LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

November 27/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletin16/english.november27.16.htm

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
Blessed are you among women, and blessed is the fruit of your womb
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 01/39-45/:"In those days Mary set out and went with haste to a Judean town in the hill country, where she entered the house of Zechariah and greeted Elizabeth. When Elizabeth heard Mary’s greeting, the child leapt in her womb. And Elizabeth was filled with the Holy Spirit and exclaimed with a loud cry, ‘Blessed are you among women, and blessed is the fruit of your womb. And why has this happened to me, that the mother of my Lord comes to me? For as soon as I heard the sound of your greeting, the child in my womb leapt for joy. And blessed is she who believed that there would be a fulfilment of what was spoken to her by the Lord.’"

He destined us for adoption as his children through Jesus Christ, according to the good pleasure of his will,
Letter to the Ephesians 01/01-14/:"Paul, an apostle of Christ Jesus by the will of God, To the saints who are in Ephesus and are faithful in Christ Jesus: Grace to you and peace from God our Father and the Lord Jesus Christ. Blessed be the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ, who has blessed us in Christ with every spiritual blessing in the heavenly places, just as he chose us in Christ before the foundation of the world to be holy and blameless before him in love. He destined us for adoption as his children through Jesus Christ, according to the good pleasure of his will, to the praise of his glorious grace that he freely bestowed on us in the Beloved. In him we have redemption through his blood, the forgiveness of our trespasses, according to the riches of his grace that he lavished on us. With all wisdom and insight
he has made known to us the mystery of his will, according to his good pleasure that he set forth in Christ, as a plan for the fullness of time, to gather up all things in him, things in heaven and things on earth. In Christ we have also obtained an inheritance, having been destined according to the purpose of him who accomplishes all things according to his counsel and will, so that we, who were the first to set our hope on Christ, might live for the praise of his glory. In him you also, when you had heard the word of truth, the gospel of your salvation, and had believed in him, were marked with the seal of the promised Holy Spirit; this is the pledge of our inheritance towards redemption as God’s own people, to the praise of his glory."

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 26-27/16
Lebanon to try Shiek Bachir Gemayel assassin in absentia/Joseph A. Kechichian/Gulf News/November 26/16
Families of Lebanese Captives Optimistic After Arrest of ISIS Commander/Paula Astih/Asharq Al Awsat/November 26/16/
Hezbollah unveils its military might in Syria/Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/November 20/16
Iran’s attack on Lebanon/Khairallah Khairallah/The Arab Weekly/November 20/16
Question: "What does the Bible say about thankfulness/gratitude/GotQuestions.orgNovember 20/16
Former Cuban leader Fidel Castro dies aged 90/Reuters, Havana/November 26/16
After Mosul battle, is Syria next for the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU)/Ammar Alsawad/November 25/16
UK: Two Systems of Justice/Douglas Murray/Gatestone Institute/November 26/16
Dear Fillon, you’re wrong on Syria/ Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/November 26/16
Trump’s promises to shakeup US energy face a reality check/Talmiz Ahmad/Al Arabiya/November 26/16
What does a Trump presidency mean for the Middle East/Hisham Melhem/Al Arabiya/November 26/16
These Cold War Lions Could Teach Trump a Lesson or Two/David Ignatius/The Washington Post/November 26/16

Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 26-27/16
Lebanon to try Shiek Bachir Gemayel assassin in absentia
Families of Lebanese Captives Optimistic After Arrest of ISIS Commander
Dispute on Lebanon’s ‘Electoral Services’ Ministry
Boutros Harb urges political forces to exit trade bazaar over ministerial portfolios
Baabda Palace continues to receive wellwishers on Independence Day
Bassil: Dominican Republic to open Embassy in Lebanon
Pharaon discusses tourism cooperation methods with Brazil
Berri offers condolences to Raul Castro, House Speaker
Hariri receives Turkish and Chinese delegations
Hariri inaugurates Future Movement's 2nd General Conference: We are a Movement of coexistence and parity between Christians and Muslims
Hezbollah unveils its military might in Syria
Iran’s attack on Lebanon

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 26-27/16
Statement by the Prime Minister of Canada on the death of former Cuban President Fidel Castro
Thousands take to streets of Miami to celebrate Fidel Castro’s death
Syria regime forces retake largest Aleppo rebel area
Iraqi Sunnis reject parliament legalizing PMU
Kuwaiti royal 1 of 3 killed in brutal Salwa murder
Iran detains three railroad staff over deadly train collision
Saudi Arabia destroys ballistic missile targeting Khamis Mushait
ISIS claims deadly attack on Egyptian soldiers in Sinai
Australia: ISIS recruiter arrested in Turkey
Indonesia arrests militant planning bomb strike on Myanmar embassy
Wisconsin agrees to statewide recount in presidential race

Links From Jihad Watch Site for on November 26-27/16
Germany: Muslim migrant child brides discovered, refugee workers say marriages should remain.
Maryland Muslim arrested for threatening to blow up Southwest Airlines plane.
Wilders: “The elite facilitated complaints against me with pre-printed forms brought to the mosque by police”.
Islamic State leader who ordered U.S. Muslims to murder Pamela Geller killed by drone strike in Syria.
Leader of Switzerland’s largest Islamic organization investigated for jihadist propaganda.
Vast majority of Muslims entering Europe from Africa not refugees, but migrants seeking welfare benefits.
Muslim group claims responsibility for devastating wildfires in Israel.
French retailers ordered to label products that come from Israeli “settlements”.
Robert Spencer is as dangerous to America as ISIS”.
Netherlands: Authorities thwart Amsterdam mosque members plot for jihad massacre at synagogue.

Links From Christian Today Site for on November 26-27/16
Targeted By ISIS And Used As Human Shields: The Brutal Reality For Iraq's Families Caught In The Line Of Fire

Senior Anglican Bishop To Preside At LGBT Eucharist
Transforming Lives: How Alpha Has Reached 28,000 Young People With The Gospel In Kenya
Fidel Castro Dies Aged 90
Barbaric' Forced Organ Harvesting Targets Christians In China, Investigators Claim
Christians Believe In Truth – How Should We Respond To Post-Truth Politics?
Christianity At Risk In Vietnam Amid Restrictions On Religious Freedom
Prince Charles Condemns 'Appalling Suffering' Of Syria's Christians
First Baptist Pastor Robert Jeffress Praises Trump For Decision Not To Prosecute Clinton
Iraqi Christians Revisit Historic Town Abandoned By ISIS

Latest Lebanese Related News published on November 26-27/16
Lebanon to try Shiek Bachir Gemayel assassin in absentia
Joseph A. Kechichian/Gulf News/November 26/16
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/26/joseph-a-kechichiangulf-news-lebanon-to-try-shiek-bachir-gemayel-assassin-in-absentia/
Beirut: Although Lebanon’s President-elect Bashir Gemayel was assassinated on September 14, 1982 — along with 26 others who perished when a bomb exploded in the Phalange Party headquarters in Ashrafieh — the country’s Judicial Council finally launched a trial in absentia, calling on Habib Shartouni, who confessed to planting the bomb before escaping from prison, to turn himself in. Jean Fahd, the magistrate entrusted with the case, issued a statement that gave Shartouni an ultimatum to hand himself over to the judiciary “within 24 hours at the latest from the March 3, 2017 trial session”, though it is unclear what meaning that ultimatum has.
Fahd further demanded proof that Nabeel Al Alam, a second culprit involved in the plot, is dead. Shartouni, a member of the Syrian Social National Party (SSNP), was born into a Maronite Catholic family in Aley (Chouf Mountains) and served in one of the SSNP stations there though he fled to Cyprus and France at the beginning of the civil war where he attended university and obtained a business degree. During a 1977 visit to Lebanon, he formally joined the SSNP and became an active member though it was unclear whether Syrian intelligence operatives recruited him in France. It was in Paris that he met Nabeel Al Alam, then a leading SSNP intelligence lieutenant, who made a big impression on him.
Al Alam knew that Shartouni’s family members lived in the same building where the Phalange Party kept a headquarters, which most probably justified the recruitment. Two days after the assassination, the 24-years-old Shartouni was arrested by the Lebanese Forces and handed over to the Lebanese judiciary. In his confession, he called Bashir a traitor and accused him of selling the country to Israel, and acknowledged that he “was given the explosives and the fancy long-range electronic detonator by Al Alam, who promptly fled to Syria and vanished.
The assassin spent eight years at the Roumieh prison without a trial, but escaped on October 13, 1990 under mysterious circumstances, during the final Syrian offensive in Lebanon that crippled the Michel Aoun government and forced the latter into exile. Lebanese authorities believed the assassin received assistance from the Syrians and moved to Damascus where he may still be.
The latest trial, even if it is in absentia, relating to the assassination of an elected head of state at the height of a civil war that saw the country simultaneously occupied by both Israel and Syria, is intended to deliver justice. His widow, Solange Gemayel, spoke outside the Higher Judicial Council building on Friday, where she declared: “I waited 34 years to witness the trial of Bashir’s killers,” while their son, Nadim Gemayel, added his own perspective. “It is time to try all criminals, including Shartouni,” said the Beirut parliamentarian, pleading with authorities that they should no longer “delay the overdue trial”. One of the country’s leading statesmen, Edmond Rizk, summarised the latest legal initiative when he said: “We want the judiciary to fully carry out its role and remind everyone that this trial is not intended to avenge anyone, but to restore the state’s authority beginning with its judiciary.”

Families of Lebanese Captives Optimistic After Arrest of ISIS Commander
Paula Astih/Asharq Al Awsat/November 26/16/
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/26/families-of-lebanese-captives-optimistic-after-arrest-of-isis-commander/
Beirut- The families of nine soldiers taken captive by ISIS in the northeastern town of Arsal in August 2014 were optimistic on Saturday after the Lebanese army arrested a top militant in the border area with Syria. According to the relatives and sources following up the case of the captives, the arrest of the ISIS commander and several militants on the outskirts of Arsal would lead to major developments. The Lebanese army said on Friday it had detained Ahmed Youssef Amoun and 10 other terrorists in a special operation in the area of Wadi al-Araneb. Troops clashed with ISIS militants with different weapons and managed to break into the headquarters where they captured 11 of them, including Amoun, the dangerous terrorist and ISIS emir, said the army in a communique. The communique said the ISIS commander, who was seriously wounded in the operation, has been involved in preparing car bombs used in attacks in various parts of Lebanon, including the southern suburbs of Beirut. The army also accused him of involvement in attacks on military posts during the bloody gunbattles in August 2014 when ISIS and al-Nusra Front briefly overran Arsal.
After Amoun’s arrest, the Wadi al-Araneb area witnessed heavy clashes between the Lebanese army and ISIS militants who had taken cover in a Syrian refugee encampment, the state-run National News Agency reported. But the situation calmed thereafter. The army’s special operation came days after the families of the captives criticized the authorities over celebrations held on the occasion of Independence Day. They said the ceremonies were being held at a time when the fate of their loved ones was unknown.
The relatives of the soldiers also asked Army chief Gen. Jean Qahwaji “to liberate them in any possible way.” Informed sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the arrest of Amoun and the other 10 militants will help locate the captives after reports that they could have been moved to the ISIS stronghold of Raqqa in Syria or the Iraqi city of Mosul. When the jihadists withdrew from Arsal in August 2014, they abducted 30 soldiers and policemen, five of whom were subsequently executed. The 16 hostages held by Al-Nusra Front were released in December 2015 after lengthy negotiations, but there has been no progress on the release of the nine held by ISIS. President Michel Aoun welcomed the army’s arrest of the ISIS emir on Friday, saying such “operations put an end to terrorist plots.”
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri also congratulated the military on the successful operation. As for the so-called Hezbollah, it said the arrest is a “confirmation of the army’s essential role in protecting the border and clearing it of terrorists in defense of Lebanon and its people.”

