LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

November 12/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
I do not call you servants any longer, because the servant does not know what the master is doing; but I have called you friends
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 15/15-21/:"I do not call you servants any longer, because the servant does not know what the master is doing; but I have called you friends, because I have made known to you everything that I have heard from my Father. You did not choose me but I chose you. And I appointed you to go and bear fruit, fruit that will last, so that the Father will give you whatever you ask him in my name. I am giving you these commands so that you may love one another. ‘If the world hates you, be aware that it hated me before it hated you. If you belonged to the world, the world would love you as its own. Because you do not belong to the world, but I have chosen you out of the world therefore the world hates you. Remember the word that I said to you, "Servants are not greater than their master." If they persecuted me, they will persecute you; if they kept my word, they will keep yours also. But they will do all these things to you on account of my name, because they do not know him who sent me."

For just as by the one man’s disobedience the many were made sinners, so by the one man’s obedience the many will be made righteous
Letter to the Romans 05/17-21/:"If, because of the one man’s trespass, death exercised dominion through that one, much more surely will those who receive the abundance of grace and the free gift of righteousness exercise dominion in life through the one man, Jesus Christ. Therefore just as one man’s trespass led to condemnation for all, so one man’s act of righteousness leads to justification and life for all. For just as by the one man’s disobedience the many were made sinners, so by the one man’s obedience the many will be made righteous. But law came in, with the result that the trespass multiplied; but where sin increased, grace abounded all the more, so that, just as sin exercised dominion in death, so grace might also exercise dominion through justification leading to eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord."

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 11-12/16
Lebanon: Losers And Winners In Michel Aoun’s Presidency – Analysis/ Mohammad Khajouei/Eurasia Review/November 11/16
Lebanon now led by Iran's emissary/Dr. Edy Cohen/Israel Hayom/November 11/16
The First Signs/Ahmad El-Assaad/November 11/16
House rushes to block Boeing sales to Iran/ Author Julian/Al Monitor/November 11/16
Walid Phares, Trump’s top foreign policy adviser says Trump won’t rip up Iran deal, signals he may not move embassy/Joshua Davidovich/Times Of Israel/November 11/16
Why Egypt's Sisi welcomes Trump win/ Shahira Amin/Al Monitor/November 11/16
Trump Adds to His List of Advisors/ Bob Adelmann/New American/November 11/16
Policy recommendations for Trump in The Middle East/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
Welcome to the Trump world order/Maria Dubovikova/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
Trump presidency: Quo vadis Turkey-US relations in Mideast/Menekse Tokyay/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
Donald Trump’s energy wild card/Dr. Naser al-Tamimi/Al Arabiya/November 11/16

Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 11-12/16
Sami Gemayel Criticizes Geagea: He Accepts Hizbullah in Cabinet but Rejects Kataeb
Aoun Renews Call for 'Separating Foreign Political Choices' from Domestic Situation
Jumblat Denounces 'Attempts to Obstruct' Formation of Cabinet
Berri: Government Will Be Ready When You See Hariri in Ain el-Tineh
Hizbullah Shells Nusra Militants in Arsal Outskirts, Inflicting Casualties
U.N. Chief Condemns Hizbullah Intervention in Syria, Says Violates 1701
Man Kills Two Sons, Commits Suicide in Akkar
Rahi, interlocutors take up relevant affairs
Berri, Arslan tackle current situation
Hariri receives Russian Ambassador, Mufti Chaar
Zahra: Lebanese Forces won't accept exclusion
Aoun in front of economic committees: To separate external political options from Lebanese interior
Aram I visits Pope, welcomes election of Lebanon President
Kejian on Lebanese Chinese diplomatic relations' 45th anniversary: China is Lebanon's main trading partner
Will Lebanon follow Morocco's renewable energy footsteps in light of new political momentum?
EIB Vice President: A positive political environment is always good for EIB green investments in Lebanon
Saudi Starts Paying Billions Owed to Saudi Oger and Other Private Firms
UN envoy hails 'optimistic' Lebanon after President Aoun's election
Lebanon: Losers And Winners In Michel Aoun’s Presidency – Analysis
Lebanon now led by Iran's emissary
Trump foreign policy adviser: Trump will demand changes to the Iran nuclear deal
The First Signs

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 11-12/16
Trump adviser: US to create coalition with GCC
Trump to Work for 'Just, Lasting' Mideast Peace
Trump Begins White House Transition as Protests Simmer
Gulf official: US assertions not to change policy toward region
No ‘legal reason’ US could not opt out of Iran deal
Glitch briefly removes ‘Muslim ban’ proposal from Trump website
Iraqi forces massing to break into Mosul airport
Elite Iraqi Troops to Resume Mosul Push
Why Russia rejected UN Aleppo request
Russia Accuses Syria Rebels of Using Chemical Weapons in Aleppo
Egypt Protest Calls Largely Unheeded
With Shovels and Bulldozers, Iraq Kurds Draw Line in Sand
IS Slaughters 60 People over 'Treason' in Mosul
IS Cornered but Undefeated 6 Months into Libya Battle
Canada Eyes Three Years of U.N. Peacekeeping in Africa
Yemeni FM calls UN envoy to put forward new roadmap 

Links From Jihad Watch Site for on November 11-12/16
Germany: Muslim migrant plotted to bomb Brandenburg Gate for Islamic State
ISIS supporters hope to “inflame the dissension and troubles” in US over Trump victory
Austria: Grandmother raped by Muslim migrant has “lost the will to live”
Six of the jihadis involved in Paris jihad massacres entered Europe as “refugees”
Pakistan offers to work with Trump on counterterrorism
Trump: “I look forward to strengthening unbreakable bond” between US and Israel
Turks hold “anti-Islamophobia” events in US while persecuting Christians
Pakistani Taliban: Trump “should abandon anti-Islam policy and release all Muslim prisoners”
Louisiana: Hijab-wearing Muslima fabricated story of attack by Trump supporters
Islamic Jihad on Facebook, Part II — on The Glazov Gang
UK: Mosque caretaker tried to join the Islamic State

Links From Christian Today Site for on November 11-12/16
Girls As Young As 11 In War-Torn Syria Forced To Marry In Exchange For Money
Iraqis Have Mosul Airport In Their Sights As Advance Continues
Priest Says Christians Are The Salt Of Iraq – And Are Praying For God To Have Mercy On ISIS
Iraqi Priests Celebrate Mass In Destroyed Church For First Time Since ISIS
After Months Of Political Division, What Now For The Church?
Pope Francis Welcomes 4,000 Homeless People to Rome, Apologises For Christians Who 'Look The Other Way'
Christian And Muslim Leaders Condemn Use Of Holy Books To Justify Terror
Why Thousands Of Poppies Will Float Through This Ancient Cathedral On Saturday
Christians From Pakistan Refused Visas To Visit UK Church – Because They Are Too Poor
Christian Ashers Bakery Looks To Supreme Court Over 'Gay Cake' Case
Vatican's Christmas Display To Highlight Plight Of Refugees
We're Keeping Our Spirits High': Indonesian Christians Still Worshiping A Year After Churches Destroyed By Islamic Extremists

Latest Lebanese Related News published on November 11-12/16
Sami Gemayel Criticizes Geagea: He Accepts Hizbullah in Cabinet but Rejects Kataeb

Naharnet/November 11/16/Kataeb party chief Sami Gemayel lashed out at Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea and accused him of planning to exclude his party from a new cabinet lineup, An Nahar daily reported on Friday. “Geagea does not mind to be with Hizbullah in a single government, but he does not want the participation of Kataeb,” said Gemayel. Addressing Geagea, he asked: “Did not we vote in your favor in the presidential election?” “We have always been in the target circle, it is not the first time we find ourselves in a difficult position and amid attempts to isolate us. Let them try and the public opinion shall judge the actions of all,” he went on to say.  On the latest presidential elections, Gemeyal welcomed the election of President Michel Aoun although he believes that the decision to end the vacuum was not totally Lebanese, he said: “The Kataeb party has voted for the constants that we believe in, contrary to others who abandoned theirs. “The circumstances that engulfed the election of Aoun were moved through a foreign settlement,” Gemayel believes, as he remarked that “the regional player which has been obstructing the country all through the presidential vacuum period is the same player that helped reach this settlement.”  “A pre-agreed settlement is what brought Aoun president, while we adhered to our consistent positions and beliefs. Bargains do not equate with constants and principles,” he said. Stressing that Iran was the “first winner” in the presidency election, he said: “Let us be honest with ourselves...This is what (Hizbullah leader) Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah wanted and he has won. Why have not they elected Aoun before all these years? We would have saved the bloodshed of Pierre Gemayel, Gebran Tueini, Antoine Ghanem and all other martyrs since 2005 until today.”
 
Aoun Renews Call for 'Separating Foreign Political Choices' from Domestic Situation
Naharnet/November 11/16/ President Michel Aoun on Friday reiterated his call for “separating the foreign political choices” of the Lebanese parties from the domestic situation.  “In the last (national) dialogue session that I participated in, and after a political debate erupted over the Middle East issues... I called for separating the foreign political choices from the Lebanese situation,” Aoun told a delegation from the Economic Committees, a grouping of the country's leading businessmen and owners of major firms. “I told them let us build Lebanon and I believe that the idea has worked today,” Aoun added. The newly-elected president reassured the delegation that “there are good promises, especially regarding the summer tourism season.” “I have received congratulatory phone calls from all Arab countries and I invited them to visit Lebanon while reassuring them over security and stability. They all made good promises and I hope that will materialize,” Aoun added. “Economic issues can materialize gradually and they need time. The security situation will improve, and when things calm down in the region around us, Lebanon will return to be a center of attraction,” the president said. Aoun's election and Saad Hariri's appointment as PM-designate have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."
 
Jumblat Denounces 'Attempts to Obstruct' Formation of Cabinet
 Leader of the Democratic Gathering parliamentary bloc criticized Friday the parties trying to hamper the formation of the government under PM-designate Saad Hariri.  “Some parasites are hampering the formation process of the government. Burt they are being dealt with,” said Jumblat via Twitter. Jumblat was referring to attempts of some political parties, without naming them, to delay the cabinet line-up. Hariri is finding some difficulty in finalizing the final touches to form the government in light of the demands of some political parties for specific ministerial portfolios. The Mustaqbal Movement chief, Hariri, was tasked to form a cabinet after his designation on November 3 shortly after the election of President Michel Aoun on October 31. Hariri's appointment and Aoun's election as president after two and a half years of presidential vacuum have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees.  In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the finance, defense and energy ministries.
 
Berri: Government Will Be Ready When You See Hariri in Ain el-Tineh
Naharnet/November 11/16/PM-designate Saad Hariri and Speaker Nabih Berri have agreed to meet when a new government formula is complete and when Hariri has finished the final touches of lining up the new cabinet, media reports said on Friday. “Hariri and I have agreed to meet when he is ready. I will help him out if he needs my help. When you see him at my place, you should know that white smoke has billowed,” said Berri. Unnamed sources quoted Berri as saying that he still has hope that Lebanon's government will be formed before Independence Day, he said: “As far as I know, the communications and the path of the government formation are positive. I have agreed at Baabda with President (Michel) Aoun and Hariri on the necessity to have a government is born as soon as possible.” On the suggested number of ministers, Berri said: “The government will be comprised of 30 not 32 ministers because Hariri did not like that,” as he stressed that it will not contain an obstructing third or any independent ministers. On reports that some have suggested the exclusion of the Kataeb party, Marada Movement, MP Talal Arslan, the National Party and others, Berri expressed astonishment and said: “It will not be a national unity government if does not include them, and I would not accept such a government.” Hariri's appointment as premier-designate and the election of Michel Aoun as president after two and a half years of presidential vacuum have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In a sign that Hariri's task ahead might not be easy, Hizbullah's MPs declined to endorse him for the prime minister post. Hariri is likely to struggle with his government's policy statement, which will have to make reference to Israel, as well as the war in Syria, both potential flashpoints with Hizbullah. The process of forming a government could take months, with horsetrading likely to revolve around the distribution of key posts like the finance, defense and energy ministries.
 
Hizbullah Shells Nusra Militants in Arsal Outskirts, Inflicting Casualties
Naharnet/November 11/16/Hizbullah fighters on Friday bombed militants from al-Nusra Front in the outskirts of the northeastern border town of Arsal, inflicting casualties, Hizbullah's al-Manar TV reported. “Islamic Resistance jihadi fighters have targeted a gathering of Nusra Front terrorists in the Dahr al-Hawa area in the outskirts of the northern Bekaa town of Arsal, causing deaths and injuries in their ranks,” al-Manar said. Al-Nusra has recently rebranded itself as Fateh al-Sham Front after announcing a severing of ties with the global jihadist network al-Qaida. Militants from the group and the rival Islamic State jihadist group are entrenched in areas along the undemarcated Lebanese-Syrian border and the army regularly shells their posts while Hizbullah and the Syrian forces have engaged in clashes with them on the Syrian side of the border. The two groups overran the town of Arsal in 2014 before being ousted by the army after days of deadly battles. The retreating militants abducted more than 30 Lebanese soldiers and policemen of whom four have been executed and nine remain in IS' captivity.
 
U.N. Chief Condemns Hizbullah Intervention in Syria, Says Violates 1701
Naharnet/November 11/16/U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon has condemned Hizbullah's military intervention in neighboring Syria, noting that it violates U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006), media reports have said. Ban called on Hizbullah and all Lebanese parties to halt any interference in the Syrian conflict, Al-Arabiya television reported on Friday. The U.N. secretary-general said Hizbullah's involvement breaches Lebanon's so-called dissociation policy, warning that any military activities by Hizbullah or any other Lebanese elements in the neighboring country would subject Lebanon to grave risks, the TV network said. Ban also said that the movement of fighters and weapons across the Lebanese-Syrian border is a violation of UNSCR 1701, Al-Arabiya added. Several thousand Hizbullah fighters are fighting alongside President Bashar Assad's forces across war-torn Syria. Hizbullah has never provided an official death toll for its fighters, but monitors estimate that several hundred have been killed in Syria, including top commanders. The party argues that its intervention in Syria, which is controversial in Lebanon, is necessary to protect the Lebanese from the threats posed by extremist jihadist groups such as Islamic State and al-Nusra Front.
 
