LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

November 6/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletin16/english.november06.16.htm

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
 I tell you, you are Peter, and on this rock I will build my church, and the gates of Hades will not prevail against it
 Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 16/13-20/:'When Jesus came into the district of Caesarea Philippi, he asked his disciples, ‘Who do people say that the Son of Man is?’And they said, ‘Some say John the Baptist, but others Elijah, and still others Jeremiah or one of the prophets.’He said to them, ‘But who do you say that I am?’Simon Peter answered, ‘You are the Messiah, the Son of the living God.’And Jesus answered him, ‘Blessed are you, Simon son of Jonah! For flesh and blood has not revealed this to you, but my Father in heaven. And I tell you, you are Peter, and on this rock I will build my church, and the gates of Hades will not prevail against it. I will give you the keys of the kingdom of heaven, and whatever you bind on earth will be bound in heaven, and whatever you loose on earth will be loosed in heaven.’Then he sternly ordered the disciples not to tell anyone that he was the Messiah." 
 
 Jesus entered once for all into the Holy Place, not with the blood of goats and calves, but with his own blood, thus obtaining eternal redemption
 Letter to the Hebrews 09/01-12/:"Even the first covenant had regulations for worship and an earthly sanctuary. For a tent was constructed, the first one, in which were the lampstand, the table, and the bread of the Presence; this is called the Holy Place.
 Behind the second curtain was a tent called the Holy of Holies. In it stood the golden altar of incense and the ark of the covenant overlaid on all sides with gold, in which there were a golden urn holding the manna, and Aaron’s rod that budded, and the tablets of the covenant; above it were the cherubim of glory overshadowing the mercy-seat. Of these things we cannot speak now in detail. Such preparations having been made, the priests go continually into the first tent to carry out their ritual duties;
 but only the high priest goes into the second, and he but once a year, and not without taking the blood that he offers for himself and for the sins committed unintentionally by the people. By this the Holy Spirit indicates that the way into the sanctuary has not yet been disclosed as long as the first tent is still standing. This is a symbol of the present time, during which gifts and sacrifices are offered that cannot perfect the conscience of the worshipper, but deal only with food and drink and various baptisms, regulations for the body imposed until the time comes to set things right. But when Christ came as a high priest of the good things that have come, then through the greater and perfect tent (not made with hands, that is, not of this creation), he entered once for all into the Holy Place, not with the blood of goats and calves, but with his own blood, thus obtaining eternal redemption."

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 05-06/16
Hezbollah may have secured its domestic flank through election of its ally Aoun but interminable war in Syria will con­tinue to sap party’s resources./Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/November 11/16
Aoun has no agenda for Lebanon except more sectarianism/Ali al-Amin/The Arab Weekly//November 06/16
A new reign in Lebanon ushers in new challenges/Khairallah Khairallah/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16
Michel Aoun: Machiavelli’s Prince or Saint-Exupéry’s Little Prince/Claude Salhani/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16
Aoun’s election in Lebanon carries regional implications/Ed Blanche/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16
A president ‘made in Lebanon and abroad’/Eyad Abu Shakra/Al Arabiya/November 05/16
Islam's "Human Rights"/Janet Tavakoli/Gatestone Institute/ November 05/16
Let’s close the Mideast gender gap in less than 129 years/Yara al-Wazir/Al Arabiya/November 05/16
Iraqi and Syrian moderates must join forces to quell extremism/Tallha Abdulrazaq/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16
Iran sees Syria’s future as its zombie state/Tom Regan/The Arab Weekly/November o6/16
Erdogan is closing in on vision of one-man rule/Yavuz Baydar/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16

 
Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 05-06/16
Hariri Concludes Second Day of Unbinding Consultations
Report: Berri Says Geagea wants to Keep Kataeb and Marada Out of Cabinet
Hariri after Consultations: Atmospheres Were Positive, Cooperation with Aoun and Berri Continue
Report: Inclination to Form 30-Minister Cabinet, as Hariri Continues with Consultations
Aoun Receives Congratulatory Cables from Hollande and Others
Zahra: LF Doesn't Want to Exclude anyone from Government
Zarif Expected in Beirut Next Week
Russian Official to Arrive in Lebanon on Congratulatory Visit to Aoun
Rifi Urges 'Popular, Political Action', Vows to Confront 'Iranian Hegemony'
Gemayel says Kataeb will stand by new Lebanese President Aoun
Nasrallah calls for national unity govt
Aoun foresees unified foreign policy
Lebanon Policy in the Incoming US Administration
Hezbollah may have secured its domestic flank through election of its ally Aoun but interminable war in Syria will con­tinue to sap party’s resources.
Aoun has no agenda for Lebanon except more sectarianism
A new reign in Lebanon ushers in new challenges
Michel Aoun: Machiavelli’s Prince or Saint-Exupéry’s Little Prince?
Aoun’s election in Lebanon carries regional implications
A president ‘made in Lebanon and abroad’

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 05-06/16 
Raqa Assault to Likely Take Longer than Pentagon Chief Predicts
Iraqi Forces in New Push into Mosul
Iran Is the Second Saddest Country in the World
Iran: Political Prisoner Shouts "Down With Khamenei"
Saudi, Iran Stoke Sunni-Shia Tensions in Nigeria
More Protests Against Plundering by Iran Regime’s Officials
Iran: Education International (EI) Launches a Global Campaign to Free Teachers Union Leader
Iraqi Troops Battle For Last Town Before Mosul
Chibok Schoolgirl Kidnapped By Boko Haram Is Found In Nigeria
Clinton Touts Optimism against Trump's Grim Warnings
Kidnapped Italians, Canadian Released in Libya
UK Ex-Minister Says MoD Misled Him over Saudi Arms Deal
Kuwait Opposition Abandons Failed' Poll Boycott
 
Links From Jihad Watch Site for on November 05-06/16
Clinton Foundation admits it didn’t tell State Dept about $1 million from Qatar while Hillary was Secretary of State
Muslim persecution forces convert from Islam to Christianity to flee home under armed guard…in the UK
Irish Catholic converts to Islam, blows himself up
Indonesia: Tens of thousands of Muslims screaming “Allahu akbar” demand arrest of Christian governor for blasphemy
Germany: Muslim migrant who admired Hitler for killing Jews tortures and rapes girlfriend
Hillary gave visa to Egyptian jihadist to visit State Department, White House and lobby for jihad bomb plotter’s release
Canadian parliament passes anti-Islamophobia motion
Toronto: Muslim police chaplain who taught that marriage with 9-year-old is acceptable to stay with force
Anni Cyrus’ “Unknown”: The Shady Pieces of the Islamization Puzzle
BREAKING NEWS: Robert Spencer Puts On Glazov Gang T-Shirt!

Links From Christian Today Site for on November 05-06/16
Iraqi Troops Battle For Last Town Before Mosul
Muslims And Christians In Pakistan Are Working Together To Defeat False Blasphemy Accusations
Is This Christianity's Digital Future? London's Oldest Church Leaps Forward With 21st Century Technology
Trump Campaign Makes Final Play For Evangelical Votes With Pence Video
God Gave Me A Vision That Trump Will Be President, Says Pastor Saeed Abedini
Tens Of Thousands Of Muslim Hardliners Demand Jail For Christian Governor In Jakarta
Internet Campaign Raises $200,000 For Church Vandalised With 'Vote Trump'
Chibok Schoolgirl Kidnapped By Boko Haram Is Found In Nigeria

Latest Lebanese Related News published on November 05-06/16

Hariri Concludes Second Day of Unbinding Consultations

Naharnet/November 05/16/Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri concluded the second and final day of unbinding consultations with lawmakers on Saturday to form a new cabinet. He first met with the Syrian Social Nationalist Party. After the meeting leader of the SSNP said: “The government's priority must go to the social and economic issues and to meet the needs of the citizens to encourage them to stay in their country. Reform begins with stipulating an election law that does justice to the Lebanese. He added: “It is our right to have a sovereign ministerial portfolio.”

Hariri later met with MP Emile Rahme who said: “I have asked for the formation of a national unity government. “The trilogy of army-people-resistance is what made Lebanon reach these entitlements, and I hope it is mentioned in the ministerial statement.” Hizbullah's Loyalty to the Resistance later met Hariri. MP Mohammed Raad said: “The atmospheres are optimistic and we agreed to follow a mechanism for the distribution of portfolios.

“We reiterated the need to address the living conditions and to improve the security situation in addition to the necessity to stipulate an electoral law that provides just representation.”On behalf of the Armenian MPs bloc, MP Agop Pakradonian said after meeting Hariri: “We suggested the formation of a 32-minister cabinet that can represent even the minorities. We urged for a speedy but not hasty formation of a cabinet.”Al-Jamaa al-Islamiya MP Mohammed al-Hout said: “We would like to be represented in the cabinet. I expressed our hopes that the ministerial statement begins with the Baabda declaration and the oath of office (made by Aoun).”

For his part, MP Robert Ghanem said: “I have asked Hariri to form a national unity government that restores confidence in the State and its institutions and that brings back the Arab investments to Lebanon to create job opportunities.”

“We expect a speedy government formation to reactivate the state's institutions and solve the people's problems. We reminded of the need not to exclude any sect from any ministry,” MP Michel Pharaon said. After meeting with Hariri, MP Serge Ter Sarkisian stated: “This government should be productive. Power lies in the President and the PM, not in the ministers.”MP Ahmed Fatfat of the Mustaqbal bloc met with Hariri alone at first and later joined the bloc which is headed by MP Fouad Saniora, who said: “We urged for a quick cabinet formation and we wish that everyone facilitates the process.” Former prime minister Hariri was nominated Thursday to form Lebanon's next government. Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of Free Patriotic Movement founder and ex-army chief Michel Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president on Monday, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Report: Berri Says Geagea wants to Keep Kataeb and Marada Out of Cabinet

Naharnet/November 05/16/Speaker Nabih Berri has warned PM-designate Saad Hariri that the Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea plans to keep the Kataeb party and Marada Movement out of the new government formula, al-Akhbar daily reported on Saturday. The daily said that Geagea is trying to limit the Christian representation in the new cabinet to his LF ministers. Berri has advised Hariri to seek to pick ministers from both the Kataeb and Matrad as he expressed willingness to facilaite any obstacles that might hamper this step, according to al-Akhbar. Hariri began his consultations on Friday with the parliamentarians to form the new cabinet after being nominated to the post by 112 out of 126 members of parliament. The consultations will continue on Saturday. Hariri met with several blocs on Friday including the Lebanese Forces. The LF bloc MP George Adwan said after the meeting that his bloc demanded “a sovereign ministerial portfolio, a services-related portfolio and a mid-caliber portfolio.” “We want a government in which all parties would abide by its decisions without boycotting or obstruction. Those who want to practice obstruction or opposition are free to stay outside Cabinet,” Adwan added. Former prime minister Hariri was nominated Thursday to form Lebanon's next government. Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of Free Patriotic Movement founder and ex-army chief Michel Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president on Monday, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Hariri after Consultations: Atmospheres Were Positive, Cooperation with Aoun and Berri Continue

Naharnet/November 05/16/Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri stressed on Saturday after concluding the consultations with lawmakers to form a new government that the atmospheres were generally positive, as he assured that joint cooperation with President Michel Aoun and Speaker Nabih Berri continue in that regard. “I will brief the President as for the consultations. All the atmospheres are positive since we all want to form a new government as fast as possible,” said Hariri. To a question on the demands of some blocs to be given sovereign ministerial portfolios, Hariri said: “This is something normal that we will discuss with the President.”“We are positive as for the cooperation with all political forces in the country to form a national unity government,” he added. “Parliamentary blocs differ in sizing. They will be represented depending on that.”Hariri launched two-day consultations on Friday with members of parliament after his designation to form a new government one day before. Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of Free Patriotic Movement founder and ex-army chief Michel Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president on Monday, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees.

In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Report: Inclination to Form 30-Minister Cabinet, as Hariri Continues with Consultations

Naharnet/November 05/16/Among the ongoing consultations to form a new government after the designation of PM Saad Hariri, there is a tendency to form an all-inclusive 30-minister government instead of the usual 24, to pave way for the representation of all political parties, An Nahar daily reported on Saturday. Sources following up closely on the consultations said there is “semi-final trend to form a government of thirty ministers to include a broader political participation,” which will be formed under the banner of “consensus and national unity.”“None of the political parties are to be distanced including those that opposed the election of President Michel Aoun such as the Marada and Kataeb,” they added. “This time, the government will not be under the pressure of an 'obstructing third' because it is no more applicable now that the cards are shuffled and the alliances with Aoun are different,” remarked the sources. The new government could include some new state-portfolios. To avoid a prolonged formation process, Aoun and Hariri could be pushed to form a technocrat cabinet shall the conditions set by political parties and demands to get specific portfolios mount. Hariri began consultations on Friday with the parliamentarians to form the new cabinet after being nominated to the post by 112 out of 126 members of parliament.

The consultations will continue on Saturday.

Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of Free Patriotic Movement founder and ex-army chief Michel Aoun as Lebanon's 13th president on Monday, which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Aoun Receives Congratulatory Cables from Hollande and Others

Naharnet/November 05/16/French President Francois Hollande said that the election of General Michel Aoun as head of the Lebanese republic was a “historic event for the friends of Lebanon,” adding that this election constitutes a guarantee for the hopes of the Lebanese people. “Lebanon can still be a model of the Middle East,” Hollande said in a congratulatory letter he sent to Aoun. “A new page is opened for Lebanon with your election, which today needs more than any time before, strong institutions to face challenges resulting from the regional situation, whether from the terrorist threat or from the humanitarian crisis it is facing due to the war in Syria,” he added, hoping a national unity government would be formed in the nearest time possible. Moreover, Aoun received similar cables from Queen Elizabeth of England, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, Swiss President Johann Schneider-Ammann, President of Tajikistan Emomali Rahmon, Senegalese President Macky Sall, Cuban Prime Minister Raoul Castro, Kuwaiti Crown Prince Nawaf al-Ahmad al-Jaber al-Sabah, and Bahraini Prime Minister Khalifa Bin Salman al-Khalifa.

