LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

October 30/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletin16/english.october30.16.htm

 

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Bible Quotations For Today

When the Son of Man comes in his glory, and all the angels with him, then he will sit on the throne of his glory. All the nations will be gathered before him, and he will separate people one from another as a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats, and he will put the sheep at his right hand and the goats at the left.

Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 25/31-46/:"‘When the Son of Man comes in his glory, and all the angels with him, then he will sit on the throne of his glory. All the nations will be gathered before him, and he will separate people one from another as a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats, and he will put the sheep at his right hand and the goats at the left. Then the king will say to those at his right hand, "Come, you that are blessed by my Father, inherit the kingdom prepared for you from the foundation of the world; for I was hungry and you gave me food, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you welcomed me, I was naked and you gave me clothing, I was sick and you took care of me, I was in prison and you visited me."Then the righteous will answer him, "Lord, when was it that we saw you hungry and gave you food, or thirsty and gave you something to drink? And when was it that we saw you a stranger and welcomed you, or naked and gave you clothing? And when was it that we saw you sick or in prison and visited you?"And the king will answer them, "Truly I tell you, just as you did it to one of the least of these who are members of my family, you did it to me." Then he will say to those at his left hand, "You that are accursed, depart from me into the eternal fire prepared for the devil and his angels; for I was hungry and you gave me no food, I was thirsty and you gave me nothing to drink,I was a stranger and you did not welcome me, naked and you did not give me clothing, sick and in prison and you did not visit me." Then they also will answer, "Lord, when was it that we saw you hungry or thirsty or a stranger or naked or sick or in prison, and did not take care of you?" Then he will answer them, "Truly I tell you, just as you did not do it to one of the least of these, you did not do it to me."And these will go away into eternal punishment, but the righteous into eternal life.’"

 

Let love be genuine; hate what is evil, hold fast to what is good; love one another with mutual affection; outdo one another in showing honour

Letter to the Romans 12/09-21/:"Let love be genuine; hate what is evil, hold fast to what is good; love one another with mutual affection; outdo one another in showing honour. Do not lag in zeal, be ardent in spirit, serve the Lord. Rejoice in hope, be patient in suffering, persevere in prayer. Contribute to the needs of the saints; extend hospitality to strangers. Bless those who persecute you; bless and do not curse them. Rejoice with those who rejoice, weep with those who weep. Live in harmony with one another; do not be haughty, but associate with the lowly; do not claim to be wiser than you are. Do not repay anyone evil for evil, but take thought for what is noble in the sight of all. If it is possible, so far as it depends on you, live peaceably with all. Beloved, never avenge yourselves, but leave room for the wrath of God; for it is written, ‘Vengeance is mine, I will repay, says the Lord.’No, ‘if your enemies are hungry, feed them; if they are thirsty, give them something to drink; for by doing this you will heap burning coals on their heads.’Do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good." Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 29-30/16

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 28-29/16
Michel Aoun’s ruthless ambition set to be rewarded/Josh Wood/The National/October 30/16
Hezbollah ally set to become president of LebanonZiena Karam/ Associated Press /Reuters/October 30/16
The Scramble for Lebanon's Presidency/Aoun, Hariri, and the Politics of Oligarchy/ Paul Salem/Foreign Affairs/October 29/16
Hezbollah, Michel Aoun and Lebanon’s presidential drama/Khairallah Khairallah/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16
Lebanon set to have a new president but fears remain/Dalal Saoud/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16
In war against terror, 1983 Beirut bombing was a murderous milestone/Ed Blanche/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16
Is new imam answered prayer or impending doom for Hagia Sophia/Pinar Tremblay/Al Monitor/October 29/16
Why Reformists have no choice but to back Rouhani/Saeid Jafari/Monitor/October 29/16
25 years after the Madrid Conference: A shattered dream/Nassif Hitti/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16
Education is the only hope for the Middle East/Claude Salhani/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16

Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on October 29-30/16
Frangieh from Ayn Teeneh: Vote for me with blank ballot paper
Nasrallah to Baalbek, Hermel dignitaries: Let us abide by Sadr’s 1970 charter of honour
Hariri meets with Frangie: I understand his stance and we are with him for better and for worse
Erslan meets with Saudi Envoy in Khaldeh
Mikati and Karami voice support for Sleiman Frangieh
Presidential Polls Top Talks between Salam, Hariri and Franjieh
Rahi Welcomes Hariri as 'Man of Courage,' and Hariri Says a New Leaf Will Begin Monday
Rahi stresses importance of individual contribution in building the state
Hariri gets blessings of Dar Fatwa on presidential issue
Rifi meets with Sabhan: We both agree on the need for a flourishing rise in the country while preserving its Arab identity
Lebanese Democratic Party: We decided to vote for General Aoun
Qaouq: Saudi Sanctions against Hizbullah have Failed to Weaken the Party
US Ambassador returns to Beirut
Jumblatt after meeting with Democratic Gathering Deputies: Majority of our Gathering Members will vote for Aoun
SSNP: We support General Aoun for Presidency and our Bloc shall vote in his favor
Michel Aoun’s ruthless ambition set to be rewarded
Hezbollah ally set to become president of Lebanon
The Scramble for Lebanon's Presidency/Aoun, Hariri, and the Politics of Oligarchy
Hezbollah, Michel Aoun and Lebanon’s presidential drama
Lebanon set to have a new president but fears remain
In war against terror, 1983 Beirut bombing was a murderous milestone


Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on October 29-30/16
Spokesman: Iraq’s PMU to enter Syria to aid Assad after Mosul
US: Syrian regime using starvation as ‘weapon of war’
Syrian airstrikes on Aleppo amid intense clashes
Kurdish PM wants to discuss independence after Mosul
Abadi: Battle to liberate Mosul continues
UAE condemns Iran for aiding Yemen militias following Makkah attack
Iraqi flag raised at ISIS southern hub Shoura
ISIS suicide bomber targeting Iraq Shiites kills four
Turkey parliament to consider death penalty for coup plotters: Erdogan
Erdogan: Turkey aims to reinforce troops on Iraq border
Al Arabiya documentary reveals Houthi lobby network in UN
Hadi rejects UN plan, says it ‘rewards Houthis
Coalition spokesman: Houthis launched ballistic missiles from a mosque
Suicide bombing targeting Yemen’s central bank foiled
Egyptian FM warns Muslim bloc after its mocking of Sisi
Roadside blast in Egypt’s North Sinai kills senior military officer
Egypt’s PM in Red Sea after floods kill 18
Palestinian attacker shot by Israeli troops
Israel apologizes for Deputy Minister’s comments on Italy quake
Saudi UN envoy: Re-electing Riyadh to HR Council reflects ‘trust’
Two suicide bombers kill at least eight in northeast Nigeria’s Maiduguri

EU and Canada to sign trade pact after Belgians strike key deal

Links From Jihad Watch Site for on October 29-30/16
Indiana: Muslim admits sending bomb-making instructions in Islamic State jihad plot
Charlie Hebdo jihad massacre survivor: “We need to stop saying Islam is a religion of peace”
Hillary in 2006 on Palestinian election: “We should have made sure that we did something to determine who was going to win”
Attorney General Lynch takes the Fifth on secret Iran ransom payments
Robert Spencer in FrontPage: The SPLC’s Libelous New Report on ‘Anti-Muslim Extremists’
Muslim reformer Maajid Nawaz enraged about being on SPLC hit list of “anti-Muslim extremists” with “real bigots”
Germany: Muslim migrant boys surround underage non-Muslim girls and systematically sexually abuse them
Robert Spencer in PJ Media: Rigged? In What Way Is This Election NOT Rigged?
Germany: Muslim migrant teen scouted Berlin sites for Islamic State jihad massacre, charged with breaking arms control laws
Northwestern University prof: Christian fundamentalism more dangerous than Islamic terrorism
HuffPo Germany: Fake passports are not a crime
Germany: Muslim children screaming “Allahu akbar” throw stones at Ethiopian priest