Man Kills Two Sons, Commits Suicide in Akkar
Naharnet/November 11/16/A man killed his two young sons before shooting himself to death in the northern border town of Mashta Hassan in Akkar, the National News Agency reported on Friday. The perpetrator Youssef Saado, shot dead his son Mohammed, 7, and Ali, 5, before pointing the hunting rifle at himself and shooting, NNA said. Security forces and Red Cross ambulances arrived at the crime scene. The bodies of the victims were taken to al-Salam Hospital in al-Qobayyat. According to LBCI, the father was under arrest some time ago on charges of drug abuse. They added that he might have committed the crime under the effect of drugs. 
 
Rahi, interlocutors take up relevant affairs
Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Bechara Boutros Rahi met on Friday morning at Bkirki with the Representative of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) Mireille Girard, on a visit to discuss the Syrian refugees' issue. There was agreement during the meeting on the need to "exert efforts to consecrate peace in Syria for the welfare of the people of Syria and neighboring countries." On emerging, Girard said that the visit constituted an important opportunity to sound Patriarch Rahi on his reading of the current situation in the region, adding that talks also dwelt on inter-faith dialogue and coexistence amongst communities amidst the presence of Syrian refugees in the country. In reply to a question, Girard stressed that the Syrian refugee issue is amongst the priorities of the international community and the United Nations, to secure their return to their homeland. Girard also expressed her belief that the best solution in this regard lies in consecrating peace in Syria and the launching of political dialogue amongst all sides. On the other hand, Patriarch Rahi met with Check Ambassador to Lebanon, who came on a protocol visit. Later, Rahi met with Kataeb Party chief, MP Samy Gemayel, and former Minister, Selim Sayegh.
 
Berri, Arslan tackle current situation
 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - Speaker of the House, Nabih Berri, met on Friday noon at Ain el Tineh with the head of the Lebanese Democratic Party, Deputy Talal Arslan. "I came today to thank Speaker Berri on his stance and insistence on including the Lebanese Democratic Party in the new cabinet. Berri insisted that a national unity cabinet should be formed," Arslan said following the meeting. Separately, Berri met with Chairman of the National Dialogue Party, Fouad Makhzoumi with talks featuring high on the general situation in the country. Makhzoumi congratulated Berri on the election of President Michel Aoun and the designation of PM Saad Hairri. Berri received in the afternoon a delegation from the Supreme Ja'fari Court and the heads of courts in Beirut and the southern suburbs under the chairmanship of the courts, Sheikh Mohammed Kanaan.
 
Hariri receives Russian Ambassador, Mufti Chaar
 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - Prime Minister Saad Hariri received today at the "Center House" the Russian Ambassador to Lebanon Alexander Zasypkin in the presence of Hariri's advisor for Russian Affairs Georges Chaaban. The meeting focused on the political developments in Lebanon and bilateral relations. Hariri also met with the Mufti of Tripoli and the North Sheikh Malek Chaar, who said after the meeting: "I was pleased to meet with Premierr Hariri on this blessed afternoon. We discussed the situation in Tripoli and the North, the religious situation in particular, and everything related to Dar Al Fatwa and Sharia courts. I also informed him about the political situation and the demands of the people who are expecting a lot from this stage led by President Michel Aoun, with the wisdom and the leadership of Premier Hariri. I conveyed to him important demands concerning the detainees; it is time to solve this problem especially for those who are still awaiting their trials." Hariri received the Board of Trustees of the Arab Forum for Environment and Development (AFED), headed by Dr. Adnan Badran, in the presence of the Chairman of the Executive Committee Dr. Abdul Rahman Al-Awadi, the Secretary General Najib Saab and Hariri's advisor Fadi Fawaz. Saab said that the delegation informed Hariri about the results of the annual meeting of the AFED, which was held at the American University in Beirut, under the title "Sustainable Development in a changing Arab climate". Saab added that the delegation presented to Prime Minister Hariri the report on Sustainable Development, in his capacity of AFED founding board member.
 
Zahra: Lebanese Forces won't accept exclusion
 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - Lebanese Forces MP Antoine Zahra indicated on Friday that his party will not accept the exclusion of any side from the lineup of the next government. "This is year 2016 and not 1975; exclusion is useless, and will not give the results it gave back in 1975, and which drove all Christians to sympathize with Kataeb party," he told an interview on MTV, adding that time has changed. "It was the LF who refused the veto policy," he reminded, denying that the LF are trying to isolate Kataeb. "The LF has refused injustice and exclusion and isolation attempts in the past, and will not accept them today, whether they were aimed against it or against any other side," he corroborated. "We are partners in this new tenure and we are keen on facilitating its work. We will participate in the government effectively as we deserve," he said. He lastly uttered relief over the agreement between the LF and the Free Patriotic Movement, as well as over the share of the LF in the coming government. 

Aoun in front of economic committees: To separate external political options from Lebanese interior
 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, stressed that a nation's uprising can solely be achieved through a popular workshop, calling for separating external political options from the Lebanese interior. "Everyone is invited to reconstruct Lebanon," President Aoun said on Friday during his meeting at Baabda palace with a delegation of economic committees, led by former Minister, Adnan Qassar. President Aoun underscored that no one shall tamper with someone else's political or religious belief, as one of the "natural conditions for coexistence and natural life in Lebanon."Aoun also stressed in front of the delegation that "since we are in a free economic system, work is the responsibility of everyone, on the basis of solidarity," underlining that the status of the Lebanese pound can be ameliorated through productivity. "Economy is the key pier of the Lebanese currency," he said. The President also pointed out that the contacts he received from heads of Arab and foreign countries reflect confidence in Lebanon and its better future. On the other hand, Aoun met with Druze Sheikh Akl Naiim Hassan, who came on top of a delegation to offer congratulations to him on his election as president of the republic, wishing him success in his new presidential mission. Aoun also met with President of the Maronite General Council, former Minister Wadih Khazen, on top of a delegation of the Council's executive board to congratulate him on his election. Discussions focused on the general situation. Among Baabda Palace's other visitors for today has been former French Culture Minister and then Army Chief of Staff Brigadier General Hatem Malak. On the other hand, Aoun continued to receive congratulatory cables on his election, notably from British Prime Minister Theresa May, and Argentinean, Pakistani and Check Presidents.
 
Aram I visits Pope, welcomes election of Lebanon President
 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - Head of Armenian Apostolic Church, Catholicos Aram I, visited today Pope Francis at his Vatican office, a statement by the Church indicated on Friday. During the meeting, Aram I welcomed the fresh election of a new Lebanese president, capitalizing the priority of coexistence among Christians and Muslims.  For his part, Pope Francis highlighted the importance of dialogue among religions, and preserving the Christian communities in the Middle East.

Kejian on Lebanese Chinese diplomatic relations' 45th anniversary: China is Lebanon's main trading partner

 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA - Chinese Ambassador to Lebanon, Wang Kejian, said on Friday that China was one of the most important trade partners for Lebanon during three consecutive years, adding that trade between the two countries reached 2 billion and 80 million dollars by 2015. The Ambassador's words came on the occasion of the 45th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between Lebanon and People's Republic of China. At the political level, the diplomat said that the two countries must respect each other. Regarding the humanitarian and cultural sectors, he said that relations between the two countries were based on cultural exchange, "the Chinese Embassy organizes annual festivals to introduce the Chinese culture in Lebanese universities and schools."He also talked about military relations and assured that his country supported the army and offered between 2013 and 2015 logistic and field equipments worth 45 million Yuan. "The Chinese Embassy will continue to work in order to strengthen bilateral relations and cooperation for more fruitful results," he concluded.   
 
Will Lebanon follow Morocco's renewable energy footsteps in light of new political momentum?
EIB Vice President: A positive political environment is always good for EIB green investments in Lebanon

 Fri 11 Nov 2016/NNA -Will Lebanon follow Morocco's renewable energy footsteps in light of new political momentum?
 EIB Vice President: A positive political environment is always good for EIB green investments in Lebanon
 Written by Rana Al-Hajj
 As Lebanon groans under the heavy weight of power outages and their dire repercussions on the nation's economy, most parts of the world have been increasingly utilizing renewable energy (RE) and putting energy efficiency (EE) into the core of their transition towards low-carbon and green economy.  In this framework, Morocco has become one of the leading examples of a country making optimal use of its RE potential. The country imports more than 97% of its energy at a time that it has abundant sunshine all year round. This has pushed the government of Morocco to put in place the Morocco Solar Plan, to install 2,000 MW of solar capacity by 2020.  In its capacity as the world's largest financer of climate-related investments, persistently mobilizing finance to encourage green economies, the European Union Investment Bank (EIB) contributed a sum of EUR 250 million to the finance of three phases of the project under the Morocco Solar Plan.
 Implemented by the Moroccan Agency for Solar Energy (MASEN), "Noor" aims to reach a potential capacity of 580 MW, which is equivalent to powering a city of 1,500,000 inhabitants. Once fully developed, this solar complex will be one of the largest in the world.
 It is high time Lebanon opted for RE and EE generation, but the question remains: will the new political momentum help boost the dwindling investors' trust in Lebanon's fluctuating economy and shaky political grounds?
 Albeit, the increase of energy efficiency and building of smart cities have proven to be major drivers en route to sustainable development and accelerated economic growth, not to mention that they don't only concern the substantial improvement of the conditions and environment in which we are living, but also help bolster a competitive national economy.
 According to a study published by Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES), the current situation of the energy sector in Lebanon is critical, as the demand largely exceeds the supply and, consequently, power outages are a daily occurrence.
 The state-run Electricite du Liban (EDL) is producing only 70% of the electricity needed. EDL has a strong monopoly in the supply of energy, and it suffers from severe financial problems. Therefore, it relies on the government to cover its expenditures. Concisely, this means that energy is highly subsidized by the State.
 However, and in spite of this financial support, the tariffs for consumers are significantly higher than in neighbouring countries. The monthly energy bills represent a large share of the private households' expenses, as the consumers pay the EDL and often pay as well for power generators to bridge the power cuts. Apart from being expensive, these generators have high rates of emission and contribute to the already severe air pollution in residential areas. In addition, the Lebanese power sector relies mainly on fossil fuels and obsolete technologies, facing important environmental challenges like water constraints, air pollution and climate change issues.
 Furthermore, Energy demand in Lebanon is estimated to grow at an average of 3-5% per year for the coming 10 years; as a result, the Lebanese electricity sector will face further challenges unless substantial investments and reorganization effort are undertaken urgently.
 In an exclusive interview to NNA, EIB Vice president, Roman Escolano, voiced mounting optimism concerning the new political developments at the Lebanese scene, especially at the economic level.
 "We have been following up on a lot of interesting developments in Lebanon, especially at the political front. We have been very active lately in projects with the private sector, which is probably less dependent on the political situation, particularly within the financing office that implements projects with banks. We do this in cooperation with local banks and we have been discussing with many of them different projects, some of which have been recently approved," Escolano told NNA.
 Touching on EIB's activity with the Lebanese State, EIB's VP pinned great hope that the new political developments in Lebanon would pave the way for more room to approve projects within both, the private and public sectors.
 "In the context of the resilience initiative, which is an initiative that the European Union has asked the EIB to develop in order to address the Syrian refugee crisis, we think that we are going to develop with both, the private and public sectors, more projects of innovative nature in the sense that we are going to require more sophisticated instruments by which the bank will be in a position to take more risk. I would like to stress again, with both, the private and the public sectors. So, yes, Lebanon is going to be one of the key priorities in the region, especially due to the highly welcomed political developments. We are clearly eager to study and analyze more projects in the country."
 As for RE-related investments in the making between Lebanon and the EIB, Escolano said that due to the Bank's unique expertise in this field, the EIB didn't only play the role of a financer, "but a provider of expertise in this area," citing the example of Ouarzazate Solar Complex "Noor".
 "A positive political environment is always good for EIB's green investments in Lebanon. As far as I understand, some of the projects have been perhaps facing a problem finding the right interlocutor on the other side, but let's hope that we have good political developments and atmosphere - together with all the international financers, we will be able to implement all the pending projects. We are very mindful of the importance of Lebanon in general, not only because of the Lebanese economy, which is doing well given the challenging context and the Syrian refugee crisis."
 In turn, Senior EIB Loan officer Catherine Barberis told NNA, "We are always very keen to finance projects in Lebanon, and as soon as we are officially solicited on a project, we are going to respond. There is a momentum now in Lebanon and it's something recent, we need to sort of discuss this with the Lebanese authorities."  "We hope that the new political developments will help resume all EIB activity in Lebanon because we used to finance projects in Lebanon. Some of the projects are still active and under construction," she added.
 The renewable energy sector in Lebanon is not well developed. 97% of the energy is imported in the form of fossil fuels, while only about 2% of the energy is generated from renewable energy resources.
 Lebanon could make use of wind, water, sun, and bio energy. The trash crisis that the country has been enduring for more than a year now has flared calls for making use of organic waste (such as agricultural waste) and even municipal solid waste, to generate RE. With the rising amount of waste in Lebanon, generating energy from the treatment of waste could be an option, despite the fact that it is very expensive.
  
Saudi Starts Paying Billions Owed to Saudi Oger and Other Private Firms
Naharnet/November 11/16/The Saudi Ministry of Finance began paying billions of dollars owed to private firms and construction companies after oil revenues collapsed, including Saudi Oger, that have already carried out work for the state totaling about 100 billion Saudi riyals or about $ 26 billions. The orders came after an announcement of the Council of Economic Affairs and Development, headed by powerful Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, said the kingdom will pay the outstanding amount before the end of December. One of the companies that will benefit from this decision is the Saudi Oger construction firm which is led by newly nominated premier Saad Hariri, and the Bin Laden Group which announced last month that the Saudi government had paid it "some benefits", allowing it to cover some of the salary arrears to employees. The Saudi decision came in parallel with information that Saudi Oger had asked the banks to agree on freezing its debt payments, paving the way for rescheduling the debt on the one hand and paying its employees from the money it will get from Saudi Arabia's treasury on the other.