 

Zahra: LF Doesn't Want to Exclude anyone from Government

Naharnet/November 05/16/Lebanese Forces MP Antoine Zahra clarified that claims alleging that the LF wants to exclude certain political parties from the new government were untrue, As Sharq al-Awsat daily reported on Saturday. “There is a difference between a government of national unity and a government that works for national unity,” said Zahra in an interview to the daily. “When we say that the opposition should stay out of the government, we do not intend to exclude a certain political party. We mean to say that including all the political components disrupt democracy and therefore it is better that things carry on normally through the presence of pro-government and the opposition. Since the stipulation of the Taef Accord we have become used to governments of national unity which has disrupted accountability,” he went on to say. Zahra's comments came after reports said that Speaker Nabih Berri has warned PM-designate Saad Hariri that the LF chief Samir Geagea plans to keep the Kataeb party and Marada Movement out of the new government formula. On Thursday, Hariri was formally tasked with forming a new government after he received a sweeping majority of 112 votes in the binding parliamentary consultations. Hariri's key support had contributed to the election of President Michel Aoun who also received crucial support from Hizbullah and the Lebanese Forces. On Monday, Aoun was elected as Lebanon's 13th president which ended around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.

 

Zarif Expected in Beirut Next Week

Naharnet/November 05/16/Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif is expected to arrive in Beirut next week for talks with senior Lebanese officials on the bilateral relations between the two countries, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Saturday. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bahram Ghasemi said that the arrangements for the visit are currently being prepared. He said: “Due to the relationship between Iran and Lebanon, and the role that the country plays in the region's security and stability, there are talks in progress between the two sides.” He added: “Zarif will meet with a number of high-level officials in the Lebanese government and will discuss the relations between the two sides and ways of developing them in the political, economic and cultural levels, especially after the changes that Lebanon witnessed recently. And he will discuss the situation and the changes in the region and the events in Syria, in addition to the mechanisms of international cooperation between Iran and Lebanon.”

 

Russian Official to Arrive in Lebanon on Congratulatory Visit to Aoun

Naharnet/November 05/16/A high-level Russian official is expected to visit Lebanon over the next few days to congratulate President Michel Aoun on his election, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Saturday. A Russian delegation is said to arrive in the next few hours in preparation for the expected visit of the official, added the daily. The diplomat will also hold talks with Lebanese officials on the latest developments in Lebanon and the region.

On Monday, Aoun was elected head of the Lebanese republic by the majority of 83 parliament votes. Aoun received key support for his presidential bid from al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri, which ended two and a half years of presidential vacuum. On Thursday, Hariri was designated to form Lebanon's new government. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Rifi Urges 'Popular, Political Action', Vows to Confront 'Iranian Hegemony'

Naharnet/November 05/16/Resigned Justice Minister Ashraf Rifi announced Friday that the confrontation against what he called “the Iranian hegemony over Lebanon will continue,” even after the election of a new president and the designation of a new premier. “Nothing will deter us from engaging in this confrontation, because Lebanon's fate is now at risk,” Rifi said via Twitter, posting excerpts of an interview with As Safir newspaper. He called for “popular and political action to protect the violated constitution and the Taef Accord,” lamenting that “the constitution is being paralyzed, presidents are being appointed, and the parliament's role is being usurped.”“On March 14, (2005) the Lebanese voiced their stance and authorized their leaders to fight the battle of the state in the face of the statelet, and we cannot renounce this historic authorization,” Rifi added.

“Surrender and despair are not present in our dictionary and we will continue the path with our people,” he vowed.

“Now more than ever, we will adhere to the State, the exclusive presence of arms in the hands of the security forces, the international resolutions, and the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, and anyone who gives up on these issues will be held responsible,” Rifi went on to say.

“Together we will defend Lebanon and its Arab identity and we will not accept that it be turned into a subordinate to (Iran's) Vilayat-e Faqih or that the representative of (Iran's supreme guide) be able to control the State, decide the identity of its president, or form its government,” the resigned minister vowed.

He added: “We will not allow the destruction of our ties with the Arab world for the sake of the Iranian expansionist scheme. This is the Lebanese republic and we won't accept that it be turned into the republic of the supreme guide.”

Rifi has fiercely opposed the election of Aoun or Marada Movement chief MP Suleiman Franjieh as president, citing their close ties with Iran-backed Hizbullah and the Syrian regime. Aoun was elected president on Monday after receiving key support for his nomination from al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri, who has been named Prime Minister-designate. Rifi, who was once part of Hariri's Mustaqbal Movement, launched a major challenge to Hariri's position as the leader of Lebanon's Sunni community in June 2016, running a rival list that won the municipal elections in the northern city of Tripoli. Hariri's nomination and Aoun's election have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post, even though his nomination was all-but-assured.

Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the interior, defense and energy ministries.


Gemayel says Kataeb will stand by new Lebanese President Aoun
 The Daily Star/November 05/16/BEIRUT: Former Lebanese President Amine Gemayel said that the Kataeb Party will stand by the newly-elected President Michel Aoun after a decision was made to put political differences aside. In remarks to the Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar published Saturday, the former Kataeb Party chief said their decision not to vote for Aoun was in line with a decision they had made in the past not to vote for someone for the rivaling March 8 coalition, and was not made in direct opposition to Aoun. “The party has now turned the page on that and has announced that they will stand by the new leader. We hope that the new era will succeed in recovering Lebanon from the quagmire it is facing,”Gemayel was quoted as saying. During Monday’s presidential vote, the Kataeb Party did not choose Aoun or rival candidate Sleiman Frangieh, as they both hail from the March 8 coalition. Instead, the party’s MPs submitted ballots reading “The Cedar Revolution is at the service of Lebanon,” a vote which was deemed invalid. Lebanon had been stuck for over two years in political paralysis since the presidential term of Michel Sleiman ended in May 2014. 
 
Nasrallah calls for national unity govt
The Daily Star/ November 05/16/BEIRUT: Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah Friday called for the formation of a national unity government, adding that his group will not take part in any Cabinet that Speaker Nabih Berri decides to boycott. Speaking at a memorial for slain party official Moustafa Chehade, Nasrallah called on rival Lebanese parties to work together "to build a state." "We should have a positive attitude in the new era," he said, praising Berri for the role he played in managing the Oct. 31 presidential elections. "We want the Cabinet to be formed and [for it to be] productive," he said. But the Hezbollah chief added that his party wouldn't join any government that Berri refuses to take part in. Nasrallah also denied that Hezbollah's Loyalty to the Resistance bloc had nominated anyone for the premiership. "Hezbollah didn't name anyone, but offered to facilitate the appointment of a new PM for a fresh and positive start (in the country)," he said. He said that the group's bloc would take a clear stance on the formation of the new Cabinet Saturday, after its meeting with PM-designate Saad Hariri. Berri was the official negotiator on behalf of both Hezbollah and his own Development and Liberation bloc on the designation of the new Cabinet's portfolios. Aoun had asked the Future leader to form a new government Thursday, after 112 out of 126 MPs, including Speaker Nabih Berri’s Development and Liberation bloc, endorsed him for the role. On Friday, Hariri kicked off two days of consultations with the aim of forming a “national accord government."Nasrallah briefly praised caretaker Prime Minister Tammam Salam over his "patience and running the country's crises with minimum losses,” and hailed Marada Movement chief Sleiman Frangieh for being an "honest ally, who stood by Hezbollah."Turning to the presidential election, Nasrallah said that Hezbollah had proved that despite all accusations, the group was earnest in its support for Aoun. Michel Aoun was elected president Monday, ending over 2-1/2 years of presidential paralysis that began when the term of former President Michel Sleiman ended in May 2014."We are relieved because the man residing in the Baabda Palace is a leader ... he moves according to his principles and convictions," the Hezbollah leader said. He called on those who had accused his group of attempting to prolong the presidential vacuum to re-examine their stances after Monday’s election.
 "Claims that Hezbollah didn't want Aoun as president were misleading,” Nasrallah said. “We are not liars.""Some political powers took credit for facilitating the elections, but we have been saying since the crisis began that they should agree with Aoun," he added.
 
 Aoun foresees unified foreign policy

Joseph Haboush/The Daily Star/November 05/16

BEIRUT: President Michel Aoun Friday announced that all political parties have agreed to implement the points mentioned in his inaugural speech, after meeting with a group of ambassadors from the International Support Group for Lebanon.

Aoun assured the Lebanese people that there would also be an agreement on a single, unified foreign policy, while saying a new electoral law was paramount. “A priority for the forthcoming period is the agreement of a new law for the parliamentary elections, which will take place as scheduled next May,” Aoun said, following the meeting. Lebanon is on the verge of a new phase, which will witness political stability by respecting the National Charter and abiding by the Constitution ... this is the essence of our system and uniqueness of our entity,” Aoun said, offering an optimistic outlook.

The statement was made following the meeting with American Ambassador Elizabeth Richard, caretaker Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil, Arab League Ambassador Abdul-Rahman al-Solh and U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Sigrid Kaag, in addition to a number of other ambassadors.

Kaag said the meeting was “productive,” adding that “we hope to continue to keep in direct contact as assured by President Aoun.”

The president also met with the heads of Lebanese security apparatuses. Internal Security Forces head Maj. Gen. Ibrahim Basbous, General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim and State Security head Maj. Gen. George Karaa each met separately with the new president.

Aoun praised the security forces for maintaining stability in the country while implementing the law in a just manner.

Meanwhile, French President Francois Hollande said he believed Aoun’s election was “a historic event for Lebanon’s allies, including France.” The French president also called for Lebanon to set an example for other nations.

“The [election] gives hope to the Lebanese and those who hope for Lebanon to still be the example for the Middle East, as well as France,” Hollande said in a statement.

Hollande called for a new Cabinet to be formed as soon as possible to facilitate aid from international donors. “A constitutional Parliament will allow for more aid to be delivered, and specifically for humanitarian aid [to help with issues such] as the Syrian refugee crisis in Lebanon,” Hollande said.

Britain’s Queen Elizabeth II sent a congratulatory message to Aoun wishing him well. “I send my sincere congratulations on your inauguration as President of the Lebanese Republic. I send my best wishes to you and the people of Lebanon and look forward to continuing the excellent relations between our two countries,” the monarch said in a statement issued by the British Embassy in Lebanon.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel also congratulated Aoun. “Your election is the first step in overcoming the political crisis and paralysis of constitutional institutions in Lebanon,” the chancellor said in her congratulatory statement.

Merkel went on to reassure Aoun that Germany was adamant about helping Lebanon in any positive way.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan congratulated Aoun and the Lebanese people over the election of a president. Erdogan expressed his desire for “the close and brotherly Lebanon and Turkey to continue to develop close ties.”

President of the Swiss Confederation Johann Schneider-Ammann congratulated Lebanon saying “I am positive that the close ties between our two nations will witness, thanks to you, positive developments in the future.”

Separately, the President of the Peoples’ Republic of China Xi Jinping congratulated Aoun, and expressed hope for improved ties between the two nations.

“On the occasion of your election as president and on behalf of the Chinese government and its people, I congratulate you and wish you the best,” Xi said.

Xi went on to say that “there have been deep diplomatic ties between the two nations dating back 45 years ... I place great importance on developing Chinese-Lebanese ties ... which will have a positive impact on the two nations.”

Aoun also received congratulatory phone calls from the President of Tajikistan, Senegal and Cuba.

Meanwhile Friday, French President Hollande contacted caretaker Prime Minister Tammam Salam to hail his efforts in guiding Lebanon during the difficult two year period. “[Congratulations] on your efforts to distance Lebanon from a spillover of the Syrian crisis the Middle East has been witnessing,” Hollande told Salam during the call.

In other news, caretaker Interior Minister Nouhad Machnouk said the swearing-in speech by President Aoun was a clear, complete and serious path to overcoming obstacles facing Lebanon.

“The inaugural speech stated the necessity to improve ties with Arab states that will positively impact Lebanon ... especially the commitment to the Taif Accord, the Arab League of Nations, and international decisions, including respect for political decisions regarding the Syrian War,” Machnouk said, following a meeting with the Chinese Ambassador to Lebanon Wang Kejian.

 

Lebanon Policy in the Incoming US Administration
 Position Statement by the Lebanese Information Center
 November 1, 2016/ Before its occupation by Syria and the subsequent emergence of Hezbollah as a dominant force in its domestic and foreign affairs, Lebanon was a reliable ally of the United States in the Middle East. Most Lebanese are steadfast in their affection for the US and keen on maintaining and expanding Lebanon’s ties with it. Moreover, it is estimated that of the approximately 3.5 million Americans with roots from Arabic speaking countries, 60% are of Lebanese descent. Lebanese-Americans are proud of and loyal to their new nation and would defend it with their lives if the need arises.  The strategic significance of Lebanon to the US cannot be overstated. The US stands to benefit a great deal from a Lebanon that would stand shoulder to shoulder with it in its fight against radicalism and terrorism; support its continued efforts to mitigate the impact of regional tensions and the increasingly sharp divide among Muslims, which has serious ramifications on regional and global stability; and assist in its efforts to curb Iran’s and its cronies’ expanding influence in the region.
 It is our hope that the incoming administration would protect US interests in the Middle East while supporting Lebanon by:
 Continuing and increasing its much-appreciated financial and military support to the Lebanese armed forces.
 Working to ensure non-interference in Lebanese affairs by regional powers and to disengage Lebanon from all regional conflicts.
 Supporting the upholding of a consensual democracy that guarantees the rights of individuals and communities in a pluralistic society that is inherently composed of minorities.
 Continuing to demand the full implementation of UN Security Council Resolutions such as 1559, 1680 and 1701, which call for the disarmament of Hezbollah and of armed groups in Palestinian camps as well as the cessation of military aid from any state to militias within Lebanon.
 Ensuring the monitoring of the Syrian-Lebanese borders to stop the flow of Iranian and other military material and personnel from Syria to Lebanese militias.
 Supporting the enactment of a reformed and equitable legislative election law to achieve true representation of the various components of the Lebanese population
 Rejecting any notion of a permanent settlement of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon since Lebanon’s particular religious and demographic considerations exclude the viability of naturalizing these refugees.
 Continuing to engage, empower and assist Lebanon’s political leaders, non-governmental agencies and individuals in Lebanon who genuinely share our principles and unequivocally support the freedom and democracy of Lebanon.
 Defending basic rights and individual freedoms in Lebanon and addressing the humanitarian issues of those Lebanese who were displaced during the civil war, were forcefully exiled from Lebanon into Israel and other countries, and those still detained in Syrian jails.
 We believe that it is imperative that the US remains steadfast in its support for a free and democratic Lebanon and sincerely hope that the incoming administration will address the obstacles hindering Lebanon’s recovery. We also believe that, in supporting this cause, the next President will be able to count on: (1) the congruous international positions and numerous UNSC Resolutions, (2) the solid bipartisan support and multiple resolutions and Acts in Congress vis a vis Lebanon, and (3) the backing of a very appreciative and widespread Lebanese-American community.