Links From Christian Today Site for on October 29-30/16
Jesus' 'Burial Slab' Uncovered For First Time In Centuries
Why I Left Church And Why I'm Going Back Again
Want To Get Those Over-60s Into Church? Seek Them Out At The Gym And In The Political Parties
Three Places That Need Your Prayers This Weekend
Philippines' Duterte says God warned him off swearing

Latest Lebanese Related News published on on October 29-30/16

Frangieh from Ayn Teeneh: Vote for me with blank ballot paper

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - House Speaker Nabih Berri convened on Saturday at Ayn Teeneh with MP Sleiman Frangieh, who told the press after the meeting that he does not intend to withdraw his candidacy but wants to make a statement by urging his supporters to cast a white ballot paper. The meeting was also attended by Minister Ali Hassan Khalil and MP Asaad Hardan. Frangieh said the visit was to thank Berri for his support and the support of his Bloc for his candidacy. "Our calculations led us to transform each vote for Sleiman Frangieh to a protest vote; hence, our battle is to register blank votes," said Frangieh as he asserted that he and his bloc would attend the electoral session and cast white votes. He denied that anyone requested him to do so. His actions stemmed from the fact that the elections have become a matter of consensus rather than a battle. When asked about rumours that those who would not vote for Aoun would be deprived of a seat in Cabinet, Frangieh brushed the matter off and exclaimed, "may God keep them happy."

 

Nasrallah to Baalbek, Hermel dignitaries: Let us abide by Sadr’s 1970 charter of honour

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - The Secretary General of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, delivered a speech on Saturday, broadcast on a large screen to the dignitaries of Baalbek and Hermel, during which he called on everyone to follow the code of honour which was agreed on with disappeared Imam Moussa Sadr in 1970. "I suggest in the name of House Speaker Nabih Berri and the leaderships of Amal Movement and Hezbollah to vow to work together on handing over murderers or assailants to the Lebanese judiciary and pressure tribes and families to give in assailants in the case of any attack," said Nasrallah, explaining that this would cut-off the road to anyone attempting to create strife. Nasrallah voiced concern over presence of certain hostile security sides that would fabricate security incidents and take advantage of them. He also urged the State to carry out its security responsibility in the region, as the level of attacks and security incidents was alarming.

 

Hariri meets with Frangie: I understand his stance and we are with him for better and for worse

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Former Prime Minister, Saad Hariri, met this afternoon with the Head of al-Marada Movement, MP Suleiman Frangie, at "Le Grey" Hotel in Beirut Central District. The meeting was attended by Minister of Culture Rony Araiji, former Minister Youssef Saade, Tony Sleiman Frangie, Hariri's Advisor Ghattas Khoury, his Chief of Staff Nader Hariri and members of Marada's political bureau. After the meeting that lasted more than one hour, former Premier Hariri said: "I came to see my friend Sleiman Frangie, whose friendship I am proud of. I hope that we will always be together in friendship and politics. I wanted also to tell him that I understand his position, and I know that all he wants is Lebanon's interest and we see that electing a president on Monday is in Lebanon's interest. We will always stay in touch and in agreement on many issues. I also wanted to tell him that we are with him for better and for worse and the future is ahead of us. I also told my friend Sleiman Frangie that we are young and the days lie ahead".Question: Do you consider MP Frangie's step a white withdrawal? Hariri: MP Frangie took the stance he considered right and where his interest lies and I respect his position. Anyway, our journey together is long and we are with him in what he is doing.

Question: Did he blame you for what you did?

Hariri: Not at all, we are friends.

For his part, MP Frangie said: "We have nothing against Premier Hariri".

 

Erslan meets with Saudi Envoy in Khaldeh

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Head of the Lebanese Democratic Party, MP Talal Erslan, met on Saturday with Saudi State Minister for Arab Gulf Affairs, Thamer Al Sabhan, accompanied by Saudi Charge d'Affaires Walid Bekhari. The meeting was a chance to dwell on current political developments in Lebanon and the region.