UN envoy hails 'optimistic' Lebanon after President Aoun's election
 The New Arab/November 11/16/A "mood of optimism" has taken hold in Lebanon following the two-year wait to elect a president, its UN envoy has said, as the country faces ongoing challenges Tags: Lebanon, Aoun, Syria, UN, refugees
 A "mood of optimism" has gripped Lebanon following the election President Michel Aoun after a two-year political stalemate, said a UN official.
 More political breakthroughs are expected, the country's UN special coordinator Sigrid Kaag has said, while acknowledging the burden of hosting millions of refugees and potential threats to its security.
 "Lebanon is a unique country. It needs to be preserved and shielded," said Kaag as she called upon the international community to do its part.
 Following Aoun's election last month, the UN Security Council urged the new government to build on efforts to ensure the nation's stability in a region rocked by Syria's civil war.
 Lebanon is currently hosting 1.1 million Syrian refugees in addition to the 300,000 Palestinians since 1948, which posed security challenges, Kaag said.
 "There are risks of incursion, of armed extremists from neighbouring Syria," she said. "There is a continuous slow undercurrent, a risk of radicalisation within the country. And, of course, the broader socio-economic conditions that have negatively affected Lebanon in view also of the Syria crisis - that creates new tensions within."
 Kaag applauded the Lebanese government and its people for their generosity of spirit, though she acknowledged a population where one in four people are refugees was not sustainable for the small country.
 However, according to Kaag, the matter is "less of a security issue and more of an overall containment of a situation which presents a challenge for Lebanese citizens and of course the refugees who look forward to a safe return when time permits".
 She commended the nation's tolerance and accommodating response, but also noted that people remain anxious as the refugees' return depends on a political solution to the crisis in Syria.
 "In the meantime we have to do as much as we can to provide support to the refugees: protection, access to school, healthcare, and employment opportunities where possible. But we also have to make sure that [those who are] vulnerable [in Lebanon] do not feel left behind and that they are taken care of," she said.
 Aoun, leader of Lebanon's largest Christian political party filled the presidential void left following the end of Michel Sleiman's tenure in May 2014.
 Aoun is a polarising figure and many Lebanese, both within the country and in diaspora communities, have expressed reservations and even outright criticism at the election of the former general, who is politically aligned with Hizballah.

Lebanon: Losers And Winners In Michel Aoun’s Presidency – Analysis
 Mohammad Khajouei/Eurasia Review/November 11/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/11/mohammad-khajoueieurasia-review-lebanon-losers-and-winners-in-michel-aouns-presidency-analysis/
 The Gordian knot of Lebanon’s presidential election was finally cut after about two and a half years and former army commander, General Michel Aoun, whose main supporter was the Lebanese resistance movement, Hezbollah, won the parliament’s vote to win the post.
 The question, however, is why this development is important and how it should be seen in the light of the political rivalries in Lebanon and ongoing regional tensions. The following points are noteworthy in this regard:
 The end of the political deadlock, which had left Lebanon in limbo and faced the country with uncertainty during the past two and a half years, is per se an important point. This is especially true because Lebanon is on the verge of new parliamentary elections and establishment of the new government can take the country’s affairs back to normal. More important, however, is that getting out of this deadlock was made possible through consultations and dialogue among various Lebanese political groups. Under conditions when many countries in the Middle East resort to military means when domestic differences soar, the people of Lebanon managed their differences properly and finally found a way out of this deadlock through the logic of partnership as well as political give and take. This proves nothing but the maturity of democracy in Lebanon; a democracy, which has been based on consensus and ethnic quotas and despite all its difficulties and hardships, perhaps can be the best model for Arab countries in the region because it satisfies all ethnic groups one way or another and prevents emergence of a dictatorship.
 Those who agreed to Michel Aoun’s presidency belong to both main political currents, that is, the March 8 Alliance and the March 14 Alliance. His opponents were also as such. Therefore, no one can claim that one of those alliances has become the winner and the other one has been loser of the new political trend in the country. However, nobody can also claim that these two coalitions have a similar share of advantages under new conditions. Michel Aoun was the main presidential candidate supported by two main parties in the March 8 Alliance, that is, Hezbollah and the Christian party known as the Lebanese National Movement. These two parties insisted on the candidacy of Aoun at a time that some of his current supporters, including Samir Geagea and Sa’ad Hariri were opposed to him. However, when the leaders of the March 14 Alliance failed to attune the presidential election process to their interests, they had to gradually change position and support Aoun. Of course, the belated support offered to Aoun by Hariri caused his supporters to gain the needed quorum at the parliament, but this also meant that Hariri was playing in the playground prepared by Hezbollah and its supporters. Of course, Hariri managed to take the prime minister’s post as a concession. In fact, Hariri preferred a relative win over a complete defeat.
 Election of Aoun as Lebanon’s new president will have regional connotations as well. The main supporters of Aoun can be also considered as members of the Iran axis. So, it was not strange that Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani and Syrian President Bashar Assad were among the first foreign politicians to congratulate Aoun on his win. It was also not strange that Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif was the first high-ranking foreign official to travel to Lebanon following the election of Aoun. General Aoun has been among supporters of Bashar Assad and also Hezbollah’s military presence in Syria for years. Despite some people like Hariri, he believes that presence of Hezbollah in Syria has assured Lebanon’s security and has prevented Takfiri terrorists from pouring into this country. Saudi Arabia, which was among the most important supporters of the March 14 Alliance and especially Sa’ad Hariri, has been witnessing a remarkable decline in its influence on Lebanon’s politics and has not been able to take the initiative in the course of determining the country’s president. Of course, it seems that Lebanon is no more the first priority for Saudis, who are ow intensely involved in such crises as the war in Yemen and Syria. On the whole, election of Aoun to presidency in a country, which has common borders with Syria, will play an important role in bolstering the front that supports the incumbent Syrian government.
 The importance of presidency in Lebanon is not because of the powers it has, but is because of its symbolic position at the gravitational center of all political groups in the country.
 Although the deadlock surrounding election of Lebanon’s president has been shattered, this can be also the beginning of a new round of differences and maybe new conflicts in the country. The new cabinet is supposed to represent the entire political spectrum. This will be good because all political groups will be satisfied with having a share of power and it will also boost overall solidarity in Lebanon, but it can also lead to conflicts among positions that these groups hold on various issues. Lebanon is to hold new parliamentary elections next May. One of the main bones of contention has been the issue of changing the election law; the same law according to which the forthcoming elections are going to be held. Apart from this, a major sticking point is the position that the new Lebanese cabinet will take on the ongoing developments in Syria.
 While some cabinet members support the government of Bashar Assad and consider it as the legitimate government of Syria, others consider it as totally illegitimate. It is natural that presence of these conflicting views in the government may lead to challenges. On the other hand, Michel Aoun, as the new Lebanese president, and Sa’ad Hariri, as the new Lebanese prime minister, hold totally different views on the situation in Syria. Hariri even announced recently that he would not allow Lebanese minsters to travel to Syria. This comes at a time that the Syrian government has an ambassador in Lebanon. Therefore, it seems that the issue of Syria will continue to overshadow the political atmosphere in Lebanon.

 

Lebanon now led by Iran's emissary

Dr. Edy Cohen/Israel Hayom/November 11/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/11/dr-edy-cohen-lebanon-now-led-by-irans-emissary/

http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_opinion.php?id=17623&r=1

Iranian influence is continuing to bore its way into Lebanon. In effect, with his election as Lebanon's president, Michel Aoun has joined a series of leaders who support Hezbollah and Iran. Now, Sunni Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri has been left alone in the campaign against Iranian and Hezbollah influence.

Many Lebanese were disappointed by Aoun's first speech to the nation after his election.

Instead of speaking about the burning issues, Aoun chose to focus on freeing Lebanon from "Israeli occupation," in an effort to please his masters in Tehran.

Aoun could not have been elected without Iran's support. He would have done better to focus on the issue of electricity, which functions only a few hours each day in most parts of the country; or on the thousands of Lebanese imprisoned in Syria; or on the plight of thousands of former members of the South Lebanon Army, who are under investigation for no reason.

Instead of these issues, Aoun chose to bash Israel. A typical demagogic speech given by Arab leaders seeking to provoke the people with empty words. What occupation was Aoun talking about? After all, Israel withdrew from Lebanon in May 2005, to the international border along the Blue Line that is recognized by both countries.

When it comes to expectations for the future, we must get to know who Aoun really so as to analyze and predict which steps he will take. In his day, Aoun symbolized more than anything the Lebanese resistance against Syria. He served as transitional prime minister in 1988, holding on to the position until he was exiled to France in 1990, due to his defeat in the liberation war against the Syrians. He declared this war on Mar. 14, 1989, but his small army suffered a bad defeat, and Aoun was forced to abandon his palace in the dead of night on Oct. 13, 1990, for the French Embassy in Beirut, where he requested political asylum. This step led to widespread criticism from the Lebanese, who nicknamed him "the pajama general."

Even now, many Lebanese do not see him as a man worthy of the presidency, after he abandoned his wife and daughters at the palace and left hundreds of his soldiers alone against the Syrian forces that took over. Nearly 100 soldiers were executed by the Syrians at the time and dozens more were taken prisoner. It would have been better if Aoun had mentioned those poor soldiers, whose fate is still unknown, in his speech.

 Without Iranian help, Aoun would have only dreamed of serving as president, as he has done since the 1980s. Dozens of former Lebanese politicians now live in obscurity and no one hears about them. But Aoun chose to support Hezbollah in 2005 and to bet on the winning horse.

In the 1980s, he was among the opponents of Syria and of Iran's presence in Lebanon, Aoun has since changed his stripes and has chosen to support both Syria and Iran. The proof of this is his past support for U.N. Resolution 1559 in 2004, which called for the dismantling of Hezbollah's weaponry. However, he did not mention this in his speech, ignoring Hezbollah's weapons store, which is a hot topic that concerns people of all backgrounds.

There is nothing left for us to do but wonder if he will again change his stripes and support the dismantling of Hezbollah's weaponry.

**Edy Cohen is a research fellow at Bar-Ilan University.
  
Trump foreign policy adviser: Trump will demand changes to the Iran nuclear deal
 By Andrew Kaczynski, CNN/Thu November 10, 2016
 "He's gonna take that agreement, it's been done before in international context, and then review it," Phares said. "He will take the agreement, review it, send it to Congress, demand from the Iranians to restore few issues or change few issues, and there will be a discussion," Phares said. (CNN)Walid Phares, one of Donald Trump's foreign policy advisers, says the President-elect is going to demand changes to the Iran nuclear agreement. During the campaign, Trump said the Iran deal was one of the worst agreements ever negotiated. In a USA Today op-ed in September of 2015 Trump said, "When I am elected president, I will renegotiate with Iran." Republican members of Congress have sharply criticized the deal since it was announced in 2014. "Ripping up is maybe a too strong of word, he's gonna take that agreement, it's been done before in international context, and then review it," Phares said on BBC radio Thursday. "He will take the agreement, review it, send it to Congress, demand from the Iranians to restore few issues or change few issues, and there will be a discussion. It could be a tense discussion but the agreement as is right now -- $750 billion to the Iranian regime without receiving much in return and increasing intervention in four countries -- that is not going to be accepted by a Trump administration," he added.
 

The First Signs

Ahmad El-Assaad/November 10, 2016

It might be early to determine the type of policy that President General Michel Aoun will adopt regarding regional dossiers, Lebanon’s stance as to regional conflicts and the relationship with regional axes pertaining to said conflicts.

As it might be premature to be reassured regarding some of the sovereign headlines stated in the presidential oath address, or at the “People's House” podium; or, on the contrary, be pessimistic about some nominal initiatives taken by the Syrian and Iranian regimes towards the Baabda Presidential Palace.

These initiatives, in the form of calls or visits, occurred in a nominal context as part of protocol, even if they were in fact an attempt to embrace the new Presidency, and suggest that General Aoun’s access to power is a victory for the Syrian-Iranian camp. As for the sovereign headlines, they are still of a general order, and we must wait for their actual translation into clear positions on certain dossiers, including the war in Syria.

We believe that the first of these practical translations is the rhetoric used by the Presidency, through one of its most prominent pillars, minister Gebran Bassil, on the necessity of leaving Syria to the Syrians to finish the current military situation, fight terrorism and establish a system pleasing to all the Syrians.

This rhetoric falls exactly in line with Lebanon's self-exclusion policy regarding the Syrian war, and therefore constitutes a call for Hezbollah to exit Syria and stop interfering in its crisis. That's the reason it upset the Syrian regime apparently, and prompted a harsh message addressed to the Presidency through a former Member of Parliament, via social media - the reply will most probably follow an ascending trend if things remain this way.

Furthermore, the Presidency’s determination to repair Lebanon's relationship to the Gulf countries to what it once was, especially with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, is another positive indicator that it is exiting the influence of the Iranian-Syrian axis through Hezbollah.

In any case, it seems as though things are going in the direction we predicted two years ago, which is that the behavior of General Michel Aoun as President will be different than his behavior as Hezbollah's candidate.

Only time will further confirm this theory.

  

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on November 11-12/16

Trump adviser: US to create coalition with GCC

Ramadhan al-Saadi, AlArabiya.net Friday, 11 November 2016/Walid Phares, one of US President-Elect Donald Trump's foreign policy advisers, has confirmed that the upcoming administration plans on creating a coalition with the GCC, Jordan and Egypt in counter-terrorism efforts. Phares also confirmed during an interview with the BBC that Trump will plan on recalling the Iran nuclear deal and re-discussing it in congress before resubmitting it to EU partners, clarifying that the next US administration will demand key changes to agreement. During the campaign, Trump said the Iran deal was one of the worst agreements ever negotiated. In a USA Today op-ed in September of 2015 Trump said, "When I am elected president, I will renegotiate with Iran." When challenged by the BBC that a coalition between Gulf Arab countries and the US already exists, Phares responded: “We wished it were the case. A lot of Arab diplomats have been telling us that they hoped to have had more active participation with the US in fighting terrorism but the Obama administration has opposed them saying that they ‘did not want them in Iraq and Syria’ in order for the Iran nuclear deal to stick”. *This article also appears on AlArabiya.net.