Dispute on Lebanon’s ‘Electoral Services’ Ministry

Caroline Akoum/Asharq Al Awsat/November 26/16/Beirut- The dispute among Lebanese parties on the Public Works Ministry reflects the importance of the portfolio for different parliamentary blocs, mainly ahead of next May’s legislative elections. The ministry that is headed by Caretaker Minister Ghazi Zoaiter, who is close to Speaker Nabih Berri, remains one of the last obstacles to the formation of the new government.Berri refuses to give up the ministry – which has been largely taken advantage of during parliamentary elections – as part of his share in the cabinet while the Lebanese Forces and the Marada Movement are bickering over it. Zoaiter stressed in remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat that Berri’s request to keep the ministry is in no way linked to electoral campaigns. “This is an insult to the Lebanese people,” he said. Rabih Haber, the Managing Director of Statistics Lebanon Ltd, said however that the Public Works Ministry is dubbed the ministry of “asphalt” for being active in paving roads in the areas of influence of the person heading the ministry and the party backing him ahead of general elections. Economist Sami Nader also said that the services provided by the Public Works Ministry largely contribute to the results of the polls. In his remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Zoaiter acknowledged that his ministry has not implemented all the projects it intended to do during its tenure. The main reason lies in the political situation and the limited budget, he said. The situation would not change for the new cabinet because its main mission would be to agree on a new electoral law ahead of the elections next spring, he added. Zoaiter has come under severe criticism for allegedly not being fair in carrying out projects across Lebanon. Several politicians and media outlets have accused him of implementing projects in Baalbek, Hermel and the Bekaa where he has wide popular support. But the minister has rejected such criticism, saying the works carried out by his ministry are distributed fairly among different areas. He also said that he will soon release a detailed report on the projects implemented by the Public Works Ministry and their geographic distribution. 

Boutros Harb urges political forces to exit trade bazaar over ministerial portfolios
Sat 26 Nov 2016/NNA - Outgoing minister of Telecommunications Boutros Harb hoped "the political forces would exit the trade bazaar over ministerial portfolios," urging them to remember that the ministries are to serve the state and the community not to achieve electoral profits. Harb words came during his patronage to the "Free Connected Mind" conference organized by May Chidiac Institution on Sarturday at Phoenicia hotel in Beirut. Harb hoped the new cabinet would soon be formed, wishing to have the right competent person in the right place. Harb said that Lebanon's interest should be above the interest of all parties and persons, hoping all political parties would cooperate "despite our political differences in opinion" to develop Lebanon and protect the institutions.
 
 Baabda Palace continues to receive wellwishers on Independence Day
 Sat 26 Nov 2016/NNA - Babbda Palace continued on Saturday for the fourth consecutive day to receive delegations of students from various schools in Lebanon to present congratulations on the Independence Day. The students toured a number of the main halls in the Palace and listened to explanations regarding the history and symbolism of each hall.
 
 Bassil: Dominican Republic to open Embassy in Lebanon
 Sat 26 Nov 2016/NNA - "The Dominican Republic want to open an embassy in Lebanon,"Caretaker Foreign Affairs and Expatriates Minister, Gibran Bassil, said on Saturday during a visit to Santo Domingo, his second stop in a tour in Latin America and the Caribbean Islands. During his visit, Bassil held talks with Dominican President Danilo Medina and his counterpart Miguel Vargas accompanied with Lebanese Ambassador to Venezuela, Elias Lebbos. Bassil reiterated the necessity to strengthen and boost the bilateral relations between the two countries in all fields. It is to note that nearly 120,000 Lebanese expats live in Santo Domingo.
 
 Pharaon discusses tourism cooperation methods with Brazil
 Sat 26 Nov 2016/NNA - Outgoing Tourism Minister Michel Pharaon was briefed on the situation of the Lebanese Diaspora in Brazil, confirming that the Tourism Ministry works hard to secure communications with descendants of Lebanese origin mainly in Latin America. Pharaon words came during an honorary banquet which was held for him in Sao Paolo, adding that the Ministry had prepared the "I" program, especially for descendants of the Lebanese origin, which aims to urge those descendants to visit Lebanon at least once a year. Pharaon underscored that the Ministry is willing to play any supportive role in strengthening tourism cooperation between the two countries.
 
 Berri offers condolences to Raul Castro, House Speaker

 Sat 26 Nov 2016/NNA - House Speaker Nabih Berri offered his condolences in a telegram to the President of the Council of the State of Cuba, Raul Castro, on the death of Cuba's former President, Fidel Castro. The Speaker also sent a letter to his Cuban counterpart, Lazo Hernandez, for the same purpose.
 
 Hariri receives Turkish and Chinese delegations
 Sat 26 Nov 2016/Saad Hariri, received this evening at the "House of Center" a delegation from the Turkish Justice and Development Party (AKP), headed by the Party's Deputy Chairman for Foreign Affairs, former Minister of Economy Mehdi Eker. The Turkish Ambassador in Lebanon, Cagatay Erciyes, and MP Jamal Jarrah attended the meeting. Premier Hariri also met with a delegation from the Chinese Communist Party, headed by the Deputy Chairman of West Asia and North Africa in the Foreign Relations Department of the Central Committee, Zhang Jianwei. Both delegations are visiting Lebanon upon the invitation of the Future Movement to participate in its second convention as observers.
 
Hariri inaugurates Future Movement's 2nd General Conference: We are a Movement of coexistence and parity between Christians and Muslims

Sat 26 Nov 2016/NNA - Prime Minister-designate, Saad Hariri, patronized, on Saturday, the inauguration of the Future Movement's 2nd General Conference at "Biel" in Central Beirut, with the participation of 2400 voting members and 400 monitoring members, in presence of senior political officials and prominent figures. Following a minute of silence in memory of the late Martyr PM Rafic Hariri, the PM-designate addressed the attending crowd saying, "We are a Movement of coexistence and parity between Christians and Muslims."
 "If the Future Movement was entrusted to us by Martyr Prime Minister Rafic Hariri, you are hereby confirming, at this Conference, the will to preserve this trust," he added. "The Conference is taking place at a phase that is the most difficult and critical in the history of Lebanon and the Arab region...And we intended it to coincide with the political initiative that we have launched, which ended the vacuum in the presidency with the election of President Michel Aoun; thus, moving Lebanon away from the danger of stagnation, despair and disruption in State departments, and saving the legitimacy from collapsing," Hariri underscored. He went on to stress that, "We have determined this Movement to be a project of building a nation, a path we shall continue to follow, God willing," adding that, "this inaugural session is an occasion to reiterate the set of constants which are integrated with our vision of the Lebanon we aspire for." "We are a Movement of Lebanon's Arab identity, which is unrivaled with the country's identity, for Arabism is a deep affiliation to a civilized, cultured and humane environment," Hariri stressed. "We are a Movement of Lebanon First, the Movement of legitimacy, of a strong State which does not yield to any other authority nor share its arms with any other; a legitimacy of the Lebanese Republic and the Taif Accord - a legitimacy of the constitutional institutions that emerge from the will of the people and the national consensus, and not from foreign directives," he emphazised. Hariri concluded by highlighting that the Future Movement is intended to be a model of democracy and a pioneer in defending the Lebanese democratic system. "We are a democratic Movement in the service of Lebanon, a Lebanon of Arab identity, strong in its State, its Army, its free economy, its equal education, health and work opportunities; a Lebanon of coexistence between Christians and Muslims; a Lebanon of civil regime whose central value is the human being and human dignity," Hariri underscored.
 