 

Mikati and Karami voice support for Sleiman Frangieh

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Former PM Najib Mikati held a meeting on Saturday with MP Ahmad Karami followed by a statement endorsing the candidacy of Sleiman Frangieh. "We will attend the electoral session and cast blank votes in adherence with the wishes of our candidate and friend Sleiman Frangieh," read the statement. In a chat with the press, Mikati explained that his position from presidential candidate MP Michel Aoun stemmed from past experiences with the latter, which were characterized by adversarial approaches."This intensified our fears of the upcoming phase which is teeming with dangers and challenges…but we hope that the latest stances announced by Aoun towards all Lebanese strata were born out of conviction, and not just momentary stops along the road of presidential elections."Mikati noted that if Aoun were to be elected, he would behave with him on the basis democracy and national convictions.

 

Presidential Polls Top Talks between Salam, Hariri and Franjieh

Prime Minister Tammam Salam received in separate meetings at the Grand Serail on Saturday Marada Movement leader MP Suleiman Franjieh and Mustaqbal Movement chief Saad Hariri. Hariri briefed Salam on the preparations for the electoral session scheduled for Monday to elect a president. Franjieh and Hariri did not make a statement after their meetings with Salam. On Friday, Salam received presidential hopeful head of the Change and Reform bloc head MP Michel Aoun, who met with leader of the Progressive Socialist party Walid Jumblat in Clemenceau before he met the premier. Salam has not made any statement so far since Hariri's endorsement of Aoun for the top state post. Hariri formally endorsed Aoun's nomination last week. Lebanon has been without a president since the term of Michel Suleiman ended in May 2014 and Hizbullah, Aoun's Change and Reform bloc and some of their allies have been boycotting the parliament's electoral sessions, stripping them of the needed quorum. Hariri had launched an initiative in late 2015 to nominate Franjieh for the presidency but his proposal was met with reservations from the country's main Christian parties as well as Hizbullah.The supporters of Aoun's nomination have argued that he is more eligible than Franjieh to become president due to the size of his parliamentary bloc and his bigger influence in the Christian community.

 

Rahi Welcomes Hariri as 'Man of Courage,' and Hariri Says a New Leaf Will Begin Monday

Naharnet/October 29/16/Al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri urged everyone to cooperate for the well interest of Lebanon, pointing to a new leaf that will be opened on Monday after the election of a head of state to fill the longtime vacuum. “The country is on the threshold of a new phase, and I hope that everyone cooperates for the well interest of Lebanon and the Lebanese,” said Hariri after meeting Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi in Bkirki. Hailing the Patriarch Hariri said: “The Patriarch has been keen on the election of a president,” adding “we will all cooperate on Monday. Today we are heading towards a white end to open a new leaf in relations and to begin this phase together,” he said pointing to enormous challenges facing the government. For his part, Rahi received Hariri and welcomed him as saying: “Welcome you man of courage and determination,” in a clear reference to Hariri's initiative when he endorsed MP Michel Aoun for the post of president last week. Speaker Nabih Berri has summoned lawmakers on October 31 for the presidential vote, which will go ahead if a quorum of two-thirds is reached. The 128-member legislature counts 127 lawmakers at the moment after one member resigned over the summer. The successful candidate wins the vote with a majority of two-thirds in the first round, or with an absolute majority in the next rounds. Lebanon has been without a president since the term of Michel Suleiman ended in May 2014 and Hizbullah, Aoun's Change and Reform bloc and some of their allies have been boycotting the parliament's electoral sessions, stripping them of the needed quorum. Hariri had launched an initiative in late 2015 to nominate Marada Movement MP Suleiman Franjieh for the presidency but his proposal was met with reservations from the country's main Christian parties as well as Hizbullah. The supporters of Aoun's presidential bid have argued that he is more eligible than Franjieh to become president due to the size of his parliamentary bloc and his bigger influence in the Christian community.

 

Rahi stresses importance of individual contribution in building the state

Sat 29 Oct 2016/"This should motivate us all to contribute in the building of the state. Lebanon needs all of us since the responsibility is not limited strictly to the president or the head of government, but it is the duty of all the people," he said. The Maronite prelate spoke Saturday during the secular forum in Ain Saade.

