebanon, its message, institutions, economy and tourism and investing in it.

It is a new term, and this is my promise to the Lebanese”.Speaking to reporters at the Center House in the evening, Hariri noted that Speaker Nabih Berri is “showing cooperation” and President Michel Aoun “wants to make achievements,” calling on all parties to “give the new tenure must a chance.”“We will cooperate with everyone and we must depend on ourselves to resolve our issues because no one is concerned with our problems,” he added. Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president on Monday, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Aoun also received crucial support from Hizbullah and the Lebanese Forces. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Hizbullah Refrains from Naming Hariri for Premiership, Berri Says 'Time to Pay Back the Debt'

November 03/16/Hizbullah's Loyalty to the Resistance bloc did not name ex-PM Saad Hariri for the premiership, while head of the Development and Liberation bloc Speaker Nabih Berri said it is time to “pay back the debt” to Hariri as his bloc named him prime minister during the binding parliamentary consultations on Thursday with newly elected President General Michel Aoun. Speaking on behalf of the bloc, MP Mohammed Raad said: “We did not name anyone for the post of prime minister.” Independent MPs including Nicolas Fattoush, Robert Ghanem, Dory Chamoun, Ahmed Fatfat, Mohammed al-Safadi, Serge Tor Sarkisian, Emile Rahme said after their separate meetings with Aoun that they named al-Mustaqbal Movement chief Saad Hariri for the post. Head of the Liberals Party, Chamoun said: “It is normal that I name my friend Hariri for the post. It is my duty to put myself at the disposal of the President.”Mustaqbal MP Ahmed Fatfat who had asked to make the consultation alone away from his Mustabqal bloc, said: “I have named Hariri for the premiership, and I wish success for this era. The oath of office was excellent.”Asked about the reason that made him want to make the consultation alone, he said: “I did not want to embarrass the bloc with my previous stances.”The Development and Liberation bloc of Speaker Nabih Berri, Armenian MPs bloc and al-Jamaa al-Islamiya bloc all have named Hariri.

“It is time that we return the debt. We name Hariri for the post of premiership,” said Berri speaking on behalf of the bloc. To a question by reporters whether the bloc plans to cooperate in the future, Berri said: “If there wer no intentions to cooperate we would not have named Hariri.” The binding parliamentary consultations for the designation of a new premier kicked off on Wednesday at the presidential palace in Baabda. By the end of Wednesday's consultations, Hariri had received 86 votes out of 126 possible ones. On Monday, Aoun was elected president of the republic. His election ended a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. His chances were largely boosted by a key endorsement from Hariri in mid-October. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country.Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Hariri's Supporters Rally across Lebanon to Celebrate Nomination

Naharnet/November 03/16/Supporters of al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri took to the streets across Lebanon after his appointment as Prime Miniser-designate on Thursday, waving Lebanese flags and huge sky-blue flags bearing his portrait, as fireworks lit up the sky over the capital Beirut and several regions. Hariri's stronghold in Beirut's Tariq al-Jedideh district was witnessing huge popular rallies and supporters were carrying Lebanese flags, Mustaqbal flags and pictures of Hariri and his father, slain ex-PM Rafik Hariri. Fireworks and celebratory gunfire accompanied the celebrations as residents danced in the streets and distributed sweets to passersby. Dozens of supporters also roamed Tariq al-Jedideh's streets on motorcycles, carrying Mustaqbal flags. A central celebration was scheduled for 8:30 pm at the district's al-Dana Square. In the north, the city of Tripoli, Lebanon's second city, was witnessing motorized rallies waiving pictures of Hariri and Mustaqbal flags as celebratory fireworks was echoing across the city. Similar celebrations were also being held in the northern region of Akkar, the southern city of Sidon and the southern border town of Shebaa. Hariri's nomination and the election of Michel Aoun as president after a two-year vacuum have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. It is also something of a comeback for Hariri, a Western-backed Sunni politician who had been left in the political cold in recent years. Experts have cautioned that he may be hamstrung from the start because of ongoing divisions in the country's complex political scene. But he sounded an optimistic, if solemn, tone on Thursday after accepting his nomination. "It is a new term," Hariri told journalists at the Baabda presidential palace. He said he hoped "to form a government quickly, that will work on an electoral law that secures just representation and oversees the completion of the parliamentary elections on schedule." Hariri, 46, served as prime minister under former president Michel Sleiman between 2009 and 2011, heading a unity government that was brought down by Hizbullah and its allies. The toppling of Hariri's government sparked days of violent protests across the country. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries. Despite the uphill battle ahead, Lebanese are hoping the breakthrough in their country's lengthy political stalemate will revitalize the economy and solve problems like a trash collection crisis.

 

UK Looks Forward to Working with Hariri on 'Economy, Security, Refugees'

November 03/16/British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson on Thursday congratulated al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri on his appointment as Prime Minister-designate, hoping this will be followed by “the swift formation of a Cabinet.”“The recent political progress in Lebanon demonstrates what can be achieved by politicians working together in the Lebanese national interest. I very much hope that Lebanese leaders will continue in this spirit and seize this opportunity to strengthen state institutions, pursue much needed reforms to boost the economy, and deliver the future the Lebanese deserve,” Johnson said in a statement. He reiterated that the UK is committed to supporting “a sovereign, prosperous and secure Lebanon.” “We look forward to working with Prime Minister Hariri on a number of essential issues including strengthening the economy and security, promoting co-existence, and managing the challenge of large numbers of refugees to the benefit of all,” Britain's top diplomat said. He also lauded caretaker Prime Minister Tammam Salam for “his work to guide the country through this testing period.” Hariri's key support has contributed to the election of Free Patriotic Movement founder Michel Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post on Thursday, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Hizbullah Bloc Urges Preserving 'Army-People-Resistance Elements of Strength'

November 03/16/Hizbullah's Loyalty to Resistance parliamentary bloc called Thursday for preserving “the elements of strength represented in the army, the people and the resistance” in order to “continue the liberation of the rest of the occupied Lebanese land, protect the country and preserve its national sovereignty.”The bloc voiced its remarks in a statement issued after its weekly meeting and hours after Saad Hariri was officially tasked with forming a new government. The so-called “army-people-resistance equation” had stirred controversy during the drafting of the policy statement of Tammam Salam's government and it might spark new controversy after the formation of the new government. “The bloc renews its commitment and keenness on the unity of all Lebanese and on adhering to the resistance and its choice as well as on boosting the capabilities of the Lebanese army,” it added. As for the election of Michel Aoun as president on Monday, Loyalty to Resistance said “holding the presidential election was a major victory for Lebanon and for the will of accord among the Lebanese,” hoping it will be “the beginning of a new era in Lebanon's political history characterized by national resolve to practice real national sovereignty.”It also hoped the new presidential tenure will carry insistence on “implementing the stipulations of the Document of National Accord in a full manner and without any selectivity,” urging “real partnership among all the components of the Lebanese society within the framework of a state of law and institutions.”The bloc also called for the formation of a “unifying national unity government” as soon as possible, saying the government's priorities should be “the approval of a modern electoral law that achieves fair and comprehensive representation, boosting security and economic stability, and addressing citizens' living conditions.”Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Hariri Visits ex-PMs, Says Govt. Formation to be 'Quick'

Naharnet/November 03/16/Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri held consultations with the country's former premiers on Thursday evening in line with a long-standing Lebanese norm of visiting ex-PMs in the wake of the designation of any new premier.

Hariri held his tour only hours after he was formally tasked with forming a new government after he received a sweeping majority of 116 votes in the binding parliamentary consultations. The tour involved meetings with the ex-PMs Salim al-Hoss, Najib Miqati, Fouad Saniora and Tammam Salam.“Several challenges are awaiting us but I have confidence in President (Michel) Aoun and I'm optimistic regarding the new tenure and God willing the government will be quickly formed,” said Hariri after meeting Miqati. Miqati for his part said Hariri's “mission is tough and it is not a walk in the park.” “We talked about the need to turn the page on the past, especially the issue of those held in connection with Tripoli's clashes,” he added. And after talks with Saniora, Hariri said that “everyone must take part in the government.”"This government has clear missions regarding the elections and the state budget and we will cooperate with everyone," he added. Saniora for his part described Hariri as “the right man for this stage,” noting that “he has the will, resolve and determination to confront the challenges.” “We will stand by him and by President Aoun,” Saniora added. Speaking after talks with Salam, Hariri said: "No matter how much we talk about PM Salam, words can't do him justice." "Loyalty and honesty are two rare traits and Salam persevered and endured for the sake of Lebanon during a dangerous and crucial period in Lebanon's history," he added. Salam meanwhile said that "a new chapter has started and the country deserves a young and wise leadership such as PM-designate Hariri." "I wish him all success," he added. Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president on Monday, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Aoun also received crucial support from Hizbullah and the Lebanese Forces. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

                                                                               

Hollande congratulates Hariri on new appointment
Thu 03 Nov 2016/NNA - President of France, Francois Hollande, telephoned on Thursday PM Designate, Saad Hariri, and congratulated him on being tasked with forming a new Cabinet. Hollande wished Hariri the best of luck during his term.
 
Rahi contacts Salam, thanks him for his wisdom and patience
 Thu 03 Nov 2016/NNA - Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Rahi, contacted by phone Caretaker PM, Tammam Salam, on Thursday. Rahi thanked Salam for his "wisdom and patience during his term in office."
 

Hariri's Return to Power Illustrates Ability to Cope with Shifting Political Sands

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 03/16/Lebanon's new prime minister Saad Hariri, the son of former billionaire premier Rafik Hariri, is a vociferous critic of Hizbullah and the Syrian regime which he blames for his father's assassination. The 46-year-old was nominated Thursday to form a cabinet by his one-time political adversary, President Michel Aoun, who took office this week after receiving the surprise support of his old foe. Hariri, who has already served as prime minister once before, has a political career marked by his opposition to the powerful Shiite movement Hizbullah, which is allied with Aoun. The movement is a key backer of the government in neighboring Syria, which Hariri accuses of having planned his father's murder. He was a leading proponent of the departure of Syrian forces from Lebanon in 2005, after mass demonstrations following the assassination. Hariri, who now sports a beard along with his trademark slicked-back locks, returns to the office in a bid to restore the standing of Lebanon's Sunni community and counterbalance Hizbullah's influence. Born in Saudi Arabia, where his father made his fortune, he was running the family's Oger construction firm when Rafik Hariri was assassinated in February 2005. At his family's urging, he returned to Lebanon to enter politics, heading an anti-Syrian bloc to victory in the 2005 legislative elections.

Confrontations with Hizbullah

In August 2007, he formed the al-Mustaqbal Movement party, a majority-Sunni bloc, which came out ahead in the 2009 legislative elections, winning 33 of the parliament's 128 seats. In November that year, he became prime minister for the first time, forming a unity government with Hizbullah and its allies after marathon negotiations. But the government only lasted until January 2011, when Hizbullah and its allies pulled their ministers from the cabinet, forcing its collapse. Tensions had already nearly boiled over in May 2008, when Hizbullah fighters seized parts of Beirut after pitched battles with Mustaqbal Movement supporters. The crisis raised fears of a new conflict in the country, still scarred by its 1975-1990 civil war. Hariri was also locked in a standoff with Hizbullah over funding for the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, which is prosecuting his father's murder. The tribunal has implicated Hizbullah members in the assassination, but the group dismisses the body as a U.S.-Israeli conspiracy. Hariri's differences with Hizbullah have only deepened with the war in neighboring Syria, where the powerful Shiite group has dispatched fighters to bolster President Bashar Assad's government. Hariri by contrast has backed the uprising against Assad, and led the calls for Syria to withdraw its forces from Lebanon -- 30 years after their arrival -- in 2005. Hizbullah is backed by Iran while Hariri enjoys the support of Tehran's regional rival Saudi Arabia.

Dwindling fortune, influence?

Hariri has Saudi citizenship and has tirelessly praised the kingdom, to which he returned after the collapse of his government, citing security concerns. His wife Lama Bashir-Azm, who is of Syrian origin, and their three children have stayed in Saudi Arabia, even as Hariri began spending time in Lebanon again from 2014. In June 2016, he announced his permanent return to Lebanon, though he continues to spend periods in Saudi Arabia, where the Hariri business empire has struggled of late. Hariri's influence with the Saudi royal family also appears to have dwindled since the death of King Abdullah, and in Lebanon he has faced criticism within his Sunni constituency for his lengthy absence and failure to bolster the community. Resigned justice minister Ashraf Rifi launched a major challenge to his position as presumptive leader of Lebanon's Sunnis in June 2016, running a rival list in municipal elections in the Sunni stronghold of Tripoli. A business graduate from Georgetown University in Washington DC, Hariri was virtually unknown before his arrival on the political scene after his father's death. A polyglot, he was nonetheless mocked for his poor public speaking skills, and initially derided as a political naif. But his decision to back former rival Aoun for the presidency, ending a vacuum of more than two years, illustrated his comfort with the shifting sands of Lebanon's treacherous political landscape.

 

Hariri to Form Government, but Path Tough

Naharnet/November 03/16/Former prime minister Saad Hariri was nominated Thursday to form Lebanon's next government but the process is likely to be hampered by deep differences with Hizbullah. Hariri's nomination and the election of a president after a vacuum of more than two years have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of over a million Syrian refugees. It is also something of a comeback for Hariri, a Western-backed Sunni politician who had been left in the political cold in recent years. Experts have cautioned that Hariri may be hamstrung from the start because of ongoing divisions in the country's complex political scene. Hariri is a fierce opponent of Hizbullah, and has sharply criticized its role in bolstering Syria's government against an uprising. But he was forced to throw his support behind their candidate for the presidency, Michel Aoun, in order to secure his return to power as prime minister. In a sign that the task ahead will not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse Hariri for the prime minister's post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Analysts said Hariri, who has seen his family fortune decline along with his influence in Lebanon's Sunni community, will have little leverage in the formation of his cabinet.