 

Trump to Work for 'Just, Lasting' Mideast Peace
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/U.S. president-elect Donald Trump pledged Friday to work for a "just, lasting peace" between Israel and the Palestinians, in his first public message on the issue since his upset victory. "I believe that my administration can play a significant role in helping the parties to achieve a just, lasting peace," Trump said in a message published by the Israel Hayom newspaper.  He also said that any peace deal "must be negotiated between the parties themselves, and not imposed on them by others."France is currently pushing for an international conference to revitalize the moribund peace process, but Israel has said it will not take part -- saying any peace talks should be bilateral between the two sides.  Russia has also offered to host direct talks between the two sides that have so far yet to take place. The Palestinians have called for international involvement, accusing Israel of reneging on past agreements. Speaking Friday after meeting Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas said Trump's victory was "American business.""We followed the electoral process for over a year. What matters to us is what Mr. Trump will say once he enters the White House," he said at a press conference. He added that he had stressed to Medvedev his willingness to hold negotiations in Russia "but the Israeli side asked to postpone it." Medvedev said Russia was willing to "immediately" open a dialogue between the two sides, whether under Russian or international mediation. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Barack Obama have had frosty relations for much of the past eight years, but initial indications are that Trump's victory could see a warming of personal relations.  Netanyahu was among the first leaders Trump spoke to after his election victory, and the president-elect's message called Israel a "beacon of hope.""Israel and America share so many of the same values, such as freedom of speech, freedom of worship and the importance of creating opportunities for all citizens to pursue their dreams," Trump's Israel Hayom message said. "Israel is the one true democracy and defender of human rights in the Middle East and a beacon of hope to countless people," he added. Israeli right-wingers have hailed Trump's win as an opportunity to consolidate control over the occupied West Bank and annexed east Jerusalem. Meir Turjeman, chairman of the Jerusalem municipality planning committee, told public radio that it provided a green light to revive suspended permits for Israeli settlement expansion in Arab east Jerusalem. He said the municipality intended to authorize thousands of housing units that had been frozen. Education Minister Naftali Bennett, who heads the hardline Jewish Home party, said on Wednesday that the U.S. election result meant the idea of a Palestinian state was over.
 
 Trump Begins White House Transition as Protests Simmer
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/Donald Trump said Friday he had a "busy day" planned as the Republican president-elect -- confronted with the magnitude of the task ahead -- begins building his administration before entering the White House in 70 days. Trump's challenge in unifying a restless nation after the most divisive campaign in memory was immediately put under pressure by thousands of angry protesters who took to the streets of U.S. cities for a second straight night.  In Portland, a march by some 4,000 protesters turned violent, with cars vandalized and projectiles thrown at police, who used rubber bullets and pepper spray to disperse the crowd. At least 26 people were arrested. On Friday, the real estate tycoon-turned-world-leader was ensconced in his luxury Manhattan apartment at Trump Tower. The aides who guided his campaign to victory were seen marching in to huddle with him and map out the way forward. Rudy Giuliani, the city's former mayor and Trump stalwart who is reportedly being considered for a cabinet position, also headed up to the billionaire's residence along with other campaign staff. "Busy day planned in New York," Trump said on Twitter regarding his transition process, which has been cranking up to full speed since his shock presidential upset Tuesday over Democrat Hillary Clinton. "Will soon be making some very important decisions on the people who will be running our government!"
 Gingrich, Giuliani, Christie?
 The 70-year-old incoming president has a mammoth task of fleshing out his cabinet.  He took the first step on Thursday when he traveled to Washington for talks with Barack Obama about the transition ahead of the January 20 inauguration -- a conversation the outgoing president called "excellent."The names of several Trump surrogates have been tossed about for top-level post, including Giuliani, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, former House speaker Newt Gingrich and Senator Jeff Sessions. Trump's finance chairman, Goldman Sachs veteran Steven Mnuchin, is reportedly a strong consideration for Treasury secretary, along with JP Morgan chief executive Jamie Dimon. Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman Bob Corker is among those under consideration for secretary of state.
 'Not my president'
 Overnight, anger over Trump's big win again spilled out into the streets. Accusing Trump of racism, sexism and xenophobia, protesters from New York to Los Angeles blocked traffic and chanted slogans like "Not my president" and "We reject the president-elect." In his first comments on the unrest, Trump tweeted that the media had unfairly "incited" the protesters. But he toned down the charge hours later, writing: "Love the fact that the small groups of protesters last night have passion for our great country. We will all come together and be proud!" The violence stood in contrast to an apparently harmonious meeting Thursday between Trump and Obama designed to heal divisions and quell fears about the health of the world's leading democracy.  The outgoing president and his successor huddled one-on-one in the Oval Office, and then put on a remarkably civil joint public appearance. "It is important for all of us, regardless of party and regardless of political preferences, to now come together, work together, to deal with the many challenges that we face," Obama said. Trump appeared more subdued than usual, and was unusually cautious and deferential in his remarks.  "Mr. President, it was a great honor being with you," Trump said, calling Obama a "very good man."
 Reaffirming global ties
 White House officials said Obama and Trump discussed a range of issues including global hotspots and the president's meetings next week with leaders from Germany, Greece and across the Asia-Pacific. On that trip, Obama is likely to be inundated with panicked questions about America's role in world affairs. The White House hopes that by rolling out the red carpet for Trump, they can bind him to some of the conventions of the office. Trump has already been in touch with several world leaders including British Prime Minister Theresa May, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, with whom he reaffirmed Washington's strong relations.  On Friday, Trump spoke with French President Francois Hollande, and the two expressed their "willingness to work together," Hollande's office said, adding that the pair discussed the fight against terrorism, Syria, Ukraine and the Paris climate accord.  Trump in the past has described climate change as a "hoax."

Gulf official: US assertions not to change policy toward region
Alsharq Al-Awsat Friday, 11 November 2016/A high-ranking official in the Gulf region has said that US officials had comforted Gulf countries about an unchanged policy in the region, adding that the image of the US-Gulf relations would become sharper in the coming weeks. Commenting on the recent election of Donald Trump as the US president and the effect such a change could have on the US-Gulf relations, Assistant Secretary-General for Political Affairs and Negotiations at the General Secretariat of the Gulf Cooperation Council Abdul Aziz Hamad Aluwaisheg said: “Things remain unclear now, and we are still at the beginning. However, the situation will become clearer in the coming weeks.”Auwaisheg said that until now, there are confirmations that the US policy towards the region would remain the same. The official said there might be a change in the US method or style of dealing with the region’s developments. “However, the essence of the strategic partnership established last May would not change. Those are confirmations we had received from US officials,” Aluwaisheg said.

No ‘legal reason’ US could not opt out of Iran deal
AFP, Washington Friday, 11 November 2016/The Iran nuclear deal would fall apart if a US administration walked away from it, as President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to do, the State Department said Thursday. Iran’s President Hassan Rowhani had argued on Wednesday that the deal – which saw world powers lift sanctions on Tehran in return for controls on its nuclear program – has been enshrined in international law. The outgoing US administration is proud of the agreement and has no intention of dropping it, but Trump said several times during his campaign that moving away from it will be a priority once he takes power in January. “Any party – and I’m speaking very hypothetically here, because I don’t want in any way to attempt to hypothesize about what the incoming administration’s going to do – I’m just talking purely about an agreement that any party can walk away from,” State Department spokesman Mark Toner said. “And that will have profound consequences on the integrity of the agreement.” Toner said that the Iran deal was not a legally binding treaty, but that the current US administration believes it is in Washington’s interest to continue it. Asked whether if the US withdraws support for the deal whether Iran might start building a nuclear weapons program, Toner said: “Yes. That’s the reality of the situation.” “This is why we believe it to be in everyone’s interest, including the world’s interest, that if Iran abides by this agreement, and all the parties abide by the agreement, then we have shut-off Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon,” he said. During the election campaign, Trump described the deal as “disastrous” and said it would be his “number one priority” to dismantle it. On Wednesday, Rowhani said: “Iran’s understanding in the nuclear deal was that the accord was not concluded with one country or government but was approved by a resolution of the UN Security Council and there is no possibility that it can be changed by a single government.” 

Glitch briefly removes ‘Muslim ban’ proposal from Trump website
Reuters, New York Friday, 11 November 2016/Some of the most controversial proposals Donald Trump made while running for US president disappeared from his campaign website on Thursday, but a spokesman said what some observers took as a softening of Trump’s policies was due to a technical glitch. The link to Trump’s Dec. 7 proposal titled: “Donald J. Trump statement on Preventing Muslim Immigration,” in which he called for “a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States” vanished temporarily from the website but later reappeared. So too did a list of Trump’s potential Supreme Court justice picks as president and certain details of his economic, defense and regulatory reform plans. “The website was temporarily redirecting all specific press release pages to the home page,” Trump spokesman Steven Cheung said in an email. Links to Trump’s policy proposals, including the Muslim ban, were working again by 3:30 p.m. EST (2030 GMT). The links, which had redirected readers to a campaign fundraising page, appeared to have been removed around Election Day on Tuesday, when Trump won a historic upset against Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, according to a website that records historic snapshots of web pages. In an appearance on CNBC on Thursday, Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal praised Trump for removing the Muslim ban proposal from his website and also said Trump had deleted statements offensive to Muslims from his Twitter account. The prince could not be reached for comment after the links were restored. Several tweets attacking Muslims that Trump sent while campaigning for president remained in his feed on Thursday, including a March 22 tweet in which Trump wrote: “Incompetent Hillary, despite the horrible attack in Brussels today, wants borders to be weak and open-and let the Muslims flow in. No way!” After initially praising the removal of the Muslim ban proposal at a news conference with other civil rights leaders on Thursday, Samer Khalaf, president of the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee, said in a follow-up interview the group was hoping to see better behavior from Trump. “False hope just came over us,” Khalaf said, but “we didn’t really think it was monumental that they took down the language.” Khalaf said Trump’s policies were more important than any statements. “He’s elected, he said some horrible things, now we have to see what his policies are. If they’re good policies we’re going to commend him for it. If they’re horrible policies we’re going to challenge him on it.”Despite the temporary glitch, most of Trump’s core policy positions had remained on his website, including his central immigration promise to build an “impenetrable physical wall” on the border with Mexico and make Mexico pay for its construction.

Iraqi forces massing to break into Mosul airport
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Friday, 11 November 2016/Iraqi forces are currently in position to take over Mosul’s main airport south of the city, security officers have confirmed. Media sources have also confirmed on Friday that a key Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) leader was killed in battle as Iraqi special forces pushed deeper into Mosul on despite heavy resistance the extremist group using civilians as cover, in half a dozen city neighborhoods seized in the last 10 days. The campaign, nearly four weeks old, is the most complex military operation in Iraq in the 13 years of turmoil since the US invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein. Security forces and army infantry divisions, backed by a US-led air force, are preparing to move on southern and northern districts of Mosul in coming days, to step up pressure on the militants.

Elite Iraqi Troops to Resume Mosul Push
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/Troops of Iraq's elite Counter-Terrorism Service resumed their offensive against the Islamic State group on the streets of Mosul on Friday after several days of relative quiet, officers said.  The battle to retake Mosul, the jihadists' last major bastion in Iraq, is now in its fourth week, and while troops have pushed into the east of the city, there are weeks, if not months, of fighting still to go. "Our forces have begun the attack on Arbajiyah. The clashes are ongoing," Staff Lieutenant Colonel Muntadhar Salem said, referring to an area in the east of the city. The fighting came "after a few days of quiet," he said.  Another CTS officer, Lieutenant Colonel Ali Hussein Fadhel, said that the first row of buildings in Arbajiyah had been seized. "We are within firing range of Karkukli but the full attack has not yet started," he said, referring to another eastern neighbourhood.  In a makeshift command post in a two-storey house, a CTS soldier was using an iPad to control a reconnaissance drone on the lookout for jihadist suicide bombers.  Iraqi forces launched the huge offensive to retake Mosul on October 17, with federal and Kurdish regional forces closing in on the city from three sides. Pro-government paramilitaries later began an advance on the town of Tal Afar, which commands the city's western approaches, with the goal of cutting the jihadists off from territory they control in neighbouring Syria. IS overran large areas north and west of Baghdad in June 2014, but Iraqi forces backed by US-led air strikes have since regained significant ground.


Why Russia rejected UN Aleppo request
 By Staff writer Al Arabiya English Friday, 11 November 2016/Russia rejected a U.N. request to extend future ceasefires to permit the delivery of aid into Aleppo, as the international organization warned that it was delivering the last remaining food assistance. Speaking in Geneva, Jan Egeland, the special adviser to the U.N. envoy for Syria, said the last time the over a quarter of million people inside east Aleppo received any humanitarian aid was at the beginning of July. "The reports we have now from within east Aleppo is that the last food rations are being distributed as we speak. There will not be more to distribute next week. Some families have not had any distributions, families in need of relief, have not had any distributions for several weeks already," Egeland said. The Russian Defense Ministry said Thursday that Egeland had sent a request for longer truces to get aid to the eastern area of the city that still hosts more than a quarter of a million people. In a statement, the ministry’s spokesman Igor Konashenkov said it was “against common sense” to extend the breaks in conflict “just for the sake of it, not to bring real help to peaceful civilians, but so that terrorists can better restore their battleworthiness.”With AFP
 
Russia Accuses Syria Rebels of Using Chemical Weapons in Aleppo
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/The Russian military said Friday it has evidence of the use of chemical weapons by rebels in Syria's besieged eastern city of Aleppo. "Experts from the Russian defence ministry have found unexploded artillery ammunition belonging to terrorists which contains toxic substances," the military said in a statement. "After rapid analysis in a mobile laboratory, we have determined that the toxic substances in the rebels' ammunition are highly likely to be chlorine gas and white phosphorous." The ammunition was discovered in the 1070 district on the southwestern outskirts of Aleppo, the statement said. The Russian news agency Interfax said this zone was recaptured from the rebels by Syrian government troops a few days ago.  A more thorough analysis will be carried out by a Russian military laboratory accredited to the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPWC), the Russian defence ministry said. Syrian state media late last month accused rebel groups of having fired shells containing toxic gas into government-held parts of Aleppo, leaving dozens of people including civilians in need of treatment. Last month, a joint OPWC panel concluded that Syrian government forces carried out three chlorine gas attacks on villages in 2014 and 2015. Russia, however, has dismissed the findings of the joint investigative mechanism (JIM) as "unconvincing" and said no sanctions should be imposed on Syria for the chlorine gas attacks. Using chlorine as a weapon is banned under the Chemical Weapons Convention, which Syria joined in 2013 under pressure from its ally Russia. Aleppo, Syria's former economic capital, has been divided since 2012 between the western districts held by the regime and those in the east controlled by the rebels. Russia has conducted a bombing campaign in support of the government of President Bashar al-Assad for more than a year. But Moscow has suspended its air strikes on rebel-held eastern Aleppo since October 18, after international condemnation over its ferocious bombardment of the city. It has also ordered several "humanitarian" ceasefires in Aleppo in recent weeks.