 

Hariri gets blessings of Dar Fatwa on presidential issue

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Former PM Saad Hariri met on Saturday with Mufti Abdulateef Deryan in Dar al Fatwa and relayed to him recent political developments, particularly his endorsement of Michel Aoun as a presidential candidate. Following a private session with the Mufti, Hariri told the press that he was always keen on receiving the blessings of Dar al Fatwa on all matters, especially the end of the presidential stalemate, which should conclude on Monday with the election of Aoun. The Mufti, in turn, lauded Hariri’s continuous efforts from the onset of the crisis to end the deadlock for the sake of the greater interest of Lebanon. "From our side we say as long as the Lebanese have agreed on a way out of the presidential vacancy, then we support it," added the Mufti.

 

Rifi meets with Sabhan: We both agree on the need for a flourishing rise in the country while preserving its Arab identity

Sat 29 Oct 2016 /NNA - Outgoing Justice Minister Ashraf Rifi met Saturday evening with Saudi State Minister for Arab Gulf Affairs, Thamer Al Sabhan, accompanied by Saudi Charge d'Affaires, Abdallah Al Bukhari. Following the encounter, Rifi said "the visit comes to reaffirm the Saudi Kingdom's nearness to Lebanon and its continuously growing concern for the course of things in the country, and to stress that the Lebanese dossier is at the heart of Saudi Arabia's care and attention." "The Saudi Kingdom is very keen on Lebanon's stability, security and prosperity," Rifi went on. He added: "We are both in agreement on the need for a flourishing rise in Lebanon while preserving its Arab identity."

 

Rahi contacts Berri: For more concerted efforts towards a national start

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Bchara Boutros al-Rahi, contacted, on Saturday, House Speaker Nabih Berri, with whom he deliberated over the latest developments pertaining to the presidential elections, calling for "more concerted efforts at this stage towards a new launching at the national level."According to Bkriki's Press Office, the Patriarch expressed to Speaker Berri "his support to the Parliament's work regarding the election of a new President upcoming Monday and putting an end to the current state of vacuum, which has been long awaited for by the Lebanese throughout the past two and a half years."

 

Lebanese Democratic Party: We decided to vote for General Aoun

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Following its extraordinary meeting on Saturday, devoted to discussing the presidential election issue, the Lebanese Democratic Party declared its decision to vote in favor of General Michel Aoun upcoming Monday. In an issued statement after the meeting, Party Head MP Talal Erslan announced the decision to support General Aoun's presidential candidacy, wishing the new President "all success in his great endeavors, and hoping that the new mandate would open a fresh page for uniting the Lebanese around the project of the State, paving the way for an economic rise, coupled with social justice and strengthened civil peace and political reform."

 

Qaouq: Saudi Sanctions against Hizbullah have Failed to Weaken the Party

Naharnet/October 29/16/Senior Hizbullah official Sheikh Nabil Qaouq stressed on Saturday that the Saudi sanctions against Hizbullah have failed to weaken the party, the state-run National News Agency reported on Saturday. “The political developments and field achievements confirm the failure of the Saudi sanctions against Hizbullah, especially since Saudi Arabia wanted to weaken Hizbullah in Lebanon which has only grown stronger at the political, popular and military levels inside Lebanon and regionally,” said Qaouq. “By renewing sanctions and terrorism ranking against Hizbullah in Lebanon, Saudi Arabia is but reflecting an outrage, despair and disappointment in the face of the Resistance, because the Saudi penalties have changed nothing of Hizbullah's stances in Syria,” he went on to say. “Regardless of the pressures, we will not leave our national duty to protect our people and our nation, and we will complete the battle against takfiri terrorism, which has no choice but to be defeated in Syria, and we have no choice but to win.” added Qaouq. He concluded: “The next phase that Lebanon is approaching will emphasize the strength of the strategic alliance between Hizbullah and AMAL. Those who were betting on discord and division between the two were disappointed. “If it was not for the Army, People and Resistance equation which Lebanon renews adherence to at this stage, and without the sacrifices of the Lebanese army and the resistance that has protected Lebanon from being sacked by the Islamic State and al-Nusra Front, the Lebanese would not have had the chance to elect a president.”