"Hariri is in a tough position," said Hilal Khashan, head of the political science department at the American University in Beirut. "Given the economic straits he is experiencing and his declining popularity, he was determined to become prime minister, and will therefore be obliged to make concessions to preserve his interests," he told AFP.

Months of horsetrading

Hariri, 46, served as prime minister under former president Michel Suleiman between 2009 and 2011, heading a unity government that was brought down by Hizbullah and its allies. In his new term, he is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. Hizbullah has rejected attempts to disarm it, saying it serves as the "resistance" against Israel, with which Lebanon technically remains at war. And it has also rejected criticism of its involvement in the war in Syria, saying its forces are protecting Lebanon by fighting extremists next door. Hariri has long opposed Hizbullah, members of which have been accused by an international court of involvement in his father's 2005 assassination. He also led calls for the withdrawal of Syrian forces from Lebanon, some 30 years after their arrival, following his father's murder. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries. "Traditionally the formation of government in Lebanon takes a long time, up to 10 months sometimes," said Khashan. "Today there are differences between the various political currents on the issue of the key ministries," he added. Despite the uphill battle ahead, Lebanese are hoping the breakthrough in their country's lengthy political stalemate will revitalize the economy and solve problems like a trash collection crisis. The country is also still reeling from the effects of the arrival of more than a million Syrian refugees, who have tested the limited resources of a nation with just four million citizens. Khashan cautioned that Lebanon would remain fragile, but central bank governor Riad Salameh sounded a note of optimism at a conference in Beirut on Thursday. "The election of Michel Aoun should lead to the normal activity of the constitutional institutions, thus increasing confidence in economy," he said. "The formation of a government will help in attracting foreign aid and mitigating the cost of the Syrian presence in Lebanon, which we estimate at five percent of GDP," he added.

 

Hariri to Central House felicitators: We hope that Aoun's era is full of hope and the government will include all political factions

Thu 03 Nov 2016/NNA - Prime Minister Designate, Saad Hariri, hoped that "the era of President Michel Aoun will be an era full of promise for all the Lebanese," pointing out that "the president wants to accomplish many things during his term." Hariri told visitors and delegations to the Central House on Thursday that he planned to form a government that included all political parties. Numerous popular, economic, and union delegations as well as political figures came to the Central House to congratulate Hariri for being PM designate charged with forming a new Cabinet. In response to reporters' questions, Hariri said, "I tell the Lebanese that the term of President Michel Aoun will be, God willing, an era full of promise for all the Lebanese, and I think it's a good beginning... I say to the Lebanese do not lose hope; on the contrary, at some point we lost hope but the solutions are always in our hands. We have proven that we as Lebanese are able to devise solutions, and thankfully today we have a President in the Presidential Palace and we are done with the vacuum."Hariri sounded hopeful that all factions would cooperate and the government would form soon and elections would take place on time. "I tell the Lebanese, be optimistic and God is with us." "Situations change when brave initiatives are taken, and I am full of hopeful that all political parties, including Speaker Nabih Berri who has been cooperative, want to see the term of President Michel Aoun a successful one from the get go."Hariri addressed all supporters of Future Movement who were celebrating his designation, that Future Movement was full of sacrifices. A proof of that was when Martyr Rafik Hariri sacrificed his own life for the country. "Our political sacrifice today is but a drop in the sea of Martyr Rafik Hariri's sacrifices."The challenges were many, according to Hariri, but he believed in Aoun's intention to be an active president who could do a lot of good for the country. Addressing those opposing current developments, the PM Designate asked them to give the new era a chance. "We must be open to dialogue. Boycotting leads to division, which leads to paralysis. It was this paralysis that lead to presidential vacuum and a near economic catastrophe. The only one who saved us from that was the Central Bank Governor, Riyad Salameh." Hariri pointed out that there were many Lebanese abroad that needed to come back home to aid their country."We were able to save this country through agreement among political leaderships, even with those whom we radically disagree with, like Hezbollah and others. When it comes to Lebanon and the Lebanese, we are capable of reaching consensus and taking the country from one place to another."

 

Representative of Khamenei: Aoun's Election Thwarted Plan to Isolate Hizbullah

Agencies/Naharnet/November 03/16/The representative of the Supreme Leader to the Revolutionary Guards, Ali Saeedi, said that the United States, Saudi Arabia and Britain had intended to isolate Hizbullah but the party managed through its leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's ability to present itself to the society as a model and example for West Asia and Lebanon. Saeedi told Iran's International Tasnim News Agency that “the election of Aoun as president for Lebanon has definitely limited Saudi Arabia's influence in the country.”“The influence of foreigners mainly the United States, Saudi Arabia and Britain intended to take out Hizbullah and turn it into an isolated political movement. But Hizbullah managed through its leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's ability to present the party to the society as a model and example for West Asia and Lebanon. They used many methods, notably trying not to give the president or the candidate of Hizbullah enough votes,” said Saeedi. Noting the presidential vacuum in Lebanon, he said: “In the end they believed that they cannot settle problems without taking Hizbullah's opinion, in particular that AMAL and Hizbullah were partners in this issue. Despite the fact that Mr Saad Hariri was a privilege for them, but the main force that they were focusing on was the presidency which has been approved on behest of Hizbullah and the Resistance Front in Lebanon. The reception given to Aoun indicates that a Saudi conspiracy has failed to achieve what it had planned for.”

 

Geagea Says 'Iran, Vast Majority of Countries' Did Not Want Aoun for President

Naharnet/November 03/16/Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea on Wednesday noted that “the vast majority of countries,” including Iran, did not want Michel Aoun to become president of Lebanon. “We took a major risk and so far we have won the bet. Those who think and have doubts that the General might stab us in the back are mistaken,” Geagea reassured during an interview on MTV. “Claims that the president was 'made in Dahieh' or Iran are not correct,” Geagea said. “Had Hizbullah been serious in its support for Aoun, it would have sought his election the moment he received the LF's support. We must not forget that Hizbullah tried back then to pin the blame for obstruction on ex-PM (Saad) Hariri,” the LF leader noted. He stressed that the election of Aoun was “made in Lebanon” and that all previous presidential votes were “influenced by foreign factors.”“The vast majority of countries even Iran did not want Aoun's election as president and Aoun and Minister Bassil know this point,” he said. As for Aoun's oath of office and Hizbullah's stance on it, Geagea added: “We want a president and a premier who say that the army is the guardian of the country's sovereignty and we don't want any party to monopolize this issue.” “What I knew is that Hizbullah was not happy with the oath of office because it was patriotic, pro-independence and sovereign par excellence,” the LF leader noted. “If (Hizbullah deputy chief) Sheikh Naim Qassem considers the oath of office to be patriotic and pro-independence par excellence, then when don't we propose endorsing it as a ministerial policy statement since it enjoys everyone's support,” Geagea suggested. Aoun's remarks on the preemptive war on terror in the oath of office have nothing to do with the issue of Hizbullah's fighting in Syria,” he noted. Responding to those who criticized the election of Aoun as president and the agreements that accompanied it, Geagea said: “We did not surrender to those who are bigger than Hizbullah, so why would we surrender to Hizbullah today?”“The days are ahead of us to see whose calculations were right and who was wrong and I hope to hear apologies from those who realize that they were mistaken,” he added. Aoun was elected president on Monday after around two and a half years of presidential void. His presidential chances were largely boosted in mid-October by a key endorsement from al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri, who is closed to Saudi Arabia. Aoun's nomination also received crucial support from Iran-backed Hizbullah and the LF. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Aoun Mulling Participation in Climate Change Conference in Morocco Next Week

Naharnet/November 03/16/Lebanon's Foreign Ministry began a series of contacts to prepare for the first visit for the newly elected president General Michel Aoun abroad, according to information obtained by Naharnet on Thursday. Senior diplomatic sources in the Ministry revealed that the President has asked authorities at the foreign and environment ministries of detailed information on the work of Climate Change Conference to be held in the Moroccan city of Marrakesh next week. President Michel Aoun will take part in the conference personally shall key countries participating in the meeting be represented by their presidents. It is planned that he takes advantage of the congregation to hold a series of meetings with heads of states in his first appearance as president of Lebanon, according to the information. Foreign sources pointed out that if the participants at the conference did not include heads of key Arab and international countries, the president will dismiss the idea of his visit to the Moroccan capital. On Monday, Aoun was elected president of the republic. His election ended a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years.

 

Jumblatt discusses developments with Russian Ambassador

Thu 03 Nov 2016/NNA - Head of the Democratic Gathering, MP Walid Jumblatt, met at his Clemenceau residence with Ambassador of Russia, Alexander Zasypkin. Discussions focused on current developments.

 

Lebanon's New Leader: What Gen. Michel Aoun Means for the Middle East

Jaime Loizzo/The National Interest/November 03/2016

Gen. Michel Aoun, the former chief of the Lebanese Army, will be the next president of Lebanon, bringing an end to more than two years of uncertainty regarding this position. After 45 failed attempts to elect a new president, PMs in the Lebanese parliament chose the Maronite Christian and ally of Hezbollah to be the nation’s next leader.  His election highlights the complicated political and sectarian alliances within the country. In early February of this year, Al Arabiya English published a graphic depicting a simplified explication of where the election stood at the time showing just how complicated relations can be within the country. Gen. Aoun’s election should bring some long needed stability to a country that has had a very unsteady previous 29 months, but may have the opposite effect on the region because of his alliance to Hezbollah.

In 1990, Aoun who was the commander of the Lebanese army at the time waged war against the Syrian army who occupied the country after the Lebanese Civil War. Now Aoun is aligned with Hezbollah and by proxy Syria and Iran. Syria is one of two locations where Iran and Saudi Arabia are currently fighting their proxy war (The other being Yemen). Amidst the intensifying situation between KSA and Iran Aoun’s election signals the collapse of the Saudi-backed alliance in the Maronite Christian community and the country at large that has attempted to eliminate Hezbollah’s influence on the government since the assassination of Rafik al-Hariri in 2005. The country’s relationship with Saudi Arabia has been tumultuous in the past year, as Saudi Arabia has suspended over $3 billion worth of aid to Lebanon and has expelled Lebanese migrant workers from the country, and with Aoun as the new president of Lebanon relations do not appear to be on the mend.

Aoun’s election also will lead to even greater tension with neighboring Israel. Aoun plans to liberate the parts of Mount Hermon and Shebaa Farms that are still occupied by Israeli forces. Israel and Hezbollah forces have exchanged fire a number of times since the 2006 Lebanon War, and protests in Shebaa Farms as recent as August has sparked the deployment of almost 500 Israeli troops to the area to include snipers and tanks. 

So what does Aoun’s election mean for a region already riddled with political turmoil and war? It means Iran has gained another ally in its regional proxy war against Saudi Arabia, and that Hezbollah is only predicted to become a greater force in Lebanese politics. Aoun publicly supports the Assad regime in Syria, and may very well prolong the already protracted war in Syria creating hundreds of thousands of more refugees forced to flee to the neighboring counties of Jordan, Turkey, and Lebanon, countries whose infrastructure and economies are already buckling under the pressure of the needs of refugees currently hosted there. Aoun is a popular figure among the Lebanese people, who hope the end to the political stalemate will mean investment into government programs and the economy which has been deteriorating for a number of months. While the presidency remained vacant over the past 29 month’s Lebanon has experienced attacks from the totalitarian Islamic extremist group Daesh, $4.5 billion worth of costs to host Syrian Refugees, and a decline in civil services to include the highly reported trash crisis of 2015.

Aoun will spend his six-year term as head of state attempting to turn around the economy of Lebanon and bring jobs back into the country. He will attempt to secure the boarders of his nation, to include taking back the lands in the south occupied by Lebanon. He will also support his ally’s in Hezbollah who fight in Syria in support Bashar al-Assad and his government. The administration of Gen. Aoun will most likely bring more conflict than stability to the region, and unfortunately bring greater political division within his own country, which has not seen parliamentary elections since 2009, and requires a power sharing system of government based on religion to operate.

**Jaime Loizzo is a Senior Advisor at Banner Public affairs and received her Master’s in Statecraft and National Security Affairs from the Institute of World Politics.

 

Lebanon after the elections, between dependency and independence

Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/November 03/16

On Monday, we witnessed a democratic process of elections, that also happened to be surreal. You only see this in Lebanon. Christian leader Michel Aoun was elected president ending a more than two-year vacuum. Lebanon has a special democratic model that is governed by sects and that requires settlements to overcome its crises. Distributing shares is present in every vein of the state's body. During the elections which lasted for more than two and a half hours, we witnessed comic incidents such as Speaker Nabih Berri’s statement that the MPs’ performance resembled that of students in the famous Egyptian play “School of Rascals”. In addition to all that, an extra vote - 128 instead of 127 - appeared twice in the ballots and forced MPs to perform another round of elections. In another round, an MP voted for Myriam Klink, a controversial model and celebrity.

This is Lebanon with all its details, obstructions and breakthroughs. The young generation in Lebanon has an urgent desire to change the political hierarchy which was established after Lebanon gained its independence and which is related to feudality and leadership.

Democracy in Lebanon is not exactly a model in every sense of the word, but rather it’s an experiment in which there is a political system that’s been customized according to the measures of the different sects

Thirty-seven years ago, Waddah Sharara wrote an important book entitled “The Roots of Sectarian Lebanon: The Rightwing Populist Line”. In this book, he called for altering the state and changing its ruling sectarian system.