Hezbollah unveils its military might in Syria
Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/November 20/16
BEIRUT - A military parade on No­vember 11th by Leba­non’s Hezbollah to mark the Shia organisation’s annual Martyrs’ Day re­vealed the extent to which the war in Syria has augmented the Iranian-backed Party of God’s military ca­pabilities.
The parade in the Syrian town of Qusayr, 20km south of Homs, involved dozens of armoured ve­hicles, including tanks, personnel carriers (APCs), self-propelled ar­tillery guns and communications-jamming vehicles, visual confir­mation of year-old reports that Hezbollah has built an armoured brigade in Syria. The addition of an armoured force underlines how much Hez­bollah’s military capabilities have expanded in the last decade in quantity and quality. By admission of the party’s leaders, its missiles and rockets could reach any point in Israel.
Israel estimates that Hezbollah’s arsenal contains 130,000-150,000 missiles, compared to about 13,000 during the 2006 war with the Jew­ish state. Some of the missiles held by Hezbollah carry guidance sys­tems and 500-kg warheads.
Hezbollah also possesses Iranian anti-ship missiles, a fleet of un­manned aerial vehicles — some of which may have missile-carrying capabilities — with ranges that cov­er all of Israel.
Much of Hezbollah’s arsenal, let alone its sophisticated communica­tions assets, would not look out of place in a European army.
The Lebanese daily As Safir quot­ed Hezbollah Deputy Secretary- General Sheikh Naim Qassem, as saying: “We now have a trained army and the Resistance (Hezbol­lah) does not need to rely on guer­rilla tactics” — a statement retract­ed later by the group.
Hezbollah’s traditional military doctrine is rooted in small unit, hit-and-run guerrilla-style warfare adapted to confront the powerful Israeli Army but, since Hezbollah began intervening in Syria in the latter half of 2012 to defend the re­gime of Syrian President Bashar As­sad, the organisation has evolved into something more closely resem­bling a conventional army.
Hezbollah now fights in relatively large formations, alongside other military units, such as the Syrian Army and Shia paramilitaries from Iraq and elsewhere, operates ar­moured vehicles and artillery and calls in air strikes. It has deployed in a variety of terrains — from bar­ren mountains to cramped urban neighbourhoods — previously unfa­miliar to the Lebanese combatants — and has learned how to sustain a logistical supply line far from its core areas in Lebanon.
Some Hezbollah fighters have even parachuted from high-flying helicopters into combat zones, spe­cifically the besieged Shia villages of Kefraya and Fouaa in Idlib prov­ince.
In September 2015, Kuwait’s Al- Rai daily reported that the Syrian Army had handed over 75 Soviet-era tanks, including T-55s and T-72s, so Hezbollah could build an armoured brigade. The parade in Qusayr provided confirmation of that report. Some of the armoured vehicles carried the new unit’s emblem.
Among the vehicles displayed were T-54, T-55, T-62 and T-72 tanks, BMP-1 armoured fighting ve­hicles, T-55 tank chassis mounted with 57mm anti-aircraft guns (used by
Hezbollah in a ground support role) and what appears to be R-330P electronic warfare vehicles that detect and jam radio communica­tions. The parade included several all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) mount­ed with Russian Kornet anti-tank launchers, each carrying four mis­siles, and a large number of pick-up trucks, some fitted with twin-bar­relled 23mm or 57mm anti-aircraft guns.
Curious additions were several US-made M113 APCs armed with 23mm anti-aircraft guns. The Syr­ian Army does not possess M113 APCs, which suggests that the vehi­cles must have come from Lebanon as they are in use by the Lebanese Army. Some commentators indi­cated that the M113s may be the result of collusion with the Leba­nese Army, the world’s fifth larg­est recipient of US military assis­tance, but no evidence of this has emerged. Hezbollah’s weaponry often surpasses the army’s.
Another possibility is that the APCs in Hezbollah’s possession were taken from southern Lebanon following Israel’s military with­drawal from its occupied border strip in May 2000. The defunct Is­raeli-backed South Lebanon Army militia used M113s and many were abandoned.
The parade in Qusayr was at­tended by Sheikh Hisham Safied­dine, head of Hezbollah’s Executive Council, who gave a speech to the assembled combatants.
Photographs of the event were released on Hezbollah-supporting social media sites. Qusayr was the scene of one of Hezbollah’s first major engagements in Syria when it overran the town in a 17-day battle in May-June 2013.
The mainly Sunni population of the town fled and has not returned. Instead, Qusayr has become an im­portant military base for Hezbollah. The ruins of the town are used as an urban warfare training site in which company-sized Hezbollah units, armed with paintball guns, learn to attack and defend, according to a Hezbollah fighter who has served in Qusayr. Hezbollah’s conventional-style military tactics in Syria are well-suited against the generally lightly armed rebel forces but it would be a mistake to assume that Hezbollah has abandoned its guerrilla origins in the context of a future war with Israel.
If Hezbollah and Israel come to blows again, the dozens of ar­moured vehicles paraded through Qusayr recently will stay on the Syr­ian side of the border.
**Nicholas Blanford is the author of Warriors of God: Inside Hezbollah’s Thirty-Year Struggle Against Israel (Random House 2011). He lives in Beirut.

Iran’s attack on Lebanon
Khairallah Khairallah/The Arab Weekly/November 20/16
Iran’s recent political attack on Lebanon is quite remark­able. So is the Syrian regime’s renewed attention to a country that, a few years ago, had removed itself from its custody. Could all of this be caused by nostalgia for those bygone days?
Iran’s attack comes from a desire to score immediately after Michel Aoun’s election as president of Lebanon. Tehran had wished to send Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif to Aoun’s election session in parliament but some Lebanese were able to diplomati­cally avert that.
Zarif later travelled in Beirut to congratulate Aoun, as if that position had not remained empty for two-and-a-half years because of pressure from Iran. Should Lebanon then rejoice in the newly found freedom of its presidency?
Zarif’s visit to Lebanon would have been comforting if it had been accompanied by a change in Iran’s view of Lebanon as an Arab country first. Lebanon’s interests are with the Arabs first and foremost, particularly the Gulf countries. Anyone acting against these interests is planning to plunge Lebanon in misery and expatriating most of its citizens, especially the Christians, so that it becomes easy to take control of.
Lebanon’s new president did well to remind everyone that the country is committed to the Arab League charter and to all other international agreements, meaning a commitment to the international court appointed by the UN Security Council that is investigating Rafik Hariri’s assassination in 2005. Iran needs to review its policies towards Lebanon, policies that did nothing for the country besides brandishing the weapons of Hezbollah.
Can Iran turn into a normal state and change its policies and practices in regards to Lebanon?
The natural tendency is to be pessimistic about that happen­ing. This springs from the very nature of the Iranian regime with its tendency to export its own crises and its belief that Iran is a superpower capable of control­ling the entire region.
The best illustration of that is Iran’s implication in all the sectarian strife in the Arab region. Look at Bahrain, Kuwait or Yemen. What did Iran do in Iraq and what is it doing in Syria? Who does it back among the Palestinians and in Lebanon?
Iran could have played a positive role in the region since 1979 but it chose instead to fan sectarian conflicts. It chose to terrorise its neighbours and even remote countries such as Leba­non, which certainly does not need assistance from a country whose officials boast of being in control of Arab capitals Baghdad, Damascus, Beirut and Sana’a.
Zarif’s visit to Beirut could have been an opportunity for Iran to show that it can offer Lebanon something other than trading in its deals with what it calls the “great Satan”, the United States, and perhaps on in its deals with the “minor Satan”, Israel. For two-and-a-half years, Iran has fiddled with the presidential elections in Lebanon just to prove that it is a major player in the region. Worse, it wanted to demonstrate that Lebanon is an Iranian protectorate and that it can negotiate its fate with the United States.
Iran had let go of the presiden­tial elections in Lebanon in a deal with the United States. It seems that the “great Satan” is willing to let Iran bully the region in exchange for the nuclear deal, which in US President Barack Obama’s eyes was his administra­tion’s greatest single foreign policy achievement. Would things change under Donald Trump, knowing that the latter does not believe in the US nuclear deal with Iran?
Zarif went to Beirut knowing that Iran’s militias in Aleppo are enjoying air cover from Russian planes while its militias in Iraq, the Popular Mobilisation Units, have US air cover. But will the honeymoon with the “great Satan” last when Obama leaves the White House?
In his visit to Lebanon, Zarif drew his strength from the fact that the United States does not wish to ruffle Iran’s feathers. Because Lebanon has always been a friend to the United States and to the West in general, could Zarif complete the favour of releasing Iran’s grip on Lebanon’s presidency by completely releasing Lebanon? In other words, the best gift to Lebanon on the occasion of the new era that has started with Aoun’s election would be with­drawing Hezbollah forces from Syria and ordering it to stop threatening Arab visitors to Lebanon.
While waiting for the day when no illegal weapons would be allowed on Lebanese soil, whether belonging to Hezbollah or to Palestinian organisations manipulated by Syria, Iran’s release of Lebanon would in the end benefit Iran. The Iranian regime could finally take care of its citizens and would have the chance to prove to the world that Iran is a normal state and not a party in every conflict in the region.
**Khairallah Khairallah is a Lebanese writer. The commentary was translated and adapted from the Arabic. It was initially published in middle-east-online.com.

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 26-27/16
Statement by the Prime Minister of Canada on the death of former Cuban President Fidel Castro
Antananarivo, Madagascar/November 26, 2016
The Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, today issued the following statement on the death of former Cuban President Fidel Castro:
“It is with deep sorrow that I learned today of the death of Cuba’s longest serving President.
“Fidel Castro was a larger than life leader who served his people for almost half a century. A legendary revolutionary and orator, Mr. Castro made significant improvements to the education and healthcare of his island nation.
“While a controversial figure, both Mr. Castro’s supporters and detractors recognized his tremendous dedication and love for the Cuban people who had a deep and lasting affection for “el Comandante”.
“I know my father was very proud to call him a friend and I had the opportunity to meet Fidel when my father passed away. It was also a real honour to meet his three sons and his brother President Raúl Castro during my recent visit to Cuba.
“On behalf of all Canadians, Sophie and I offer our deepest condolences to the family, friends and many, many supporters of Mr. Castro. We join the people of Cuba today in mourning the loss of this remarkable leader.”

Thousands take to streets of Miami to celebrate Fidel Castro’s death
By Adrian Sainz, Ian Mader and Tamara Lush/The Associated Press
November 26/16/MIAMI — Within half an hour of the Cuban government’s official announcement that former President Fidel Castro had died, Miami’s Little Havana teemed with life — and cheers. Thousands of people banged pots with spoons, waved Cuban flags in the air and whooped in jubilation on Calle Ocho — 8th Street, and the heart of the neighborhood — early Saturday. Honking and strains of salsa music from car stereos echoed against stucco buildings, and fireworks lit up the humid night sky.
Police blocked off streets leading to Cafe Versailles, the quintessential Cuban American hotspot where strong cafecitos — sweetened espresso — were as common as a harsh word about Fidel Castro.
Cuba si! Castro no!” they chanted, while others screamed “Cuba libre!”
Celebration, not grief, permeated the atmosphere. That was no surprise. Castro has cast a shadow over Miami for decades, and in many ways, his policy and his power have shaped the city and its inhabitants.
Cubans fled the island to Miami, Tampa, New Jersey and elsewhere after Castro took power in 1959. Some were loyalists of Fulgencio Batista, the president prior to Castro, while others left with the hope they would be able to return soon, after Castro was toppled. He never was.
Many others believed they would not be truly free under Castro and his communist regime. Thousands left behind their possessions, loved ones, and hard-earned educations and businesses, traveling to the U.S. by plane, boat or raft. Many Cubans died on the ocean trip to South Florida. And many never returned to see their childhood homes, their neighborhoods, their playgrounds, their businesses, their cousins and aunts and uncles, because Castro was still in power.
The ones that made it to Miami took a largely, and vehemently, anti-Castro stance. On New Year’s Eve every year, Cubans in Miami utter a toast in Spanish as they hoist glasses of liquor: “Next year in Cuba.” But as the Cuban exiles aged, and as Castro outlived them, and as U.S. President Barack Obama eroded the embargo and younger Cubans returned to the island, the toast rang silent in many households. In Miami, where Havana is closer both geographically and psychologically than Washington, the news of Castro’s death was long anticipated by the exiles who left after Castro took power, and in the decades since. Rumors have come and gone for decades, and Castro’s death had become something of a joke — mostly because it seemed to happen so frequently.
 
Syria regime forces retake largest Aleppo rebel area

AFP, Damascus Saturday, 26 November 2016/Syrian government forces have retaken “full control” of the rebel-held district of Masaken Hanano in northern battlefield city Aleppo, state media said on Saturday. State television said “the armed forces retook full control” of the largest rebel district in the east of the city, and official news agency SANA said operations were now under way to clear it of mines and bombs. “The armed forces retook full control of Masaken Hanano after having put an end to the presence of terrorists there,” the state broadcaster said, referring to the rebels fighting the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. SANA said government forces, backed by its allies, also recaptured the area around the district and “army engineers are clearing it of bombs and explosives planted by the terrorists in the streets and squares.” The capture of Masaken Hanano in the northeast of Aleppo could give the army line-of-fire control over several other parts of the city’s rebel-held east. Regime forces had been advancing inside the neighborhood for several days, and on Friday state television said they were progressing “from three axes.” The operation is part of a major offensive now in its 12th day to take back all of Aleppo, Syria’s second city and its economic capital before the war broke out in March 2011. Since November 15, regime bombardment of eastern Aleppo has killed 212 civilians, including 27 children, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Observatory head rami Abdel Rahman told AFP on Saturday that the government forces were in control of 80 percent of Masaken Hanano and had the rest in their line of fire. “They just hundreds of metres (yards) away from isolating the northern districts of east Aleppo from the southern ones,” he said.More than 250,000 civilians have been trapped under siege for months in rebel-held eastern Aleppo, with dwindling food and fuel supplies. The battleground city in northern Syria has been divided between the government-controlled western areas and the rebel-held eastern districts since 2012.