 

Hezbollah may have secured its domestic flank through election of its ally Aoun but interminable war in Syria will con­tinue to sap party’s resources.

Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/November 11/16

BEIRUT - The election of Michel Aoun as Lebanon’s 13th president cements Hez­bollah’s immunity against domestic opposition and safeguards its military priorities — the simmering confrontation with Israel and its armed intervention in Syria.

Aoun’s inaugural speech, while generally bland and appeasing, in­cluded statements that confirmed that Hezbollah has emerged as the true winner from Lebanon’s pro­tracted presidential crisis and vin­dicated the party’s decision, along with its allies in the March 8th parliamentary coalition, to boycott two-and-a-half years of electoral sessions until its candidate was as­sured success.

Referring to the conflict with Israel, Aoun said Lebanon would spare no effort “and no resistance” to liberate the occupied Lebanese territories and “protect our country from an enemy that still covets our land, water and natural resources”.

This formulation echoes Hezbol­lah’s justification for maintaining the Islamic Resistance, the name of its armed wing. Hezbollah’s argu­ment long ago moved on from the assumption that the end of out­standing disputes between Israel and Lebanon would lead to a quid pro quo disarming.

In 2006, Ali Ammar, a Hezbollah MP, said the “extent of the resist­ance is not the Shebaa farms nor the return of the [Lebanese] pris­oners [held in Israel, but its extent is when it becomes impossible for Israel to violate Lebanon’s sover­eignty even with a paper kite”.

It is highly likely that the army-people-resistance formula, which helps legitimise the Islamic Resist­ance as an asset of Lebanese de­fence, will be retained in the official statement of the next government.

As for Syria, Aoun also had reas­suring words for Hezbollah, saying that “terrorism”, meaning the ver­sion practised by extremist Sunni groups such as the Islamic State (ISIS), should be dealt with through pre-emption, deterrence and con­frontation until it is eliminated.

The key word here is “pre-emp­tion” as it helps gird Hezbollah’s argument that its intervention in Syria is intended to defend Leba­non against attack by groups such as ISIS: Better to fight them in Syria before they reach Lebanon.

The next government, headed by former prime minister Saad Hariri, will not pose an obstacle to Hezbol­lah’s domestic and regional agenda.

Hariri returns to the premiership holding a weak hand. His financial empire is in disarray; there is no cash to sustain his patronage net­works and his decision to endorse Aoun for the presidency has further sapped his popular support on the Sunni street.

Rivals for the country’s Sunni leadership, particularly former Justice minister Ashraf Rifi, are be­ginning to snap at his heels. Rifi is sweeping up discontented Sunnis not only in his traditional fiefdom of Tripoli and the north but also in other Sunni regions further afield, such as the central Bekaa valley and Iqlim el-Kharroub north of Sidon.

Hariri cannot rely on the backing of Saudi Arabia as a counterweight to Hezbollah and Iranian influence in Lebanon. Under King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Saudi Arabia’s interest in Lebanon has shrivelled amid more pressing issues for the kingdom, such as the war in Yemen, the struggle against Syrian Presi­dent Bashar Assad and domestic economic difficulties.

Still, Hezbollah faces pressing challenges, particularly the heavy cost of the war in Syria on the mo­rale of the party’s support base, even among the cadres themselves.

Iran’s Tasnim news agency re­ported that 33 Hezbollah fighters, including at least two commanders, were killed in Syria in October.

Traditionally, the process of re­cruitment into Hezbollah’s ranks takes months and consists of an initial vetting procedure, extensive religious classes and basic military training at the party’s camps strung along the flanks of the Bekaa valley.

While this arduous and thorough recruitment process is continuing for true believers in Hezbollah’s cause, the party is also scooping up recruits specifically to fight in Syria, luring them with monthly salaries and benefits and foregoing vetting and religious instruction.

These raw recruits are given a month-long basic training course before being dispatched to Syria’s front lines. There follows a brutal Darwinian process in which the unlucky or inept are quickly killed off while the luckier or more skilled live to fight another day.

There is, however, increasing anecdotal evidence to suggest that some fighters are tiring of the con­flict, particularly of being deployed to places such as Aleppo that are far from Lebanon. A common refrain from these unhappy cadres is that they accept the rationale of fight­ing ISIS or Jabhat Fatah al-Sham in Qalamoun along Lebanon’s eastern border or defending the tomb of Sayyida Zeynab, the Prophet Mo­hammad’s daughter, in Damascus. But why do they need to fight in Aleppo?

Some fighters are refusing to re­turn to Syria and say they will only pick up a gun again and fight with Hezbollah during the next conflict with Israel. Other fighters are leav­ing the party altogether.

It is unclear how deep such sen­timent runs within Hezbollah’s ranks but the party apparently has formed a unit to address issues of low morale, underlining that the leadership takes the discontent se­riously.

Hezbollah may have secured its domestic flank through the election of its ally Aoun as president but the interminable war in Syria will con­tinue to sap the party’s resources and chip away at the morale of some cadres.

Nicholas Blanford is the author of Warriors of God: Inside Hezbollah’s Thirty-Year Struggle Against Israel (Random House 2011). He lives in Beirut.

 

Aoun has no agenda for Lebanon except more sectarianism

Ali al-Amin/The Arab Weekly//November 06/16

It was neither Lebanese democracy nor a solid economic salvation agenda for the country that carried Michel Aoun to the presi­dency. It was not his programme for fighting corrup­tion, nor was it the promise to the end of the sectarian-based system of power sharing that had turned the state into religious and sectarian fiefdoms. What brought Aoun to power was something completely different.

Following two-and-a-half years without a president and more than 40 parliamentary sessions devoted to electing a president, the parliamentary alliance between Aoun and Hezbollah was successful in using the excuse of no quorum to block parliamen­tary elections. There was an unwise constitutional blockage imposed by the presidency of the parliament that led to the void in the position of president of the republic all this time.

So, instead of coming to the presidency through the main gate, Aoun took the back alleys of political manoeuvring and fiddling with the constitution.

Democracy in Lebanon was the big loser in the affair. Aoun and his ally Hezbollah refused to have candidates compete for the presidency in free and democratic elections inside the parliament. Aoun and his cohorts insisted on designating him president; the elections inside the parliament would just be a formality.

Aoun and Hezbollah clearly signalled that becoming president in Lebanon was not the result of free and fair elections but of working around a fragile balance of power based on military might, security considerations and sectarian struggles.

Thus, the presidency in their eyes is not really representing and working for the common interest of one state and one people but that of one faction inside one sect using the military power of another faction inside another sect. The whole opera­tion marked the end of a demo­cratic system that had been in place in Lebanon for decades.

In his quest for the presidency, Aoun had no real agenda for saving Lebanon from economic collapse. His political discourse and moves were centred on insisting that the flaws in the state originate from the inequity in the system of power sharing between Muslims and Christians. He even asserted the Lebanese Sunnis had confiscated some Christian shares.

Clearly, he wanted to avoid annoying Hezbollah, the same party that has gone to extreme lengths to flout the authority of the state and that has found, in Aoun, the perfect cover for its rogue actions from illegally bearing arms to fighting in Syria.

Aoun has also used sectarian discourse to blackmail his Christian opponents. He suc­ceeded in demonstrating that, if one wants to win in Lebanon, he or she must not shy away from using sectarian divisiveness as a weapon. All crises must be turned into sectarian ones in which the various factions vie for spoils to the detriment of the state.

Investing in sectarian strife and exploiting the theme of threat to minorities enabled Aoun to obstruct the presidential elec­tions and gave Hezbollah more clout to weaken the power of the state.

Hezbollah in Lebanon stood to win whether the presidency of the state remained void or Aoun won it. The remarkable thing in the election was that opposition to Aoun came from Hezbollah’s allies, specifically from Parlia­ment Speaker Nabih Berri and MP Suleiman Frangieh.

Naturally, Aoun, 83, would remain true to his election platform. Faced with the sorry condition of the Lebanese state, he will do no more than continue to use his slogan Protecting Christians’ Rights and just seize more state positions for his followers.

Constantly playing the card of sectarian rights is what many on both sides of the fence desire. It guarantees continued polarisa­tion of the society and blind allegiance to the so-called leaders and obviates the obvious option of choosing allegiance to the state and the combined authority of the constitution and the law. Those playing the game of divisiveness cannot be more satisfied.

The next phase in Lebanon will be marked by intense competi­tion for a share in power. The concept of pact brandished by Aoun and the special interpreta­tion of it destroys the concepts of state and of citizenship by reducing them to a form of power sharing. There should not be a pact between Muslims and Christians that replaces the law and denies the principle of equality among all citizens.

Aoun knows quite well that his new presidential powers cannot touch Hezbollah’s illegal weapons or forbid their use abroad. Hezbollah, in turn, knows that Aoun will not broach the topic, not out of fear but simply because he will continue to play the card of sectarian allegiance to the detriment of the rights of citizen­ship.

Ali al-Amin is a Lebanese writer.

 

A new reign in Lebanon ushers in new challenges

Khairallah Khairallah/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16

A new reign has begun in Lebanon. It will be different from previous ones if we take into considera­tion the circum­stances surrounding the election of Michel Aoun as president of the Lebanese republic.

Many have found similarities between these circumstances and those that surrounded Bachir Gemayel’s election in 1982. The comparison, however, is unwar­ranted for reasons too many to enumerate here but one is that in 1982 no one dared to play the card of the presidential vacuum to force members of the parliament to vote for Gemayel.

Up to 2014, when Michel Suleiman’s term as president ended, never had an interim period without a leader at the top lasted two-and-a-half years. During this time, a question crucial to the future of the country kept popping up: Was the political vacuum in the presi­dency perpetuated to justify the call for ending the current political system in the country given that the balance of power that had led to the Taif agreement was no longer in place?

What is important is that Lebanon has a president. The state has a head. It is true that Aoun’s nomination for president originated from Hezbollah, with which he has had ties since 2006. Still, the road to Baabda Palace would not have been possible were it not for two break­throughs: The reconciliation between the Free Patriotic Movement and the Lebanese Forces Party, which has given Aoun a wider Christian base, and winning the endorsement of the Future Movement Party.

From the beginning, the actions of Saad Hariri, the Future Move­ment leader, were dictated by a strong sense of duty towards Lebanon and whatever was left of its institutions. The only hope for Lebanon was through filling the vacuum at the presidency. So, Hariri selflessly nominated Suleiman Frangieh. The men shared similar visions of what was needed to put the country back on track. A year later, nothing had changed.

It has to be admitted that Aoun knew how to handle Hezbollah. Perhaps the 10-year-long experi­ence as allies had something to do with it. In any case, Aoun’s nomination saved the country from the vacuum at the head of the state.

The new mood is optimistic despite Aoun’s less-than-rosy past. His speech on taking the oath of office was well-balanced. The president broached three themes: the importance of upholding the constitution and the national pact; the economic crisis in the country; and the importance of keeping distance from the war in Syria, into which Hezbollah has deeply inserted itself.

Aoun seemed to be well aware of the challenges posed by the new reality in the region. One of these challenges is Lebanon’s relations with the Gulf countries. In his speech, Aoun reiterated Lebanon’s adherence to the Arab League. In other words, and until further notice, Lebanon is an Arab country and not the black sheep it was made to be during recent Arab and Islamic summits.

The coming days will reveal whether plugging the political void will clean up the existing chaos. The quick formation of a new cabinet will certainly speed up things. It will also be known whether Hezbollah backed Aoun only after being cornered by Hariri.

Hezbollah continues to veil its true intentions in Lebanon, namely to change the very nature of the regime. Its manoeuvrings during the presidential election say a lot about that. Unfortu­nately, a large segment of the Lebanese population, especially among the Christians, still ignores the serious threats it faces. Sooner or later, the topic of the Syrian refugees in Lebanon is going to flare up. Aoun did well by bringing it up in his speech. He said: “We must deal with the migration from Syria by working to ensure the quick repatriation of the migrants. We need to prevent the migrants’ camps from becoming security camps. Any solution to the situation in Syria that does not start with and does not guarantee the return of the refugees will not hold.”

With 1.5 million Syrian refugees in the country, Lebanon must prepare for a serious crisis. The Palestinian refugee situation pales in comparison. What is worse is that the Syrian regime is actively pursuing a policy of depopulation with the help of its sectarian allies and militia. Small countries in the region, such as Lebanon, will pay the price of those policies.

A new dawn has broken in Lebanon bringing with it new challenges. There is no choice but to face up to these challenges. There are signs of hope and everybody must come together to embody that hope through actions that break the shackles of the past.