He quoted Joseph Moghaizel as saying: “A category of rich men and feudalists have emerged. They took over centers of command and governance seats in the executive and legislative powers. This category understood independence as a means towards absurd control and realized that the old frame of work suits its interests so it strengthened it.”Democracy in Lebanon is not exactly a model in every sense of the word, but rather it’s an experiment in which there is a political system that’s been customized according to the measures of the different sects. This is a reasonable democracy if we are to recall the time of the civil war in Lebanon. While swearing the oath, Aoun pledged the independence of Lebanon’s foreign policy and the sovereignty of the state. This is good talk but let us wait and see.

**This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on Nov. 02, 2016.

 

Saad Hariri named Lebanon’s new prime minister

AFP, Beirut Thursday, 3 November 2016 /Leading Sunni political figure Saad Hariri was named as Lebanon's new prime minister on Thursday, the office of President Michel Aoun announced. "After the necessary parliamentary consultations... the president has entrusted Saad Hariri with the formation of a government," said a statement read by the president's chief of staff Antoine Choukeir. The nomination comes days after Aoun was elected, with Hariri's surprise support, ending a vacuum of more than two years. Hariri was endorsed by 110 members of the 127-seat parliament, with only the Shiite Hezbollah movement, the Syrian Social National Party and the Lebanese Baath party -- all supporters of Syria's government -- declining to back him as prime minister. But his return was assured as part of the deal he struck to throw his support behind former general Michel Aoun, a Hezbollah ally.Hariri returns to the post of prime minister five years after his last cabinet collapsed when his longtime rival Hezbollah and its allies pulled their ministers from a unity government that had taken months to form.

 

Lebanon under General Michel Aoun – A Profile and a Preliminary Assessment

Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah/Jerusalem Centre For Public Affairs/November 031/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/03/col-ret-dr-jacques-neriahjerusalem-centre-for-public-affairs-lebanon-under-general-michel-aoun-a-profile-and-a-preliminary-assessment/

On Monday, October 31, 2016, the Lebanese parliament, in its 46th meeting and after a vacant presidency since May 2014, chose General Michel Aoun as president. He is a Maronite Christian, the son of Mary and Naim Aoun, the milkman from Haret Hreik, the mixed Shiite-Maronite neighborhood adjacent to the southern Beirut neighborhood of Dahiya.

Aoun will be Lebanon’s first president whose family originates from the southern part of the country (a village called Maknuniyah, 70 kilometers south of Beirut), the heartland of the Shiite community in Lebanon. Aoun is the 13th Lebanese president since its independence. He is the third oldest member of the Lebanese parliament and the oldest president – born February 18, 1935, in “Greater Lebanon,” nine years before Lebanon’s independence. He is also the Arab world’s oldest politician; King Salman of Saudi Arabia is almost 12 months younger, and the Algerian Abdelaziz Bouteflika is “only” 79!

He is also the fourth Lebanese commander of the Army to become President. Fouad Chehab, Emile Lahoud, and Michel Suleiman were his predecessors in the post.

Michel Aoun’s election was possible only after resolving the political deadlock created by Hizbullah in 2014 when the Shiite militia’s members and coalition in parliament refused to show up to the 45 previous sessions of parliament.  By its abstention, Hizbullah did not allow the quorum needed to elect a president. Twenty-nine months of presidential vacancy thus comes to an end with a president identified as the ultimate ally of Hizbullah and, by projection, an ally of Iran.

Aoun Is Not from the Maronite Elite

Unlike most of his predecessors, Aoun comes from a very poor family and very far from the Maronite social elite. His way to Lebanon’s elite was made through his military career since he had no other way of climbing the Maronite echelons in Lebanon. Furthermore, his southern origin was always viewed with disdain by the “northern” elite who expressed arrogance towards those from the south “with their funny accent similar to the Shiites.” In a way, his Hizbullah-backed election is but a reflection of the deep changes in Lebanese society whereas the traditional “noble” families are pushed aside by field commanders as an alternative elite.

Aoun’s father married his cousin Mary who had American citizenship. Her parents had immigrated to the United States in 1904 and lived in New Hampshire. A few years later, the family came back to Lebanon, and in 1930 she met her cousin Naim and married him a few months later.

Naim then moved to Haret Hreik and lived there very modestly, mainly living from selling milk to the neighborhood. Six children were born from this union: three brothers and three sisters: Elias, Jeanette, Michel, Antoinette, Renee, and Robert. Out of the six brothers and sisters, three are still living today: Michel, Antoinette (who lives with her children in the United States), and the youngest Renee who lives in Lebanon.

Michel Aoun went to the “Frères” school in Beirut. Being poor, he could not afford to study engineering at the university. So at the age of 20, he entered the military academy (1955) and three years later graduated as an artillery officer. Three years later (1961) he was promoted to lieutenant; seven years later to captain, then major (1974), and finally brigadier general (1984), the year he was given the command of the Lebanese army.

Aoun was called by the Lebanese president in 1988 to fill the position of the interim prime minister because of a procedural impossibility to vote for a successor to Amin Gemayel. In 1990, he fled the presidential palace in Baabda, which was under attack by Syrian troops, and found refuge at the French embassy. He was whisked out of the country to France where he stayed until 2005 when the Syrian Army retreated from Lebanon. Aoun was welcomed back as a hero, and since then he had set his goal to be Lebanon’s next president after Michel Suleiman.  In 2006, during the second Israeli campaign in Lebanon, Aoun forged an alliance with Hizbullah which he kept and nurtured until these very days.

At the age of 33 (1968), Michel Aoun married Nadia Salim el-Shami whose family comes from Zahleh (the Christian bastion of the Bekaa Valley). Three daughters were born to the couple: Mireille married to Roy el-Hachem, the chairman of OTV, a TV network which is the mouthpiece of Aoun political current; Claudine married to Shamel Roukoz, a brigadier general in the Lebanese Army; and Chantal is married to the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Jibran Basil.

It is too early to decipher the reasons that led to the election of Aoun as Lebanon’s 13th president and especially the reasons behind the change of heart of former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, who was close to the royal house of Saud and leader of the opposition to the Hizbullah political alliance. Hariri left his candidate Sleiman Frangieh in the lurch by choosing Aoun, an alternative adamantly anti-Saudi, backed by Hizbullah (the very enemy of the Saudi regime), and the same organization that assassinated his father, Rafik. It is possible that Aoun promised Hariri the job of prime minister.

Political Motives in Lebanon Are Often a Mystery

But it is quite difficult to understand the current anti-Saudi stance adopted by Hariri whose fortune and destiny were so closely tied to the royal house of Saud. Rumors circulating in the Arab world report of a vindictive approach by Hariri after Saudi authorities penalized his companies in Saudi Arabia following a transcript of a telephone conversation in which Saad Hariri was heard bluntly criticizing the Saudi king. Apologies expressed afterwards did not mend the fences, and the Saudi authorities decided to take their revenge on Hariri’s economic empire in Saudi Arabia.

In a typical Lebanese manner, Michel Aoun has no dogmatic positions. His view is mainly influenced by the Maronite struggle for survival in the Middle East, by the tremors generated by the radical Islamic tsunami aimed at the destruction of Christian presence in the area.

When Aoun was commander of the 8th Brigade and especially when he was in exile in Paris, he had constant and numerous encounters with Israelis and discussed with them ways to ensure the presence of Christianity in the Middle East and ways of cooperation with Israel. After his return to Lebanon, Aoun understood that the future of the Christians in Lebanon could no more be ensured by the United States, France, or Israel. His understanding was that only through cooperation with Hizbullah and its Iranian patron could the Lebanese Christians guarantee their independent survival in the Middle East.

Aoun’s victory is by no means the defeat of the Christian, pro-Saudi, pro-Western camp. It is too early to claim victory for Hizbullah and Iran, especially in Lebanon where alliances change constantly. Aoun’s election has not solved Lebanon’s problems. It has just permitted the initiation of a dialogue between rivals with different goals and ambitions. Today, it seems that Hizbullah has won the round. It remains to be seen how the poor child from Haret Hreik will navigate between the different factions of the Lebanese labyrinth, how the system will react, and how the regional powers, first and foremost the losers (Saudi Arabia and Qatar) will find their way to assert their interests.

 

The Lebanese Presidential Elections/Position Statement by the Lebanese Information Center

November 1, 2016/Members of the Lebanese diaspora, particularly those who have made the United States their home, have always expressed their aspirations to see their motherland secure, free, sovereign, and independent, particularly in light of the internal challenges and external dangers it faces. In the wake of Lebanon’s election of Michel Aoun as its new president on Monday, the Lebanese Information Center in Washington, D.C., in its quest to uphold Lebanon’s status in the international community, states the following:

First: We congratulate the Lebanese people on the election of a president after nearly two and a half years and 45 failed parliamentary sessions. This achievement should be a source of pride for Lebanon’s citizens, already weathering volatile developments in a region ruled by dictatorship, despotism, and extremism.

Second: This presidential election constitutes for Lebanon an opportunity to return to its tradition of proper democratic practices. For the last quarter century, foreign powers - chiefly Syria, through its military and political occupation of Lebanon - have dictated how state institutions function and who is at their helm.

Third: After 29 months of a presidential vacuum prolonged by the deliberate disabling of the constitutional process, we cannot but call on the Lebanese Parliament to amend Article 49 of the Constitution, to prevent the imposition of a two-thirds quorum for its electoral sessions and thereby avoid any further wrongful interpretations of the constitution by ill-intentioned politicians. Laws and constitutions are meant to mobilize governments and legitimate authorities, not block the democratic process. The intentional boycott of presidential elections by members of parliament constituted unacceptable behavior that warrants the impeachment of responsible MPs.

Fourth: The election of a Christian head of state in the Middle East is a clear translation of Lebanon’s ideals of true partnership and power-sharing among its various religious communities. The presidency is the highest post for Christians in Lebanon, and its filling after months of vacuum gives them hope for real representation in parliament and other government institutions in the future.

Fifth: With the start of a new presidential term in Lebanon, we look to the president to maintain good relations with Lebanon’s global allies, and particularly the United States. We expect him to respect Lebanon’s international commitments and obligations, especially the implementation of UN Security Council resolutions 1559 and 1701, for the sake of a free and sovereign Lebanon.

Sixth: We emphasize to the new president the importance of Lebanon's success in its fight against terrorism, building on the tremendous success of Lebanese armed and security forces in defeating extremist militias threatening Lebanon’s security, both from the Syrian borders and from within Lebanon.

Seventh: Similarly, Lebanon’s new president cannot ignore the danger posed by internal militias, Lebanese and others, chiefly among them radical Shiite movement Hezbollah. Hezbollah has intentionally developed into a state-above-the-state, hijacking national decision-making processes, threatening peace, security and stability among Lebanese communities, and executing Iran’s foreign agenda at the expense of the Lebanese people.

Eighth: The rampant corruption within the government is a rising menace, destroying the Lebanese citizen’s faith in national institutions. We call on the new president and future government to eradicate this plague, in order to build a truly functioning state in the service of its citizens.

Ninth: The Lebanese Information Center in the US remains committed to work through its organization, bolstered by its grassroots support and longstanding relationships with the US government, to build a free, sovereign and democratic Lebanon, for the good of the Lebanese people and in the interests of the United States of America.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 03-04/16

Gaza: Christians continue to be forced to convert to Islam

Raymond Ibrahim/November 03/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/03/raymond-ibrahim-gaza-christians-continue-to-be-forced-to-convert-to-islam/

The plight of Christian living in Gaza under the Palestinian authority continues to worsen. According to a new Arabic language report, recent years have “witnessed a critical upsurge against the Christians,” who only amount to approximately 2,500 people—surrounded by approximately 1.5 million Muslims. Local authorities have abandoned the tiny minority to Islamist elements who have “placed great and continuous pressure” on the Christians.

“At times we hear of the bombing of a Christian bookshop and assaults on churches and other Christian institutions; other times we hear of the kidnapping of Christians and the coercion of them to embrace the religion of Muhammad,” says the report.

In mid October, Christians in Gaza led a protest, calling for the return of their kidnapped children and loved ones. They held up signs saying “I am a Christian and boast of my cross.” Bishop Alexios of the region “confirmed that the Christians who converted to Islam did so under threats, coercion, compulsion, and force.” His church also submitted a formal petition to the governor of the region, Ismail Haniyeh, calling on him to investigate matters, but received no response.

Palestinian Muslim leaders say that such Christians convert of their own free will and without pressure; however, these same Muslim leaders refuse to let their Christian families meet with or even learn the whereabouts of these recent converts, so they can confirm if their conversions were committed freely or under duress.

The report adds that Gaza’s Christians are calling on the Christian world to intervene. The bishop said that he is trying to communicate all of this to the Vatican, the United Nations, and the United States.

 

Justin Welby, Archbishop of Canterbury: Christianity Is Threatened As Never Before In Middle East

Ruth Gledhill/Christian Today/November 03/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/03/justin-welby-archbishop-of-canterbury-christianity-is-threatened-as-never-before-in-midd/

Christianity has never felt so threatened as it does now in its historic birthplace of the Middle East, the Archbishop of Canterbury has warned. Christians have recently been on the receiving end of persecution both from militantly atheist and religiously intolerant regimes, Justin Welby said today. "It would not be over-stating matters to say that Christianity is both the numerically largest faith and the most persecuted. "The historic centre of the Christian Church in the Middle East has never felt so threatened, but is also under attack in countries as diverse as North Korea and Eritrea, where Christians are harassed, imprisoned, persecuted and killed."Sixty eight years after the United Nations agreed the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, this situation is intolerable, he said.