Iraqi Sunnis reject parliament legalizing PMU
Associated Press, Baghdad Saturday, 26 November 2016/Iraq’s parliament on Saturday voted to accord full legal status to government-sanctioned Shiite Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) as a “back-up and reserve” force for the military and police and empower them to “deter” security and terror threats facing the country, like ISIS. The legislation, supported by 208 of the chamber’s 327 members, was promptly rejected by Sunni Arab politicians and lawmakers who said it was evidence of what they called the “dictatorship” of the country’s Shiite majority. “The majority does not have the right to determine the fate of everyone else,” Osama al-Nujaifi, one of Iraq’s three vice presidents and a senior Sunni politician, told a news conference after the vote. “There should be genuine political inclusion. This law must be revised.”Sunni lawmaker Ahmed al-Masary said the legislation fuels doubts about the participation of all Iraqi communities in the political process. “The legislation aborts nation building,” he said, adding that the law created a dangerous parallel to the country's military and police. The law, tabled by the chamber’s largest Shiite bloc, placed the militias under the command of Shiite Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and gave militiamen salaries and pensions that mirror those of the military and the police. In a statement, al-Abadi welcomed the legislation and said the “Popular Mobilization” forces, the formal name of the militias, would cover all Iraqi sects, a thinly veiled reference to the much smaller and weaker Sunni tribal forces. The Shiite militias number more than 100,000.
“The Popular Mobilization will represent and defend all Iraqis wherever they are,” al-Abadi said. The vote comes at a time when the government is waging a major campaign to dislodge ISIS from Mosul, Iraq’s second largest city and the last major urban center still controlled by the extremist group. The Shiite militias, most of which are backed by neighboring Iran, have been bankrolled and equipped by the government since shortly after ISIS swept across much of northern and western Iraq in 2014. Many of these groups existed long before ISIS emerged, fighting American troops in major street battles during the US military presence in Iraq between 2003 and 2011. They have played a key role in checking the advance of ISIS on Baghdad and the Shiite Shrine cities of Samarra and Karbala in the summer of 2014 and later helped liberate IS-held areas to the south, northeast and north of Baghdad, standing in for the security forces which largely collapsed in the face of the ISIS blitz in 2014. However, their role has somewhat diminished as more and more of Iraq’s security forces have regained their strength. Iraq’s Sunni Arabs and rights groups have long complained that the militiamen have been involved in extrajudicial killings, abuse and the theft or destruction of property in areas where they drove out ISIS. The militias’ commanders, however, deny the charges or insist that the excesses are the work of an isolated few. Currently, the militias are tasked with driving ISIS from the town of Tal Afar west of Mosul. They seized the town’s airstrip earlier this week. Al-Abadi met militia commanders at the strip on Thursday. Meanwhile in Mosul, Iraqi military and hospital officials said mortar rounds fired by ISIS militants overnight and early on Saturday have killed 16 civilians in neighborhoods already retaken by troops. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media. An Associated Press team in eastern Mosul on Saturday said scores of civilians were continuing to stream out of the city’s inner neighborhoods to escape the fighting, making their way to camps for the displaced. The UN refugee agency, UNHCR, says at least 73,000 Iraqis have fled Mosul since the government’s campaign to retake the city began on Oct. 17.

Kuwaiti royal 1 of 3 killed in brutal Salwa murder
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 26 November 2016/As Kuwaitis woke up to elect their new parliament on Friday, they also received news of the brutal murder of three individuals, including a royal. Two Kuwaiti citizens, Sheikh Sabah Mubarak Al-Nasser Al-Sabah and Saleh Al-Othman, and an Indonesian woman were found inside an apartment in Salwa area with their hands and feet tied and their mouths covered. They were killed execution style and there were other bullet wounds on their bodies, according to local media. Several suspects have been detained for questioning including a Kuwaiti citizen, a Bedoun and an Iranian, according to security sources.

Kuwaiti voters elect new parliament
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 26 November 2016/Polls have closed in Kuwait's parliamentary elections as voters cast their ballots in five districts to elect 50 new lawmakers for the next four years. In total, 293 candidates including 15 women are competing for seats in the parliament. Around 483,000 Kuwaitis are expected to vote in 100 polling stations under the watchful eye of 15,000 security forces and civilians working at the Ministry of Interior. Reporting from Kuwaity city, Al Arabiya correspondent Adel Eidan said that the remaining two hours are the most crucial during the elections as independent voters make their final choice. "This what differentiates Kuwaiti elections during the last two hours of polling, when there are independents who wait throughout the day and observes the exit polls. They’ll see who has done better in the polls and will vote accordingly," our correspondent said. Electoral silence was not observed in some districts, Eidan reported, saying that he saw campaign supporters standing near the entrances of voting centers and handing out posters. "But there has been heavy security and electoral officials observing to make sure such violations are being recorded," he added. The elections are taking place under five electoral districts, where each constituency will field a total of 10 candidates. *This article can also be viewed in Arabic on AlArabiya.net

Iran detains three railroad staff over deadly train collision
The Associated Press, Tehran, Iran Saturday, 26 November 2016/Iran’s judiciary is saying authorities have detained three employees of the state railroad company over Friday’s train collision, which killed 45 people. The Saturday report by Mizanonline.ir, the judiciary news website, says authorities are continuing to investigate the incident. The accident took place about 250 kilometers (150 miles) east of the capital Tehran, when a moving passenger train slammed into a second train that was parked at a station. Several of the train cars caught fire, and the official IRNA news agency said Saturday that some of the victims were so badly burned that the bodies had to be identified through DNA testing.

Saudi Arabia destroys ballistic missile targeting Khamis Mushait
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 26 November 2016/Coalition forces say they have destroyed a ballistic missile launched by Yemeni militias targeting the city of Khamis Mushait. The attack comes a day after at least 11 missiles were launched into the southern border village of al-Tuwal in Saudi Arabia, Al Arabiya News Channel’s correspondent reported. Coalition forces were still pounding Yemeni militia targets across the border near the cities of Jazan and southern Dhahran.

ISIS claims deadly attack on Egyptian soldiers in Sinai
Reuters Saturday, 26 November 2016/ISIS claimed responsibility on Friday for an attack on an Egyptian military checkpoint in northern Sinai Peninsula that killed at least 12 soldiers. An Islamist insurgency in the rugged, thinly populated Sinai has gained pace since the military toppled President Mohamed Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt’s oldest Islamist movement, in mid-2013 following mass protests against his rule. The militant group staging the insurgency pledged allegiance to ISIS in 2014 and adopted the name Sinai Province. It is blamed for killing hundreds of Egyptian soldiers and police since then. “An armed group of terrorist elements attacked a checkpoint in North Sinai on Thursday night using four-wheel-drives rigged with explosives,” the military said in a statement that put the death toll at eight soldiers and three attackers. Medical sources said four more bodies were found on Friday, bringing the toll to 12 out of the checkpoint’s 31 soldiers. Twelve soldiers were wounded and one was missing. ISIS said it had killed 15 soldiers, destroyed two armored vehicles and taken weapons from the checkpoint before blowing it up. Witnesses said security forces set up extra mobile and static checkpoints in and around Arish city, the capital of North Sinai province, and were searching for the attackers. Later on Friday, a spokesman for the US State Department condemned the attack, offering condolences to the families of the victims and sympathy for the injured. “We express our solidarity with the people of Egypt as they confront violent extremism. The United States strongly supports Egypt’s security, and together we will continue to work together to defeat this threat,” spokesman John Kirby said in a statement.

Australia: ISIS recruiter arrested in Turkey
Reuters, Sydney Saturday, 26 November 2016/An Australian citizen believed to be a top recruiter for ISIS has been arrested by Turkish authorities and will be subject to a formal extradition request from Australia, the Australian government said on Saturday. A man believed to be Neil Prakash, who was linked to several Australia-based attack plans, has been detained in Turkey and was being interrogated by Turkish authorities, a government spokesperson said in an emailed statement. “The arrest of the person we believe is Prakash is the result of close collaboration between Australian and Turkish authorities,” the spokesperson said. Melbourne-born Prakash appeared in ISIS videos and magazines and actively recruited Australian men, women and children and encouraged acts of terrorism, the Australian government said in May. The spokesperson said Australia was working closely with Turkish authorities and Prakash would be subject to a formal extradition request. Australia said in May that Prakash was killed in an airstrike in Mosul, Iraq, on April 29, based on US intelligence. But the New York Times reported on Friday that he had been wounded in the attack and survived. The Australian government subsequently confirmed he was alive. Australia last year announced financial sanctions against Prakash, including threatening anyone giving financial assistance with punishment of up to 10 years in jail.

Indonesia arrests militant planning bomb strike on Myanmar embassy

Reuters Saturday, 26 November 2016/Police in Indonesia have arrested a suspected extremist militant and seized a large quantity of bomb making material that he planned to use in attacks on government buildings and the Myanmar embassy in Jakarta next month, a police spokesman said. The suspect was identified as Rio Priatna Wibawa, 23, who is believed to be a member of an Indonesian group that supports ISIS. Local media reported that the amount of explosives seized would have resulted in a blast twice as powerful as the bomb that killed 202 people in a Bali nightclub in 2002. Wibawa, who studied agricultural science at university and was unemployed, was a self-taught bomb-maker who had planned to distribute explosives to several places across Indonesia, police spokesman Boy Rafli Amar said on Saturday. Indonesia has seen a string of ISIS-linked attacks this year, the biggest of which was a gun and bomb assault in the capital Jakarta that killed four people in January. Authorities are concerned about a resurgence in radicalism and say there are hundreds of Islamic State sympathizers in Indonesia, home to the biggest Muslim population in the world. Lately, anger has been mounting in the Muslim-majority nations in Southeast Asia, such as Indonesia and Malaysia, over a crackdown on Rohingya Muslims in Myanmar, leading to demonstrations in several cities, including Jakarta.