**Khairallah Khairallah is a Lebanese writer. The commentary was translated and adapted from the Arabic. It was initially published in middle-east-online.com.
 

Michel Aoun: Machiavelli’s Prince or Saint-Exupéry’s Little Prince?

Claude Salhani/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16

Many Lebanese remain divided over the country’s former army commander Michel Aoun, who after vying for the presidency for nearly two decades was finally voted to the top job. Just getting all of Lebanon’s opposing political parties to agree on the candidate after two years without a presi­dent is quite an accomplishment.

Getting those of varying political agendas such as Hezbol­lah and conservative Christian parties to agree to sit at the same table requires a certain degree of political know-how.

A former Lebanese army general, Aoun was forced into a 14-year exile in France because he opposed Syria’s presence in Lebanon but has now won the presidency with Syria’s support. But does that make him Niccolo Machiavelli’s Prince or Antoine de Saint-Exupéry’s Little Prince?

After numerous attempts to find a president acceptable to all political factions, foreign and domestic, the Lebanese parlia­ment has made Aoun proud with his unexpected last-minute political alliances. The result placed him ahead of his rivals for the post, which under Lebanon’s sectarian system is awarded to a Christian.

Some Lebanese see Aoun as the leader who will take the country out of its years of political wilder­ness. Others regard him as a renegade officer and loose cannon who could well reignite the civil war. If nothing else, Aoun is a highly controversial, if not somewhat enigmatic figure. But is he the Prince or the Little Prince?

While Saint-Exupéry, who served as a French military aviator during the second world war and ultimately disappeared in the southern Mediterranean when his aircraft crashed, may have had more in common with the Leba­nese military officer, Aoun picked up more on the practicality of politics from Machiavelli.

Despite his political shortcom­ings, Aoun promised to change Lebanon’s stagnating politics and do away with corruption and sectarianism. This alone has given the 83-year-old military officer-turned politician a head start in the race to the presidency.

The retired general claims much credit for Syria’s rapid exit from Lebanon.

This is worrying many Lebanese who view Aoun with suspicion, if not outright revulsion. Others see in him new hope.

“We have to put the past behind us,” said Tony Haddad, a close aide who lobbies for the general’s interests in Washington.

This might not be as easy as it sounds. Before his exile, Aoun made many enemies when he took on the Syrians, then the Christian militias in one of the final, but harshest, stages of the 1975-90 Lebanese civil war.

So how do you put the past behind you? First, you forgive your enemies, hoping they will forgive you. Second, you try to introduce reconciliation — a relatively little-tested concept in Lebanon. Third, you try to win the people’s trust.

“Transparency is going to be the key,” Haddad said. “People trust him, they want a clean leader­ship.”

Haddad said some of the antipathy felt by many Lebanese towards Aoun was the clash of “reformers versus traditionalists”. Haddad called Aoun a “reformer” who wants to change things. Indeed, his uttering this one word, “change”, was enough to ensure Aoun the support of hundreds, if not thousands, of followers.

“I think his vision is beyond what most people can compre­hend in this region,” said Haddad.

It is, however, precisely this vision that is being questioned. A vision many accuse of being rather blurred and quick to forget the past.

“Ask him about the millions of dollars he received from Saddam Hussein,” suggested a Lebanese friend. I did ask.

“The general got help from Saddam but he gave him nothing in return,” said Haddad, adding even former US secretary of Defense met with Donald Rums­feld had, in the past, met with the now executed Iraqi president.

“The help from Iraq was unconditional,” said Haddad. “We gave nothing in return.”

“Ask him why is it that he has allied himself with the most avid supporters of Syria,” said the same Lebanese friend. I did ask.

In politics, things change, alliances change, explained Haddad, adding all Lebanese politicians, including opposition leader Walid Jumblatt, have in the past dealt with Syria.

It was late at night as I sat down to write these words and caught sight of Machiavelli’s ghost as it floated over my desk.

Niccolo, is this correct? Is it true?” I asked.

Looking somewhat ashen and in a great hurry to escape Levantine politics, Machiavelli replied, “Certo, certo,” (sure, sure) before quickly disappearing into the night.

But if Machiavelli’s ghost ran away, my friend persisted.

“Ask him how come he has given the Syrians a clean bill of health by announcing they are no longer in Lebanon under any guise when the United Nations hasn’t yet? What was his hurry to do so?” added my friend.

I did ask.

“The general carries no grudges against his former enemies,” replied Haddad.

The general may carry no grudges but some of the people he shelled during the “war of libera­tion” find it hard to forget. Summing up the feelings of many Lebanese who fall into that category, another friend from Beirut simply said: “Ask him when he is going back to Paris?”

Alas, the ghost was gone before I could get an answer to that last question.

Claude Salhani is the Opinion section editor of The Arab Weekly.

 

Aoun’s election in Lebanon carries regional implications

Ed Blanche/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16

BEIRUT - The election of Michel Aoun as president of Lebanon and his ap­pointment of long-time rival Saad Hariri as prime minister after two-and-a-half years of crippling political gridlock have drawn a regional sigh of relief.

It has probably averted a political and economic meltdown but this unlikely partnership between two politicians who have been at dag­gers drawn for years has wider im­plications in the Middle East.

The most important of these is that Shia Iran, striving to become the Middle East’s paramount pow­er, has shifted the balance of power away from Saudi Arabia, the bea­con of the mainstream Sunnis, in a continuing confrontation that could affect the entire region.

Despite the evident political compromise that occurred in Leba­non, it is clear “that neighbouring Syria and nearby Iraq are not the places to look for signs of such a compromise”, the US-based global security consultancy Stratfor ob­served.

Aoun, an 83-year-old former army commander who has long hungered for the presidency, final­ly secured it on October 31st, pri­marily through a ground-breaking alliance with the Iranian-backed Hezbollah, the most powerful force in Lebanon, on February 6th, 2006, that breached Lebanon’s rigid sec­tarian barriers.

The pact was based on Aoun se­curing the presidency, with Hez­bollah’s support. Six months later, Hezbollah triggered a 34-day war with Israel.

Under a 1943 agreement, Leba­non’s president must be a Maron­ite, while the prime ministry is reserved for Sunnis and the speak­ership of parliament for Shias.

So now, for the first time, the Tehran-backed Shias have unprec­edented influence in the presiden­tial Baabda palace, although it re­mains to be seen how they use it.

This new era in Lebanese politics suggests that, even though Tehran had to accept Hariri, named prime minister on November 3rd, it has supplanted Riyadh, which had championed Lebanon’s Sunnis and had strongly opposed Aoun’s nom­ination to fill the politically danger­ous presidential vacuum.

This was caused in May 2014 when the six-year presidential term of Michel Suleiman, another ex-army commander, expired with parliament unable to elect a suc­cessor, largely through the machi­nations of Hezbollah.

The breakthrough, via French mediation, only came after Hariri, his popularity at an all-time low, endorsed Aoun after months of backing the Maronite leader’s ri­vals. Significantly, Hezbollah ab­stained from endorsing Hariri.

The Saudis have been gradually giving up on Lebanon as Hezbol­lah’s power grew.

In 2015, Riyadh, increasingly alarmed at Iran’s influence growing in Lebanon, cut off billions of dol­lars in military aid to protest anti- Saudi pronouncements by Aoun’s son-in-law, then Foreign minister. Riyadh withdrew its ambassador in September.

The Aoun-Hariri partnership, part of a complex power-sharing agreement, is an unlikely, and po­tentially volatile, one.

Hariri, 46, leader of the Sunni-dominated March 14 alliance, pre­viously served as prime minister of a national unity government in 2009-11 that was eventually sabo­taged by Hezbollah.

His endorsement of Aoun is all the more surprising since the event that propelled him into politics — the February 14th, 2005, assassi­nation of his billionaire father and former premier Rafik Hariri — alleg­edly involved Hezbollah.

Four of its members have been indicted by a UN-mandated court in The Hague. Hezbollah denies any involvement.

Ed Blanche has covered Middle East affairs since 1967. He is the Arab Weekly analyses section editor.

 

A president ‘made in Lebanon and abroad’

Eyad Abu Shakra/Al Arabiya/November 05/16

A few days ago, a supposedly wise Lebanese politician hailed the imminent end of the presidential impasse by saying “we are going to have ‘a made in Lebanon president!’”

Such words are as misleading as they are painful. The said politician, who is well-versed in Lebanese politics, militarily and politically, with foes and friends, must realize that Lebanon has never managed to elect a president without either a foreign deal or as a result of dramatic regional or international imbalance. In fact, had the Lebanese had any real say in choosing a president, the post wouldn’t have remained vacant for 29 months, there wouldn’t have been the Doha Agreement (that allowed the election of ex-President Michel Sleiman and ended the occupation by Hezbollah and co of downtown Beirut), the Taif Accords (which ended the 1975-1990 Lebanese War), the Richard Murphy attempt in 1988 and the Robert Murphy deal in 1958.

Alas, the fact is that Lebanon has been an unfinished nation-building project despite its 96 years of its existence within its current borders, 73 years of which have been as an independent state. The reason behind this is that the philosophy that underpinned the format for independence viewed and treated the Lebanese as members of sectarian groups, not as citizens. As time passed, and in the absence of proper citizenship and lasting religious and sectarian loyalties, the group mentality became more entrenched, and was eventually institutionalized. Then, even when vibrant forces within all attempted to rebel against this status quo, many internal and external elements came together to crush all attempts.

Thus, today, when some hail the agreement on “a made in Lebanon president,” they intentionally ignore important and unsavory facts, just as those who have been parroting the silly words “any president is better than the continuing vacuum.” In reality, there has been no vacuum and talking about it, or rather using it as an excuse, is to overlook the following truths.

Foreign meddling

The first is that Lebanon is a country occupied and dominated by Hezbollah; a religious-military party with vital links outside the country (i.e. Iran), and one that enjoys stature and capabilities that far exceed those of the Lebanese state, which in turn is penetrated by the party thanks to the sectarian apportionment of political, military, and economic posts. Incidentally, Hezbollah, which is an inseparable part of Iran’s regional set-up and is widely said to follow its orders and political directives throughout the Middle East, has been the actor that has prevented the election of a president for the past 29 months, blackmailing the Lebanese people into accepting its candidate, now described as “a made in Lebanon president.”

How can the Lebanese, who have failed to build a homeland, believe that they can produce ‘a made in Lebanon president?’

The second is that Lebanon, even before becoming a polity in 1920, and later as an independent republic in 1943, was a principality that covered Mount Lebanon and was always susceptible to regional competition and jockeying for influence between regional governors and sub-governors of neighboring Syria, Palestine and even Egypt. Later, since the creation of Israel in 1948, Lebanon became a battleground of the Arab-Israeli conflict and its repercussions, which added to its fragile fabric and weak political consensus. Today, as the maps of the Levant are being revised, Israel does not seem bothered by Hezbollah’s de facto occupation of Lebanon or worried about the alleged presidential vacuum. Even more importantly, it does not feel uneasy at all with Hezbollah’s active participation – with other sectarian militias – in Iran’s occupation of several parts of Syria.

Thirdly, as far as Iran is concerned, the whole Middle East is currently going through a decisive and historical period of nationalist confrontation with a sectarian façade. Iran, it seems, is fighting a comprehensive war of revenge against Arab Sunni Islam. So far, this war has displaced between 15 and 20 million Arab Sunnis in Iraq and Syria, and has destroyed their cities and towns from Falluja and Ramadi to Dera’a, through Mosul, Deir al-Zor, Raqqah, Aleppo, Hamah, Homs and Damascus’ suburbs.

US viewpoint

Fourthly, in connection with the above, President Barack Obama, during his last few weeks in the White House, seems to be in a hurry to complete the mission he considers the cornerstone of his Middle East policy, as reflected in the JCPOA with Tehran, which is rehabilitating and normalizing political relations with Iran, if not making it a strategic ally of the USA and giving it a free hand in its neighboring Arab countries. Thus, it is no coincidence that the need to end the vacuum in Lebanon was timed with the battle to liberate Mosul, which the UN expects is going to leave more than a million homeless (mostly Sunni Arabs) and the silence accompanying the annihilation of Aleppo at the hands of a shaky regime saved from collapse by Iran’s militias, then by direct Russian intervention.

Without disregarding Yemen too, today we are in a regional situation exacerbated by an American vision that has impacted several sensitive issues, namely in the Middle East, North Africa and Europe.

In Europe, Washington’s withdrawal has sent a clear message to Moscow to do as it pleases in its own historical sphere of influence, beginning with the Ukraine. It has also allowed a humanitarian crisis like the refugee waves heading for Europe to become a strong political card played effectively by anti-European Britons and racist and ultra-conservative anti-refugees groups – mainly Muslims – in France, the Netherlands, Germany and other nations. Such a situation has, in the opposite direction, prepared the ground for an angry and extremist, sometimes terrorist, reaction within the underclass of marginalized second and third generations in slums and ghettoes inhabited by Muslim immigrants.

However, it is in the Middle East and North Africa that Obama’s catastrophic policies have been most obvious, in every respect, since his now famous Cairo Speech just before the Arab Spring. What sounded like an innocent utopia for Palestine, democratic change and fighting terrorism in Obama’s discourse, clearly appeared during his second term as destructive unethical negativity, the consequences of which are clear for all to see: Iraq is been torn apart, Syria is in ruins, Turkey and the Arab Gulf are states under threat, the Palestinian settlement is all but non-existent, Sunni-Shiite tensions are becoming a raging sectarian war and long dormant Arab – Iranian and Turko – Kurdish tensions threaten to engulf the whole region with blood and fire.

Given such a background, how can the Lebanese, who have failed to build a homeland, believe that they can produce “a made in Lebanon president?”

*This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on November 2, 2016.
 