"As faith communities we must step up and hold governments to account. This is a challenge for us all everywhere but none-more-so than in countries where faith communities have serious power through numerical, political or civic strength."In the UK, he added, the Church of England is at the fore in advocating the rights of Muslims to set up schools, madrassahs and mosques across the country. "But the increasing integration of Muslim communities within British society, in which we rejoice, is in stark contrast to the increasing marginalisation of and outright hostility to Christian communities within many parts of the world, not least in significant parts of the Middle East." The Archbishop of Canterbury also condemned the definition of British values given by Ofsted, Britain's education inspectorate, as a recipe for tyrrany.

Welby was addressing the "Council of the Wise" in Abu Dhabi, where Christian worship is allowed to flourish and grow, unlike other Muslim-majority Middle Eastern countries. The council was debating integration and religious freedom.

Welby said: "In the UK we find British values, so called, defined by Ofsted as belief in democracy, in the rule of law and in mutual respect of faiths, or for those of no faith.

"This approach is good, but entirely inadequate as a foundation for a healthy society. Democracy without fundamental values around the value of the human being, and, I would say, without the understanding of God's grace and love for the humanity God created, is a recipe for majority tyranny." Sponsored Watch Your Favorite Christian Films, 24/7. Click Here To Start Your Free Trial Today. The two-day event was organised by the Muslim Council of Elders and included Christian leaders from the Anglican Communion. Welby described the world as "beset by a crisis of confidence" in the rights it pledged to uphold in the aftermath of the Second World War.

"The crisis is affecting all faith groups, deepening nationalist tensions, and leaking across from the approach to faith into the most acute challenges to international law, human flourishing and stability."He said the crisis had given "permission" for those in political campaigns to condemn all Muslims, or other groups they dislike, and compared this to the pre-war mood in Hitler's Nazi Germany. "The impact of such tyranny was seen in the 1930s, when the law enacted by democratically elected government began the process of the holocaust.

"Six million Jewish people were to be systematically slaughtered and millions more displaced in the most brutal antithesis of religious freedom." In Christian tradition, he said, it is understood that an evil society makes it very hard for individuals within it to live well.

"This truth about the need for a righteous society has led and still leads many churches to advocate law as about morality, because bad morality leads to bad societies." He warned: "There is a real danger of societies legislating against their ideological opponents through fear and ending up compromising their own moral and spiritual integrity by committing acts of evil against the very people they thought they were protecting the rest of society from."

Dr. Edward Kessler, founder-director of the Woolf Institute based in Cambridge, told Christian Today: "Christianity has been part of the essential fabric of the Middle East for two thousand years. Far from being a Western import as some, now seem to suggest, Christian communities have been intrinsic to the development of Arab culture and civilisation. "This central role is why it is abhorrent to see Christianity and Christians under assault across the Middle East. Specifically this impact on people is shocking but also will mean Christianity will be lost from its birthplace, destroying the richness of the tapestry of the Middle East. "The importance of interfaith dialogue in the Middle East cannot be understated. It is only through dialogue, knowledge and understanding built between faiths that these issues can be overcome and the heritage of the Middle East can be not only preserved but for diversity to continue to flourish."

 

Popular Mobilization Units cutoff vital ISIS supply route in Mosul

By Staff writer Al Arabiya EnglishThursday, 3 November 2016/Popular Mobilization Units declared control of a vital supply route for ISIS which links the cities of Mosul in Iraq and Raqqah in Syria, Al Arabiya News Channel said Wednesday. The Iranian-backed Shiite militias managed to cut the route between Mosul and Raqqa, ISIS main stronghold in Syria. Meanwhile, the United Nations warned against violations against the citizens of Mosul after the anticipated liberation of the city. The Security Council has also condemned the use of civilians as human shields in Iraq. It called on all parties to avoid harming civilians during the military operations in Mosul.

 

Baghdadi says no Mosul retreat in audio message

AFP, BaghdadThursday, 3 November 2016 /ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi has called on his fighters to resist as Iraqi forces were poised to enter the city of Mosul. “Do not retreat,” said a voice presented as belonging to the leader of ISIS in an audio message released early Thursday by the ISIS-affiliated Al-Furqan media. “Holding your ground with honor is a thousand times easier than retreating in shame,” he said in the message, his first in more than a year. “To all the people of Nineveh, especially the fighters, beware of any weakness in facing your enemy,” Baghdadi said, referring to the northern Iraqi province of which Mosul is the capital. Rumors have abounded about the leader’s health and movements but his whereabouts are unclear. ISIS control has been shrinking steadily since last year and Iraqi forces earlier this week reached Mosul, the militants’ last major stronghold in Iraq. The US-led coalition estimates there are 3,000 to 5,000 IS fighters inside the city but the final outcome of the battle appears to be in little doubt. Tens of thousands of Iraqi forces, backed by the US-led coalition and its warplanes, launched a massive offensive on Mosul on October 17.

 

US talks to Turkey about role to recapture Raqqa

AgenciesThursday, 3 November 2016/US Secretary of Defense Ash Carter said on Wednesday the plan to envelope Raqqa, ISIS’s main stronghold in Syria, would take place soon with the forces available and that talks continued with Turkey on the role it could play “further down the road.”“We intend to go there soon with the force that is capable of doing that and enveloping the city of Raqqa ... the final seizure of Raqqa, we continue to talk to Turkey about that and a possible role for Turkey in that further down the road,” Carter said at a press conference. Meanwhile, Turkey said on Monday that it wants the operation on Raqqa to start after Mosul and Euphrates Shield operations have been completed. Iraqi security forces and Kurdish Peshmerga fighters started the offensive on Mosul on Oct. 17, with air and ground support from the US-led coalition against the militant group. Also, a spokesman for a leading Shiite militia said its fighters have gained control of a highway linking the ISIS group-held city of Mosul to the Syrian city of Raqqa, the de facto capital of the militants’ self-proclaimed caliphate. The spokesman for the Hezbollah Brigades, Jaafar al-Husseini, said Wednesday that his troops are now cutting the main supply line to the militants. (With Reuters, Associated Press)

 

Aid agencies in Iraq on high alert as families flee Mosul offensive

By Magdalena Mis Thomson Reuters Foundation, London/Wednesday, 3 November 2016 /Aid agencies said on Wednesday families who have fled Mosul and surrounding towns were starting to reach displacement camps away from the fighting, as Iraqi forces press on with an offensive to retake ISIS’s last major stronghold in Iraq. The battle that started on Oct. 17 with air and ground support from a US-led coalition is shaping up as the largest in Iraq since the US-led invasion of 2003.On Tuesday Iraqi forces battled ISIS fighters on the eastern edge of Mosul as the campaign entered a new phase of urban warfare. The United Nations has said the Mosul offensive could trigger a humanitarian crisis and a possible refugee exodus if the civilians inside in Mosul seek to escape, with up to one million people fleeing in a worst-case scenario. “People are starting to arrive now from the small towns around Mosul,” Joe Cropp of the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), told the Thomson Reuters Foundation. “We’ve been aware that this has been coming up and the preparations have been going on for two months,” he said in a phone interview from northern Iraq. IFRC said many people were arriving with only the clothes they were wearing and those who reached Khazer camp, east of Mosul, said they had to walk through the night. “We were so worried the children would cry out during the night and we would be discovered,” IFRC quoted one of the mothers as saying. Thousands more people are expected to arrive in the coming days and weeks as fighting around Mosul intensifies, IFRC said. Throughout the country, some 10 million Iraqis are in need of aid. “Local communities across the country are sharing the responsibility, taking in millions of displaced people. But even with the greatest will in the world they cannot accommodate a million more,” Gyula Kadar, IFRC operations manager, said in a statement. The International Organization for Migration said nearly 21,000 people have been displaced since the start of the campaign, excluding thousands of villagers taken into Mosul by retreating militants who used them as human shields. The UN said in October a total of six camps had been built that can accommodate 50,000 people. Efforts were underway to construct 11 more. Claire Mason, humanitarian policy and advocacy adviser at Save the Children said for security reasons the charity was unable to get too close to Mosul and was readying mobile child protection teams to assist people scattered outside the city. Betsy Baldwin, Iraq response director from the charity Tearfund, said several hundred people arrived the previous night in one of the camps where the charity was helping. Baldwin said her organization had been on standby since summer, preparing tents, stoves and winter clothes which it was planning to distribute this week. “We are just hoping that we can safely access people in need, that the civilians can move safely out of the conflict zones,” she told the Thomson Reuters Foundation from Iraq. International Rescue Committee said in a statement on Wednesday it had heard of people inside Mosul buying cloth to use as white flags when the army arrives.

 

12 Dead, 200 Hurt as Syria Rebels Renew Aleppo Attack before Russia Ceasefire

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 03/16/Syrian rebels renewed their bid to break a government siege of eastern Aleppo on Thursday, shelling regime-held parts of the city hours before a brief Russian-declared ceasefire was due to begin.

State media said at least 12 people had been killed in rebel rocket and gunfire on regime-controlled neighborhoods, after an assault that began with a double car bomb attack. Rebels have been battling for nearly a week in a desperate bid to break the three-month siege but have so far been unable to push through government lines in western Aleppo. The opposition forces on Thursday announced a new phase in their assault on government forces in the city's western outskirts. "We have started the second phase in our fight to break the siege with heavy artillery fire" on several neighborhoods, rebel fighter Abu Hamza told AFP on the edges of Aleppo. Thick black smoke billowed out of the Dahiyet al-Assad district, where rebels had lit tires to try to shield themselves from warplanes circling above. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group said the "most intense fighting" was on the edges of the Halab al-Jadida neighborhood.  The clashes on Aleppo's western outskirts could be heard in the city's eastern districts, an AFP correspondent there said.No aid has reached eastern Aleppo city's more than 250,000 residents since early July, and there are reports of shortages and price hikes.

Civilians killed

The Observatory said government forces were carrying out air strikes in areas where clashes were underway, but that the rebel-held neighborhoods in the east of the city were largely quiet. Syrian state news agency SANA said at least 12 people had been killed and more than 200 wounded in rebel fire on Thursday.  The Observatory put the toll at 15 dead, saying four children were among them, bringing to 69 the total number of civilians killed in rebel fire since Friday, including 23 children. State media also said eight people were being treated for suffocation after "terrorists fired poisonous gases" at the village of Minyan west of Aleppo. Once Syria's economic powerhouse, Aleppo has been divided since mid-2012 between government control in the west and rebels in the east. A Russian-backed army offensive in September to recapture the whole city killed hundreds of civilians and hit infrastructure including the east's few remaining health facilities. It provoked international recriminations, particularly against Russia, with the EU accusing it of actions that "may amount to war crimes." Moscow has rejected the criticism and in late October declared a unilateral three-day ceasefire, during which it urged civilians and rebels to leave east Aleppo. But only a handful did, with Russia accusing rebels of preventing people from leaving, and a U.N. plan to evacuate wounded people was shelved over security concerns.

SDF to 'lead' Raqa fight

Moscow said Wednesday it would implement a new, 10-hour "humanitarian pause" for Aleppo on Friday, prompting the U.N. to warn that "humanitarian operations cannot be contingent on political or military initiatives."The pause was meant to "prevent senseless casualties", the chief of Russia's General Staff Valery Gerasimov said. The Syrian army said the pause would start at 9:00 am (0700 GMT) local time.

More than 300,000 have been killed in Syria since the conflict began in 2011 with anti-government protests that spiraled into a multi-front war involving regime, rebels, Kurds and jihadists like IS. The Kurdish-Arab Syrian Democratic Forces alliance has been fighting to oust IS from areas across northern Syria with air support from the U.S.-led coalition against the jihadist group. The alliance said Thursday it would fight to recapture the IS stronghold of Raqa in a battle that could start in coming weeks.

"We will see a campaign led by the Syrian Democratic Forces to liberate Raqa city," SDF spokesman Talal Sello said. "We are ready. We have the sufficient numbers for this campaign and we will start it soon," Sello told AFP, without specifying a timetable.

But he insisted that the fight would not include Turkey, which views the YPG as linked to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), considered by Ankara as a "terrorist" group. "The topic of Turkey's participation was settled with the (U.S.-led anti-IS) coalition definitively. No Turkish participation," he said.  Ankara in August began a military operation inside northern Syria targeting both IS and Kurdish fighters.

 

Syria's Kurds Say to 'Lead' Raqa Fight, Reject Turkish Role

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 03/16/A US-backed alliance of Syrian Kurds and Arabs will lead the assault on the Islamic State group's stronghold of Raqa, but rejects any Turkish role, its spokesman said Thursday. "We will see a campaign led by the Syrian Democratic Forces to liberate Raqa city," SDF spokesman Talal Sello said. "The topic of Turkey's participation was settled with the (US-led anti-IS) coalition definitively. No Turkish participation," he said.

 

Syrian suspected of belonging to terrorist group held in Germany

Reuters, Berlin Thursday, 3 November 2016/German police have arrested a Syrian man in Berlin on suspicion of being a member of a foreign terrorist organization, local police tweeted. The man, who officers said had given his age as 27, had been living in Germany since 2015, police said.He was arrested in an apartment in the Schoeneberg district and an investigation has begun. German security services, fearing militant attacks, are on high alert. In October, a Syrian refugee was arrested on suspicion of planning a major attack in Berlin after police discovered explosives in his apartment. Almost 900,000 migrants arrived in Germany last year and while many Germans initially welcomed them, security concerns have since increased, especially after migrants carried out several violent attacks on civilians over the summer, two of which were claimed by ISIS. There have also been attacks on asylum seekers and their accommodation facilities. On Tuesday suspected far-right extremists threatened asylum seekers in the town of Bautzen.