Wisconsin agrees to statewide recount in presidential race
Reuters, Washington Saturday, 26 November 2016/Wisconsin’s election board agreed on Friday to conduct a statewide recount of votes cast in the presidential race, as requested by a Green Party candidate seeking similar reviews in two other states where Donald Trump scored narrow wins. The recount process, including an examination by hand of the nearly 3 million ballots tabulated in Wisconsin, is expected to begin late next week after Green Party candidate Jill Stein’s campaign has paid the required fee, the Elections Commission said. The state faces a Dec. 13 federal deadline to complete the recount, which may require canvassers in Wisconsin’s 72 counties to work evenings and weekends to finish the job in time, according to the commission. The recount fee has yet to be determined, the agency said in a statement on its website. Stein said in a Facebook message on Friday that the sum was expected to run to about $1.1 million. She said she has raised at least $5 million from donors since launching her drive on Wednesday for recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania - three battleground states where Republican Trump edged out Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by relatively thin margins. Stein has said her goal is to raise $7 million to cover all fees and legal costs. Her effort may have given a ray of hope to dispirited Clinton supporters, but the chance of overturning the overall result of the Nov. 8 election is considered very slim, even if all three states go along with the recount.

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 26-27/16
Question: "What does the Bible say about thankfulness/gratitude?"
GotQuestions.org
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/26/what-does-the-bible-say-about-thankfulnessgratitude-2/
Answer: Thankfulness is a prominent Bible theme. First Thessalonians 5:16-18 says, “Be joyful always; pray continually; give thanks in all circumstances, for this is God’s will for you in Christ Jesus.” Did you catch that? Give thanks in all circumstances. Thankfulness should be a way of life for us, naturally flowing from our hearts and mouths.
Digging into the Scriptures a little more deeply, we understand why we should be thankful and also how to have gratitude in different circumstances.
Psalm 136:1 says, “Give thanks to the Lord, for he is good. His love endures forever.” Here we have two reasons to be thankful: God’s constant goodness and His steadfast love. When we recognize the nature of our depravity and understand that, apart from God, there is only death (John 10:10; Romans 7:5), our natural response is to be grateful for the life He gives.
Psalm 30 gives praise to God for His deliverance. David writes, “I will exalt you, O Lord, for you lifted me out of the depths and did not let my enemies gloat over me. O Lord my God, I called to you for help and you healed me. O Lord, you brought me up from the grave; you spared me from going down into the pit. . . . You turned my wailing into dancing; you removed my sackcloth and clothed me with joy, that my heart may sing to you and not be silent. O Lord my God, I will give you thanks forever” (Psalm 30:1-12). Here David gives thanks to God following an obviously difficult circumstance. This psalm of thanksgiving not only praises God in the moment but remembers God’s past faithfulness. It is a statement of God’s character, which is so wonderful that praise is the only appropriate response.
We also have examples of being thankful in the midst of hard circumstances. Psalm 28, for example, depicts David’s distress. It is a cry to God for mercy, protection, and justice. After David cries out to God, he writes, “Praise be to the Lord, for he has heard my cry for mercy. The Lord is my strength and my shield; my heart trusts in him, and I am helped. My heart leaps for joy and I will give thanks to him in song” (Psalm 28:6-7). In the midst of hardship, David remembers who God is and, as a result of knowing and trusting God, gives thanks. Job had a similar attitude of praise, even in the face of death: “The LORD gave and the LORD has taken away; may the name of the LORD be praised” (Job 1:21).
There are examples of believers’ thankfulness in the New Testament as well. Paul was heavily persecuted, yet he wrote, “Thanks be to God, who always leads us in triumphal procession in Christ and through us spreads everywhere the fragrance of the knowledge of him” (2 Corinthians 2:14). The writer of Hebrews says, “Therefore, since we are receiving a kingdom that cannot be shaken, let us be thankful, and so worship God acceptably with reverence and awe” (Hebrews 12:28). Peter gives a reason to be thankful for “grief and all kinds of trials,” saying that, through the hardships, our faith “may be proved genuine and may result in praise, glory and honor when Jesus Christ is revealed” (1 Peter 1:6-7).
The people of God are thankful people, for they realize how much they have been given. One of the characteristics of the last days is a lack of thanksgiving, according to 2 Timothy 3:2. Wicked people will be “ungrateful.”
We should be thankful because God is worthy of our thanksgiving. It is only right to credit Him for “every good and perfect gift” He gives (James 1:17). When we are thankful, our focus moves off selfish desires and off the pain of current circumstances. Expressing thankfulness helps us remember that God is in control. Thankfulness, then, is not only appropriate; it is actually healthy and beneficial to us. It reminds us of the bigger picture, that we belong to God, and that we have been blessed with every spiritual blessing (Ephesians 1:3). Truly, we have an abundant life (John 10:10), and gratefulness is fitting.

Former Cuban leader Fidel Castro dies aged 90
Reuters, Havana/November 26/16
Fidel Castro, the Cuban revolutionary leader who built a communist state on the doorstep of the United States and for five decades defied US efforts to topple him, died on Friday, his younger brother announced to the nation. He was 90.
Castro had been in poor health since an intestinal ailment nearly killed him in 2006 and he formally ceded power to his younger brother two years later.
Wearing a green military uniform, Cuba’s President Raul Castro appeared on state television to announce his brother’s death.
“At 10.29 at night, the chief commander of the Cuban revolution, Fidel Castro Ruz, died,” he said, without giving a cause of death.
Ever onward, to victory.”
 Havana residents on the streets reacted with sadness to the news, while in Miami, where many exiles from the Communist government live, some people cheered, honked their car horns and banged on pots and pans, according to reports on social media.
 “I am very upset. Whatever you want to say, he is public figure that the whole world respected and loved,” said Havana student Sariel Valdespino.
 Castro’s remains will be cremated, according to his wishes.
 The bearded Fidel Castro took power in a 1959 revolution and ruled Cuba for 49 years with a mix of charisma and iron will, creating a one-party state and becoming a central figure in the Cold War.
 He was demonized by the United States and its allies but admired by many leftists around the world, especially socialist revolutionaries in Latin America and Africa.
 “I lament the death of Fidel Castro Ruz, leader of the Cuban revolution and emblematic reference of the 20th Century,” Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto said on Twitter.
 Transforming Cuba from a playground for rich Americans into a symbol of resistance to Washington, Castro outlasted nine US presidents in power.
 Captain Heinrich Lorenz, left, of cruise ship MS Berlin, proposes a toast to the success of Fidel Castro’s government in Cuba, April 15, 1954, Havana, Cuba. Castro visited the North German Lloyd ship after it landed in Havana from New York. (AP)
 He fended off a CIA-backed invasion at the Bay of Pigs in 1961 as well as countless assassination attempts.
 His alliance with Moscow helped trigger the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, a 13-day showdown with the United States that brought the world the closest it has been to nuclear war.
 Wearing green military fatigues and chomping on cigars for many of his years in power, Castro was famous for long, fist-pounding speeches filled with blistering rhetoric, often aimed at the United States.
 At home, he swept away capitalism and won support for bringing schools and hospitals to the poor. But he also created legions of enemies and critics, concentrated among Cuban exiles in Miami who fled his rule and saw him as a ruthless tyrant.
 In the end it was not the efforts of Washington and Cuban exiles nor the collapse of Soviet communism that ended his rule. Instead, illness forced him to cede power to his younger brother Raul Castro, provisionally in 2006 and definitively in 2008.
 Although Raul Castro always glorified his older brother, he has changed Cuba since taking over by introducing market-style economic reforms and agreeing with the United States in December 2014 to re-establish diplomatic ties and end decades of hostility.
 Six weeks later, Fidel Castro offered only lukewarm support for the deal, raising questions about whether he approved of ending hostilities with his longtime enemy.
 He lived to witness the visit of US President Barack Obama to Cuba earlier this year, the first trip by a US president to the island since 1928.
 Castro did not meet Obama, and days later wrote a scathing column condemning the US president’s “honey-coated” words and reminding Cubans of the many US efforts to overthrow and weaken the Communist government.
 In his final years, Fidel Castro no longer held leadership posts. He wrote newspaper commentaries on world affairs and occasionally met with foreign leaders but he lived in semi-seclusion.
 Cuban Prime Minister Fidel Castro treats visiting Senator George McGovern, D-SD, to ice cream Wednesday, May 8, 1975, in Jibacoa, Cuba, a milk-producing town near Havana. Sen. McGovern and Castro visited family homes and met local residents. (AP)
 His death - which would once have thrown a question mark over Cuba’s future - seems unlikely to trigger a crisis as Raul Castro, 85, is firmly ensconced in power.
 Still, the passing of the man known to most Cubans as “El Comandante” - the commander - or simply “Fidel” leaves a huge void in the country he dominated for so long. It also underlines the generational change in Cuba’s communist leadership.
 Raul Castro vows to step down when his term ends in 2018 and the Communist Party has elevated younger leaders to its Politburo, including 56-year-old Miguel Diaz-Canel, who is first vice-president and the heir apparent.
 Others in their 50s include Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez and economic reform czar Marino Murillo.
 The reforms have led to more private enterprise and the lifting of some restrictions on personal freedoms but they aim to strengthen Communist Party rule, not weaken it.
 “I don’t think Fidel’s passing is the big test. The big test is handing the revolution over to the next generation and that will happen when Raul steps down,” Cuba expert Phil Peters of the Lexington Institute in Virginia said before Castro’s death.
 Revolutionary icon
 A Jesuit-educated lawyer, Fidel Castro led the revolution that ousted US-backed dictator Fulgencio Batista on Jan 1, 1959. Aged 32, he quickly took control of Cuba and sought to transform it into an egalitarian society.
 His government improved the living conditions of the very poor, achieved health and literacy levels on a par with rich countries and rid Cuba of a powerful Mafia presence.
 But he also tolerated little dissent, jailed opponents, seized private businesses and monopolized the media.
 Castro’s opponents labeled him a dictator and hundreds of thousands fled the island.
 Many settled in Florida, influencing US policy toward Cuba and plotting Castro’s demise. Some even trained in the Florida swamps for the disastrous Bay of Pigs invasion.
 But they could never dislodge him.
 Generations of Latin American leftists applauded Castro for his socialist policies and for thumbing his nose at the United States from its doorstep just 90 miles (145 km) from Florida.
 Castro claimed he survived or evaded hundreds of assassination attempts, including some conjured up by the CIA.
 In 1962, the United States imposed a damaging trade embargo that Castro blamed for most of Cuba’s ills, using it to his advantage to rally patriotic fury.
 Over the years, he expanded his influence by sending Cuban troops into far-away wars, including 350,000 to fight in Africa. They provided critical support to a left-wing government in Angola and contributed to the independence of Namibia in a war that helped end apartheid in South Africa.
 He also won friends by sending tens of thousands of Cuban doctors abroad to treat the poor and bringing young people from developing countries to train them as physicians
 ‘History will absolve me’
 Born on August 13, 1926 in Biran in eastern Cuba, Castro was the son of a Spanish immigrant who became a wealthy landowner.
 Angry at social conditions and Batista’s dictatorship, Fidel Castro launched his revolution on July 26, 1953, with a failed assault on the Moncada barracks in the eastern city of Santiago.
 “History will absolve me,” he declared during his trial for the attack.
 He was sentenced to 15 years in prison but was released in 1955 after a pardon that would come back to haunt Batista.
 Castro went into exile in Mexico and prepared a small rebel army to fight Batista. It included Argentine revolutionary Ernesto “Che” Guevara, who became his comrade-in-arms.
 In December 1956, Castro and a rag-tag band of 81 followers sailed to Cuba aboard a badly overloaded yacht called “Granma”.
 Only 12, including him, his brother and Guevara, escaped a government ambush when they landed in eastern Cuba.
 Taking refuge in the rugged Sierra Maestra mountains, they built a guerrilla force of several thousand fighters who, along with urban rebel groups, defeated Batista’s military in just over two years.
 Early in his rule, at the height of the Cold War, Castro allied Cuba to the Soviet Union, which protected the Caribbean island and was its principal benefactor for three decades.
 The alliance brought in $4 billion worth of aid annually, including everything from oil to guns, but also provoked the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis when the United States discovered Soviet missiles on the island.
 Convinced that the United States was about to invade Cuba, Castro urged the Soviets to launch a nuclear attack.
 Cooler heads prevailed. Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev and US President John F. Kennedy agreed the Soviets would withdraw the missiles in return for a US promise never to invade Cuba. The United States also secretly agreed to remove its nuclear missiles from Turkey.
 ‘Special period’
 When the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, an isolated Cuba fell into a deep economic crisis that lasted for years and was known as the “special period”. Food, transport and basics such as soap were scarce and energy shortages led to frequent and long blackouts.
 Castro undertook a series of tentative economic reforms to get through the crisis, including opening up to foreign tourism.
 The economy improved when Venezuela’s socialist leader Hugo Chavez, who looked up to Castro as a hero, came to the rescue with cheap oil. Aid from communist-run China also helped, but an economic downturn in Venezuela since Chavez’s death in 2013 have raised fears it will scale back its support for Cuba.
 Plagued by chronic economic problems, Cuba’s population of 11 million has endured years of hardship, although not the deep poverty, violent crime and government neglect of many other developing countries.
 For most Cubans, Fidel Castro has been the ubiquitous figure of their entire life.
 Many still love him and share his faith in a communist future, and even some who abandoned their political belief still view him with respect. But others see him as an autocrat and feel he drove the country to ruin.
 Cubans earn on average the equivalent of $20 a month and struggle to make ends meet even in an economy where education and health care are free and many basic goods and services are heavily subsidized.
 It was never clear whether Fidel Castro fully backed his brother’s reform efforts of recent years. Some analysts believed his mere presence kept Raul from moving further and faster while others saw him as either quietly supportive or increasingly irrelevant.