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on November 05-06/16

Raqa Assault to Likely Take Longer than Pentagon Chief Predicts

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 05/16/After Iraqi security forces eventually recapture Mosul, the Islamic State group will be left with only Raqa in neighboring Syria as a bastion, and the jihadists' self-proclaimed "caliphate" will be largely gone. The US-led coalition has been striking IS across both countries for more than two years, and has long held Raqa in its sights -- an IS defeat there would be a defining endpoint of the campaign. But Pentagon chief Ashton Carter surprised commanders last week when he declared the actual assault on Raqa could start "in the next few weeks," after British Defense Minister Michael Fallon made a similar prediction.Privately, many high-ranking Pentagon officials were caught off-guard, and expressed skepticism the Raqa push could start so soon, given the Gordian knot of unpredictability in the chaos of Syria.

Carter's timeline is "a little more ahead of what I have been hearing so far," one US defense official told AFP on condition of anonymity, choosing his words carefully. Another US defense official said the military's expectations for Raqa -- a city with a pre-war population of about 220,000 -- didn't match Carter's timeline. And a third military official said that while the assault could theoretically start in weeks, it may take "single-digit months," pushing the possible timeline out to "nine months or less."

That official added the assault may yet start before 2017, "but it could drag on further for other reasons we can't control.""It's up to" the local forces, he added. "We are ready if they are ready."Even before the start of a ground offensive, likely to be fought along similar lines to the one happening in Mosul, coalition planes must complete the "isolation," "shaping" and "envelopment" of Raqa.

This entails non-stop strikes on IS fighting positions and the slicing of supply lines into and out of the northern Syrian city. Coalition spokesman Colonel John Dorrian said those operations had already partially succeeded, and had helped cut routes from Raqa to and from Europe. "What we're talking about is a higher level of isolation that greatly reduces the freedom of movement of Daesh to go into and come out of that city," he said.

- Unknown factors -Military officials are grappling with a slew of unknowns that have not been at play in the Mosul fight. Whereas Iraqi security forces are a mostly cohesive fighting force under centralized control, the US-led coalition is relying on a more nebulous fighting crew in Syria. The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) number around 30,000 fighters, two thirds of whom are Kurds fighting under the banner of the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG,) with Syrian Arabs broadly making up the rest. Some among the SDF's ranks are hardcore fighters, while others are newcomers to the conflict. The coalition has spent months instructing SDF members, including on how to call in air strikes, but the Pentagon admits some Arab fighters still haven't completed the weekslong training. The murkiness about who will conduct the Raqa offensive -- US special forces will only be watching from behind the frontlines -- was hardly addressed this week by Pentagon press secretary Peter Cook, who said the number of US-backed Syrian fighters would "snowball" as operations advance.

"There are going to be more people who want to join the effort to dislodge" IS, he said without going into details. Further complicating matters is Turkey.

While the United States views the YPG as its best proxy fighting force in Syria, Turkey considers it a terrorist offshoot of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK,) which has been waging an insurgency inside Turkey since 1984. NATO member Turkey supports the recapture of Raqa, but wants to limit Kurdish influence and prevent Kurdish cantons on either side of Raqa from forming a contiguous bloc, as Ankara vehemently opposes the creation of a Kurdish state. The YPG are expected to push toward Raqa but not enter the mostly Arab city, clearing the way for Arab SDF to do so. Another question is the role Turkish troops will play -- YPG advances toward Raqa could be slowed if the fighters are looking behind their backs at the Turks.

And then there's Russia. While Moscow is currently focusing on Aleppo and other regions in support of President Bashar Assad, Russian jets are using the same air space as the coalition, prompting fears of a midair collision that could fundamentally alter the calculus.

 

Iraqi Forces in New Push into Mosul

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 05/16/Iraqi special forces threw themselves back into battle Saturday after a first foray into Mosul was blunted by stiffer than expected resistance from jihadists defending the birthplace of their "caliphate".While the elite Counter-Terrorism Service (CTS) fought the Islamic State group in the streets of Mosul, the army and federal police attacked one of the last sizeable towns on the more distant southern front. The mass exodus feared by aid groups of some of the million-plus civilians still trapped in Mosul has yet to materialise but the number of people displaced by the battle has grown sharply in recent days. "Our forces are now engaged in fierce fighting inside the neighbourhoods of east Mosul," CTS spokesman Sabah al-Noman said, adding that the "fighting is house to house."In Bartalla, a town to the east that Iraqi forces have used as a base since retaking it in the early days of the nearly three-week-old offensive, ambulances returning from the front with wounded CTS fighters whizzed by on a regular basis.

CTS forces made their first real push into the streets of Mosul on Friday but were met by a deluge of bombs and gunfire, and eventually forced into a partial pullback after a few hours. "We weren't expecting such resistance. They had blocked all the roads," said one officer. "There are large numbers of jihadists... It was preferable to pull back and devise a new plan." The hitch in the CTS advance appeared to contradict reports that IS had moved its resources away from the east of Mosul to the west bank of the River Tigris.

- Southern front -The jihadist group had looked increasingly pragmatic when vastly outnumbered and outgunned in recent months, sometimes giving up emblematic bastions almost without a fight. But some of the 3,000 to 5,000 jihadists estimated to be inside the city may have been galvanised by a rare message from their leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi on Thursday. The jihadist supremo released an audio recording for the first time in almost a year urging his fighters not to retreat. Federal forces on the southern front attacked Hamam al-Alil, one of the main towns between their staging base in Qayyarah and Mosul. "Army and federal police forces are attacking the Hamam al-Alil (area) from three sides with the support of army aviation," Staff Lieutenant General Abdulamir Yarallah said in a statement released by Joint Operations Command.

Forces working their way up the Tigris Valley have had more distance to cover than those on other fronts since Iraq launched the operation to retake Mosul on October 17. Their advance has been slowed by IS resistance in villages along the way, bombs planted by the jihadists and concerns for the safety of civilians that has in some cases prevented full use of their firepower. While the corridors called for by aid groups to allow the safe passage of civilians have yet to materialise, the number of arrivals in the displacement camps dotting the area has increased markedly.

- 'Ahead of schedule' -The ministry of displacement and migration said it had taken in 9,000 displaced people during the past two days. It put the total number of Iraqis displaced into camps since the start of the operation at 29,539.

Relief organisations were fighting the clock to build up their shelter capacity ahead of the feared mass exodus from Mosul. Despite complaints from Iraqi forces on the ground that the number of air strikes has been insufficient, the US-led coalition insists it is providing more intense and sustained air support than ever before in its two-year campaign against IS. Brett McGurk, US President Barack Obama's envoy to the coalition, hailed the latest military developments in a message on social media.

"New advances on all axes. Ways to go, but ahead of schedule," he said. US and other commanders have warned that the offensive could take weeks or months. Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, who has visited the front lines several times since the offensive started, has vowed to rid the country of IS by the end of the year. Retaking Mosul could effectively end the IS group's days as a land-holding force in Iraq and deal a death blow to the "caliphate" Baghdadi proclaimed in the city in June 2014.

 

Iran Is the Second Saddest Country in the World

Saturday, 05 November 2016 /NCRI - The head of Iranian regime’s Social Workers Association acknowledged on Wednesday November 2 that following Iraq, Iran under the rule of the Mullahs is the second saddest country in the world. According to ISNA state news agency, Hassan Mousavi Chalak stated that based on average statistics on social happiness provided by a number of respected International organizations, Iran is not among the happy countries. He added: “among 185 countries, Iran is ranked 105, and regarding the world’s unhappiest countries, Iran is at the bottom of the list behind Iraq. We are the second saddest country in the world after Iraq.” The head of Iranian regime’s Social Workers Association pointed to the high rate of mental disorders in the country and said: “some statistical studies point to a rate of 35 percent for mental disorders in Tehran. In some parts of Tehran, however, the situation is too shocking as the rate reaches 80 percent which is described as too critical and raises the issue of social happiness more seriously than ever.”Mousavi Chalak pointed to the age of entry into prostitution fallen to below10 years of age and added: “definitely, the country’s current and future security is tied to the social issues, since the major crises today are the social ones.”Mousavi Chalak pointed out that: “some of the officially announced statistics do not reflect the reality, rather, these unreal statistics are a sign of the officials’ incorrect look at these issues. For instance, the number of addicts has been announced to be 2.3 million people while the actual figure is much more than that.” He said that even according to these unreal statistics the situation is not good and added: ”with regard to addiction, the number of addicts in Iran is equal to the number of addicts in India, whereas India’s population is 15 times as much.”The head of Iranian regime’s Social Workers Association stated that “the number of female-headed households has increased as much as100 percent in the past five years while we don’t have any plan to organize them.” Mousavi Chalak also pointed to the two hundred thousand alcoholics in the country and said: “in the past, we thought that we could prevent these issues by a harsh treatment and heavy punishments, but today we think otherwise.”

 

Iran: Political Prisoner Shouts "Down With Khamenei"

Sunday, 06 November 2016/NCRFI - In a letter from Karaj Gohardasht Prison (West Tehran), the political prisoner Mehdi Farahi Shandiz, has regarded Khamenei as the cause of all the price rises and the pressure on Iranian people, saying ‘down with all the thieves and freeloaders of Mullahs’ and ‘down with the very principle of vilayat-e-faqih meaning Governance of Jurists (Khamenei)’. The letter reads: “after years of being in prison, I finally could see the red meat with my eyes, although was not able to touch or smell it. I wish I had not seen it, imagining that just like other basic needs, red meat has also been removed from the food basket and does not exist in reality anymore.” “Once I was informed of its almost $20 per kilo price, considering that half of it is wasted away, I realized by rule of thumb that the monthly expense (cost of meat) of a family of four with the least consumption of meat would be almost $400 and then I could no more think of the cost of their other needs. I cried for an hour for the 70 million Iranians and then I yelled out loud: “down with the thieves and freeloaders of Mullahs and down with the very principle of vilayat-e-faqih, the causes of all the price rises and miseries of Iranian people.”

Mehdi Farahi Shandiz

Gohardasht Prison, Karaj

 

Saudi, Iran Stoke Sunni-Shia Tensions in Nigeria

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 05/16/Northern Nigeria has become the latest battleground in the proxy war between Iran and Saudi Arabia, after violent clashes between supporters of rival groups from the two main branches of Islam. Members of the Izala movement, backed by mainly Sunni Muslim Saudi Arabia, last month attacked the Islamic Movement in Nigeria (IMN), which is sympathetic to Shiite majority Iran. IMN ceremonies in at least four northern cities to mark the annual Shiite day of mourning, Ashura, were targeted, with the worst riots in Kaduna, an Izala stronghold. At least two IMN supporters were killed. Witnesses and local media said mobs who looted and set fire to homes and businesses over two days shouted "No more Shiites".Sectarian tensions in Nigeria's Muslim-majority north had already been running high, especially in Kaduna, after the state government banned the IMN as an unlawful group and a security threat days earlier. That followed a recommendation from the judicial inquiry it commissioned to investigate clashes in Zaria city last December in which soldiers killed more than 300 IMN members. Those clashes and the recent escalating tension indicate that the proxy Saudi-Iran conflict -- well-known in places such as Lebanon, Yemen and Syria -- is now being played out in Nigeria, experts said. "It is a fact that Saudi Arabia has been financing anti-Shia campaigns in many areas of the world," political scientist Abubakar Sadiq Mohammed, from Ahmadu Bello University in Zaria, told AFP. "If the attacks against the Shiites escalate, of course Iran will support them and Saudi Arabia will support the attacks on Shiites."

Partisan support

Izala leader Abdullahi Bala Lau has been accused of stoking anger by declaring that Nigeria's constitution only recognises Sunni Islam. His group has close relations with Riyadh and Nigeria's government while its satellite television station, Manara, also broadcasts fiery anti-Shiite rhetoric. Leaders from Saudi Arabia and Iran both contacted Nigeria's President Muhammadu Buhari after the Zaria attacks. Iran's President Hassan Rouhani called for restraint and accused "a group" of "sowing the seeds of discord among Muslims in Islamic countries" in what was seen as a clear reference to Saudi Arabia. Nigerian media reported that Saudi King Salman backed Abuja's crackdown on the IMN, describing it as a "fight against terrorism".The Sunni jihadists of Boko Haram have killed at least 20,000 people in northeast Nigeria since taking up arms against the government in 2009. Riyadh has largely refrained from openly backing Nigeria's fight against the ultra-conservative Salafist rebels but Mohammed noted it was "quick to do so in the case of IMN". "The responses of Iran and Saudi to the Zaria clashes belie sectarian undercurrents," he added. In March, Saudi clerics attended an Izala-organised conference on "deviant Islamic ideologies" in Nigeria and have since been preaching in the country. In May, Iran's envoy to Nigeria called for the release of IMN leader Ibrahim Zakzaky and described his detention as "unfair", straining diplomatic ties. He was later recalled to Tehran.

Power and influence

A senior Nigerian security officer said IMN's religious beliefs were immaterial but its alleged disregard for law and order was an issue, as was its lack of recognition of the Nigerian state. IMN started out as a student movement in 1978 and morphed into a Sunni revolutionary group inspired by the Islamic revolution in Iran in 1979. The group switched to Shia Islam in 1996 due to Zakzaky's close association with Iran, worsening mutual resentment with conservative Wahhabists, including Izala, which was founded in 1978 by a Saudi-trained cleric. Islamic history expert Dahiru Hamza said Izala's focus had up to then been against those in the mystical Sufi tradition, whose beliefs they considered heretical. "They shifted their focus on Shiites who were getting more organised and challenging the Salafi influence by winning more converts in the territory under the Salafi control," he added. Izala received funding from Saudi Arabia and wealthy adherents, allowing it to establish mosques and schools. It also encouraged members to participate in politics, gaining government allies.