Egypt Protest Calls Largely Unheeded
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/Egyptian police quashed a few small protests across the country on Friday and arrested dozens of protesters as calls for an uprising against the rising prices largely went unheeded. Police rounded up at least 130 protesters across the country, a security official said. In Cairo, where police had deployed in force in anticipation of protests, 39 alleged demonstrators were arrested.  Police also quickly scattered several dozen protesters who assembled in the port city of Suez. There had been calls on social media, backed by the banned Muslim Brotherhood opposition group, for protests on Friday against rising prices and President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. In the run up to Friday, the interior ministry had announced the arrests of alleged Brotherhood members planning violence on the day.  Unlicensed protests had been banned in Egypt after the military overthrew Islamist president Mohamed Morsi in 2013 and cracked down on his followers. Clashes between security forces and pro-Morsi protesters in the following months killed hundred of his supporters and thousands have been jailed. Meanwhile a jihadist  insurgency has killed hundreds of policemen and soldiers, and also targeted tourists, further battering the country's economy. After months of a dollar crunch that caused a slump in imports, Egypt last week floated the pound, drastically depreciating its value.  Inflation, currently at 14 percent, is expected to rise. The government said the move, part of an austerity program in tandem with a $12 billion IMF loan, could no longer be postponed. Previous governments had been wary of such measures, fearing they could spark unrest. But many Egyptians are weary after years of tumult in which the country saw two presidents deposed and have little appetite for more protests.
 
With Shovels and Bulldozers, Iraq Kurds Draw Line in Sand
 Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/Iraqi Kurdish forces are building a berm near Mosul, a line in the sand that may mark a boundary of territory they aim to keep after recapturing it from jihadists. The Kurdish peshmerga fighters have worked methodically, like in a factory line, packing dirt into sacks, sealing them and then stacking them firmly atop the berm cutting across the sands near the battleground city.  Armed with bulldozers and shovels, they have been fortifying the barrier, about 60 kilometers (40 miles) west of the Kurds' regional capital Arbil, that separates them from Iraqi federal forces. While federal forces still have weeks if not months of fighting ahead against the Islamic State (IS) jihadist group in the Mosul area, Kurdish peshmerga fighters say their objectives have been completed less than a month into the operation.
 "If the peshmerga enters an area and liberates it, it will stay with the peshmerga," said peshmerga Major General Jamal Weis. Kurdish forces have gained or solidified control over swathes of northern territory that is also claimed by Baghdad in the course of the war against IS. The peshmerga gained ground that Iraqi federal forces abandoned in June 2014, and while they were later pushed back by IS, they have since steadily advanced against the jihadists with the help of U.S.-led air support. Iraqi federal and Kurdish forces have cooperated to an extent in the battle for Mosul, but bitter, long-running disputes over control of territory and natural resources lie just beneath the surface.
 Military goals accomplished
 Starting from near the village of Shaqouli, AFP correspondents drove along the sand berm for at least 20 kilometers (14 miles), and the barrier still extends even farther to the northwest. After chasing IS out of the town of Bashiqa, northeast of Mosul, the peshmerga forces say they have fulfilled their side of the deal in the battle for Iraq's second city. "According to the plan we set with the unity government, the peshmerga has now accomplished all the goals set for it," said Jabbar Yawar, secretary general of the Kurds' peshmerga ministry. Peshmerga commander Major General Aziz Weis agreed: "All the areas that had been set as targets for us are finished." Asked about the newly-erected sand barrier, Yawar said it was meant to protect Kurdish forces against potential IS car bombings or suicide attacks. "We are not redrawing geographic borders. This sand berm is to protect the peshmerga from future operations by Daesh," he said, using an Arabic acronym for IS. But analysts say the barrier -- as well as the peshmerga's presence in territory like Bashiqa and oil-rich Kirkuk province to the east -- indicated more long-term objectives. "The peshmerga's defensive lines may be justified rhetorically as defenses against IS attacks," said Patrick Martin from the U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War. "But they also are indicators of a new reality in Iraq that the KRG (Kurdistan Regional Government) has de-facto extended its control over a significantly larger portion of Iraq than previously held," he said.
 De facto border crossing
 Going forward, the KRG will focus "on ensuring that they retain control over the terrain that the peshmerga presently occupy and work to integrate these areas into the Iraqi Kurdistan region," said Martin. Nate Rosenblatt, a researcher at the University of Oxford, said the berm was new but also "the product of years of informal influence in these areas by the KRG". He expected the peshmerga to "impose strict controls for those who can travel to Mosul from Bashiqa and the surrounding areas in the future." A new peshmerga checkpoint has already been set up on the main road from Arbil towards Mosul. The first Iraqi army checkpoint stands a few hundred meters (yards) away, with the two positions already operating like border crossings. The peshmerga search truckloads of displaced Iraqis fleeing IS-held Mosul towards camps in Iraqi Kurdistan, and they also examine papers authorizing displaced civilians in Kurdish-controlled territory to travel west to check on their homes in villages held by Iraqi forces. "As military personnel, we are responsible for holding this border," said Brigadier General Kamal Majid Fakhri, a peshmerga officer visiting the checkpoint.  "The peshmerga will stay in control of this area in coordination with the asayish (Kurdish internal security) to keep it stable. This is all in service of the residents of this region."
 
IS Slaughters 60 People over 'Treason' in Mosul
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/Islamic State group fighters reportedly shot dead more than 60 people this week and hung some of their bodies from poles after alleging they had collaborated with Iraqi troops, the United Nations said Friday. The U.N. human rights office has raised alarm over hundreds of grotesque atrocities allegedly committed by IS as Iraqi forces have pushed their nearly month-long offensive to retake Mosul, the last jihadist bastion in Iraq. "On Tuesday, ISIL reportedly shot and killed 40 civilians in Mosul city after accusing them of 'treason and collaboration' with the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF)," rights office spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani said in a statement, using another acronym for the Islamic State. "The victims were dressed in orange clothes marked in red with the words: 'traitors and agents of the ISF'. Their bodies were then hung on electrical poles in several areas in Mosul city," she added. Abu Saif, a resident of eastern Mosul, told AFP by telephone that he had seen bodies strung up in the city along with signs that read "agent" and "traitor."He did not have an exact count of the total number of bodies, but said he saw between 30 and 40. "The Daesh organization gathered people in some of the streets of Mosul and publicly executed a number of people of various ages, some of them by gunfire and others by beheading," he said, using an Arabic name for IS. According to the U.N., a 27-year-old man was reportedly killed in public in central Mosul Tuesday for using a mobile phone, which IS has banned in areas it controls. And on Wednesday, IS slaughtered another 20 people at the Ghabat Military Base in northern Mosul after accusing them of "leaking information," the U.N. statement said. "Their bodies were also hung at various intersections in Mosul, with notes stating: 'decision of execution' and 'used cellphones to leak information to the ISF'," the statement added.  All of the killings apparently followed rulings by the so-called "courts" established by IS. Conclusively verifying the details of massacres allegedly perpetrated by the jihadists since the U.S.-backed Mosul offensive began, has been a challenge for U.N. investigators amid the chaos of the fighting and the threat of reprisals against sources.  Shamdasani said Friday that one recent source was a man who pretended to be dead during a massacre and contacted U.N. staffers after escaping. She did not specify which incident the man had survived.
 
IS Cornered but Undefeated 6 Months into Libya Battle
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/After a swift initial thrust into the Islamic State group's bastion in Libya, six months on unity government forces still face dogged resistance from jihadist holdouts cornered in the Mediterranean city of Sirte.
Forces loyal to Libya's Government of National Accord (GNA) announced the launch of the battle for Sirte, 450 kilometres (280 miles) east of Tripoli, on May 12.  Within weeks, GNA forces recaptured large chunks of the coastal city that IS jihadists had seized in June 2015 as a staging post for an expansion into North Africa.  But they have failed to dislodge the last pockets of IS fighters, holed up in the fiercely-defended district of Al-Giza Al-Bahriya, in a costly battle that has left at least 667 dead and 3,000 wounded in GNA ranks. "The final assault is being held up... mainly due to the fact that it will result in very intense street fighting and Daesh (IS) is determined to defend its positions right down to the last square metre," Rida Issa, spokesman for the pro-GNA forces, told AFP. Ethan Chorin, a former US diplomat posted in Tripoli and now a consultant, has another explanation for why the assault, which is backed by American air strikes, has got bogged down. "Those fighting ISIS in Sirte with Western backing are not all motivated, nor are they highly organised," he said, using another acronym for IS. But Issa said loyalist forces were taking a step-by-step approach to the recapture of Sirte to limit casualties, not only in their own ranks but also among civilians "who Daesh are using as human shields" and whose numbers are unknown. As for IS, the jihadists do not disclose their casualties but Issa gave an estimate of between 1,800 and 2,000 dead. On Wednesday, the US military announced a resumption of anti-IS air strikes in Sirte following a one-week break, as part of an operation launched on August 1 in support of the GNA that has totted up 368 raids.  - Cries of civilians -With the jihadists now encircled in an area of less than one square kilometre (less than half a square mile), "it is unclear what the impact of (further) air strikes would be", said Mattia Toaldo, a Libya expert with the European Council on Foreign Relations. "The battle has taken longer than expected for a number of reasons: first they have encountered more resistance than expected... they suffered more casualties and eventually started to feel war fatigue," he said. "Most importantly, in the very last stages it has become clear that ISIS holds several hostages, which makes attacking the last buildings they control more tricky."Issa said GNA troops could hear "the cries of civilians every time a strike is carried out" but he did not know their number, only that IS had entrapped them. IS's ouster from Sirte would deal a heavy blow to the jihadists, who have been left reeling since the start of the year by a string of military defeats in Syria and Iraq. Those jihadists left in Sirte appear determined to fight to the death rather than be taken prisoner, often carrying out car-bomb attacks wherever pro-GNA forces are gathered in numbers. "This is not an easy battle... because we are fighting against an armed radical ideology in which death is an aspiration. We very soon realised the complexity of this battle," said Issa. "Such an enemy can only be wiped out once all its fighters are killed. And that's what we are doing... For sure, this battle has gone on too long, but this is war, not a football match."
 
Canada Eyes Three Years of U.N. Peacekeeping in Africa
 Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 11/16/Canada is planning to send 600 troops on a U.N. peacekeeping mission to Africa for three years, a spokesperson for the defense minister told AFP Friday. However, the plan still requires cabinet approval, said Jordan Owens, the spokeswoman for Defense Minister Harjit Sajjan. In a Remembrance Day statement, Sajjan hinted at an imminent start to the mission, saying: "The government is about to ask up to 600 Canadian Armed Forces members to deploy in aid of UN peace-support operations." The minister recently returned from visiting trouble spots in Africa, most recently Mali, as he mulls where to send soldiers. He has also traveled to Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Senegal, Tanzania and the Democratic Republic of Congo. In an interview with the Toronto Star newspaper, Sajjan said Canadian troops could be spread among several African countries, where they would help train local troops and support host nations' de-radicalization efforts. The aim is to have an "enduring" impact, he told the Star. "These missions, all of them, have the level of risk where peacekeepers have been hurt, they have been killed. And we've been looking at the risk factor in a very serious way," Sajjan said. In August, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau pledged the troops Can$450 million (US$332 million) for U.N. peace operations around the world.
 
 Yemeni FM calls UN envoy to put forward new roadmap

SPA, Riyadh Friday, 11 November 2016/Yemeni Deputy Premier and Foreign Minister (FM) Abdulmalik Al-Mikhlafi called on the Special Envoy of the United Nations Secretary General to Yemen Ismail Ould Cheikh to put forward a fresh roadmap to bring about peace, in Yemen, contrary to a recently presented and rejected one by the legitimate government.In a press statement, following a meeting here with the Ambassador of Russia to Yemen, he emphasized the significance of putting forward a new map, that takes into consideration the references of the Gulf sponsored initiative, UN Security Council resolutions and the outputs of the National Dialogue Conference, in addition to accords reached, in consultations conducive to peace, previously, taken place, in Switzerland as Kuwait. Yemeni official news agency reported that the two sides, discussed during the meeting, latest events, in Yemen and developments related to last roadmap presented by Ould Cheikh.


Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 11-12/16

House rushes to block Boeing sales to Iran
 Author Julian/Al Monitor/November 11/16
 Congress is rushing to block President Barack Obama's administration from allowing Boeing aircraft sales to Iran following Donald Trump’s election.
 The Rules Committee will set up floor action on the measure on Monday.
 The House Rules Committee has made action on the legislation its very first priority when Congress returns from recess on Nov. 14. The full House could then vote on the bill from Rep. Bill Huizenga, R-Mich., as early as Nov. 16. “The Obama administration's nuclear agreement with Iran … opened the door for the sale of American-made aircraft to the world's leading state sponsor of terror,” Huizenga, who chairs the committee’s trade panel, said in a statement ahead of a July hearing on the bills. “I am extremely concerned that by relaxing the rules, the Obama administration has allowed US companies to be complicit in weaponizing the Iranian regime."
 The Treasury Department granted Boeing a license to export 80 planes to Iran’s national carrier, Iran Air, back in September. The bill under consideration, however, has since been amended to retroactively revoke the authorization. It wasn’t immediately clear if a retroactive ban would be constitutional; the Treasury Department did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The Rules Committee further seeks to merge the measure with another bill from Rep. Peter Roskam, R-Ill., that would prohibit the Export-Import Bank from helping to finance deals involving Iran. Both measures cleared the House Financial Services Committee in July and are expected to easily pass the full House, although prompt Senate action remains uncertain.
 The nuclear deal with Iran bars US companies from doing business with the country but makes an exemption for civilian aircraft and parts, in what has been described as a humanitarian gesture to replace antiquated passenger aircraft that are falling apart. Critics, however, say Iran has been known to use its civilian airlines to ferry military personnel and weapons, notably to Syria. The congressional moves come as Boeing and Airbus appear to be finalizing massive aircraft sales. Iranian Minister of Roads and Urban Development Abbas Akhoundi told local media this week that representatives of the two companies have been making frequent visits to Tehran to put the last touches on the texts of the deals, according to travel industry news site eTurboNews. “Iran is trying to secure the maximum … transfer of technical expertise in the texts of the deals,” Akhoundi was quoted as saying. ”And this in the aviation industry concerns a certain percentage of maintenance operations or even the production of certain parts.”President-elect Donald Trump has said he wants to renegotiate the deal with Iran, which he has called “disastrous.” Some deal advocates have floated an improbable proposal to have the Obama administration grant more export licenses to US businesses in its final days to appeal to the businessman in Trump, and the House bills would make such a move even less likely to succeed.

Walid Phares, Trump’s top foreign policy adviser says Trump won’t rip up Iran deal, signals he may not move embassy
Joshua Davidovich/Times Of Israel/November 11/16
 http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/11/walid-phares-trumps-top-foreign-policy-adviser-says-trump-wont-rip-up-iran-deal-signals-he-may-not-move-embassy/
 http://www.timesofisrael.com/adviser-says-trump-wont-rip-up-iran-deal-signals-he-may-not-move-embassy/
 Appearing to walk back statements made by president-elect and other advisers, Walid Phares says nuclear pact will be ‘renegotiated,’ US mission will only be moved to Jerusalem under ‘consensus,’ brokering Israeli-Palestinian peace deal will be top priority
 A senior adviser to President-elect Donald Trump said the new US leader will “review” the Iran nuclear agreement, but will stop short of ripping up the landmark international pact.
 Walid Phares, one of Trump’s top foreign policy advisers, also signaled that Trump might not move the US Embassy to Jerusalem immediately and indicated he would make negotiating an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal a priority right off the bat. The comments appeared to represent a break with some comments made by other Trump advisers and the president-elect himself, and highlighted persisting confusion over what the contours of a Trump administration’s foreign policy may look like.
 Speaking to BBC Radio on Thursday, Phares said the nuclear deal, which Trump has railed against and vowed to dismantle, would instead be renegotiated with Tehran.
 “Ripping up is maybe a too strong of word, he’s gonna take that agreement, it’s been done before in international context, and then review it,” he said, according to a CNN recording of the interview.
 “He will take the agreement, review it, send it to Congress, demand from the Iranians to restore a few issues or change a few issues, and there will be a discussion,” Phares added. “It could be a tense discussion but the agreement as is right now — $750 billion to the Iranian regime without receiving much in return and increasing intervention in four countries — that is not going to be accepted by the Trump administration.”
 During the election campaign, Trump described the nuclear deal as “disastrous” and said it would be his “number one priority” to dismantle it.
 Yet he also sowed confusion when he said he would demand greater oversight over the deal and enforce it, at a speech to the pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC in March. In that same speech, he also said he would dismantle the deal.
 “We must enforce the terms of the previous deal to hold Iran totally accountable. And we will enforce it like you’ve never seen a contract enforced before, folks, believe me,” he said then.
 On Thursday, State Department spokesman Mark Toner warned that nothing was stopping Trump from tearing up the agreement, rebuffing comments from Iranian President Hassan Rouhani that the pact was enshrined by the United Nations Security Council and could therefore not be canceled by one party.
 The agreement, reached in July 2014 to thwart suspected work toward an atomic weapon, requires Iran to curb its nuclear enrichment activities in exchange for sanctions relief.
 Israel was and remains the world’s leading critic of the deal, calling it a “historic mistake” and arguing that it falls woefully short of preventing Tehran from obtaining nuclear weapons.
 Toner said if Trump pulls out of the agreement, it could fall apart and lead to Iran restarting work toward a bomb.
 It’s not clear if Iran, which remains deeply distrustful of the United States and has complained of receiving a raw deal under the nuclear pact, would be open to renegotiating the agreement, the hard-fought result of years of intensive diplomatic activity.
 Will move embassy ‘under consensus’
 Phares also told the BBC that while Trump was committed to moving the US Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, as other presidential candidates have vowed, he would not do so unilaterally.
 “Many presidents of the United States have committed to do that, and he said as well that he will do that, but he will do it under consensus,” Phares said.
 Phares did not elaborate on what consensus would be sought for such a move, which would break with decades of precedent and put Washington at odds with nearly all United Nations member states.
 A number of Israeli politicians, including Jerusalem Mayor Nir Barkat, have seized on Trump’s victory by asking him to make good on his promises to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s undivided capital and move the embassy there, breaking with long-standing US policy to await a final status agreement on the city.
 During the campaign, Trump called Jerusalem “the eternal capital” of Israel and said he was “100 percent for” moving the embassy there.
 Earlier Thursday, Trump Israel adviser Jason Dov Greenblatt told Israel’s Army Radio that the president-elect would make good on his promise.
 “I think if he said it, he’s going to do it,” Greenblatt said. “He is different for Israel than any recent president there has been, and I think he’s a man who keeps his word. He recognizes the historical significance of the Jewish people to Jerusalem, unlike, say, UNESCO.”
 Congress passed a law in 1995 mandating the move of the embassy to Jerusalem, but allowed the president a waiver. Each president since then has routinely exercised the waiver, citing the national security interests of the United States, despite repeated campaign promises.
 Phares also indicated efforts for an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal would be a top agenda item for Trump, casting doubt on a claim by Greenblatt that Trump would not necessarily prioritize trying to push the Israelis and Palestinians into peace negotiations.
 “He is ready and he will immediately move to try and solve the problem between Palestinian and Israelis,” Phares said. “He told me personally that, as the author of ‘The Art of the Deal,’ it’s not going to be impossible for him to broker a deal between the Israelis and Palestinians. At least he’s going to go in that direction and not waste eight years — four years for now — not doing something for the Palestinians and Israelis.”
 On Wednesday, Greenblatt told The Times of Israel that Trump would only prioritize solving the conflict if that’s what the sides wanted him to do.
 “He will make it a priority if the Israelis and Palestinians want to make it a priority,” Greenblatt said. “He’s not going to force peace upon them, it will have to come from them.”
 The gap in signals coming out of Trump’s camp is consistent with frustration some have pointed to in trying to demystify what Trump’s foreign policy will be.
 In comments published in German weekly Der Spiegel Thursday, Germany Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said it was urgent for the incoming US administration to set out its positions quickly since “very many questions are open” on its foreign policy.
 Steinmeier said he had spoken several times with former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger about what President-elect Donald Trump’s foreign policies might look like. But Steinmeier said even Kissinger had no insights to offer.
 “Many have already tried to read a foreign policy doctrine, or at least clear and coherent positions, out of Donald Trump’s comments. Without much success,” Steinmeier said.
 In Israel, the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper reported Thursday that Israeli officials were viewing Trump as “a puzzle,” without a clear sense of whether he will match his words with actions or how he will manage ties with Jerusalem.
 Others close to the Israeli government, though, said the new US president will fall closer in line with their views than the current administration.
 Tzachi Hanegbi, a minister-without-portfolio who is a close confidant of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, said Thursday that the Iran nuclear deal and construction over the Green Line — the two most contentious topics between the Obama administration and Netanyahu — will no longer be a source of tension between Israel and the United States under a Trump presidency.
 “On both of these issues, our view was much different than Obama’s, while it is likely much more similar to that of Trump,” Hanegbi told Army Radio.
 The Associated Press contributed to this report

Why Egypt's Sisi welcomes Trump win
 Shahira Amin/Al Monitor/November 11/16
 Egyptians received news of Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election with mixed reactions, ranging from celebration to disappointment and even outright despair.
 While Egypt's president and his supporters have welcomed the election of Donald Trump, the country's liberals and pro-democracy activists aren't as pleased.
 While President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and his supporters welcomed the news of Trump becoming the 45th president of the United States, Egypt’s liberals and pro-democracy activists expressed shock and anguish on social media networks. The widely divergent views on the shocking election outcome reflect the increased polarization in Egyptian society, a society as divided as the American electorate itself.
 Sisi was among the first world leaders to congratulate Trump on his win. In a presidential statement released Nov. 10, he said, “Egypt hopes Trump’s presidency will breathe a new spirit into US-Egyptian relations.” Sisi had met the two US presidential hopefuls in New York in September and later said he had no doubt that "Trump would make a strong leader." While Hillary Clinton had raised the issue of human rights and called for the respect of rule of law during her meeting with Sisi, Trump had decided to look the other way. Instead, he told Sisi he looked forward to visiting Egypt and later called the Egyptian president “a fantastic guy.” Trump has in campaign speeches also advocated for torturing terrorists and called for the targeting of their families.
 Disregard for human rights is not the only common ground between Trump and Egypt’s strongman. The two men also share similar views on a number of issues, including their stance on the Muslim Brotherhood, which is designated a terrorist group by Egypt and described by Trump as “radical” in a foreign policy speech he gave in New York in June. They have both called for a “war on extremism” and given their blessings to the Russian-led airstrikes on rebel-held positions in Syria. In New York last month, Sisi backed a Russian draft resolution that stopped short of calling for a halt to the devastating bombing of Aleppo, a move that prompted Saudi Arabia to suspend its oil aid to Egypt over the last two months. Similarly, Trump had said in his campaign speeches that backing the rebels in Syria was "a mistake” and “the US would be better off supporting Assad as a hedge against Islamic radicalism.” And while Sisi has pursued warmer ties with Russia, Trump too has expressed willingness to cooperate with Putin, even if it involved a “difficult path.”
 Furthermore, both Sisi and Trump have expressed opposition to the Iran deal brokered in July 2015 between the Islamic Republic and the P5+1 group — United States, China, France, Russia, United Kingdom and Germany. Trump has called the deal — which puts limits on Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief — “a disaster” and has vowed to “rip it up.” Meanwhile, a US congressional delegation visiting Egypt in August 2015 later told Israel that Egypt opposed the deal, according to the Jerusalem Post.
 The majority of Sisi’s supporters are also celebrating Trump’s election victory. Relieved to see Clinton — whom they believe supported the Muslim Brotherhood’s rise to power — lose the race, many of them have said on Twitter that they see Trump as “the lesser of two evils.”
 Margaret Azer, a member of the Egyptian Parliament’s Human Rights Committee, said she was confident that Trump’s win would see a change in US policy vis-a-vis the Middle East. "It’s a new beginning,” she told Al-Masry Al-Youm, adding that she expected a marked improvement in US-Egyptian relations and enhanced US-Egyptian cooperation in fighting terrorism and extremism.
 “A Trump victory signals the end of ISIS and other terrorist groups in the region,” Azer said.
 Emad Gad, also a lawmaker, has said that “Trump’s victory is in Egypt’s interest as it spells the end of the US administration’s support for the Muslim Brotherhood." It is a view that is common among Sisi supporters and was echoed by former Egyptian first lady Gehan el-Sadat. In a telephone interview broadcast on the privately owned satellite Channel 10 on Wednesday, she said that the American people had elected Trump, a Republican, as a result of Obama’s failed policies. She added that Trump would focus more on domestic affairs rather than continue with Obama’s plan to divide the Middle East. Unlike Obama, Trump considers the Muslim Brotherhood “terrorists,” she said, and then in a sarcastic tone she told the Muslim Brotherhood to "hold a funeral procession for Hillary, your preferred candidate.”
 Business tycoon Naguib Sawiris has also been vocal in his support for Trump, describing him as “a successful entrepreneur who has done well for himself” and anticipating that “he will do well for America.”
 Ironically, militants waging an insurgency in Sinai against the Egyptian military are in the same camp as Sisi’s supporters regarding Trump’s win, albeit for different reasons. They too struck a celebratory note at the outcome of the US election. “Trump’s winning might be bad for us in the short run. However, it is better for Muslims in the long run as he’ll ruin the US,” prominent Egyptian-born jihadi cleric Tariq Abdel Haleem wrote on Twitter.
 In contrast, Egypt’s liberals and pro-democracy activists have expressed disappointment at the outcome of the US election. In an apparent backlash against Sisi and his supporters for their support of Trump, former Vice President Mohamed ElBaradei — who served on an interim basis for one month after the July 3, 2013, overthrow of Islamist President Mohammed Morsi — urged them to fully grasp the statements of Trump and his allies on Islam and Muslims. In the message on his Twitter account, he further exhorted them to “have some self dignity.”
 Khaled Dawoud, former spokesman of the liberal Dostour Party, has expressed concern that under Trump the United States will care even less about human rights and that US rhetoric on the need to improve the human rights situation in Egypt will stop — a view echoed by many other Egyptian youth revolutionaries on social media. In a TV interview on the privately owned channel Al Kahera Wal Nas on Wednesday, Dawoud said he expects US-Egyptian relations to be restored to the level they were when George W. Bush was US president — when there was "little focus on democratization in Egypt.”
Meanwhile, Egypt’s media have compared the most recent US election with past elections in Egypt. On Nov. 8, TV talk show host Amr Adeeb poked fun on ONTV at Trump’s allegations of election rigging in favor of rival candidate Clinton. He jokingly asked if Egyptians were supervising the ballot boxes in the United States, in reference to the widespread rigging that often occurs during polls in Egypt. Talk show host Ibrahim Eissa, appearing on Al Kahera Wal Nas on Nov. 9 after the election results were final, told viewers, “This is the democracy our leaders in the Arab world want to deprive us of! Rulers don’t stay longer than their term in office, nor do they change laws to extend their presidency. It is the people that decide! Egypt will not rise without democracy!”
But many ordinary Egyptians, engrossed in their daily lives amid rising inflation and soaring prices of basic commodities, seem to care little about who occupies the Oval Office.
 "No matter who is in the White House, US policies vis-a-vis Egypt and the Middle East will remain unchanged,” Ashraf Abdalla, a bus driver, told Al-Monitor.
“The US started the uprisings in the Arab world and will continue to stir more chaos and instability in the region.”
 