After Mosul battle, is Syria next for the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU)?
Ammar Alsawad/November 25/16
BAGHDAD — On Nov. 10, the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) announced they blocked the road between Mosul and Raqqa, thus cutting the supply lines between the cities claimed by the Islamic State (IS) as its capitals. Days later, on Nov. 16, Hadi al-Amiri, a prominent PMU leader and the head of the Badr Organization, said that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad had called on the PMU to enter Syria after liberating the Iraqi territories.
As the liberation of Mosul nears, the Popular Mobilization Units announced that they have received an invitation from Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to fight in Syria.
Calls for the PMU to intervene in Syria are not new, as many PMU spokesmen had previously mentioned this possibility when the operations to liberate Mosul first started in October. Now, however, the Syrian regime itself — and its direct leadership in particular — has called on the PMU’s intervention, which means that the sectarian war in the Middle East is entering a new phase.
Syria has never made an official call like that before. For instance, Hezbollah’s intervention in Syria did not follow a call; the party believed the battle in Syria to be its own and took part either as a personal initiative or in response to an Iranian command.
In addition, Assad’s call was not addressed to the Iraqi president or prime minister, but rather directly to the PMU leadership, and such a call cannot be conceived through official channels because it would be rejected.
Iraq’s current situation is subject to international standards and US commitments that prevent it from formally interacting with such a call. But this is not the only reason; the Syrian regime is quite condescending toward the Iraqi government, which it believes to be part of a US political process and had been pitting against it since 2003.
Syria resorted to nonofficial or semiofficial parties, believing that it could achieve what it had achieved during the Lebanese civil war. Syria’s Baath Party is still incapable of dealing with countries at war through their official circles, but it can easily communicate with nonofficial or semiofficial parties. The Syrian regime’s message today is that it will be dealing with a specific counteragent to the Islamic State (IS). By calling on a Shiite militia that has achieved real victories against IS and that is larger and more powerful than Hezbollah, the regime is sending an internal message meant to stir up fear among Sunnis.
Yet on the other hand, this call seems to illustrate Syrian support of the PMU factions that want to intervene in Syria, while other PMU factions refuse to. Some PMU factions, and particularly those affiliated with Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, are still rather conservative because Sistani refuses to fight a war outside of Iraq and has explicitly forbidden Shiite fighters from traveling to Syria since the beginning of the Syrian crisis. In addition, the Iraqi street itself does not support a war outside of Iraq.
Meanwhile, Amiri’s statement regarding Assad’s call could be an attempt to test the waters at the popular and governmental levels.
In this context, PMU security spokesman Youssef al-Kalabi told Al-Monitor, “The PMU will not make any move without the approval of the armed forces’ general commander [Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi],” noting that the PMU could be combing the borders for some “IS members,” but he did not rule out the possibility of entering into Syria “if Iraq’s national security is compromised and should the Iraqi government approve such action.”
Some PMU factions have entered Syria in the past, but once the majority of factions or the PMU’s entire strong army including its many militias and factions enter the Syrian territories, the battle for the Middle East could definitely be on the verge of a new phase.
In 2012, the Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas Brigade had announced forming its first troops in Syria to defend “the Shiite holy shrines,” although the subsequent battles they fought alongside the Syrian regime were far from the shrines. However, the momentum gained by these brigades subsided after the fall of Mosul. The bulk of those troops withdrew from Syria to Iraq after IS took over Mosul on June 9, 2014, according to some websites affiliated with the Syrian opposition. However, Hezbollah al-Nujaba, an Iraqi Shiite militia organization that adopted a slogan similar to that of the Lebanese Hezbollah, soon replaced the withdrawn troops of Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas.
Shortly after the fall of Mosul, the PMU’s fight alongside the Syrian regime entered its second phase, since the Iraqis’ intervention in Syria was no longer to defend the Shiite shrines but to fight terrorism. The fight against IS had become an international and Iraqi demand, although the battles were not only against IS, but also included anti-regime groups. Hezbollah al-Nujaba has published several videos on YouTube of its troops in training and in combat operations in more than one place in Aleppo, including a video of its fighters on an operation south of the city in November 2015. These operations were clearly larger than those carried out by the Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas Brigade, which focused on defensive operations around the holy shrines.
Then came Assad's call, marking the third phase of the Iraqi intervention in Syria, dubbed as a comprehensive intervention by the PMU and a strengthening of the strategic Shiite alliance. This way, the presence of the armed Shiite groups would directly be under the umbrella of the Syrian regime, rather than under the management of Hezbollah or Iran. However, should such an action take place, it would result in additional conflicts in the region and have major repercussions on Iraq, while the raging war will continue even if the Iraqi forces succeeded in liberating all territories from IS. It is also likely for this to weaken the PMU instead of strengthening it, by making its fighters intervene in battles outside of Iraq and compromise its unity since many Sistani-affiliated factions would object to the PMU’s intervention in Syria.
 