Banning order

Izala's preaching against IMN and Shia Islam has increased since last December. It openly supported the military crackdown in Zaria and even called for harsher action. Lau dismisses claims he is fuelling tensions as a smear campaign. At least five northern states have followed Kaduna's example in banning the IMN from holding public processions. "The ordinary people took the ban on IMN as a ban on Shia (Islam) because IMN is the more prominent Shia group due to its public activities like street procession," said the editor of the Shia newspaper Ahlulbayt, Muhammad Ibrahim. "This worried us because we saw how Izala followers were spreading the information that the government banned Shia and the people began to believe it."

 

More Protests Against Plundering by Iran Regime’s Officials

NCRI Iran News Saturday, 05 November 2016/According to reports, as looting and plundering by leaders and officials of the Iranian regime continues, the owners of 240 units of “Mehr” cooperative housing complex in Bandar Abbas (Southern Iran) staged a protest gathering on Thursday, November 3, in the courtyard of the complex. They are protesting against the lack of delivery of the units to the owners and cessation of (construction) work as well as failing to address their claims and uncertainty of the bank and cost issues. They demanded this situation be investigated and the issue be addressed. An owner of the cooperative housing units in Bandar Abbas said: “We have gathered to demand receiving our postponed claims and make our voice heard by the state officials.”“Lack of accountability and transparency in the cooperative’s spending, the delay in the construction of housing, using low-quality materials, lack of transparency in the construction costs and spending which is the most important part of the owners’ protest, as well as uncertainty of the bank interests, uncertainty of the amount of bank loans and many others things are among the issues that have provoked protests by the owners of these units. We demand these problems be addressed quickly and residential units be finally delivered to the owners after several years of delay,” he added.

 

Iran: Education International (EI) Launches a Global Campaign to Free Teachers Union Leader

NCRI Iran News Saturday, 05 November 2016/Education International (EI) calls on its members to take action and protest against the six-year jail sentence imposed on Mr. Esmail Abdi, a leader of the Tehran Teacher Trade Association. The sentence was announced on 7 October by Branch 36 of the Appeal Court of Tehran. EI encourages its member organisations and their individual affiliates to petition the authorities through the LabourStart appeal. EI has informed the authorities of the Islamic Republic of Iran that the charges, including one for “assembling and colluding against national security”, are unjust and contravene various human right conventions, including those protecting freedom of expression and association, as well as the right of unions to be consulted on education policies. Mr. Abdi, along with three other Iranian teacher unionists, had already been unfairly detained in July 2015 to prevent them from attending the 7th World Congress of Education International in Ottawa, Canada. A hunger strike by Mr Abdi and massive solidarity campaigns in Iran and in unions across the world resulted in Mr. Abdi’s release in May 2016.

This latest re-sentencing comes at a time when the regime’s neoliberal policies have created a crisis in the country’s educational system and for teachers’ living conditions. The privatisation and commodification of education have destroyed any remnants of equal opportunity or free education in Iran. Many students, especially girls, from low income families in rural and nomadic areas are practically banned from accessing education, with reports showing that over 3.5 million students are unable to attend school.

Iranian teachers are continuing to teach despite being deprived of their basic rights. Teachers’ wages are often below the poverty line. Iranian teachers’ nationwide protests and strikes over the past years, demonstrate their strong demands for systematic change. Every year, as many as 150,000 highly skilled Iranians emigrate. Many do so as a result of high unemployment, but political oppression and lack of religious freedom are also determining factors in emigration.

The authorities are attempting to silence teachers’ grievances through repression and the extended incarceration of unionists and activists.

EI invites its members to take action now:/(31 October 2016)

 

Iraqi Troops Battle For Last Town Before Mosul

Reuters /05 November 2016

Iraqi troops advancing towards Mosul battled on Saturday for the last town left between them and the Islamic State stronghold to the north, which is already under assault from special forces fighting inside the city's eastern districts. Saturday's attack on Hammam al-Alil, about 15 km (10 miles) south of Mosul, targeted a force of at least 70 Islamic State fighters in the Tigris river town, commander of the Mosul operations Major-General Najm al-Jabouri said. Jabouri said the assault began around 10am (0700 GMT). Some militants had already tried to escape across the river, but others put up heavy resistance and the troops had thwarted three attempted suicide car bombings. "(The battle) is very important - it's the last town for us before Mosul," Jabouri told reporters. Iraqi helicopters were supporting the army, he said, backed also by jets from a US-led air coalition which had been hitting Islamic State targets in the town for several days. A military statement said security forces had raised the Iraqi flag over a government building in the town, but did not say whether it was fully under their control. The army and accompanying security forces aim to push the southern front up to Mosul to join troops and special forces that broke into the city's east this week, taking six districts and carving out a foothold in the militants' Iraq bastion. Recapturing Mosul would effectively crush the Iraqi half of a self-proclaimed caliphate declared by Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi from the pulpit of a Mosul mosque two years ago. His Islamist group also controls large parts of east Syria. A Reuters correspondent in the village of Ali Rash, about 7 km (4 miles) southeast of Mosul, saw smoke rising from eastern districts of the city on Saturday. Air strikes, artillery and gunfire could be heard. In Hammam al-Alil, the jihadists had taken hundreds of people as human shields, although Jabouri said it was not clear how many people were left in the town. Before Islamic State swept in more than two years ago, Hammam al-Alil and outlying villages had a population of 65,000. As well as forcing residents to remain as they came under attack in Hammam al-Alil, Islamic State fighters retreating north in the last two weeks have forced thousands to march with them as cover from air strikes, villagers have told Reuters. The United Nations said the militants transported 1,600 abducted civilians from Hammam al-Alil to the town of Tal Afar, west of Mosul, on Tuesday and took another 150 families from the town to Mosul the next day. They told residents to hand over children, especially boys aged over nine, in an apparent recruitment drive for child soldiers, UN human rights spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani said. Jabouri said a man he described as a senior Islamic State figure, Ammar Salih Ahmed Abu Bakr, was killed by federal police - who are fighting with the army in Hammam al-Alil - as he tried to escape from Hammam al-Khalil by car. Many of the remaining militants were non-Iraqis, he said. "There are at least 70 Daesh (Islamic State) fighters in the town. The majority are foreign fighters, so they don't know where to go. They are just moving from place to place."

 

Chibok Schoolgirl Kidnapped By Boko Haram Is Found In Nigeria

Carey Lodge/ Christian Today/  05 November 2016

Around 270 girls, most of them Christians, were taken from their school on April 14, 2014.Reuters

One of more than 200 schoolgirls abducted by Islamist militant group Boko Haram from their school in north-east Nigeria's Chibok in 2014 has been found by soldiers, a Nigerian army spokesman said on Saturday. Around 270 girls, most of them Christians, were taken from their school on April 14, 2014. Dozens have managed to escape, but more than 200 are still missing. Their capture was part of Boko Haram's seven-year-old insurgency to set up an Islamic state in the north of Nigeria that has killed some 15,000 people. Spokesman Sani Usman said the girl was discovered by troops who were screening escapees from Boko Haram's base in the Sambisa forest on Saturday around 06:00 am (0500 GMT) in Pulka, Gwoza Local Government Area, in Borno State. The girl, Maryam Ali Maiyanga, was "discovered to be carrying a 10-month-old son", the army spokesman said. Last month, 21 of the abducted girls were released by Boko Haram following talks with the government brokered by the International Red Cross and the Swiss government. One of the 21 Chibok schoolgirls released by Boko Haram carries her baby during their visit to meet President Muhammadu Buhari In Abuja, Nigeria on Oct. 19, 2016.Reuters. The first of the schoolgirls to be found was discovered by soldiers on the edge of the Sambisa forest, a vast woodland area, in May. More than 910 schools have been targeted by Boko Haram, whose name means "Western [or non-Islamic] education is a sin". At least 611 teachers have been deliberately killed and another 19,000 forced to flee. At least 1,500 schools have closed. In a video released in May 2014, then-Boko Haram leader, Abubakar Shekau, said women and girls would continue to be abducted to "turn them to the path of true Islam" and ensure they did not attend school.  Additional reporting by Reuters.

 

Clinton Touts Optimism against Trump's Grim Warnings

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 05/16/ Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump brandished starkly different visions of America as they headed into a fierce final weekend of campaigning, one celebrating hope as the other bashed corruption.

Trump doubled down on his attacks on Clinton as a product of a venal and incompetent establishment, while Clinton headlined an optimistic concert spectacular featuring superstar singer Beyonce.Forecasts based on polling averages still give the 69-year-old Democrat an edge over the 70-year-old Republican property mogul ahead of Tuesday's vote. But Trump has been buoyed by signs that he is closing the gap in the key swing states that will decide who secures an electoral college win.

So both headed Friday to the American rustbelt, where blue-collar voters that were once reliable Democrats may be tempted by Trump's protectionist promise to repatriate jobs from Mexico and China.Clinton's campaign brought her to Cleveland, Ohio, a state that fellow Democrat President Barack Obama won in 2012 but where she now trails Trump in opinion polls by around five percentage points.

She was introduced with a show-stopping set by rapper Jay-Z and his even more famous wife Beyonce, who sang songs of emancipation and empowerment wearing a version of Clinton's trademark pantsuit. "The world looks to us as a progressive country that needs change," Beyonce declared. "I want my daughter to grow up to see a woman lead our country. That is why I'm with her" Riffing on the theme, Clinton portrayed her campaign to become America's first female president as the next step in the civil rights struggle. "We have unfinished work to do, more barriers to break, and with your help, a glass ceiling to crack once and for all," she declared, to loud cheers.

- 'Dark vision ' -Earlier, Clinton had been in Detroit, Michigan, where supporters booed her populist rival when she attacked his affinity for Russian President Vladimir Putin and a "dark vision" of an America mired in poverty and failure."When I hear my opponent talking about America I don't recognize it," she declared, touting her own "confident, optimistic, inclusive" agenda. The crowd laughed in delight when she mocked the New York billionaire, who avoided the Vietnam War draft, for wearing a camouflage baseball cap. Trump has run one of the most aggressive and populist campaigns in history -- browbeating his Republican primary rivals into submission before launching into Clinton, "such a nasty woman."

Trump was in Hershey, Pennsylvania bidding to use his popularity with the white, male working class to smash a hole in the "firewall" pollsters once thought Clinton enjoyed in Democrat-leaning states. "I want the entire corrupt Washington establishment to hear the words we're about to say. When we win on November 8 we're going to 'drain the swamp'," he said, as the 13,000-strong crowd took up the chant. He predicted that Clinton will face prosecution after an FBI inquiry into her inappropriate use of private email when she was secretary of state, and vowed to tear up current US free trade deals. "We're gonna win Pennsylvania big," he said. "And by the way, I didn't have to bring J-Lo or Jay-Z. I'm here all by myself," he added, mocking in advance Hillary's celebrity event. - 'As corrupt as they come' -A Pennsylvania polling average compiled by tracker RealClearPolitics gives Clinton a 2.6 percentage point edge in the state, but the huge crowd Trump drew was clearly in tune with his message. "Hillary is about as corrupt as they come," declared 27-year-old welder Logan Sechrist, who came to Hershey from Lebanon, Pennsylvania with his pregnant wife to hear Trump's plan for jobs. "I think honestly we need somebody who's a businessman and not a politician," Sechrist said. "The country's falling apart. We're ready for something different." Zach Rehl, a 31-year-old Marine veteran, said previous Republican candidates had failed to speak up for factory workers who have seen their jobs shipped abroad under global trade rules. "This thing hits people at home," he said, predicting that election night on Tuesday in Pennsylvania would be "pretty close."

Some of Clinton's supporters have a similar feeling -- or in their case, a creeping dread. Clinton's supporters were getting tense. "It's nerve-racking that Trump's gotten this far," said Rachel Zeolla, 27, who works in marketing, at an earlier rally in Pittsburgh.For the first time some pollsters agree with them. Pennsylvania, Michigan and perhaps Ohio were once seen as low hanging fruit for Clinton, guaranteeing her victory even if she doesn't pick off a prize like Florida -- but the race has tightened.

The prospect that the November 8 vote will be close or that a once unlikely Trump victory could presage instability and recession has rocked markets. The S&P 500 stock index closed down for the ninth straight day Friday, and the leaders of America's friends and foes alike are watching in amazement as the world's most powerful nation turns on itself. 

 

Kidnapped Italians, Canadian Released in Libya

Two Italians and a Canadian who were kidnapped in the south of conflict-torn Libya in September have been released and flown to Italy, the Italian government announced Saturday. The Italians, Danilo Calonego and Bruno Cacace, and Canadian Frank Poccia were freed during the night "due to the effective cooperation with local Libyan authorities," it said in a statement. The three men were kidnapped in September in Ghat, close to the Algerian border, where they worked for an Italian company that carried out maintenance at the airport. An armed group blocked their vehicle. Several Italian companies are present in Libya, a former colony, and their expat staff have often fallen prey to kidnappers in recent years. In July 2015, four Italians working for a construction company were kidnapped near an oil field operated by Italian giant ENI in the region of Mellitah, west of Tripoli. Two of the hostages were killed six months into their ordeal, likely in clashes between jihadists and local militiamen. The other two were freed in March this year, in a raid on Islamic State group hideouts near the capital. Chaos has engulfed Libya since the 2011 NATO-backed ouster of dictator Moamer Kadhafi.

 

UK Ex-Minister Says MoD Misled Him over Saudi Arms Deal

A former British business minister said Saturday he was seriously misled by the Ministry of Defense over a missiles deal with Saudi Arabia, which is spearheading airstrikes in Yemen. Vince Cable told The Guardian newspaper that he was given specific assurances about the checks that would be carried out on the use of British-made missiles. Cable, who was in office from 2010 to 2015 and responsible for authorising export licences, said he blocked a deal for a consignment of laser-guided Paveway IV missiles as he was concerned about civilian deaths.