Trump Adds to His List of Advisors
 Bob Adelmann/New American/November 11/16
 In March, Donald Trump trotted out an early list of foreign-policy advisors on whom he would be relying if he were elected president. In an interview with the Washington Post, Trump said, “I can give you some of the names … Walid Phares, who you probably know, PhD, adviser to the House of Representatives Caucus, and counter-terrorism expert; Carter Page, PhD; George Papadopoulos — he’s an energy and oil consultant, excellent guy; the Honorable Joseph Schmitz, [former] inspector general at the Department of Defense; [retired] Gen. Keith Kellogg; and I have quite a few more.”
  In August he added “quite a few more” and then, the day after he was elected, Trump added still more, this time in the economic policy area.
  There are at least four “wild cards” in the deck that Trump is building, some with obvious ties to the establishment (Goldman Sachs, big banks, the Council on Foreign Relations, etc.), and others whose ties are somewhat more opaque but worth watching nonetheless. We'll look at these first, before moving on to some of his more solid picks.
  The first and most obvious wild card is Steven Mnuchin, the head of Dune Capital Management and former director at Goldman Sachs where he amassed a personal fortune estimated at more than $40 million as head of the firm’s trading desk. A graduate of Yale, he served on the Yale Development Board while gaining additional experience working for George Soros in his Private Equity division.
  The second is Peter Navarro, a professor of economics and public policy at the University of California, Irvine after obtaining his Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University. Navarro brings full-blown Keynesian philosophy to Trump’s advisory table, and he ran (unsuccessfully) as a Democrat for the 49th Congressional District in California in 1996.
  The problem with Navarro isn’t his background or his political experience, however. It’s his blind spot when it comes to trade policy. Tim Worstall, a Forbes contributor, took Navarro to task on Wednesday, claiming that “he is simply flat out wrong in his analysis of how trade works and why we do it.” Added Worstall: "Navarro is absolutely certain of a number of things about trade which simply aren’t so. [His views, if adopted by Trump, would] unlikely be the basis of a decent trade policy."
  The third question mark among Trump’s present cast of advisors is John Paulson, the founder and president of Paulson & Company. A very bright individual, Paulson graduated summa cum laude in finance from New York University’s College of Business and Public Administration. That earned him a free ride on a Goldman Sachs scholarship to the Harvard Business School, where he earned his MBA.
  Paulson, best known for his ability to see his opportunity ahead of the real-estate crash that led to the Great Recession, turned himself into a billionaire as a result. The story was covered by author Gregory Zuckerman in his The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind-the-Scenes Story of How John Paulson Defied Wall Street and Made Financial History, which was later turned into the film The Big Short. That "trade" earned Paulson’s company more than $15 billion, dwarfing George Soros’ currency trade that he made in 1992.
  In June 2015, Paulson showed his gratitude for the education he got at his alma mater by donating $400 million to Harvard, the largest gift ever received in the school’s history.
  The final potential wild card is suspect only because his background is so opaque: Carter Page. Page is the founder and managing partner of Global Energy Capital, an energy investment, consulting, and advisory firm with clients all over the globe. For three years, he worked closely with Russia’s state-owned Gazprom energy company following a stint as a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) ,where he advised the group on research he did on energy reserves in the Caspian Sea. Other than that, all that is known is that he holds an MBA from New York University and is a Chartered Financial Analysis (CFA).
  The others in Trump’s hand include Senator Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.), whom the Washington Times called “a tea partyer before the tea party was cool.” Sessions’ long suit is his opposition to any form of amnesty for illegals.
  As previously mentioned, Walid Phares is Trump’s advisor on terrorism. Phares has been an advisor to the Anti-Terrorism Caucus in the House of Representatives and is currently serving as the co-secretary general of the Transatlantic Legislative Group on Counter Terrorism. Phares’ greatest claim to fame and credibility comes from criticism he received from the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) when Mitt Romney named him to his campaign staff in 2012. CAIR described Phares as “an associate to war crimes” and a “conspiracy theorist.”
 Next among Trump’s advisors is Joseph Schmitz, a lawyer and former inspector general of the U.S. Department of Defense. He is also the son of John G. Schmitz, a former California State Senator, member of the House of Representatives, and U.S. presidential candidate in 1972. Schmitz was a special assistant to Attorney General Edwin Meese and authored Sharia: The Threat to America.
 Trump has also selected General Joseph “Keith” Kellogg to his advisory staff. Currently the vice president of strategic initiatives at Cubic Corporation, a supplier of communications technical support to the U.S. military, Kellogg served as commander of the 82nd Airborne Division and worked for the Joint Chiefs of Staff as director for all computing and communications for U.S. forces.
  Trump asked Dr. Ben Carson’s campaign advisor, George Papadopoulos, to join his staff, bringing with him his background and experience in energy policy obtained while serving as the director of the Center for International Energy and Natural Resources Law and Security at the London Center for International Law Practice. Papadopoulos also served as a fellow at the conservative think tank the Hudson Institute.
  On economic policy, Trump leads with Stephen Moore, the Heritage Foundation’s chief economist and founder of the Club for Growth. He brings free-market views and an understanding of “supply side” economics to the table.
  Next there’s David Malpass, founder and president of Encima Global LLC, an economic research and consulting firm in New York City. Malpass served as deputy assistant treasury secretary under President Ronald Reagan and currently sits on the board of The Manhattan Institute, another conservative think tank. Malpass is critical of government spending policies, recognizing that small businesses “are the nation’s critical engine for growth, innovation and job creation. Yet they are being starved for credit and slammed with more taxes, government directives and litigation exposure.”
  One of Malpassfavorite solutions is to cap government spending by tying excessive spending to cuts in the salaries of the politicians responsible:
  The U.S. has a law on the books called the debt limit, but the name is misleading. The debt limit started in 1917 for the purpose of facilitating more national debt, not reducing it. It still serves that purpose [today]…. Replace the debt limit with an operational ceiling on the debt-to-GDP ratio. It should be forced onto a downward glide path to below 50%. The new debt limit should penalize Washington enough to make it do its job. If the debt ratio goes over the glide path, cut salaries each month for upper-income federal employees, including the President, Congress and senior officials. Make it very public that they are paid to control spending.
  There’s Howard Lorber, the CEO of Vector Group, the largest residential real-estate brokerage in New York City. There’s Harold Hamm, best known for pioneering the development of fracking the shale resources in the Bakken Formation in North Dakota and Montana. There’s Steve Feinberg, the co-founder and CEO of Cerberus Capital Management, a company with more than $30 billion in assets under its management.
  There’s Dan DiMicco, the CEO of Nucor Corporation, the country’s largest steel producer and author of Steeling America’s Future, in which he outlines strategies to rebuild and strengthen America’s manufacturing sector. There’s Stephen Calk, who founded Federal Savings Bank in 2000 specifically to assist returning veterans with financing and other needs. In addition to running his bank, Calk also counsels and mentors returning veterans personally, bringing that intimate perspective into Trump’s advisory camp.
  There’s Andrew Beal, the founder of a chain of “wholesale” banks that offer financial services, but not consumer loans or checking accounts. In 1997, Beal invested significant personal funds and effort into starting an aerospace company to build rockets to place communications satellites into orbit. At one point he had 200 employees working for him, but was forced to close down the operation in October 2000 when he couldn’t compete with the government-funded NASA doing the same thing. That perspective no doubt will be helpful as the Trump administration addresses government subsidies.
  There’s Thomas Barrack, the founder of Colony Capital, a private equity real estate investment company headquartered in Los Angeles. Barrack served as deputy undersecretary of the U.S. Department of the Interior under James Watt during the Reagan administration and now runs $25 billion of assets, including hotels in Sardinia and throughout Asia.
 Clearly, Donald Trump is building his portfolio of advisors around his strengths and his weaknesses. There’s only one politician in the bunch, and precious few government bureaucrats. The vast majority have been successful in private industry, are familiar with the risks associated with running a business, and know the detrimental effects of overweening government. Although there are four “wild cards” in that bunch, none of them are listed in DiscoverTheNetworks, the collection of backgrounds on far-left radical revolutionaries and their groups intending America’s destruction. DiscoverTheNetworks' entries for members of the Obama administration, on the other hand, add up to an astonishing 99 pages.
  An Ivy League graduate and former investment advisor, Bob is a regular contributor to The New American magazine and blogs frequently at LightFromTheRight.com, primarily on economics and politics. He can be reached at badelmann@thenewamerican.com.
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Policy recommendations for Trump in The Middle East
 By Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
 http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/11/dr-majid-rafizadehal-arabiya-policy-recommendations-for-trump-in-middle-east/
 The Trump administration should pursue firm policies in countering Iran’s militaristic, hegemonic and ideological ambitions. In the eight years of Barack Obama’s presidency, the lobbyists for the Iranian regime have succeeded in pushing appeasement policies with Iranian leaders, giving billions of dollars to Iran, and in making Washington hesitant when it to comes to Iran’s military adventurism and anti-American posturing. These policies have turned the tension into regional conflagration.
 President Obama and Iranian lobbyists played the public well by arguing that appeasing Iran’s leaders will make Iran a constructive player and more moderate. The creation of concepts such as “moderates” versus “hardliners” is a Western fallacy and fabrication. In Iran, authorities do not use these concepts.   Iran’s politicians across the political spectrum might use different means but they try to achieve the same objectives: preserving the political establishment of the Islamic Republic, Velayate Faqih (the Supreme Leader) and the revolutionary principles of 1979.
 A lesson in history
 Trump should observe and learn the bitter lessons derived from the two terms of the Obama administration. The last eight years gave us evidence that appeasement policies with the Iranian government are not only fruitless, but also a danger to Washington’s and its allies’ national security, geopolitical, strategic and economic interests. President Obama began his presidency by extending his hand to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Khamenei immediately rejected and humiliated the US.
 Obama did not give up. The nuclear negotiations began with the promise that lifting of the UN Security Council’s sanctions against Iran would be considered a solution to satisfy Iran. Yet Iranian leaders did not show any signs of change in their policies. Khamenei continued lashing out at America, the “Great Satan”.
 Following every anti-American speech that Iranian leaders delivered, Obama gave more concessions and exemptions, and signed “secret” deals. Iran kept all its nuclear infrastructure and decades of sanctions were lifted immediately even before Iran had to comply with the flimsy terms of the nuclear deal.
 The last eight years gave us evidence that appeasement policies with Iran are not only fruitless, but also a danger to Washington’s and its allies’ national security, geopolitical, strategic and economic interests
 After the nuclear agreement, Iran began publicly, and more aggressively, test firing ballistic missiles in violation of the United Nations resolutions. Iran publicly admitted that its Revolutionary Guard Corps and Quds force – the elite branch of the IRGC that operates in foreign countries – are fighting on the ground in Syria, helping President Assad’s regime.
 President Obama continued his reticent stance. Iran became economically empowered as billions of dollars flowed into Iran and Tehran gained global legitimacy as Washington did not condemn Iran for it violations and aggressions.
 Iran sent more weapons to its proxies including the Houthis, while the US intercepted five Iranian shipments of weapons after the nuclear agreement. Iran’s proxy, the Houthis, attacked the US navy threatening US national security. However, President Obama continued with his appeasement policies.
 Iran became more emboldened and began publicly escalating harassment of US Navy ships and detaining American Navy officers, forcing them to divulge sensitive information, and posting videos of a US sailor crying and handcuffed, in an attempt to further humiliate the US.
 Hardball tactics
 Iranian leaders learned that hardball tactics plays well with the US. Anti-Americanism and Anti-Semitism increased. Khamenei reasserted Iran’s position that the US will remain Iran’s number one enemy. He stated that the Iranian nation ousted the Satan and that we should not let it “back through the window”.
 The IRGC leaders repeatedly threatened several countries in the region. Iran threatened Israel with their missile capabilities and Khamenei openly threatened the destruction of Israel as he pointed out: “Some Zionists have said that regarding the result of the nuclear deal they (Israelis) have been relieved of concerns about Iran for 25 years. But we tell them that you will not see the coming 25 years and God willing there will not be something named the Zionist regime in the region.”
 Iran’s hostage taking of Americans took the spotlight again. The country arrested American citizens as hostages while its military publicly demanded billions of dollars as ransom to release them. Some politicians claim that Obama paid a ransom to release four Iranian-American citizens. Iran arrested more afterwards.
 Iran’s military adventurism and the IRGC’s deployment of hard power significantly increased across the region in order to expand Tehran’s military empire and advance Khamenei’s regional hegemonic ambitions. Iran gave birth to many Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria. Iranian leaders bragged about dominating four Arab capitals (Baghdad, Beirut, Damascus, Sana’a).
 The Russia-China-Iran axis has strengthened, tipping the global balance of power against the US and its European allies. Russia intensified airstrikes in Syria and ratcheted up its efforts to undermine the US global role.
 Domestically speaking, Iran tightened the rules on personal freedoms, social justice, liberty and women rights. Human rights violations increased under Rowhani’s presidency and Iran was ranked number one in executing people per capita. Executions surged to a 25 year-high.
 Three-pronged policy for Trump
 Trump administration should take a three-pronged approach toward the Iranian government. Regionally speaking, Washington needs to hold Iran accountable for any aggression, anti-US and anti-Israeli rhetoric. Washington should take legal action when Iran violates UN security resolution such as test firing ballistic missiles or breaching the arms embargo.
 The US should stand with its Middle eastern allies to counter the IRGC expansion of its stranglehold in the region and should drive the IRGC forces out of foreign territories. Financing of Iran’s proxies and delivery of arms to them should be countered appropriately.
 Domestically speaking, the US should not turn a blind eye to, but instead, needs to publicly condemn Iran’s increasing human rights violations. Washington ought to support Iran’s civil society, opposition groups, and Persian media outlets that seek to advance democratic values in Iran. With regards to the nuclear agreement, several reports have revealed that Iran has already violated the nuclear deal by attempting to purchase materials that are only used for developing nuclear weapons.
 The US should not solely rely on the IAEA to inspect Iran. IAEA has repeatedly failed in monitoring Iran as several clandestine nuclear sites had been revealed. The US should take serious action to bring these violations to the attention of the UN Security Council members. Since Russia and China will support Iran, the US should take unilateral proportionate action such as re-imposing Obama’s repealed sanctions on Iran.
 President Obama and lobbyists for the Iranian regime played the Americans well in the last eight years. But we learned that reticence to Iran’s hegemonic ambitions and appeasement with Iranian leaders only results in more conflicts, destruction, anti-American policies, anti-Israeli sentiments, and human rights violations. If appeasement policies with Iran continue, regional conflict will exacerbate.
 Trump administration should avoid silence and appeasement policies toward the Iranian regime and should proportionately counter Iran’s hegemonic ambitions.
 