 

Iran commander says US in ‘strong decline’

Tehran, AFP/Thursday, 3 November 2016/A senior Iranian military official welcomed Thursday what he said was the “strong decline” of the United States, during celebrations marking the start of the 1979 US embassy siege. “America is no longer number one and the first power of the world,” deputy Revolutionary Guards commander Hossein Salami told thousands gathered outside the former US mission in Tehran. “America’s political will can no longer manage political and military development in... the world of Islam. America's political power has strongly declined.”Every year on November 3-4, Iran celebrates the 444-day siege of the embassy when more than 50 diplomats, staff and spies were taken hostage by students demanding the extradition of the shah, who had fled to America after being deposed a few months earlier in the Islamic revolution.

Nuclear deal

The crisis severed US-Iranian diplomatic ties for decades, but Tehran last year clinched a deal with world powers to curb its controversial nuclear program in exchange for an easing of economic sanctions. But the US remains Iran’s main enemy, and Tehran and Washington back opposing sides in several regional conflicts, including Syria and Yemen. “Our fight with the Americans will continue” Salami said. He also warned the US not to criticize Iran’s ballistic missiles, calling its system “the real center of our power (that) must be strengthened.”

 

Iran court acquits defendants in Saudi mission attack case

Tehran Jan. 2, 2016. (Reuters)/By Staff writer Al Arabiya EnglishThursday, 3 November 2016/Iran’s judiciary acquitted more than 40 defendants charged over the January attack on the Saudi mission in Tehran, according to news report. ‘ILNA’ or the Iran labor news agency announced that the Clerical and Government Employees’ Courts cleared all 45 defendants - 20 members of Basij militia and 25 clerics – of the charges of storming and ransacking the embassy. The defendants contended that police and internal security forces did not prevent them from entering the embassy, confirming an assertion made previously by the attack mastermind, the hard-line cleric Hassan Kard Mayhn. Mayhn divulged in an open letter addressed to Iran President Hassan Rowhani last August, that police forces facilitated the attackers' access to the embassy. ILNA quoted Mustafa Shabani, the defense lawyer as saying the court sentenced some of the defendants to three to six months in jail on charges of “disturbing public order.”Shabani added the court verdict is subject to appeal. Iranian authorities arrested over 154 suspects following the Saudi mission attack, and all were released on bail in March. The Saudi embassy in Tehran and its consulate in Iran’s second biggest city Mashhad were stormed and burned on January 2.

 

Three Saudis sentenced to jail for plotting in Iran

Asharq Al-Awsat, Riyadh Thursday, 3 November 2016/The Saudi Specialized Criminal Court issued sentences against three Saudis who were involved in different cases, giving them varying prison terms. The cases included the involvement of one of them in a deal with wanted criminals, who he met in Iran, to destabilize security in Saudi Arabia. The second one received training in Iraq and supported ISIS while the third showed support for Houthi militias and questioned religious principles and the validity of the hadiths of the Prophet and his companions. Two citizens received 10 years each for having traveled to Iran, where they met with a criminal, wanted for carrying out terrorist acts in the Eastern Province. The criminal, currently detained, had instructed the two Saudis to undergo military training in an effort to later act to destabilize the security of the Kingdom. The two defendants also traveled to Iraq, at the request of the said criminal, and joined training camps where they learned how to assemble machine guns and pistols. They then returned to the Kingdom, where they were apprehended. The court sentence starts from the date of arrest; after being released, the two will be forbidden from traveling abroad for another 10 years. Another verdict was issued against a Saudi national who fell under the influence of terrorist organizations and wanted to go to Syria to join ISIS. He was indicted based on online statements critical of the state and its policies, as well as for consuming drugs. The court sentenced him to 80 lashes for consumption of drugs and to seven years in prison, counted from the date of his arrest. He will also be forbidden from traveling abroad after his release from jail for another seven years. The cellular phone that was in his possession at the time of his arrest was confiscated. Moreover, a fourth verdict was pronounced against a Saudi citizen who showed support for the Houthi militias, questioned religious principles, and questioned and criticized the validity of the hadiths of the Prophet (peace be upon him) and his companions. He posted his abusive statements on different social media accounts. In punishment, the court gave him six years in prison, starting from the date of his arrest, fined him SR30, 000, closed his Twitter account and banned him from ever using it again. The court also banned him from traveling abroad for six years after his release from prison.

 

UN envoy to reach Sana’a for another round of talks

Al Arabiya/Thursday, 3 November 2016/United Nations Special Envoy to Yemen, Ismail Ould Cheikh Ahmed, is expected to arrive in Sanaa on Thursday to meet with the rebels’ delegation as part of a new a round of negotiations, Yemeni sources said. Ould Cheikh visited Sanaa last week to push negotiations forward and proposed a plan, which has since been stalled. According to sources, discussions will be held on the reservations the rebels’ delegation had voiced about the UN plan after they agreed on it in principle and considered it as a foundation for discussions. They will also discuss militias’ withdrawal from cities and forming of military committees. Militias are demanding similar measures in areas controlled by the government.

Trip to Riyadh

Ould Cheikh will then head to Riyadh to meet with Yemeni President Abdrabbu Mansour Hadi and the government delegation. A presidential source said the delegation will receive the UN plan from Ould Cheikh.

Other sources said there are international efforts to save Ould Cheikh’s proposal to end the conflict in Yemen before US President Barack Obama’s term ends. Meanwhile, western diplomatic sources said there is intensified diplomatic activity in New York and Riyadh to resolve the Yemeni crisis and revive the efforts of the UN settlement after Yemeni parties rejected the Ould Cheikh plan.

UNSC and ceasefire

Diplomatic efforts, particularly those being carried out by the United States and Britain, are focused on trying to reach a draft that can be submitted to the UN Security Council in order to agree on a ceasefire resolution in the upcoming days. British envoy to the United Nations Matthew Rycroft said his country is currently holding negotiations with the UN Security Council members about the draft resolution and voiced hope that all members support it. G-18 ambassadors are also said to be holding intensified talks to reach a political solution that is internationally supported. However, the legitimate government in Yemen has voiced reservations over the plan because it believes it is inconsistent with UN Security Council Resolution 2216.

 

Palestinian tries to stab soldier in West Bank, shot dead

Reuters, JerusalemThursday, 3 November 2016/Israeli troops shot dead a Palestinian who tried to stab a soldier near a settlement in the occupied West Bank on Thursday, the military said. The soldier was attacked as he guarded a bus stop near Ofra, the force said. “Responding to threat, forces at the scene shot the assailant, resulting in his death,” it added. Over the past year, Palestinians, many acting alone and often using rudimentary weapons and cars, have killed at least 35 Israelis and two visiting Americans in similar attacks. During the same period, at least 226 Palestinians have died in violent incidents in the West Bank, East Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip. Of those, Israel has identified 154 as assailants, while others were killed during clashes and protests. Palestinians have accused Israeli police and soldiers of using excessive force in many such cases. Israel has opened investigations of several incidents. Palestinian leaders say the assailants are acting out of desperation over the collapse in 2014 of peace talks and the expansion of Israeli settlements on occupied land that Palestinians seek for an independent state.

 

Turkey slams Germany, accuses it of supporting terrorism

The Associated Press, Istanbul Thursday, 3 November 2016/Turkey’s president has harshly criticized Germany, accusing it of supporting terrorism and slamming comments suggesting Berlin may not extradite suspects wanted by Turkey if it considers the case is politically motivated. Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Thursday attacked comments by German Justice Minister Heiko Maas who said Berlin could refuse to extradite cases related to the “so-called (post-coup) cleansing that is taking place.” He was referring to Turkey’s clampdown on the movement led by US-based Muslim cleric Fethullah Gulen, accused by Turkey of masterminding July’s failed coup attempt. Erdogan said: “we are watching Germany’s stance and its subsequent policies with concern - no, with horror.”In addition to demanding extradition of those abroad, Turkey has arrested close to 37,000 people and dismissed or suspended over 100,000 personnel from government jobs in a purge to eradicate the network.

 

Neither Clinton, nor Trump popular in Arab world: poll

AFP, JeddahThursday, 3 November 2016/Almost half the population of the Middle East and North Africa would abstain if given the right to vote in next week’s US presidential election, an opinion poll revealed Thursday. But Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton came far ahead of her Republican opponent Donald Trump as the preferred candidate to lead the United States, which plays a key role in the Arab world. Out of 3,017 people polled across 18 countries, 47 percent “would snub both Clinton and Trump, if given chance to vote,” according to the survey carried out by Saudi daily Arab News and British pollster YouGov. Among those who would vote, 44 percent said they would opt for Clinton, while only nine percent said would choose Trump, showed the results of the online survey conducted on October 14-21. “There is little enthusiasm for either candidate but 78 percent believe Clinton would be better for the Arab world if elected as president versus 22 percent for Trump,” said YouGov’s chief Stephan Shakespeare. On the conflict in Syria, 46 percent of respondents wanted Washington to put boots on the ground in the fight against ISIS, while the remaining majority of 54 percent was against such a move. Meanwhile, 44 percent said the incoming US president should annul the nuclear deal with Iran. But asked about border security in their own countries and abortion, most of the participants appeared to share Trump’s tough stance. Ninety percent said they did not mind extra border restrictions if they felt their country’s security was under threat, while 89 percent said abortion is never acceptable, except in extreme cases, like rape or life-threatening situations.

 

High Court Rule UK Parliament Must Have Vote on Brexit

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 03/16/The High Court in London ruled Thursday that the British government alone cannot start the process of leaving the European Union but requires the approval of parliament, in a landmark judgment that could delay Brexit. Three senior judges said Prime Minister Theresa May's government does not have the power itself to trigger Article 50 of the EU's Lisbon treaty, the formal notification of Britain's intention to leave the bloc.

"We hold that the Secretary of State does not have power under the Crown's prerogative to give notice pursuant to Article 50... for the United Kingdom to withdraw from the European Union," the judgement said. May's Downing Street office said it was "disappointed" at the decision and would appeal, with the case now expected to be heard in the Supreme Court in early December. "The country voted to leave the European Union in a referendum approved by Act of Parliament," a spokesman said.

"And the government is determined to respect the result of the referendum. We will appeal this judgment."Most members of the House of Commons wanted Britain to stay in the EU in the June referendum, and there is speculation they could push for a softer break with the bloc or even try to prevent it altogether. The pound rallied against the dollar and euro after the High Court ruling, jumping above $1.24 after weeks of tumbling to multi-year low points against its main rivals. May announced last month that she intends to trigger Article 50 by the end of March, a move welcomed by EU leaders who are pressing for a swift divorce to limit uncertainty over the future of Britain and the rest of the bloc. But the timetable may be derailed by the case, which challenged her right to use "historic prerogative powers" -- a type of executive privilege -- to make that decision. Article 50 notification begins a two-year countdown to withdrawal and lawmakers are now likely to demand more information -- and more of a say -- on the government's negotiating strategy before giving their approval.

- 'Public anger' -May previously accused those behind the legal challenge of seeking to frustrate the Brexit process, saying: "They're trying to kill it by delaying it."

But the claimants -- including an investment fund manager, a hairdresser and an expatriate living in France -- argue that Britain was taken into the EU by parliament, and only parliament can made the decision to leave. "I am grateful to the court for the result, this is a victory for parliamentary democracy," expat Grahame Pigney told reporters outside court. Pigney, who has used crowdfunding to mount his "People's Challenge", condemned the prime minister for her "unwarranted and irresponsible attack" on the case.

"I now hope everyone will respect the court decision," he said. But Nigel Farage, the interim leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP) who led the campaign for Brexit, warned there would be public outrage if the referendum result was not implemented."I worry that a betrayal may be near at hand," he said.

"I now fear that every attempt will be made to block or delay the triggering of Article 50. If this is so, they have no idea of the level of public anger they will provoke."

During three days of hearings in October, May conceded that parliament would likely have a vote on the final deal negotiated with the bloc.The case was heard by England's two top judges -- Lord Chief Justice John Thomas and Master of the Rolls Terence Etherton -- and Philip Sales, an appeal court judge.

 

Over 100 Dead in New Migrant Tragedy Off Libya, 2nd Wreck Feared

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 03/16/At least 110 people are feared to have drowned off Libya when a migrant boat capsized, and more may have died in another stricken vessel, the U.N.'s refugee agency said Thursday, citing survivor testimonies. "A vessel with around 140 people on board overturned Wednesday just a few hours after setting off from Libya, throwing everyone into the water. Only 29 people survived," UNHCR spokesperson Carlotta Sami told AFP. The Norwegian vessel Siem Pilot was first on the scene, around 20 nautical miles off Libya, and rescued the survivors -- all of whom were in poor condition after spending hours in the water -- and recovered 12 bodies. Those pulled to safety were transferred to the island of Lampedusa by the Italian coast guard.  In what could be a second incident, which could not be immediately confirmed by the coast guard, two women told the U.N. agency they believed they were the only survivors in an disaster in which some 125 people drowned. "They told us they were on a faulty dinghy which began to sank as soon as they set sail. They were the only survivors," Sami said. The International Organization for Migration (IOM) quoted the same survivors, putting the death toll for both wrecks at 240 people. "Not enough has been done so far to avoid these tragedies," said Flavio di Giacomo, IOM spokesman in Italy. The Italian coast guard said it had no information on the second reported rescue on Wednesday or the saving of two women. One of the 29 survivors had suffered severe burns after sitting in fuel and was transferred by helicopter to hospital in Palermo along with an other who suffered from epilepsy. Over 4,000 migrants have died or are missing feared drowned after attempting the perilous Mediterranean crossing this year.