UK: Two Systems of Justice
Douglas Murray/Gatestone Institute/November 26/16
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/8893/uk-justice
Tommy Robinson has not been -- as Choudary was -- at the heart of a nexus of terrorists and terrorist-supporters going back years. He has not been on friendly terms with numerous people who have beheaded civilians and carried out suicide bombings.
Robinson is in an exceptionally unfortunate position. He is not a radical Islamist and nor is he from any discernible minority. He is a white working-class man who, it appears, can thus not only be harassed by certain authorities with impunity, but can find few if any defenders of his rights among the vast panoply of people in in our societies who are only too keen to defend the rights of Islamists.
Civil liberties groups such as "Liberty," which are so stringent in protecting the rights of Islamist groups such as "Cage," are silent on the case of Tommy Robinson.
So farewell, then, Anjem Choudary. For two and half years at least. On September 6, the radical cleric was sentenced by a British judge to five and a half years in prison for encouraging people to join the Islamic State. If he behaves himself in prison he could be out in half that time, although whenever he emerges, it is unlikely that it will be as a reformed character. But the law has taken its course and in a rule-bound society has responded in the way that a rule-bound society ought to behave -- by the following due process. So it is useful to compare the experience of Anjem Choudary and the way in which the state has responded to him with the way in which it has responded to another person.
It is now seven years ago that a young British man from Luton going by the name of Tommy Robinson formed the English Defence League (EDL). He did so after he and other residents of the town of Luton were appalled by a group of radical Muslims who protested a home-coming parade for British troops. There is some interesting symmetry here in that the Islamists present in Luton that day were members of Anjem Choudary's group, al-Muhajiroun. Robinson and other residents of Luton were not only taken aback by the behaviour of the radicals but by the behaviour of the police who protected the radicals from the increasingly angry local residents.
Whatever its legitimate grievances when it began, the EDL did undoubtedly cause trouble. Protests often descended into thuggery, partly because of some bad people attracted to it and partly because "anti-fascist" counter-demonstrators often ensured that EDL protests became violent by starting fights with them. But through most of the time that Robinson led the EDL, there did appear to be -- confirmed by third-party observers including independent journalists -- a sincere and concerted effort to keep genuinely problematic elements out of the organisation. To those who said that Robinson and his friends had no right to organise protests, there are two responses. The first is that they had as much right to be there as anyone else. And second, that the problems they were objecting to (hate-preachers, grooming-gangs and so on) are real issues, which the state has increasingly realised are such in the years that followed.
In 2013 Robinson left the group he started, and in the years since, has engaged in a range of activities, including authoring a book. The book chronicles, among other things, a campaign by the state of harassment, which began from the moment Robinson formed the EDL. His own house and those of his nearest relatives were repeatedly raided by police, and computers and other materials taken away for examination. Any fair reading of the book -- whose details have again been broadly confirmed by the few journalists who have been interested in the case -- suggests that there was a very clear and concerted effort to find something -- anything -- on Robinson to get him locked up.
In the end the police did find something -- a mortgage fraud matter -- for which Robinson was eventually tried and found guilty. In 2014, he was imprisoned for eighteen months. Even after his release, the effort to find something on Robinson continued. His movements were restricted. His ability to speak and congregate was restricted. He was repeatedly threatened with a return to prison for alleged breaches of bail conditions. On one occasion, the nature of the charge was a brawl Robinson had been involved with in prison, with a Muslim prisoner who was allegedly in the act of attacking Robinson -- who had repeatedly been placed in prison wings where there were large numbers of Muslim inmates.
Since his release, as before, Robinson has been repeatedly assaulted in the streets, including by Luton Muslims who have faced no subsequent charges for their attacks, even when caught on camera. In February of this year, he was hospitalised after being assaulted upon leaving a nightclub in Essex.
Then, this August, as he and his family were attending a football game in Cambridge, they were once again the subject of police harassment. While sitting in a pub with his wife and young children, they were ejected from the pub by Cambridgeshire police. The police did this despite the volunteered insistence of the management of the pub that the family had been doing nothing wrong and were causing no trouble. Police escorted Robinson and his family from the premises, and on the video footage of the incident you can easily hear the sound of Robinson's young children crying.
Unlike Anjem Choudary (left), who was at the heart of a nexus of terrorists and terrorist-supporters, Tommy Robinson (right) is a white working-class man who can not only be harassed by police and other authorities with impunity, but can find few if any defenders of his rights among the vast panoply of people in our societies who are only too keen to defend the rights of Islamists.
There will be those who think that such harassment of Robinson is correct -- that in order to keep the peace it is necessary to keep an eye on anybody who may have any effect to the contrary. But if that is true, it is curious that such measures were not routinely used on Anjem Choudary in all his years living freely in the community. It would be interesting to know if there are any records of Choudary and his family being harassed by police or removed from establishments while the hate-preacher was on whatever down-time he used to have. Or whether the British police ever routinely raid and search the houses of radical Islamists in the hope of finding errors in their VAT returns and the like.
But of course the very comparison is unfair and in many ways lazy, because Tommy Robinson has not been -- as Choudary was -- at the heart of a nexus of terrorists and terrorist-supporters going back years. He has not been on friendly terms with numerous people who have beheaded civilians and carried out suicide bombings. There are not any occasions, of which the author is aware, on which Robinson has called for violence or the breaking of the law in the name of his political views. But in the eyes of the law, much of the media and a certain number of people in the country Robinson is in an exceptionally unfortunate position. He is not a radical Islamist and nor is he from any discernible minority. He is a white working-class man who, it appears, can thus not only be harassed by certain authorities with impunity, but can find few if any defenders of his rights among the vast panoply of people in our societies who are only too keen to defend the rights of Islamists.
Civil liberties groups such as "Liberty'" which are so stringent in protecting the rights of Islamist groups such as "Cage," are silent on the case of Tommy Robinson. To consider why this is so is to see to the heart of a problem that Britain has been going through in recent years and which seems destined to continue for many years to come.
**Douglas Murray, British author, commentator and public affairs analyst, is based in London, England.
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Dear Fillon, you’re wrong on Syria
 Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/November 26/16
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/26/amir-taheriasharq-al-awsat-dear-fillon-youre-wrong-on-syria/
 On Sunday, France’s former Prime Minister Francois Fillon may win the primary organized by the French Republican Party and centrist allies to become their nominee in next year’s presidential election. As far as I am concerned this should be good news.
 The program that Fillon has published reflects much of what I believe France needs to overcome its psycho-politico-economic crisis. I have also admired Fillon as a man of rectitude at a time that politics, even in well-established democracies, suffers from a lowering of ethical standards. He has enough experience to seek the highest office in his country.
 For years he presided over the National Assembly’s Defense Committee before joining various Cabinets in several ministerial posts, and finally, becoming prime minister for five years. I first met Fillon by chance when I visited his hometown of Le Mans in 1987 as part of a tour of France to promote my book on Ayatollah Khomeini. One event I had in Le Mans was an interview by the local radio in its main news bulletin to which Fillon, the local member in the French parliament, had also been invited for an interview on domestic policies. After the program the radio anchorman invited us to lunch before Fillon and I took the train back to Paris. The short journey provided an opportunity to get acquainted with Fillon’s political temperament and thinking. What I liked was his belief that conservative parties in western democracies have best succeeded when they gave their message a social dimension. After concepts such as regulated working hours, the formation of trade unions, and unemployment benefits started under Britain’s 19th century Conservative Prime Minister Disraeli. In France, General de Gaulle’s first government in the aftermath of World War II became the architect of an emerging welfare state.
 So, were I to vote in the French primary next Sunday, I should pick Fillon against Alain Juppe, also a former Prime Minister who, as far as I am concerned, has the disadvantage of having started as a protégé of the unlamented Jacques Chirac. And, yet, I find it difficult to put the approving cross for Fillon.
 The reason, in one word, is: Syria. For me Syria has become the litmus test not only of foreign policy but also of our humanity. Fillon’s position, perhaps linked to his belief that Europe must make a deal with Russia under Vladimir Putin, is that we ought to accept Bashar Assad, warts and all, as the lesser evil in Syria. Fillon has cited several reasons for his assertion. The first set of reasons could be labeledRealpolitik” ones. Whether we like Assad or not is beside the point; after all the western democracies accepted Stalin as ally against the greater evil of Adolf Hitler. So if the democracies wish to defeat and destroy Daesh they need Assad forces as ally. The second set of reasons could be labeled as parochial, including the claim that Assad is the protector of minorities, most notably the Christians of the Orient to whose defense France is historically committed, according to Fillon.
 I think both reasons that Fillon cites for his approach to Syria are flawed. The ”Realpolitik” ones are the easiest to dispose of. Assad is no Stalin. In 1941 when he was accepted as an ally of Britain, the Soviet despot had an almost limitless reservoir of cannon fodder at his disposal. Because he was fighting a foreign invader in a “Great Patriotic War,” Stalin could unite his diverse subjects in a way that the Communist regime didn’t dream of before the war. Moreover, as the largest country in the world, the USSR offered an ocean of space that could suck Nazi forces in and through to annihilation. Assad has none of those things.
 In fact, on numerous occasions he has complained about a chronic shortage of manpower to embark on a sustained military campaign. He has increasingly depended on cannon fodder from Lebanon, provided by Hezbollah, and Afghan, Pakistan and Iraqi “volunteers for martyrdom” recruited and paid by Tehran, not to mention thousands of Iranians sent to protect him. In his “notes from Syria”, published posthumously, the Iranian General Hussein Hamadani, killed in Aleppo, relates how his men saved Assad at the 11th hour “after everyone else, including Russian military advisers, had fled.”
 In 1941 the overwhelming majority of Soviet citizens were prepared to fight on Stalin’s side against the foreign invader. In Syria, today, Assad is fighting against a majority of Syrian people. That almost half of Syria’s population has become either refugees or displaced persons shows that a majority does not wish to fight for Assad. Stalin was sure to have enough people to capture, cleanse and control whatever territory he won from the Germans. Assad lacks the numbers to do the same even if one handed him Syria on a platter. In any case, Assad and his Iranian and Russian backers are not fighting against Daesh but focus on destroying non-ISIS opponents of the regime. Putin and Assad are massacring the unarmed population of Aleppo, not the armed henchmen of the self-styled Caliph.
 Regardless of how this tragic conflict ends, no minority can ever again hope to rule Syria, let alone rebuild the shattered country, even with the support of foreign powers. Also unlike Stalin, Assad controls little territory; estimates vary between five and 20 percent, not enough to give his faction a significant hinterland in military terms. Fillon’s other reason for holding one’s nose and accepting Assad is equally dubious. Assad has killed more Christians of the Orient than any other ruler in the history of independent Syria. The Baathist regime was also responsible for depriving another minority, the Kurds who account for 10 percent of the population, of their nationality making them stateless. Opposition to the regime has always consisted of a rainbow coalition of most of Syria’s minorities, including Turkmen, and even the Alawite community from which the Assad clan originally emerged. In “Realpolitik”, making a bargain with the devil may make sense provided the devil in question is capable of delivering. In Syria, today, Assad cannot deliver anything except more death and desolation. Dear Francois, you are wrong on Syria. To save Syria from deeper tragedies and to save humanity from greater shame, Assad must go!
  •Amir Taheri was the executive editor in chief of the daily Kayhan in Iran from 1972 to 1979. He has worked at or written for innumerable publications and published eleven books. 
 
Trump’s promises to shakeup US energy face a reality check
Talmiz Ahmad/Al Arabiya/November 26/16
Throughout the election campaign, President-elect Donald Trump had launched fierce attacks on what he called the Obama-Clinton energy policies which he described as “anti-energy orders” that had “weakened our (US’s) security” and kept the US dependent on foreign sources. In line with traditional thinking of the Republican Party, Trump had also frequently expressed scepticism about climate change, which he once called a “hoax” created by the Chinese to retard US economic development. Accordingly, he had debunked green energy as being promoted due to a supposedly erroneous link seen between carbon emissions and climate change. He had said that solar energy had a payback period of 32 years, and had described wind farms as “industrial monstrosities” sustained by government subsidies.
During the campaign, Trump had said he would “cancel” the US’s adherence to the Paris climate change accord and use the billions of dollars payable for climate change programmes to take care of water and environmental infrastructure at home.
Trump’s energy vision
Given this background, the US oil industry is now confident that the Trump presidency will prioritize the development of fossil fuels at home, promote cross-country pipelines and remove environmental protections in a holistic overhaul, in short, completely overturn the policies of the Obama administration. The head of the hydrocarbon industry’s trade group, the American Petroleum Institute (API), sees in this new approach the beginning of the “American energy renaissance.”
The US oil industry is now confident that the Trump presidency will prioritize the development of fossil fuels at home, promote cross-country pipelines and remove environmental protections in a holistic overhaul
There are widespread fears among environmentalists that all rules and actions of the Environment Protection Agency (EPA) are likely to be under scrutiny, including the Clean Air Plan, limits on ozone pollution, fuel efficiency standards and regulations relating to drilling technologies. They promise to “build a wall of opposition” to stop Trump from pursuing what they call this “big polluter assault.”
Observers believe that the first projects to be approved by the new president will be the stalled pipelines - the 1800-mile Keystone XL pipeline from Alberta to Nebraska and the Dakota Access Pipeline, both of which have been stalled due to environmental concerns. Trump’s energy vision also calls for a major expansion in the use of federal land, onshore and offshore, for coal, oil and gas exploration and development, opening the eastern part of the Gulf of Mexico, the Pacific and Atlantic coasts and Alaska for offshore drilling, all of which have been opposed earlier by local communities. However, commentators believe that Trump’s plans for a massive expansion in domestic exploration and production will face several hurdles, particularly the high costs and long gestation periods. The present and prospective low prices and an over-supplied market will hardly encourage the funding these projects call for.
‘Energy independence’
Trump had spoken in the campaign of making the US “energy independent,” while creating millions of new jobs by developing the two trillion barrels of recoverable oil that are believed to be available and can meet US needs for nearly 285 years.
He had been particularly harsh on OPEC, he accused it of illegal “price fixing” and promised not to import oil from OPEC members, noting that some of them were enemies of the United States.
However, Trump’s anti-OPEC remarks are likely to have been electoral bombast rather than presidential policy. While US imports of oil have certainly gone down to just a quarter of its needs (compared to 88 percent for the European Union), the country still imports seven million barrels per day, of which 40 percent comes from Canada and 31 percent from OPEC members; OPEC production contributes just 15 percent to the US’s daily consumption. But, this cannot be replaced by domestic production since shale oil tends to be light while imported oil is heavier and essential for blending purposes. In any case, since the world oil market is a single “global” market and prices are determined globally, it makes no sense to talk of “energy independence.”
Three weeks after the election results, Trump has said he has an “open mind” on the Paris climate change deal, seeing “some connectivity” between human activity and global warming. As Trump withdraws from some of his election rhetoric, the realities and complexities of the global energy scenario will certainly require him to review most if not all of his energy pronouncements of the election campaign.
**Talmiz Ahmad is the former Indian Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Oman and the UAE.