Welcome to the Trump world order
Maria Dubovikova/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
So Donald Trump is the new president of the United States. Allan Lichtman and his “13 Keys to the White House” have been proved right. The 30-year tradition of predicting the out-come of the US presidential elections continues uninterrupted. Political figures have started checking their social media accounts, deleting Tweets that could be uncomplimentary to Trump. It doesn’t help as the Internet remembers everything. Some are even more unlucky. French President Francois Hollande said in public recently that Trump “make you want to retch”. The global political narrative is quickly drifting away from “the dumb Trump” to “Congratulations, dear Mr. President, I always knew you would win!” Journalists who had been vilifying Trump – and promising apocalypse in case he is elected – have started debating how he would possibly save the world. Most experts failed in their prognosis. They could not imagine that the erratic Trump will be victorious over reserved, pragmatic, and experienced Clinton. They had their reasons but in their analysis they missed a lot of things.
Why Trump is president-elect
Trump is a living example of the American dream. From being a simple middle class Ameri-can, child of second generation German immigrants, he jumped to become a billionaire and then the US president. His penthouse apartment is said to be more luxurious than the White House. He had his own plane before becoming the US president. More importantly, he has promised to revive the American dream for all Americans, irrespec-tive of their social status. Experts and the so-called elite considered his mannerisms and choice of language as a disadvantage. But instead it turned out to be his advantage as he connected to people in their language. The fact remains that the elite, and people considering themselves intellectuals, do not form the majority in any society. The US is no different. Trump’s tweets and declarations were shocking for the elites but were very common for the masses. His imperfections made him closer to the ordinary people, especially from the working class. The “he is one of us” image always works when you deal with the masses. He gambled with it and emerged the winner.
Trump’s tweets and speeches were shocking for the elites but were very common for the masses. His imperfections made him closer to the ordinary people, especially from the working class
He got a chance to grab the Oval Cabinet as he is not liberal. Shadi Hamid seems right not believing that humans naturally inclined toward liberalism. Moreover, some men continue to remain sexist. If they don’t confess it, they keep this deep inside. Women frequently like more bad guys than respectable family men. They may not confess it but this sometimes reveals where their sympathies lie and how they vote.
A large number of white Americans continue to show racist tendencies. While calls for toler-ance goes on, the influx of immigrants gave a fertile ground for racism and somehow xeno-phobia. During these elections, it appeared, that the Americans had to choose between two candi-dates with little credibility. They opted for change and fresh ideas. Also, the turnout was far lesser than on the previous elections, which indicates disillusionment over the current presi-dential campaign and both the candidates.
Popular vote shows the deep divide in the American society, with Clinton showing ad-vantage over Trump. However, it was the US electoral system that brought Trump to power.
Homeland and foreign policy
Apparently he is set to make America great again not by foreign policy and imposing its will but by boosting the economy, retuning to manufacturing and giving new jobs. There is also a possibility that he will put even foreign policy based on business ties. So no help or assis-tance could come for free or without concomitant advantages for the economy. The tycoon that he has been Trump is aware that money decides everything. He will proba-bly try to implement this rule in policymaking, both at home and abroad. The main motive of the foreign policy could turn into bargain, trading and profit. Trump is not going to be easy for the Arab leaders. “You, guys, are out of business” – these were his words in response to a journalist asking about the President-elect’s policy vision toward the Middle East. Pro-Israeli and mostly anti-Arab, he will not try to solve Arab prob-lems anymore. However, he will continue the US fight against terrorism and probably be more hawkish than Clinton. In any case, he will not be inclined to treat the Arabs as equal partners. Such an attitude is going to be unacceptable for the Middle Easters powers and could lead to cooling of ties. The same fate – i.e. no allies, just business – probably awaits Europe.
Trump and Russia
Russia, which was frequently debated during the campaign, is neither a winner nor a looser after this election.
First of all, no one really knows who is Mr. Trump and what he is going to do. Secondly, he has Senate and Congress, which will not let him do whatever he likes. Moreover, an anti-Russian spirit prevails in the US no matter what. With Senate and the Congress, both in Republican hands, they are likely to seriously limit his intentions, as he will have to balance between what he wants and what he actually can. However, this man is hard to deal with. So pressure groups and other instruments of man-agement of the US policy will not probably work with Trump. Even if there is a shift in the US-Russia relations, this will take a long time. Such a shift is needed anyway and a confrontation isn’t good for the whole world. Trump is probably de-fined to press the reboot button in Russian relations and Russia doesn’t need a weak US. Russia needs to speak with the US, to listen and to be heard. Trump, as a businessman, seems exactly that kind of a figure. We are entering into a new era that will be hardly predictable but extremely interesting. Clinton had many cards on her hands but failed to play them the right way. Trump has out-smarted her. A game of poker has never been so relevant as an analogy. A spicy 45th season of “the United States Saga” is about to begin.

Trump presidency: Quo vadis Turkey-US relations in Mideast?
Menekse Tokyay/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
Barack Obama’s being elected President of the United States had raised the hopes for elevating US-Turkey cooperation to a new level. Barack Obama wanted to reach out to the Muslim world and wanted to showcase the strong relationship with Turkey as a source of inspiration to other Muslim nations. However due to the divergence of perceptions and priorities of the two countries after the initial phase of the Arab uprisings, these hopes never materialized. As a matter of fact, as the Obama administration is coming to an end, the US-Turkey relationship has been reduced to a transactional cooperation based on mutual distrust. In the new period starting with Trump presidency, Turkey and the US may agree to disagree, while still holding fast the essentials of their longstanding partnership. Considering Trump’s preference toward easing pressure on Turkey over human rights abuses is also a sign for closer relations between the two leaders. “Turkey is the US’ most important ally in the region. We will bring our relations with Turkey to a better stance just like in the old days,” US Vice President Mike Pence said in the early hours of Nov. 9.
No clear foreign policy
Donald Trump’s not so much expected election victory has sent shock waves across the Atlantic due to some of his views, which he has revealed during his election campaign on foreign policy.
Turks are also trying to figure out the implications of Trump’s presidency on US-Turkey cooperation, particularly in the Middle East. He would like the US to play less of a world leadership role and he will be reluctant to mobilize the US military unless it is directly about national interests
Putting oneself in Trump’s “stylish” shoes, the foreign policy approaches he proposed during his candidacy campaign would inevitably influence Turkey’s Mideast policy since he considers the region strategically less important then it used to be. Talking on Turkish state TV, Erdogan’s top adviser Yigit Bulut argued that Trump will support Turkey’s Mideast leadership. In fact, Trump does not have any clear foreign policy positions yet, while he does have some pretty clear approaches to foreign policy. The extent to which these approaches will translate into foreign policy positions will depend on what kind of a foreign policy team President-elect Trump will be able to build and his transition team will give us an idea of this. Trump’s strongest view on foreign policy is that the world leadership role it is playing is too costly for the United States and as a businessman he wants to cut costs. Therefore he would like the US to play less of a world leadership role and he will be reluctant to mobilize the US military unless it is directly about national interests. So, Turkey will see a decreased presence of the US in its neighborhood.
Trump’s lack of enthusiasm for foreign policy activism also leads him to mutual accommodation rather than confrontation with Russia. More disturbing approaches are about immigration and Muslims. President-Elect Trump has proposed building wall on the Mexican border to prevent Latino immigrants and not allowing Muslims entering the US
While these are his general approaches to foreign policy, he has been somewhat more specific on two countries: Iran and Syria. Trump has severely criticized the deal with Iran and pledged to suspend it. This is a decision that would easily find support in the US Congress and change the balances in the Mideast once again. He tends to diminish the crises in Syria to ISIS and hopes to solve it by continuing to arm local proxies and cooperating with Russia.
Fighting ISIS
Any halt of the US-led international coalition against ISIS is not expected in the near future, and Turkey’s strategic importance for allowing the coalition forces to use its southern base of Incirlik will therefore continue.
A synthesis of the approaches of Trump and those of his future foreign policy tram could lead us to a unilateralist US that will be active in the Mideast through proxies. As Trump and his team agree on being cautious towards Islamist groups, these proxies could be limited to governments they can agree with and non-state actors that are not Islamist.
The prime example for the latter would be Democratic Union Party (PYD), the Syrian affiliate of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) considered as a terrorist group by both the US and Turkey. But it is the only credible local partner on the ground against ISIS in Syria and Trump overtly declared that “he is a fan of the Kurdish forces” - a move that might harm the relations. The fact that Trump calls for stronger ties with Israel might also be an opportunity to Turkey to advance its rapprochement process with Tel Aviv and to propose potential cooperation avenues involving this trio. Turkey and Israel are about to mutually appoint ambassadors within a short period of time. While this is a very early assessment, there are reasons to believe that the divergence of perspectives and priorities on the Middle East might become more acute during the presidency of Donald Trump. Positive messages coming from the Trump team have raised expectations in Turkey about US-Turkey cooperation. Let us hope that these expectations pass the test of the realities on the ground, as stronger cooperation between the two countries would bring very positive results in the Middle East.

Donald Trump’s energy wild card
Dr. Naser al-Tamimi/Al Arabiya/November 11/16
Donald Trump’s stunning victory last Tuesday’s US presidential election sets the stage for a new oil battle with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and intensification of the competition in world oil markets.
While the president-elect does not yet have clearly articulated detailed policies on most energy issues, his campaign promises indicate he would likely adopt policies in favor of increasing fossil fuel (oil, gas and coal) output, ease regulations on industry and undo most of Obama’s “clean” policies. Trump’s proposals or what he calls it “energy revolution” including open onshore and offshore leasing on federal lands, eliminate moratorium on coal leasing, and open shale energy deposits. He promised to free up energy industry from red tape; eliminating renewable energy subsidies and vowing to ‘cancel’ the international Paris climate. He has made sweeping promises to unleash what he argues “Americas $50 trillion in untapped shale, oil, and natural gas reserves, plus hundreds of years in clean coal reserves”. Trump’s energy plan indicates that his ultimate aim appears to ‘become, and stay, totally independent of any need to import energy from the OPEC cartel or any nations hostile to our interests’.
OPEC’s dilemma
To be sure, since President Obama’s election, US production of oil and gas has surged significantly, making America the world’s largest energy producer and reducing oil imports from over a half to less than quarter of the country consumption. This trend is most likely to continue as the Energy Information (EIA) in its Annual Energy Outlook 2016 projects that US total net imports of crude oil and products fall from 4.6 million barrel per day (mb/d) in 2015 to 3.3 mb/d in 2025, and 1.7 mb/d in 2035.
All of this comes ahead of OPEC’s meeting at the end of this month. Trump’s win complicated the global energy landscape and OPEC now faces triple threats; gloomy outlook for the global economy, weaker demand for oil and prospect of surge in US oil production. This situation poses a dilemma for the organization, while cutting the production could lead to a loss of market share, yet walking without a deal will certainly increases the downward pressure on oil prices.
In the medium or long term if Trump has fulfilled his promises related to the energy sector, the United States could become an exporter of oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) competes with the Middle East countries in the global markets.
Trump’s win complicated the global energy landscape and OPEC now faces triple threats; gloomy outlook for the global economy, weaker demand for oil and prospect of surge in US oil production
Trade war
Trump has opposed the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal between the US and Asia; called for fundamental changes to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with Mexico and Canada and threatened to pull the US out of the World Trade Organisation. He has also threatened to impose imposing steep tariffs 45 percent on Chinese exports, stoking fears of a trade war.
If the president-elect were to follow through on these threats, he would spark a global trade war and could well plunge the world into a recession and it will be negative for oil demand Daniel Yergin, vice-chairman of analysis firm IHS Markit and author of The Prize, a well-known historian of the oil industry, told Reuters: ‘The outcome of the US election adds to the challenges for the oil exporters because it likely leads to weaker economic growth in an already fragile global economy, (...) and that means additional pressure on oil demand.”
Iran ... A puzzle
However, the uncertainty that prevails in Mr. Trump’s policy toward the nuclear deal or the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran cast a shadow over oil prices. Mr. Trump has strongly criticised the JCPOA with Iran and threaten to revoke it or re-negotiate. But escalating tensions with Iran will increase the upward pressure on oil prices.
According to some legal experts, the agreement is not a treaty, and therefore is not binding for the next American president. However, Trump could resort to “salami tactics” and instead of abrogating the entire agreement, he could undo the executive orders signed by Obama, refuse to certify Iran as compliant with the agreement and revoke a general license authorizing foreign subsidiaries of US companies to seek business in Iran. However, uncertainty will for sure hinder Iran’s policy in attracting significant foreign investment
Russian opportunity
Under Trump Administration there is also a strong possibility that Russia relations with the US will improve, and may eventually result in a reduction in the sanctions during the next year, allowing Russian energy industry to tap more easily global finance. As a result, Russia surely will boost its oil production capacity. Certainly, Russian oil hits new post-Soviet high of 11.2 mb/d in October, on track for annual record.
All in all, while OPEC or the Middle Eastern oil producers were busy competing with only the shale oil, they will be entering in competition with shale oil plus Trump and reserves previously untapped in America.