Migrants overboard

The rescue situation is often chaotic, with people confused, sick or exhausted after periods in crisis-hit Libya unable to specify how many people were on board their dinghies at the outset or what vessel pulled them from the water. At least two rescue missions were underway off Libya on Thursday, with close to 180 people pulled to safety according to an AFP photographer aboard the Topaz Responder, run by the Malta-based MOAS (Migrant Offshore Aid Station). "Before dawn, we saw a migrant dinghy, lit up by the Responder's search light," photographer Andreas Solaro said, adding that 31 people, 28 men and three women, one of them elderly, were rescued. In the second rescue, 147 people from Eritrea, Ghana, Sudan, Mali and Sierra Leone were pulled to safety, including 20 women, though only after some had fallen into the sea. "The (Responder) crew was shouting at them to sit down and stay calm while the lifejackets were handed out but they were getting agitated, and around 10 of them fell overboard, some without lifejackets on," Solaro said.

All were pulled to safety. October marked a record monthly high in the number of migrants arriving in Italy in recent years -- some 27,000 people -- and the departures have showed no sign of slowing, despite worsening weather in the Mediterranean. Amnesty International warned Thursday the pressure placed on Italy by Europe to cope alone with the worst migration crisis since World War II had led to "unlawful expulsions and ill-treatment which in some cases may amount to torture." The report was bluntly rejected by Italy's chief of police, who denied the use of violent methods in the force's handling of migrants.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis& editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 03-04/16

Toronto: Muslim police chaplain says wife who refuses sex to husband has committed “major sin”

Jihad Watch/November 3, 2016/Christine Williams

 A newly-appointed chaplain for Toronto police is speaking out after coming under fire from the police union for comments made about marriage and women’s duties to their husbands.

Here are “the relevant slides from Sheikh Musleh’s lecture followed by his comments”, courtesy CiJNews:

Duties of the Wife

The wife’s duties towards her husband may be greater than the husband’s duties towards his wife, as Allah says: And they (women) have rights (over their husbands as regards living expenses) similar (to those of their husbands) over them (as regards obedience and respect) to what is reasonable, but men have a degree (of responsibility) over them” [Al-Baqarah 2:228]

• Keep in mind — there is no obedience for the husband in disobedience of Allah

“A halal relationship with her husband”:

 • The wife should make herself available to her husband, after marriage has taken place and he has given the mahr [dowry]

 • She should not withhold this right from her husband without a valid excuse, e.g. sickness, obligatory fasting etc

 • If she refuses without a valid reason then she has committed a major sin

 Ask her husband permission before leaving the home

 • She should take care to seek permission from her husband before going out of the home that he has provided her

Some of Sheikh Musleh’s additional comments as part of the duties of a wife toward her husband:

even if it doesn’t feel right, or you’re just not in that emotional relationship you know it’s not the right manner, you’re not feeling that at that particular time, still try to make it happen, still try to force yourself even if you have to do that.”

Yet Canada and the West (particularly those under a Multicultural Act) continue to pretend that a clash of cultures does not exist. It is one thing to welcome immigrants of all backgrounds into Western democracies. It is another thing to allow the people of such cultures to undermine our societies and award them influential community roles.

Khan takes the usual position of someone who has been “busted” in the public forum: he explains away his obviously genuinely held beliefs as being “inappropriate if used out of context.” That is a common defense that insults the intelligence of those who know how to read.

musleh-khan

 

Toronto Police chaplain speaks out after online comments on women’s ‘obedience’ draw concern”

Natalie Nanowski, CBC News, November 03/16

A newly-appointed chaplain for Toronto police is speaking out after coming under fire from the police union for comments made about marriage and women’s duties to their husbands.

Musleh Khan says he appreciates the criticism of his choice of words after a 2013 webinar surfaced.

Titled The Heart of the Home: the Rights and Responsibilities of a Wife, the webinar is intended for Muslim couples. In it, Khan states that a woman must be “obedient” to her husband.

In the almost hour-long seminar, Khan is heard saying that a woman must make herself available and “not withhold this right from her husband without a valid excuse,” such as sickness or obligatory fasting. The video is posted on the YouTube page for Pure Matrimony, a dating site that brands itself for “practicing single Muslims.”

“Upon deliberating on the definition of ‘obedience’ as being, ‘To yield to explicit instructions or orders from an authority figure,’ I agree that the term was inappropriate if used out of context,” Khan said in a statement Tuesday.

Words ‘inappropriate if used out of context,’ chaplain says

“I realise how someone unfamiliar with this nuance can misunderstand my imprecise translation to mean something different to my intended meaning, and the meaning that I know my audience at the time understood clearly,” he added, explaining that the Arabic word often translated as “obedience” in fact denotes loyalty, devotion and love.

In the webinar, Khan breaks down five duties of a wife and then goes on to describe the different rights of a wife. Some Islamic scholars even believe that if a woman “refuses without a valid reason then she has committed a major sin,” Khan says in the video.

“Even some scholars went as far as saying that even if it doesn’t feel right, or you’re just not in that emotional relationship you know it’s not the right manner, you’re not feeling that at that particular time, still try to make it happen, still try to force yourself even if you have to do that,” Khan said.

This list and the explanations behind it have the Toronto Police Association, the union that represents the city’s police officers and the Canadian Council of Muslim Women worried. Earlier Monday, the association raised questions about how the police service vets its chaplains.

Mike McCormack, president of the association, said he’s taken a look at the webinar and has received many calls and emails from concerned members.

 ‘It’s difficult enough having these comments out there in 2016’

“The comments that are attributed to this individual are not what the Toronto Police services or the Toronto Police Association is all about,” McCormack told CBC News.

 About 20 minutes into the video Khan explains that a woman should ask her husband’s permission before leaving the home because the man is “the main decision maker of the home.”

“I think it’s appalling,” Alia Hogben, the executive director of the Canadian Council of Muslim Women, told CBC News. “We’ve been fighting for Muslim women’s rights and something like this really sets us back.”

“If his personal opinions are going to interfere with the work he does as a chaplain, that’s pretty damaging for not only the police in Toronto but for the women he might counsel.”

What’s more, Hogben says, Khan’s comments reinforce a stereotype that anti-women views are intrinsic to Islam.

“It is not the Muslim view. Some people, as in any other religion or any other religious communities, think women should be quiet and all the rest of it but that is not the general view within Islam.”

Chaplain underwent ‘thorough background check,’ police say

McCormack agrees, saying comments like these aren’t appropriate for the police service to be associated with.

“We’re dealing with victims of domestic violence, where it is very traumatic for those victims and asking those victims to come forward,” he said.

“It’s difficult enough having these comments out there in 2016 in a country and in a city that doesn’t support this type of position.”….

 

Documented: Obama's "Traditional Muslim Bias" against Christians

Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/November 03/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/03/raymond-ibrahimgatestone-institute-documented-obamas-traditional-muslim-bias-against-christians/

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9244/obama-bias-against-christians

Those Arabs from nations with large Christian populations or with Christian names failed the Obama team's "religious tests."

The Obama government's bias against Mideast Christians closely resembles the traditional bias Christian minorities experience at the hands of Muslim governments.

When inviting scores of Muslim representatives, the State Department has been called out at least twice for denying visas to solitary Christian representatives.

When a few persecuted Iraqi Christians crossed the border into the U.S., they were thrown in prison for months and then sent back to the countries persecuting them, possibly to be enslaved, raped, or murdered.

When the Nigerian government waged an offensive against Boko Haram -- another Islamic group that regularly slaughters and rapes Christians and burn their churches -- and killed some of its terrorists, John Kerry fumed and called for the "human rights" of the jihadis.

It is against Islamic law to side with "infidels" against Muslims.

Almost a year ago, U.S. President Barack Hussein Obama called the suggestion that the U.S. give preference to Christian refugees over Muslim refugees "shameful." "That's not American. That's not who we are. We don't have religious tests to our compassion," he added loftily.

Now, WikiLeaks has released a 2008 email which discusses who should fill top staff positions should Obama win the presidency: it clearly proves that the Obama administration has long used "religious tests" -- but to discriminate against Christians in favor of Muslims

The email was sent from former New York Solicitor General Preeta D. Bansal to Michael Froman, a classmate of Obama's at Harvard and a member of the 12-person advisory board for the Obama campaign's transition team. The key passage reads:

In the candidates for top jobs, I excluded those with some Arab American background but who are not Muslim (e.g., George Mitchell). Many Lebanese Americans, for example, are Christian. In the last list (of outside boards/commissions), most who are listed appear to be Muslim American, except that a handful (where noted) may be Arab American but of uncertain religion (esp. Christian).

In other words, those Arabs from nations with large Christian populations or with Christian names failed the Obama team's "religious tests."

The discrimination is not limited just to top or prestigious jobs. Even in life and death situations, the Obama administration massively favors Muslims over Christians. Despite the U.S. government's acknowledgement that ISIS is committing genocide against Christians in Syria -- meaning that Christians, not Sunni Muslims, are being targeted for torture, slavery and death due solely to their religious identity -- statistics repeatedly show that the Obama administration has taken in a vastly disproportionate number of Sunni Muslims into the U.S.

When war erupted in Syria in 2011, approximately 75% of the population was Sunni Muslim and 10% Christian. If the U.S. were to admit Christian refugees in proportion to their population in Syria, about 1,260 Christians would by now have been resettled in the U.S. -- when in fact only 68 were. Sunni Muslims are only 75% percent of Syria's population but 99% of those received by the U.S.

Even the 1951 Refugee Convention lists five criteria that qualify applicants for refugee status: persecution for reasons of religion, race, nationality, political opinion or membership of a particular social group. Christians very clearly fit one of the criteria -- religious persecution -- whereas most of the Sunni Muslims entering America do not.

This discrepancy is no secret. Most recently, in an FOIA lawsuit filed by a federal appellate court against the Department of Homeland Security, Judge Daniel Manion wrote about his

"concern about the apparent lack of Syrian Christians as a part of immigrants from that country.... Perhaps 10 percent of the population of Syria is Christian, and yet less than one-half of one percent of Syrian refugees admitted to the United States this year are Christian.... To date, there has not been a good explanation for this perplexing discrepancy."

Far from being an aberration, the WikiLeaks revelation is simply the latest indicator that the Obama administration favors Muslims over Christians:

When inviting scores of Muslim representatives, the State Department has been called out at least twice for denying visas to solitary Christian representatives.

When a few persecuted Iraqi Christians crossed the border into the U.S., they were thrown in prison for several months and then sent back to the countries persecuting them, possibly to be enslaved, raped, or murdered.

When the Nigerian government waged a strong offensive against Boko Haram -- another Islamic group that regularly slaughters and rapes Christians and burn their churches -- and killed some of its terrorists, John Kerry fumed and called for the "human rights" of the jihadis.

When Egypt's persecuted Coptic Christians planned on joining Egypt's anti-Muslim Brotherhood revolution back in 2013, the U.S. said no.

When persecuted Iraqi and Syrian Christians asked for arms to join the opposition fighting ISIS, D.C. refused.

When the UN Security Council held a meeting to discuss the genocide against Christians and other minorities, although "many high level delegations from UN member states addressed the Security Council meeting, some at the Foreign Minister level, the United States failed to send ... a high ranking member of the State Department."

When a few persecuted Iraqi Christians crossed the border into the U.S., they were thrown in prison for several months and then sent back to the countries persecuting them, possibly to be enslaved, raped, or murdered. Pictured above: Members of California's Iraqi Christian community and their supporters protest the months-long detention of Iraqi Christian asylum-seekers at the Otay Mesa detention center. (Image source Al Jazeera video screenshot)

Perhaps the most significant aspect of all this is that the Obama government's bias against Mideast Christians closely resembles the traditional bias Christian minorities experience at the hands of Muslim governments. There are active and passive persecutors of Christians in the Muslim world. Muslim criminals, mobs, and terrorists actively persecute Christians, while Muslim governments passively enable them: when Muslims kidnap, rape, or kill Christians and destroy their churches, Muslim authorities rarely if ever do anything about it (it is against Islamic law to side with "infidels" against Muslims). Christian minorities in nations such as Egypt and Pakistan know this well. Muslim governments seldom if ever hire Christians to positions of authority (Islamic law bans the intentional placement of an "infidel" over a Muslim).

From preferring Muslims over Christians for positions of authority, to preferring Muslim refugees over Christian minorities - who are currently experiencing genocide -- the Obama government's bias against Christian "infidels" and favor for Muslims is identical to the behavior of Muslim governments.

To use the president's words, it is the Obama administration's own policies that are "shameful," that are "not American," and that do not represent "who we are."

 Raymond Ibrahim is the author of Crucified Again: Exposing Islam's New War on Christians (published by Regnery with Gatestone Institute, April 2013).

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Plans

Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/November 03/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9254/erdogan-irredentism

"Let us see how your Islamist friend [Erdogan] behaves after crushing the secular establishment." — The author to a friend, 2004.

To insist on the borders Turkey accepted in the 1923 Treaty of Lausanne "is the greatest injustice to be done to the country and to the nation." — Turkey's President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, October 19, 2016.

Erdogan's newfound claims seem to refer not only to wish to regain hegemony to the west (Greece) but also about the south (Syria) and the southeast (Iraq). Turkey evidently wishes to be part of an Iraqi- and Kurdish-led offensive against Mosul, controlled since 2014 by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS).

Sipping his ouzo at a café in Athens on a warm afternoon in 2004, a Greek diplomat friend smiled and said:

"You are wrong about Erdogan. He will reform Turkey's democratic culture, align it with the European Union, strengthen its ties with NATO and pursue a pro-peace policy in this part of the world. Meanwhile he will crush the secular army establishment and Turkey will no longer be a threat to any of its neighbors."

I said: "Let us see how your Islamist friend [Erdogan] behaves after crushing the secular establishment."

Twelve years later, I still enjoy our peaceful ouzo sessions with the same Greek friend. But things do not look equally peaceful between Turkey and its neighbors, including Greece.