What does a Trump presidency mean for the Middle East?
Hisham Melhem/Al Arabiya/November 26/16
Given the paucity of President-elect Donald Trump’s clear views on the Middle East’s myriad crises and challenges, after a long campaign of contradictory positions and since he has not fully staffed his National Security team, it is difficult to analyze with great certainty how the 45th American president will deal with a rapidly changing region that has been accustomed to strong American leadership. The president-elect will soon realize that his outlandish claims and demands during the campaign, such as taking over the oil resources of countries where the US is engaged militarily or extracting protection money from other allies, are not feasible or realistic.
But, Mr. Trump knows, or should know, that the Middle East he will inherit from President Barack Obama is figuratively and in some places literally unraveling and that just as he has expectations and demands from the major players in the region, they in turn have hopes and expectations. Mr. Trump knows, or should know, that one of the reasons officials in most capitals in the Middle East welcomed him cautiously is because they were alienated in varying degrees by the Obama administration which they criticized, also in varying degrees of harshness, blaming it in part, for failing to contain Iran’s regional interventionism, the sudden and destructive rise of the ISIS and its most glaring failure in acting on its threats to punish the Assad regime in Syria following its use of chemical weapons against Syrian civilians. In the last year or two, the mood in some capitals in the region turned decidedly sour against President Obama and the motto became “anybody but Obama,” and by extension, some felt the same way about Hillary Clinton’s “third Obama term.”
Eastern skies
Mr. Trump’s views on Middle Eastern crises and problems are vague, incomplete or simplistic declarative sentences such as “we will bomb the hell out of them.” However, he has stuck to few positions during the campaign and based on what he said and did not say, one can make some preliminary, tentative observations. Somewhat surprisingly, some of his views are in sync with the Obama administration. Mr. Trump, like President Obama, does not see the removal of the Assad regime as America’s first priority in Syria, but rather to continue the fight against ISIS until it ceases to be a “governing” authority. One of the few consistent views of Mr. Trump during the campaign was his lavish praise of the leadership of Russian President Vladimir Putin, including in Syria, where he would like to collaborate with Russia to “knock out ISIS together.”
Mr. Trump repeatedly and erroneously claimed that Russia, the Assad regime and Iran are carrying out joint military operations against ISIS. But in fairness to Mr. Trump, the Obama administration was seriously negotiating with Russia until last summer the ways and means of conducting joint air strikes against ISIS and Jabhat Fatah al-Sham, previously known as the al-Nusra Front. But given the American military’s reluctance to collaborate militarily with the same armed forces that occupied Crimea such a collaboration in the future will require a major re-alignment of the stars, a task beyond Mr. Trump’s powers perhaps.
One potential problem that could impede close American-Russian collaboration in Syria could be Iran, whose role is still crucial for the survival of the Assad regime. But it is not inconceivable for President Trump in the future to invoke the common goal of defeating ISIS and enter into some sort of cooperation over Syria where he will essentially sub-contract the task of defeating ISIS and pacifying some segments of the population, like the Kurds in the north, in a way that would appeal to Turkey while placating and balancing Iran. What can be said with some certainty is that Trump will be looking toward the Eastern skies, and at least initially, be deferential to Russia in Syria. Balancing the interests of Russia, the US, Iran and Turkey in Syria will require Machiavellian dexterity.
Mr. Trump’s views on Middle Eastern crises and problems are vague, incomplete or simplistic declarative sentences
Candidate Trump’s tough and hostile rhetoric against Tehran and the P-5 + one nuclear agreement with Iran is one the reasons some Arab and Israeli leaders are welcoming the arrival of the Trump era. But those hopes may be dashed relatively soon. During the campaign Trump issued statements of varying degrees of opposition to the deal. It is the “worst deal ever negotiated” vowing at times to get rid of it, or re-negotiate it, while his top advisors like Newt Gingrich were urging him to tear it apart on his first day in office. But to propose opening the thorny negotiations will give the hardliners in Tehran the opening they need to seek maximalist demands, thereby scuttling the re-election chances of President Rowhani next year. Unilateral withdrawal from an international agreement will have serious consequences on the US and will create tension between the US and its French, British and German allies. Such a move will not sit well with President Putin, the same leader Mr. Trump is trying to convince that his election should be, to paraphrase Rick’s memorable words to Captain Renault in the movie Casablanca, “the beginning of a beautiful relationship.” But instead of scuttling an agreement that is being implemented, President Trump could become more critical of the Iranian military’s role in Iraq, Syria and Yemen, but more likely he will not object to congress maintaining and ratcheting up sanctions on Iran, a position not taken by the Obama administration. Earlier this month, the House of Representative approved bipartisan bills to crack down on states supporting Assad’s regime (including Russia) and renewed a decades-old Iran sanctions law.
A confederacy of autocrats
The game of exaggerated Arab expectations from American presidents should be tempered by the disillusionment of Arabs with both the Bush and Obama administrations. Arabs were hopeful when George W. Bush was elected, thinking that he will be like his father and continue the search for an Arab-Israeli peace. But the 9/11 terrorist attacks changed everything and led to America’s two longest wars in its history. The same can be said about the high expectations from a man whose full name is Barack Hussein Obama, who vowed to start a new beginning with the Muslim world. Then came the season of Arab uprisings, followed by another season from hell, this time when the uprisings were exploited by the powers that be and turned into vicious civil wars and ultimately encouraged the rise of ISIS.
President-elect Trump shares President Obama’s refusal to get involved more deeply and militarily in the Middle East. President Obama is tired of the Middle East and has been critical of the Egyptian government’s violations of human rights and issues across the region. President Trump, on the other hand, wants to restore relations with Egypt including restoration of economic support. The initial studied welcome of Arab, Turkish and Israeli officials of the election of Mr. Trump is also due to the fact that Trump rarely spoke about the need to foster and support human rights and human dignity in the world, including the countries of the Middle East. The election of Mr. Trump, whose autocratic tendencies are well known and documented, has coincided with the rise of a confederacy of strong men and/or autocrats all over the world, including a number of them in western Europe, catapulted by populist movements and right wing parties and strong opposition to new immigrants and refugees from the Middle East, South Asia and Africa. President Putin is actively supporting this worrisome phenomenon and is familiar with the major players in it. Democracy as a system of governance is in a state of retreat. The silence of Mr. Trump during his campaign in the face of violations of human rights in Middle Eastern societies and beyond can only be welcomed by the autocrats who will not be subjected in the next four years to the usual cajoling and pressure that previous administrations imposed on America’s allies.
*That’s in part what the Trump presidency means for the Middle East.

These Cold War Lions Could Teach Trump a Lesson or Two
David Ignatius/The Washington Post/November 26/16
Before President-elect Donald Trump brings in the bulldozers to “drain the swamp” in Washington, I hope he will consider the career achievements of two people who embody the nation’s tradition of bipartisan foreign policy leadership, Zbigniew Brzezinski and Brent Scowcroft.
The two former national security advisers came from vastly different worlds to join in constructing the foreign policy tradition Trump seems ready to demolish. Brzezinski, now 88, is a Polish refugee who served Democratic President Jimmy Carter. Scowcroft, 91, is a Mormon ex-military officer from Utah who worked for Republican Presidents Gerald Ford and George H.W. Bush.
Both were Cold War hawks who were honored recently by Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter with the Distinguished Public Service Award, the Pentagon’s highest award for civilians. But both were also outspoken critics of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 — not the belated and muffled opposition expressed by Trump, but the kind that cost them friendships and access.
What these two shared was a vision of an outward-leaning United States that led a global network of security alliances and trading partnerships. This system, anchored by NATO and alliances with Japan and South Korea, was often described as the “liberal international order.”
With Trump’s election, this global architecture seems to be cracking. Trump is so inexperienced that it’s hard to predict just where his foreign policy views will settle out. But many of his supporters (and kindred spirits abroad) are in open revolt against what they see as the menace of globalization.
Trump should think carefully about what he would cast aside. This is the structure of enduring American power.
Whatever egregious mistakes the United States may have made over the past 150 years, people still thought our country represented that aspiration.
The “globalization” that Trump supporters oppose is nearly impossible to undo on an economic level: Today’s corporations and financial markets are instantly connected and integrated. But on a political level, the global system is already unraveling, and that should worry Trump, not cheer him. As this American-led system weakens, the beneficiaries will be a rising China and a pugnacious Russia.
Here’s where I wish Trump would listen to Brzezinski and Scowcroft and the traditional foreign policy consensus they represent. Eight years ago, I moderated a conversation with the two of them that was published as “America and the World.” I spoke with them this week about Trump.
Scowcroft spoke at a luncheon in his honor hosted by the Aspen Strategy Group, a bipartisan foreign policy organization that epitomizes the elite that Trump wants to overthrow. Scowcroft, frail and struggling for words to convey the lessons of a lifetime of public service, implored the group to cast aside their misgivings and put the country first. “If you’re asked to serve, please do,” said Scowcroft. “This man needs help badly.”
Brzezinski was honored a week ago at the Pentagon. Carter described him as “one of the finest strategic thinkers and policymakers of our time.” He said Brzezinski had understood that America must “live in an insecure world with ‘dignity, with idealism, with steadfastness.’ ”
I asked Brzezinski what advice he would give Trump. “Mr. President,” he said, composing the memo in his head, “don’t assume that strong verbiage conveys strength. It has to be convincing. Be honest and frank, but don’t kiss ass. You could do the world a service if you said to President Putin: ‘Don’t be an adventurer, especially when you’re carrying a loaded weapon.’ ”
In Trump’s eagerness to show he really means to bring change, he has been signaling disdain for all the traditional centers of power, from environmental scientists to economists, from diplomats to generals. Some Americans who resented these traditional sources of power must enjoy watching the Faculty Club burn to the ground.
But Trump needs to be careful. Unless he’s very foolish, he will want to be a good and successful president. He inherited a nation that is still the world’s only superpower. New reports Thursday night said Trump planned to name Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, a combative and very political retired Army officer, to the national security adviser post held by Scowcroft and Brzezinski. Is he a person who can sustain the structure of alliances and power built over 70 years? Or is he someone who would undermine that structure? That’s the right question for Flynn and Trump.