After being assured that Britain would be involved in decisions about what was being bombed, he signed the licences. The Ministry of Defence (MoD) told The Guardian that it had no military personnel in the "targeting chain" and had offered Cable no such assurances. "That is categorically contrary to what I was told was going to happen," Cable said. "If what they are now saying (is) I was not offered oversight on an equivalent level to the Americans, and that this would involve oversight of targeting, then I was seriously misled. "That is total fabrication because that was very specifically stated. "My very clear understanding was that the equipment would be supplied to Saudi Arabia on the very clear basis that British personnel would have oversight of what the Saudi air force was doing, on the same basis as the Americans."

The war in Yemen escalated in March 2015 when the Saudi-led coalition launched a military campaign to push back the Shiite Huthi rebels after they seized the capital in 2014 and then advanced on other parts of Yemen. The coalition has come under pressure over the high civilian death toll from its bombing campaign. The MoD told The Guardian while it had agreed to "increase oversight of the targeting process" last year, that did not involve oversight of targeting itself. "British personnel are not involved in carrying out strikes, directing or conducting operations in Yemen or selecting targets and are not involved in the Saudi targeting decision-making process," a spokesman said. Britain is preparing a draft United Nations Security Council resolution demanding an immediate ceasefire in Yemen and negotiations based on a UN peace roadmap that has been rejected by both sides in the conflict, according to a proposal obtained by AFP on Thursday.

 

Kuwait Opposition Abandons Failed' Poll Boycott

Kuwaiti opposition groups are aiming for a comeback in parliament after a four-year election boycott, seeking to reverse what they see as the deteriorating political situation in the Gulf state. More than 30 prominent Islamist and liberal opposition figures and former lawmakers have registered to run in the November 26 polls in the hope of forming a formidable political force. Kuwait's 50-seat parliament is considered the most powerful of its kind in the Gulf Arab states thanks to its legislative and monitoring capacities. But most of the political clout in the oil-rich country still lies with the emir, and a senior member of the Al-Sabah ruling family will be mandated to form a government regardless of the poll outcome. The opposition groups boycotted two general elections in 2012 and 2013 in protest at a change in the voting system brought unilaterally by the government. The opposition alliance said at the time that the change, later endorsed by Kuwait's constitutional court, would allow the government to control parliament and promote autocratic rule. "The opposition has discovered that the boycott was not the right choice. In fact, they found that they have only isolated themselves," political analyst Nasser al-Abdali said. "I think the boycott has considerably weakened the opposition as a whole," Abdali, the head of Kuwait Society for the Promotion of Democracy, told AFP. Kuwait's Emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad Al-Sabah last month dissolved parliament over a dispute over a hike in petrol prices and called for snap polls. The opposition held massive street protests in 2011 and 2012 demanding democratic reforms and an elected government in the emirate, which has a population of 4.3 million, of which 70 percent are foreigners. But over the past two years, the strength of the opposition, which last controlled parliament in February 2012, weakened considerably.

The change in the voting system and the opposition boycott together helped elect a pro-government assembly that critics often described as a "rubber stamp" parliament.

By boycotting the polls, the opposition sent an important message against the government's "unconstitutional practices" that undermined true democracy, Islamist  candidate Mohammad al-Dallal said.- 'Boycott failed' -"After four years (of opposition boycotts), the political situation has deteriorated, corruption became rife and both the government and parliament failed to deal with major economic and security issues," Dallal, a former opposition MP, told AFP. "That is why the participation of the opposition became necessary to enforce reforms, confront corruption and strengthen democracy," he said. Former liberal opposition MP Abdulrahman al-Anjari admitted the boycott failed to achieve its goals. "The boycott failed to abolish the government change in the voting system," Anjari, who is running for office, said at a symposium this week. Parliament should not be left without opposition," he said. But several opposition figures, including former three-time parliament speaker Ahmad al-Saadun, have decided to continue with the boycott saying participation will not solve any problem.

The opposition is rejoining polls while one of its prominent leaders and former MP Mussallam al-Barrak is serving a two-year jail term for criticising the ruler in public.

Kuwait has the Gulf's oldest elected parliament, but under the constitution the emir has extensive powers and can dissolve the legislature at the recommendation of the government. Ruling family members occupy the key portfolios of defence, foreign and interior. While parliament has the power to vote the prime minister and cabinet members out of office, the set-up means change is not easy. Political analyst Mohammad al-Ajmi believes the opposition will have a limited presence in the next parliament, and "will not be a big or effective force." "I think the next house will be dominated by pro-government lawmakers," the sociology professor told AFP. Abdali said he thinks that the opposition could have 10 MPs in the next parliament but many of them will be new faces. The elections come as Kuwait, which sits on around seven percent of the world's proven crude reserves, grapples with a sharp fall in oil prices that pushed it into a budget deficit after 16 years of surpluses.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis& editorials from miscellaneous sources published November 05-06/16

.Islam's "Human Rights"

Janet Tavakoli/Gatestone Institute/ November 05/16

 https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9241/islam-human-rights

No intelligent government should impair the right of free speech to placate people who falsely claim they are victims when often they are, in fact, aggressors.

To the 57 members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, however, all human rights must first be based on Islamic religious law, Sharia: whatever is inside Sharia is a human right, whatever is outside Sharia is not a human right.

Therefore, slavery or having sex with children or beating one's wife, or calling rapes that do not have four witnesses adultery the punishment for which is death, or a woman officially having half the worth of a man, are all "human rights."

Soft jihad includes rewriting history as with the UNESCO vote claiming that ancient Biblical monuments such as Rachel's Tomb or the Cave of the Patriarchs are Islamic, when historically Islam did not even exist until the seventh century; migration to widen Islam (hijrah), as we are seeing now in Europe and Turkish threats to flood Germany with migrants; cultural penetration such as promoting Islam in school textbooks or tailoring curricula for "political correctness"; political and educational infiltration, as well as intimidation (soft jihad with the threat of hard jihad just underneath it).

More regrettable is that these are so often done, as at UNESCO, with the help and complicity of the West.

 Both hard and soft jihad are how Islam historically has been able to overrun Persia, Turkey, Greece, Southern Spain, Portugal, all of North Africa, and all of Eastern Europe. It is up to us not to let this be done to us again.

After witnessing the Islamic Republic of Iran violate human rights, adopt sharia law, persecute other religions, murder dissenters, and compel the judiciary to serve the Ministry of Intelligence, it seems clear that the worst thing that can happen to a free Western country is to allow Islamic fundamentalists to take over a government.

 Most of the world's 1.6 billion Muslims pray in Arabic, even if it is not their mother tongue. The problem, however, is not in the translation; it is in the ideology.

 Fifteen of the nineteen 9/11 hijackers were Saudi Arabian; two more were from the United Arab Emirates; one was from Egypt, and one from Lebanon. All were from Arabic-speaking countries.

Muslim scholars did not unite to protest the act of terrorism on 9/11. Instead, many celebrated a victory; the Quran includes passages that permit violence to expand Islam.  Most so-called Muslims are peace-loving, but if there are 164 verses of the Koran prescribing jihad, and many Muslims might feel it would be heretical or disloyal to condemn it.

 Arabic-speaking Muslim countries are not alone in supporting terrorism. According to the U.S. Department of State, the Islamic Republic of Iran is still the leading state sponsor of terrorism. Iran also recently announced that it will continue to support terrorism, including the terrorist groups Hizballah ["The Party of Allah"] and Hamas.

 Iran still supports the death fatwa issued against a European, the British novelist Salman Rushdie, for The Satanic Verses -- a novel -- issued by the long-dead Ayatollah Khomeini in 1989. Last year the bounty on his head was raised another $600,000 to almost $4 million.

Until his death earlier this year, Ayatollah Vaez-Tabasi, a leading Shia cleric in Iran, who presided over the Imam Reza shrine that draws as many annual visitors as Mecca, called for "perpetual holy war."

 Muhammad's Practices Clash with the Humanistic Values of Western Civilization

Fundamentalists view Muhammad as the perfect man. Yet Muhammad led violent followers who raped, enslaved war captives, and murdered unbelievers as part of Islam's program to expand. Today that behavior is emulated by Islamic terrorists in Iraq, Syria, Sudan, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Mauritania, Nigeria, to name just a few.

Muhammad had several wives, including a slave given to him as a gift. When he was in his fifties, he asked for a friend's six-year-old daughter and consummated the so-called marriage when the child was nine. Although Muhammad criticized corrupt customs of his Arab contemporaries, he had sex with a girl who was too young to be capable of consent; in the West we call this statutory rape. (Sahih Bukhari volume 5, book 58, number 234)

Referring to Muhammad's life, fundamentalists allow forced marriages of female children in countries including Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, some Gulf States, and Iran.

If fundamentalist Muslim leaders do not understand how flawed this ideology appears to the West, their incomprehension may spring from a fundamentally different view of human rights: To the West, these values are embodied in the Enlightenment -- such as individual freedoms, freedom of thought, disinterested enquiry -- and in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights – that all people, regardless of race religion or gender, have the right to life, liberty personal security, and freedom from slavery torture, and degrading treatment.

To the 57 members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), however, all human rights must first be based on Islamic religious law, Sharia: whatever is inside Sharia is a human right, whatever is outside Sharia is not a human right.

To the 57 members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, all human rights must first be based on Islamic religious law, Sharia: whatever is inside Sharia is a human right, whatever is outside Sharia is not a human right. Pictured above: The 2016 OIC Summit in Istanbul, Turkey. (Image source: Al Jazeera video screenshot)

Therefore, slavery or having sex with children or beating one's wife, or calling rapes that do not have four witnesses adultery the punishment for which is death, or a woman officially having half the worth of a man, are all "human rights."

In 2005, after the Danish cartoonist Kurt Westergaard drew a cartoon mildly satirizing Muhammad as an assignment for a newspaper, many Muslim clerics cried blasphemy and called for his death. These included a Pakistani cleric who offered a one million dollar reward to anyone who would murder the Dane. Thousands of Muslims protested. In 2010, an axe-wielding Muslim assailant attacked Westergaard in his home; fortunately, Westergaard was able to escape to a secure room.

Western governments should stand resolute against those who would blackmail us into giving up our freedoms. No intelligent government should impair the right of free speech to placate people who falsely claim they are victims when often they are, in fact, aggressors.

Reformist Muslims and the Credibility Crisis

Most of the world's 1.6 billion Muslims may not countenance violence and human rights violations, but the fact remains that fundamentalists are not a fringe group; they occupy senior positions in the Muslim clerical hierarchy. There are tens of millions (or more) of them, and each seems to believe that his interpretation of Islam is the only correct one. Of this group, it is estimated that hundreds of thousands are jihadis willing to engage in active violence.

Many Reformist Muslims claim they are being unfairly lumped into this extremist crew, but if they are claiming a schism, many they often have not been clear about it.

When Martin Luther, a Catholic priest and a theology professor, repudiated two core teachings of the Catholic Church, he acknowledged that, by definition, he was no longer Catholic. He was part of the Protestant Reformation, and his followers are called Lutherans.

Reformist Muslims still call themselves Muslims, but there can never be a Quran 2.0. Every word in the Quran is believed to be the word of Allah, similar to the Ten Commandments as the direct word of God; no one is able to say that Allah did not mean what Allah reportedly said. Interpretations, however do differ and since 1948 have apparently caused the deaths of 11,000,000 Muslims at the hands of other Muslims.

So one can imagine what might be in store for non-Muslims.

Islam, moreover, seems to have been has been set up to spread it both by violence, "hard jihad," and "soft jihad. " Hard jihad includes terrorism, murder and attempted murder. Soft jihad includes rewriting history as with the UNESCO vote claiming that ancient Biblical monuments such as Rachel's Tomb or the Cave of the Patriarchs are Islamic, when historically Islam did not even exist until the seventh century; migration to widen Islam (hijrah), as we are seeing now in Europe and Turkish threats to flood Germany with migrants; cultural penetration such as promoting Islam in school textbooks or tailoring curricula for "political correctness"; political and educational infiltration, as well as intimidation (soft jihad with the threat of hard jihad just underneath it).  More regrettable is that these are so often done, as at UNESCO, with the help and complicity of the West. Both hard and soft jihad are how Islam historically has been able to overrun Persia, Turkey, Greece, Southern Spain, Portugal, all of North Africa, and all of Eastern Europe. It is up to us not to let this be done to us again. Janet Tavakoli is the author of Unveiled Threat: A Personal Experience of Fundamentalist Islam and the Roots of Terrorism, a newly-released non-fiction book about the current negative implications of Islamic fundamentalism for the United States.

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

Let’s close the Mideast gender gap in less than 129 years

Yara al-Wazir/Al Arabiya/November 05/16

For as long as I have lived, I have hoped that my children will grow up to experience true gender equality. According to the World Economic Forum, this is unlikely as it will take an estimated 178 years to close the gender gap around the world.

Particularly focusing on the Middle East, if the Middle East continues to progress at the rate it has done so for the past ten years, the region will achieve gender equality in 129 years. I don’t think this is good enough – I believe that if the region is tactical in its focus and stringent with its fiscal and monetary policies to incentivize women, men, and the private sector, that it will be able to close the gender gap in our current lifetime. Women make up half of the region’s population, but in the region are limited to 22 percent of the labor market, making them one of the most under-tapped economic resources.

The tactical focus in the early stages of closing the gap must be on maximizing female participation in the labor market. To do this, full advantage of the impact of the digital revolution on the macroeconomic landscape must be realized.

The digital revolution is automating manufacturing jobs and streamlining administrative processes – both industries are large employers of women. As such, naturally women must adapt to this digitization and adapt their skills accordingly. By 2050, the World Economic Forum predicts a sharp decline in job roles related to administrative office, manufacturing, and arts and entertainment industries. Simplistically, there will be one new STEM related job for every man who loses his job, but only one STEM related job created for every 20 women who lose their jobs. With the decline of the availability of the positions, and the rise in demand for STEM related roles, women must use this as an opportunity to develop the right skills in the right areas to enable them to become key players in the future’s economy.