Speaking at a public rally on October 22, President Erdogan said that "We did not accept our borders voluntarily." He went on to say, "At the time [when the current borders were drawn] we may have agreed to it but the real mistake is to surrender to that sacrifice." What does all that mean?

On October 19, Erdogan spoke of Turkey being constrained by foreign powers who "aim to make us forget our Ottoman and Seldjuk history," when Turkey's forefathers held territory stretching across Central Asia and the Middle East. His words came at a time when pro-government media was publishing maps depicting Ottoman borders encompassing an area that included Iraq's second largest city, Mosul, a former Ottoman province.

On the same day, he said:

"[In 1914] Our territories were as large as 2.5 million square kilometers, and after nine years at the time of the Lausanne Treaty it diminished to 780,000 square kilometres.... To insist on [the 1923 borders] is the greatest injustice to be done to the country and to the nation. While everything is changing in today's world, we cannot see to preserving our status of 1923 as a success."

Erdogan's newfound claims seem to refer not only to wish to regain hegemony to the west (Greece) but also about the south (Syria) and the southeast (Iraq). Turkey evidently wishes to be part of an Iraqi- and Kurdish-led offensive against Mosul, controlled since 2014 by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Turkey, it appears, would like to be part of the operation primarily to make sure that post-ISIS Mosul is "Sunni enough" and not Shiite.

In Syria, Turkey is targeting Kurds with the help of its allies, the semi-jihadist Islamists under the umbrella force of the Free Syrian Army (FSA). The Turkish military launched its land incursion into Syria on August 24 and has been controlling the area ever since, supporting from behind various Sunni Islamist factions under the SFA. On October 20, one day after Erdogan spoke of the "injustice of the 1923 borders," the Turkish military said its warplanes bombed U.S.-allied Kurdish fighters in northern Syria.

These bombings took place as Kurdish fighters were advancing against ISIS militants near Afrin, a city about 40 kilometers northwest of Aleppo. Turkey said its attacks killed 160 to 200 Kurdish fighters, but a predominantly Kurdish political party in Turkey, the HDN, said 14 people, including four civilians, were killed.

The move not only exposed the allied campaign against ISIS to unforeseen operational risks but also could create military tensions between Turkey and Syria, the latter supported by Iran and Russia. The Syrian government quickly warned that further Turkish planes in Syrian airspace will be "brought down by all means available."

On October 22, local sources informed the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights that the Turkish shelling was still continuing on areas controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces. On that day alone Turkish forces launched more than 200 tank and artillery shells and missiles.

Erdogan's pro-Ottoman revisionism may appeal to tens of millions of Turks' newfound pride, to their yearning for their forefathers' glorious past, and may even come in the form of more votes for the already popular president. But this irredentist sentiment, especially if further supported by military hardware, will only make a turbulent region even more turbulent -- including Turkish territory.

In 2013, The Economist published on its cover a photomontage of Ottoman Sultan Selim III and Turkey's then Prime Minister (now President) Recep Tayyip Erdogan, to illustrate Erdogan's growing autocratic tendencies (left). In 2015, Erdogan himself posed in his palace with the costumed "16 warriors" that guard him, who are meant to represent the 16 polities in Turkic history, including the Mughal empire, Timurid empire and Ottoman empire (right).

**Burak Bekdil, based in Ankara, is a Turkish columnist for the Hürriyet Daily and a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

America's "Arab Spring"

 Nonie Darwish/Gatestone Institute/November 03/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9245/america-arab-spring

President Obama appears to have been told that if all these secular dictators could be brought down, a magnificent Arab Spring would blossom. This was, it seems, precisely the goal of the Muslim Brotherhood: to get America's help to topple the dictatorships -- then mostly military and secular -- but then to replace them with themselves, Islamists.

After Egypt took down the Muslim Brotherhood, the goal of establishing the Islamic Caliphate in Egypt simply moved to Syria, the only Arab nation where a secular Muslim leader had survived the Arab Spring.

Promoting Islam also seems to have been a major factor in Obama's equation for America. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton followed suit, hosting several closed-door conferences on "Defamation of Religion," to suppress free speech and internationally criminalize any criticism of Islam with fines and prison. She would rather blame terrorism on free speech than on the violent tenets of Islam.

This escalating subversion should be reason enough for all Western democratic countries permanently to part company with the United Nations. Its history of corruption is neither new nor surprising, or that it is run anti-democratic "club of dictators" whose interests are opposite to ours.

The goals of U.S. President Barack Obama in the Middle East ended the rule of most of the "secular" Arab leaders in the area. His views may have come, partly at least, from propaganda on why Muslim people supposedly lacked freedom there. Obama appears to have been told that if all these secular dictators could be brought down, a magnificent Arab Spring would blossom.

This was, it seems, precisely the goal of the Muslim Brotherhood: to get America's help to topple the dictatorships -- then mostly military and secular -- but then to replace them with themselves, Islamists.

The goals of the Muslim Brotherhood happened to be in tune with Obama's goals in the Middle East. Obama's first major presidential speech took place in Cairo before a large number of Islamic sheikhs and members of the Muslim Brotherhood. They were empowered and given legitimacy by Obama. A scorned Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak did not attend; thus, with the blessing of the United States, the Muslim Brotherhood's rise to power in Egypt was begun.

Obama's first major presidential speech, on June 4, 2009, took place in Cairo before a large number of Islamic sheikhs and members of the Muslim Brotherhood. They were empowered and given legitimacy by Obama. A scorned Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak did not attend; thus, with the blessing of the United States, the Muslim Brotherhood's rise to power in Egypt was begun. (Image source: White House)

Today, ordinary Egyptians link the ascendancy of the Muslim Brotherhood directly to the Obama administration. Cairo was about to become the capital of the new Islamic Caliphate if Egyptians had not, after a year, come out in the millions to stop it.

The Obama administration did not appear happy with the counter-revolution, and the rise to power of Egypt's current president, General Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, and began doing everything it could to thwart it.

Egypt was back to square one: a military dictatorship that it had once convinced the West was the cause of its oppression.

America's "Arab Spring" adventure -- to topple secular dictators to bring about democracies -- did not exactly work as planned. Bringing freedom and democracy to the Middle East failed miserably, but the tyranny of the Caliphate, which had been the goal of the Muslim Brotherhood in the first place, was building. After Egypt took down the Muslim Brotherhood, the goal of establishing the Islamic Caliphate in Egypt simply moved to Syria, the only Arab nation where a secular Muslim leader had survived the Arab Spring.

Promoting Islam also seems to have been a major factor in Obama's equation for America. Before Obama started to implement his promise to "change America as we know it," he first had to change the Middle East as they knew it. Many of the changes over which he presided were in harmony with the goals of the Muslim Brotherhood. Its motto is: "Allah is our objective; the Prophet is our leader; the Quran is our law; Jihad is our way; dying in the way of Allah is our highest hope."

But while the Muslim brotherhood has been made illegal in Egypt, the Obama administration still refuses to label the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist organization. Under Obama, Islam became untouchable, not open to any kind of criticism. He even claimed that "Islam has been woven into the fabric of our country since its founding."

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton followed suit, and hosted several closed-door conferences in Washington and London on "Defamation of Religion," to suppress free speech and internationally criminalize any criticism of Islam with fines and prison.

Even in a recent debate, Clinton stated, "Islam was always part of American history -- even since the Revolutionary War."

She would rather blame terrorism on free speech than on the violent tenets of Islam.

Only a person from the Middle East could understand the immense value of such a gift to the goals of Islamic jihadists in America.

It is unfortunate that many Americans apparently still do not know that Islamists rewrite history in order to claim that any land they wish to conquer was originally Islamic or founded by Muslims -- even though historically Islam did not exist until seventh century, hundreds of years after Judaism and Christianity.

Today, Muslims have re-written their history books to claim that Muslims originally built the ancient Jewish Biblical sites, and the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) has bowed to the wishes of Qatar and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) -- a bloc of 56 Islamic nations plus "Palestine" -- to back up this fiction. UNESCO recently passed resolutions obscenely declaring ancient Jewish Biblical monuments -- such as Hebron's Cave of the Patriarchs, Rachel's Tomb in Bethlehem and Jerusalem's Temple Mount, home of the great ancient Jewish Temples -- Islamic sites.

Which country will be next? This escalating subversion should be reason enough for all Western democratic countries permanently to part company with the United Nations. Its history of corruption is neither new nor surprising, or that it is run anti-democratic "club of dictators" whose interests are opposite to ours.

Jihadists today are stating that they also have a claim over Italy, Greece, and Spain -- and now America. Obama and Hillary Clinton actually just solidified such claims for future Muslim history books about who actually built America.

Americans have a choice: they can either keep on empowering Islam, and helping extremist Muslims infiltrate into the American system -- even as there is a resolution in the House of Representatives to shut down all criticism of Islam -- or they can end the gamble of the current administration, which seems bent on changing America forever by allowing the worldwide empowerment of Islam. They can continue the Islamist "Arab Spring" revolution to change "America as we know it" or preserve the freedoms of the American republic.

It has recently become clear through WikiLeaks that the American system is indeed rigged and that Washington DC has turned into a swamp; or more accurately an "Arab Spring" swamp.

Egypt, on a much smaller scale, had to face such a choice in 2012-13, between life under the values of the Muslim Brotherhood or a life under a sliver of hope for a democracy, which Islam, under its laws, can never allow.

Both Egyptians and the West sorely need to understand that Islamic law, sharia, does not permit anything other than an Islamic government under the rule of Islamic law. Consequently, only military force can stand against sharia tyranny. The Muslim Brotherhood had proven once again that the only way out of Islamic theocracies is through military dictatorships.

A head-on collision over the future of America is underway. Many Americans still do not understand the magnitude of what is at stake, but many Islamists do: they are lying in wait, hoping to return to their budding Caliphate.

Nonie Darwish, a Middle East Expert, is the author of Wholly Different: Why I Chose Biblical Values over Islamic Values."

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

Is a Turkey-Iraq war likely?

Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/November 03/16

The political situation between Turkey and Iraq is at its worst. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has reiterated that his forces will strongly participate in liberating Mosul from ISIS. Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi responded by warning against provoking a confrontation if Turkey participated in the battle. Disputes go beyond the city of Mosul and reflect the struggle and threats facing the region. Iraqi media outlets picture the Turkish role in Mosul as a sectarian one, opposed to the Shiites. This is an incorrect depiction that exploits the statements of Arab journalists who interpret Turkish statements based on their own whims. Truth be told, Turkish military has never indulged in sectarian activities. The Turkish army has not engaged in a single battle against the Shiite or the Alawaites. It did not fight against the Assad forces or Iranian or Russian forces or Hezbollah. All the battles which Turkish forces have fought have been against ISIS, the Kurdish-Turkish separatists and the Kurdish-Syrians allied with the latter. All these are Sunnis and not Shiites. It fought them because they represent a threat to Turkey’s unity and stability.

Therefore, Turkish military operations have nothing to do with sectarian conflicts like Iraqi leaders claim or like Arabs, who naively think that Turkey is willing to engage in sectarian conflicts. Turkey is itself a multicultural and multiethnic country.

I believe, the Turks are now paying the price of their mistakes when, during the beginning of the Syrian uprising when they avoided intervening in areas close to their borders. They did not specify the areas which they believe harm their national security and which they will defend by force.

For example, the Aleppo governorate represents their geographic and historical expansion. As a result, Iran exerted its influence inside Syria and is bargaining with the West and Arabs over it.

Ankara wants to fight ISIS in Mosul and to prevent the fighting from targeting the Turkmen and others. However, Iran is leading the military and political confrontation in Mosul and also against Turkey. As for the Iraqi government, we all know it’s helpless.

Despite the threats against its interests, I don’t think the Turkish leadership has the desire for a confrontation even though its army is much stronger than Iran’s and Iraq’s and is also better equipped

Filling the vacuum

The Iranians have succeeded at filling the vacuum during the years after US President Barack Obama withdrew forces from Iraq. They formed sectarian militias, which challenge the government. They called them Popular Mobilization and worked to weaken the central authority like they did in Lebanon. These militias are now preparing to cross over to Syria as well. The Turks have tried diplomatic channels and sent a delegation to Baghdad. The Iraqis responded and sent an envoy to Ankara. However, these efforts did not succeed.

So will the Turks defend the people of these areas through their forces which are present in the surroundings? Will they confront the Popular Mobilization forces which are heading to occupy Tal Afar? Will they do something if the Popular Mobilization forces crossed toward the Syrian city of Hasakah as there’s been preliminary information about that?

The Iranians are acting quickly as they race against time before the American elections are over and they want to benefit from the slogan of “fighting terrorism”. They want to expand and launch multiple wars to tighten control over strategic border crossings between Syria, Iraq and oil-rich zones. However, despite the threats against its interests, I don’t think the Turkish leadership has the desire for a confrontation even though its army is much stronger than Iran’s and Iraq’s and is also better equipped. Iranian forces and their militias, which they brought from Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq and Lebanon, are heading toward Turkish borders and are pursuing Syrian opposition forces which support Turkey. They have also encouraged establishing a buffer zone for the Kurds and this is tantamount to a scarecrow to Ankara’s government. At the same time, the Turks are paying the price on the economic and security levels as they host more than two million Syrian refugees and face an Iranian-Russian scheme to transfer battles to their territory with the support of Turkish-Kurdish separatists.

The Iran factor

The Iraqis who openly support Tehran say if Turkey dares defy them in Mosul, they will work on fragmenting Turkey itself. The situation indeed is very difficult. The Turks will be once again be proven wrong if they think the war will end at the Ba’shiqah camp in Iraq where their forces are present. That’s not the case at all. Iranians want to control the centers of political command in Baghdad and Damascus and oil-rich areas in Mosul and the Syrian city of Deir az-Zour and to restrain Turkey on the regional level.