A world driven by technology

The good news is that women are recognizing the skills that are needed to close the gender gap in a world driven by technology. The bad news is that the sociopolitical enablers that can encourage female participation in the region are still lacking.

On the one hand, governments are participating heavily in creating strong role models for women by including women in politics, which the UAE set a strong example by employing more female cabinet members than any other time in history. On the other hand, focusing on labor market participation, the metric that has an incredible opportunity for improvement, there is plenty to be done. The metric can be tackled in two ways: fiscal policy changes as well as changes that impact sociocultural expectations.

The power that governments have to incentivize women to remain in the labor market, and namely in STEM-related industries and roles, is greater than many realize

Government improvements with regards to fiscal policies that incentivize employers to hire women and policies that encourage women to remain in employment are severely lacking. The power that governments have to incentivize women to remain in the labor market, and namely in STEM-related industries and roles, is greater than many realize. The public sector accounts for over 25 percent of the labor market in several countries, therefore the role that governments can play to actively accelerate closing the gender gap is grossly underestimated. The government has the upper hand in tailoring fiscal and monetary policy to incentivize women, society, and private sector employers to help close the gender gap. Incentives can be in the form of offering reduction in business and trading taxes, improvement of provision of monetary support for domestic help for families with dual careers, or even provision for part-time and flexible working hours for state-employees.

With regards to sociocultural expectations, the incentives are as simple as providing opportunities for flexible work hours, remote working locations, maternity and paternity leave. These are policies that can be put in place by both public and private sector.

Recognizing the impact of the technology revolution early on is key to providing the momentum to embracing the economic diversity it brings and actively work to close the gender gap. By creating a highly skilled female workforce, it is inevitable that this will translate into improved political and economic participation.

In the Middle East, women already surpass men when it comes to graduation rates in STEM-related subjects, according to data by UNESCO. Women in the Middle East have already identified the opportunities of digitization, what they need now is support to address the leak in the pipeline that transports women from education to participation in the labor force.

 

Iraqi and Syrian moderates must join forces to quell extremism

Tallha Abdulrazaq/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16

Numerous statements have emerged from various Iraqi quarters that indicate that extremist Shia groups with loyalties to Iran plan to move their fight against the Islamic State (ISIS) from Iraqi territory to Syria.

In a seeming attempt to reassert himself in a gambit to regain Iraq’s top job, former prime minister and current Vice-Presi­dent Nuri al-Maliki made provoc­ative statements that the battle for Mosul would extend to Syria and Yemen.

While Maliki’s statements may be brushed aside as bluster, the most recent to make similar comments, however, was the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF), an umbrella organisation of predominantly Shia paramili­taries backed by Iran. PMF spokesman Ahmed al-Asadi said the PMF will side directly with Syrian President Bashar Assad. Assad is slaughtering his own people and has tallied up a kill count of more than 400,000, according to the United Nations.

The PMF has been accused of war crimes by international human rights organisations. As such, its declared intent to transfer its fight from homeland defence to an offensive war in a different country smacks of the same standards employed by ISIS when it bombastically declared an end to the Sykes-Picot borders between Iraq and Syria. Both ISIS, which is counted as a Sunni extremist group, and the PMF, representing various Shia extremist groups, have been responsible for atrocities and it seems their strategic vision shares many commonalities, too.

This poses an incredibly dangerous problem for moderate, anti-establishment forces in both countries.

Syrians yearning and fighting for democracy for the past six years have already had to square off against Shia militants fighting at Iran’s behest, from Lebanese Hezbollah to the Iraqi Hezbollah and Afghan Shia mercenaries fighting under the banner of the Fatemiyon Division, a subordi­nate unit of Iran’s Islamic Revolu­tionary Guards Corps (IRGC). Adding to their woes, ISIS has been used as a perfect excuse to justify a Russian intervention that has inflicted severe political and human costs on the revolutionar­ies, now branded conveniently as terrorists.

In Iraq, a peaceful protest movement arose in late 2012 following years of Sunni Arab disenfranchisement and discrimi­nation at the hands of the Shia-dominated, Iran-backed Baghdad regime. Maliki, who held the reins of power at the time, was virulently sectarian in his approach and even likened Sunni protesters to the killers of Hussein ibn Ali, the grandson of the Prophet Mohammad, loved by all Muslims but claimed as a religious symbol by the Shia.

Such sectarian rhetoric encour­aged militias and the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) to use massive violence to quell the demonstrators, as the protesters were accused of harbouring terrorists. This was again used as an excuse to violently disperse protest camps. This led to Sunni demonstrators taking up arms to defend themselves, a chaotic and violent environment that allowed ISIS to find a new foothold in Iraq.

Once ISIS is defeated, it seems natural for these other factions to reappear in one form or another, as the underlying social and political issues that led to the rise of ISIS have not been resolved. When that does happen and if Iraqi officials make good on their promise to move the fight to Syria in support of the Assad regime, Iraqi and Syrian moderates need to work together.

Much as the Shia militias, Assad’s regime and Iran work together across borders due to their shared interests, so too must Iraqi and Syrian moderates, who are the increasingly silenced majority in this long-term struggle for self-determination and emancipation from the grip of dictators and sectarian hegemons.

The moderates cannot allow groups such as ISIS to simply filter back and forth across their borders. If that is allowed to happen, they will always be used as an excuse to inflict enormous brutality against them and as a tool in order to co-opt the international community, primarily the United States.

Both Assad and Iran have masterfully positioned them­selves as the “lesser of two evils” and the West has bought it. Essentially, they are saying that either the West deals with them, the so-called rational (if distaste­ful) state actors, or they deal with extremist non-state actors, such as ISIS, bombing their cities.

However, moderate forces on both sides of the border must join forces in preventing the flow of men and materiel designed to further a sectarian war that has to end now before it is too late. Shia militias cannot be allowed to move from one country to another, just as their Sunni extremist counterparts must be stopped. In many ways, they are similar to each other, and both ISIS and the Shia militias threaten the futures of the people of Iraq and Syria, who want nothing more than peace, freedom and security.

**Tallha Abdulrazaq is a researcher at the University of Exeter’s Strategy and Security Institute in England.

 

Iran sees Syria’s future as its zombie state

Tom Regan/The Arab Weekly/November o6/16

The conflict in Syria seems to get worse every week. Yet in the West — occupied with Brexit or e-mail scandals — each new atrocity seems to generate a bored yawn rather than any motivation to do something to solve the crisis.

Into this vacuum have stepped Russia and Iran. Although they, particularly Iran have been around for a while, this lack of interest from the West — espe­cially the United States — has allowed them to extend their influence in ways that promise to be long lasting for the entire region.

For Russia and its megaloma­niac president, Vladimir Putin, the Syrian conflict is part of a long game against the West, which Putin seeks to destabilise with his every breath it seems.

The situation is different for Iran. It also wants to play the long game but with not quite the same goals as Putin. Iran has always seen the survival of Syrian President Bashar Assad as a key foreign, perhaps even domestic, policy goal. His demise would threaten its lifeline to Hezbollah and allow for greater Sunni dominance of the region. This explains Iran’s decision to help him almost from the moment the uprising started in Syria in 2011.

Iran has sent to Syria perhaps as many as 4,000 members of al-Quds Force, the external operations branch of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), and the Fatehin Brigade, made up of Iranian volunteers. Earlier this year, Iran also announced that members of Brigade 65, a special forces unit, had been sent to Syria, marking the first time that members of the regular army had fought outside Iran since the Iran-Iraq war 30 years ago.

Some experts put the number of Iran-connected dead in Syria at about 1,100 — around 350 are Iranian, the rest Afghan or Pakistani volunteers who joined the units to get citizenship in Iran. The dead include several senior military officers.

Iranian security and intelli­gence services are advising and assisting the Syrian military. Iran provides Assad’s regime with money — some estimate as much as $15 billion a year — to survive.

It adds up to a lot of blood and treasure. It is also the main reason that Iran is, well, not going home when the conflict finally ends.

Slowly but surely, Iran has taken over the situation in Syria, basically running the Syrian governmental ship with Assad as its very malleable puppet. There is not much he can do about this and word is that the Russians are not crazy about what they see happening as well. They got a taste of what Iran has planned when reports surfaced that the Iranian ambassador in Damascus decided on his own to appoint a new head of the Assad regime’s National Defence Forces in the nearby Druze city of Sweida.

For Iran, the conflict in Syria has been, in some ways, a god­send. It helped Tehran solidify its ability to supply its Lebanese Shia ally, Hezbollah. It has some of its own troops very close to the border with Israel, a fact that has not escaped Israel’s notice. It can have the more solid grasp on the port on the Mediterranean it has always wanted. And it has tossed a hand grenade into the long-standing regional power dynam­ics in a way that causes great concern in Riyadh and Washing­ton.

There is no reason for Iran to go back to the old status quo. That serves neither its immediate nor long-term interests. Syria will become Iran’s zombie state, kept alive only by its hand.

A stronger and longer Iranian presence in Syria is an outcome that the United States, Saudi Arabia, Israel and even its erst­while ally Russia will have to deal with in the new Middle East.

Tom Regan, a columnist at factsandopinion.com, previously worked for the Christian Science Monitor, National Public Radio, the Boston Globe and the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. He is the former executive director of the Online News Association and was a Nieman Fellow at Harvard in 1992.

 

Erdogan is closing in on vision of one-man rule

Yavuz Baydar/The Arab Weekly/November 06/16

Applying all means of political engineer­ing, Turkish Presi­dent Recep Tayyip Erdogan seems to have set the final stage of the governing change that has left the country sharply polarised and anxious.

He is closer than ever to a constitutional referendum that could grant him full-scale empow­erment — an omnipotent presi­dency — to rule the country. It is, no doubt, an exercise that will have vast consequences in the region, in the global scheme of alliances and be a costly gamble for the future of Turkey. The systemic change has been on the agenda for years but delayed because of the routine turbulence of Turkish politics. The shift to presidential rule was fiercely debated, with US and French models, and was always placed at the heart of broader constitutional reform that, reformists agreed, was an abso­lute necessity for the country. Turkey has been in turmoil because of military tutelage and unresolved issues of collective rights and freedoms of ethnic and religious identities, such as the Kurds and Alevis.

Erdogan decisively steered the country to an authoritarian-majoritarian direction since the Gezi Park protests in 2013.

Attempts to establish peace with the Kurdish political move­ment — the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) and its political wing, the People’s Democratic Party (HDP) — did not last long. Revising sharply his political road map for absolute power, Erdogan in the summer of 2015 headed towards establishing a full-scale conserva­tive-nationalist alliance.

He cunningly manoeuvred towards the elements of the army (the militarist Kemalist flank that favours Russia before NATO), assembled circles of the establish­ment concerned about a Kurdish belt alongside Turkey’s borders with Iraq and Syria and appeased the grass roots of the ultranation­alist opposition Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) through expansionist-revanchist rhetoric against the West.

Erdogan’s hard-line policies, which were played out in scorched-earth moves in the mainly Kurdish provinces, paid back well. On top of that, July’s botched coup cemented the foundation of his popularity, as the MHP, fearing implosion and in general content with the politics of fear, found itself as a de facto ally of Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP).

The road to absolute power is not an easy one, however. Erdogan and the AKP he tightly controls lack the seats to take the issue to referendum. In parlia­ment, which has 550 seats, he needs 330 votes to do so. The AKP falls short by 14, which, due to the resistance of the other opposition parties, Kemalist Republican People’s Party (CHP) and pro- Kurdish HDP, makes him depend­ent on the MHP, which has 40 deputies.

The next parliamentary and presidential elections are sched­uled for 2019. Here Erdogan plays his cards masterfully on several fronts.

Utilising the failed coup as “God’s gift”, as he expressed it, he now rules the country by decree, eradicating civilian opposition by sheer force, tarnishing what remains of the rule of law.

His destruction of critical media is almost complete, with the massive raid on Turkey’s oldest, independent journalism institu­tion, Cumhuriyet. The number of jailed journalists approaches 150, shuttered media outlets more than 180. This means a total lack of proper, diverse public debate and opens the path to unchal­lenged political victory.

Erdogan knows that he also has the main opposition CHP in his hand. Stuck in an ideological impasse that prevents it from forging a leftist opposition bloc with HDP, the third largest group in parliament, CHP remains in limbo. Its leader, Kemal Kilicdaro­glu, has time after time proven far too weak in his oratorical and strategic skills to challenge Erdogan.

This leaves HDP, which is the only voice of political resistance, very vulnerable and Erdogan keeps tightening the screws on the HDP. Its elected mayors in Kurdish provinces, one after another, have been arrested, municipalities seized and given to the government-appointed trustees.

Services in those settlements have been halted as the internet, telephone lines and garbage collecting have ceased to operate for days, paralysing daily life. The aim seems to be to turn the Kurdish voters against the HDP, which they solidly supported in the past.

Erdogan also squeezed the nationalist MHP into a corner. He knows that its leader, Devlet Bahceli, fears an early election, because the party has lost voters to the AKP. Therefore, he pushes for a vote in parliament, paving the way to a referendum, possibly next April or May.

Bahceli, a fierce opponent of the Kurdish demands for recognition and representation, seeks three things in return: That the new constitution preserves the unitary nature of the state, not give in to any demands for recognition of identities other than Turkish and that the death penalty will be reintroduced.

All signs are that Erdogan will have no objections to them as long as his dream comes true. His hope is that a referendum will end with a yes victory assembling AKP and MHP voters, which make up about 60-65% of the electorate.

That is the plan but there are major problems possible. Such a result would mean insufficient consensus necessary for making a major change

Also, if it comes escorted by the death penalty, Turkey can wave goodbye to its aspirations for a closer alliance with Western institutions, setting sail in full force towards the Central Asian sphere.

Yavuz Baydar is a journalist based in Istanbul. A founding member of the Platform for Independent Journalism (P24) and a news analyst, he won the European Press Prize in 2014. He has been reporting on Turkey and journalism issues since 1980.