Despite all this, I rule it out that threats between the Iraqi and Turkish commands will lead their two armies to a clash. These threats aim to besiege the Turks through intimidation to force them out so Iran can expand its influence over Nineveh, the surrounding governorates, the trade routes, south Syria and other passages. Turkey is in a difficult position which requires from it to form an opposing camp that proves its credibility on the ground.

*This article was first published Asharq al-Awsat on Nov. 03, 2016.

 

Iraq after the liberation of Mosul

Talmiz Ahmad/Al Arabiya/November 03/16

As Iraqi forces hammer away at the gates of Mosul and the fall of this “capital” of ISIS in Iraq becomes imminent, a number of political and economic uncertainties will suffuse the Iraqi state and challenge the capacities of its leaders.

Iraq has been in the throes of violence for over 35 years in which its physical infrastructure and state institutions have been destroyed by foreign invasion and war, its population has been reduced to penury, and the integrity of the state has been experiencing repeated blows from forces of sectarianism, separatism and militancy. Old fault-lines have been re-opened and made to bleed afresh. Its tribulations have also encouraged its neighbors to interfere in its domestic affairs by backing one side or the other in the country’s internecine conflicts.

All these divisions are apparent in the ongoing battle to liberate Mosul. The Iraqi national forces trained in counter-terrorism are backed by motley groups representing Shiite militia, Sunni tribal elements, some Sunni militia from the Ninewah province, and Kurdish peshmerga. These are being supported by advisers from Iran and US and NATO special forces and air power. At the same time, Turkey has about 2,000 troops massed at Mosul’s northwest border, ostensibly to train the Sunni militia and the Kurds of the Barzani faction.

However, the remarks of President Erdogan and his senior ministers suggest that Turkey may have the larger agenda of safeguarding the interests of its Turkoman allies in Mosul and generally protecting the Sunnis from harm, even as the president has recalled that Mosul and Kirkuk, indeed the whole Ninewah province, were “part of our [Turkey’s] soul”, raising concerns in Baghdad that Turkey might seek to recapture its territory lost to the British after the World War I.

The immediate aftermath of Mosul’s liberation will determine whether Iraq affirms its ruinous sectarian divide or emerges as a pluralistic state that accommodates its Sunni population and gives it a place of dignity in the political and economic order

The immediate aftermath

The immediate aftermath of Mosul’s liberation will determine whether Iraq affirms its ruinous sectarian divide or emerges as a pluralistic state that accommodates its Sunni population and gives it a place of dignity in the political and economic order. This will largely depend on the government’s ability to control the Shiite militia, the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF), which has acquired a reputation for blood-thirsty vengeance on Sunni populations in “liberated” towns for the earlier barbaric violence of ISIS on the Shiite.

It will also reveal whether the Kurds will be happy to be part of this eclectic system or will assert their demand for independence. This could plunge the region into conflict for several years to come, possibly bringing in Turkey and Iran as players in crushing these aspirations with military force.

A united and pluralistic Iraq at peace with itself will provide its prime minister Haidar al-Abadi the opportunity to undertake initiatives for the revival of his country’s economy and improve the wretched lives of its citizens.

The challenges are daunting. Besides the severely damaged infrastructure and an economic order near collapse, the country that depends on oil for 90 percent of its revenues has been most adversely affected by the precipitate fall in oil prices, the capture of some of its northern oil fields by ISIS and recent damage to them by retreating ISIS forces, and disputes with the Kurdish Regional Government [KRG] on the sharing of revenues from the Kirkuk fields that are operated by the central government but exported through the Kurdish-controlled Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline.

The oil factor

But, some positive signs are apparent. Oil prices seem to have bottomed out and are expected to range around $ 50/ barrel in this this year and the next. Again, Iraq’s production has reached the record level of 4.7 million barrels per day. Finally, in September this year, the Iraqi government and the KRG have concluded a revenue-sharing agreement on the Kirkuk fields which will boost production and exports.

With assured oil revenues, Prime Minister Abadi’s economic reform agenda will need to be comprehensive and ambitious. Given that the government employs 20 percent of the national labor force that accounts for 70 percent of the national budget, he will need to begin by trimming the bureaucracy, stamping out its corruption and making it more productive. Here, he enjoys the full support of influential religious leaders such as Ayatollah Sistani and Muqtada Sadr.

The rest of the effort will have to be in areas, such as: developing the country’s physical infrastructure, focusing on education and training, repairing and upgrading state-owned corporate institutions, reviving the banking and insurance systems, and promoting the entrepreneurial spirit by encouraging small and medium enterprises.

The liberation of Mosul will provide the Iraqi people with an historic opportunity to repair the extensive harm done to them and their country and re-emerge as a successful and self-confident nation. We will know very soon how effectively they rise to this challenge.

**Talmiz Ahmad is the former Indian Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Oman and the UAE.

 

The ‘Jungle’ is closed, but the chaos of EU migration policy continues

Yossi Mekelberg/Al Arabiya/November 03/16

Demolishing the infamous refugee camp in Calais, known as the “Jungle”, closes a chapter in the mistreatment of migrants in Europe with no signs that a more humane one is about to open. Every single historic period is defined by one or two major issues that reflect and leave deep marks on an entire era. Migration, no doubt, is the one that consumes the political, economic and intellectual energy of Europe in the early part of the 21st century. It divides societies and has long term repercussions on attitudes to human rights, adhering to domestic and international law, international cooperation and the ability to form effective policies in face of great challenges.

The international community as a whole failed quite badly in all of these challenges, leaving Europe’s migration policy broken and marred with nationalism and racism. Calais exposed the best and the worst in us as people and as societies. On the verge of its demolition last week the biggest shantytown in Europe hosted around 6000 people, mainly from Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Sudan and Eretria.

The anti-migration movement in France called to repatriate them back to their home countries, while their UK counterparts resisted any of them crossing the British channel, regardless of what fate was awaiting them. On the other hand, there were enormous expressions of kindness and support from individuals and NGOs. They ensured that almost everyone was fed, clothed, sheltered, enjoyed adequate hygiene, as much as possible, and that kids had access to education. Yet, this unofficial refugee camp was never an answer to the plight of the people who resided there.

Considering the conditions that the inhabitants of this makeshift camp had to endure, one can hardly shed too many tears about its demise. Nevertheless, what is in store for the evacuees is of great concern, especially for unaccompanied minors.

The manner in which we deal with refugees, the least privileged in our world, also tests our sincerity in adhering to international law and commitment to international conventions

No fault of theirs

For now, the former occupants of the “Jungle” are in French “reception centers”, waiting to hear who will be the lucky ones to be granted refugee or asylum seeker status, and who has the dangerous misfortune of being forced to return to their home countries. The demolition of the “Jungle” in Calais may remove the blemish of keeping human beings, especially very vulnerable ones, in dreadful conditions, as if it were their fault that they needed to flee from the dangers of war, conflict, political persecution, and yes, sometimes just in search of opportunity to escape extreme poverty.

Nevertheless, it does not remove the stain of not finding an adequate solution for those removed from the camp, and even worse not forging a comprehensive European policy towards migration, in particular for those whose lives are in danger.

It would be irresponsible and counterproductive to dismiss the fears and concerns expressed by many ordinary citizens across the continent vis-à-vis migration, even if on most occasions, anger towards migrants is misplaced and instead governments’ policies are to blame.

Population movement results, in some cases, in pressure on infrastructure and services, tensions between local and newly arrived communities and in the short term increases competition over jobs. In the longer run economic migration will be Europe’s salvation. Figures show that as a result of an ageing population, EU countries will move from having about four people of working age for every person over the age of 65 years, to two working-age people by 2060.

Proactive planning

Instead of vilifying economic migrants and cynically exploiting deep-seated xenophobic tendencies among some segments of the European population, it is time for a pro-active planning that projects the economic needs of Europe and how they correspond with proper migration policies. This can also feed into addressing the plight of refugees and asylum seekers that are reaching our shores. Instead of seeing them as competitors and a threat to the European way of life, they could alternatively be treated as potential contributors to economic and social life. Especially if one takes into account their relatively small numbers in terms of the EU population. Most refugees flee to neighbouring countries and remain in their region of origin.

Turkey is the host country of more than 2.5 million refugees and Lebanon with its small population of 4 million is the host of 1.1 million refugees. Both of these are countries with a much lower GDP per capita and less advanced infrastructure than most European countries. There is no escape from admitting that our attitude to the less fortunate, reflects on the quality of our societies. The manner in which we deal with refugees, the least privileged in our world, also tests our sincerity in adhering to international law and commitment to international conventions.

Article 14(1) of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights guarantees the right to seek and enjoy asylum in other countries, and the Convention relating to the Status of Refugees of 1951, established the principle of not forcing refugees or asylum seekers to return to a country in which they are likely to be subjected to persecution.

Among those evacuated from the “Jungle”, there were many unaccompanied children under the age of 15, who are the most vulnerable, especially girls. Around 1,000 of them are left in the demolished Calais camp. Many of them have the right to asylum in EU countries, where they have relatives, but no one bothered to inform them about their rights, or in many cases the bureaucracy is deliberately slow and grinding.

Surely, it is our obligation as individuals and societies to protect these kids from being exploited by criminals and extremists – for their sake as much as ours. Only an approach free of bias and prejudice will equip us with much needed wisdom to look after refugees with humanity, which will also serve the wellbeing and prosperity of our own societies.

 

Western Leaders: Pressure Saudis to Give Christians Religious Rights

Hilal Khashan/The Hill/November 1, 2016

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/03/hilal-khashanthe-hillwestern-leaders-pressure-saudis-to-give-christians-religious-rights/

http://www.meforum.org/6345/modernization-without-religious-tolerance-in-saudi-arabia

Originally published under the title "'Modernization' without Religious Tolerance in Saudi Arabia."

Prince Mohammed met with Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg in Silicon Valley last June. Three months earlier, Saudi Grand Mufti Abdul Aziz bin Abdullah declared that it's "necessary to destroy all the churches of the region."

Bloomberg recently listed Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman 42nd on its list of 50 Most Influential movers and shakers in finance. An Oct. 15 New York Times profile called him the "most dynamic royal" in Saudi Arabia, "a man who is trying to overturn tradition." Unfortunately, he's not trying hard enough.

Prince Mohammed, 31, is the public face behind Saudi Vision 2030, a 15-year plan of regulatory, budget, and policy reforms unveiled in April. It is designed to build a "prosperous and sustainable economic future" for the kingdom by reducing dependence on oil exports and implementing a privatization program that will supposedly create a sovereign wealth fund of more than $2 trillion, the world's largest.

Acutely aware of its growing need for Western capital investment and technology, the kingdom has shown small signs of reducing its horrendous violations of political and civil liberties, such as granting women limited suffrage, and improving government transparency. The Saudis are today even willing acknowledge the role their kingdom played in creating Al-Qaeda and other Islamist currents. "We did not own up to it after 9/11 because we feared you would abandon or treat us as the enemy," one senior Saudi official told Politico. "And we were in denial."

But there is one area where no reform appears to be in the offing. As the kingdom embarks on a revolutionary project to reduce its dependence on oil and increase direct foreign investment, it does not seem to appreciate the importance of religious tolerance in a society trying to open its economy to the world.

The Saudis don't seem to appreciate the importance of religious tolerance in a modern society.

In recent weeks, the Saudi authorities deported 27 Lebanese Christians for the crime of conducting non-Islamic prayers, the kingdom's religious police ordered a clothing outlet to cover the U.K. flag on the logo of British International School uniforms because it displays the Christian cross, and a video surfaced of a leading Saudi cleric calling on God to grant mujahideen (jihadists) in Syria and Iraq "victory over the godless Rafidah (Shia Muslims) ... the treacherous Jews, and over the spiteful Christians" in a sermon at the Grand Mosque in Mecca.

As William McCants of the Brookings Institution recently told Politifact, "official Saudi textbooks teach that Christians are seeking to destroy the religion and must be hated as a consequence." Despite the fact that 1.5 to 2 million Christians, mostly Filipino and other southeast Asian expatriates, live and work in the kingdom, Saudi Arabia is the only country in the world that does not allow the building of churches or even the open practice of Christian religious rites. Most expatriates live in loneliness away from their families and loved ones. Restrictions on their freedom to worship compounds this isolation.

The Saudis can take advantage of poor Christian workers (and those of other faiths) because their remittance dependent governments lack negotiating leverage.

There is a lot the West can do to pressure Riyadh to extend full religious rights to Christians.

While there is little that labor-intensive Asian societies can do to pressure Riyadh to extend full religious rights to Christian workers, there is a lot that the West can do. So long as the Saudis depend on Western capital investment and advanced technology, the United States is uniquely positioned to press for greater religious freedoms for Christians and other non-Muslims.

While it may be unrealistic to expect this from the White House, the U.S. Congress has shown greater willingness to challenge Saudi Arabia as of late. The Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act (JASTA), which would strip away the "sovereign immunity" of foreign governments against terrorism lawsuits, has passed both houses of Congress, with the Senate overriding President Obama's veto last month. Another bipartisan bill was introduced earlier this month to block the recently-proposed sale of Abrams tanks and other military equipment to the kingdom until its human rights record improves.

It's time for the United States and other Western governments to tell the Saudis that business-as-usual relations cannot continue unless their kingdom puts in place the building blocks of religious tolerance and pluralism. Saudi officials may bitterly object, but those who are fighting for real reform inside the kingdom need this ultimatum to win out over hardliners.

*Hilal Khashan is a professor of political science at the American University of Beirut and a fellow at the Middle East Forum. For more on this topic, see his article in the Summer 2016 issue of Middle East Quarterly.