 

US Ambassador returns to Beirut

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - United States Ambassador to Lebanon, Elizabeth Richard, returned to Beirut on Saturday, following a visit to the Qatari capital, Doha.

 

Jumblatt after meeting with Democratic Gathering Deputies: Majority of our Gathering Members will vote for Aoun

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - "Democratic Gathering" Head, MP Walid Jumblatt, declared, on Saturday, his adoption of General Michel Aoun's nomination for presidency, adding that "the majority of his Gathering members will vote for Aoun on Monday."Following his meeting with the Gathering's deputies at his residence in Clemenceau, Jumblatt said: "At this moment of my life history, I go back forty years throughout which I have lived stages of tough presidential elections...and the day after tomorrow, I shall somewhat conclude forty years of my life by casting my vote for General Michel Aoun.""What happened in the past, I shall explain one day, for it is of local, regional and international dimensions," he added. "We met together in the Gathering and deliberated over local and regional conditions...As stated yesterday, the majority of the Democratic Gathering will vote in favor of General Michel Aoun as President of the Republic next Monday," Jumblatt promised.

 

SSNP: We support General Aoun for Presidency and our Bloc shall vote in his favor

Sat 29 Oct 2016/NNA - Syrian Social Nationalist Party declared, on Saturday, its support for General Michel Aoun's presidential candidacy, indicating that its Parliamentary Bloc shall vote for him on Monday. "Based on our respect and appreciation for General Michel Aoun and the depth of the ties that bind us, as well as our belief in his will to build a strong and fair civil state for all the Lebanese, we declare our support to his presidential candidacy, and our Bloc shall vote in his favor during the presidential election session," said Party Head, former Minister Ali Qansou, in an issued statement. He added: "The SSNP has always stressed on the need to speed-up the election of a President of the Republic to ensure State institutions' order, especially in wake of the critical consequences resulting from the presidential vacuum."

"Our Party has long called for a broader understanding between various political forces over the future President, and had pinned so much hope on the dialogue table in providing a forum for such understanding," Qansou underscored.

 

Michel Aoun’s ruthless ambition set to be rewarded

Josh Wood/The National/October 30/16

BEIRUT // For nearly 30 years of war and peace, General Michel Aoun has done and said anything he can to rule Lebanon. He has sided with genocidal foreign dictators, laid waste to his Christian constituency’s heartland in fratricidal battles and forged alliances with former enemies.

On Monday, the 81-year-old former army chief is likely to see his ambitions realised as Lebanon’s parliament is expected to make him the country’s next president, ending a two-and-a-half-year power vacuum. The man who once vowed to fight Syria’s dominance of Lebanon to the death will take his throne as an ally of Hizbollah, the powerful Shiite movement that is fighting to defend Syrian president Bashar Al Assad. And he has been brought to power in a deal designed by former prime minister Saad Hariri, a Sunni whose Future Movement has been attacked by Aoun supporters as a front for ISIL. If everything goes to plan, Mr Hariri will again be the country’s prime minister.

Gen Aoun’s eventual ascent to power must have seemed all but impossible back in 1991 as the defeated warlord escaped Lebanon aboard a submarine after a failed power grab. In the 1980s, Michel Aoun was the commander of Lebanon’s armed forces, an institution largely sidelined in the country’s sectarian civil war. As the war raged on, he would smoke four packs of cigarettes a day and could drink upwards of 30 cups of coffee. The army and its commander suddenly became relevant in 1988 when the outgoing president Amine Gemayel attempted to dismantle the civilian government of Sunni prime minister Selim Al Hoss and install a military-led interim government headed by Gen Aoun. The move broke an unwritten pact made at Lebanon’s independence that guaranteed that the president would always be a Maronite Christian and the prime minister always a Sunni. Lebanon found itself split between two governments — an internationally recognised government and a rebel Christian-led government.

In March 1989, Gen Aoun declared a "war of liberation" and promised to drive Syria – which had occupied parts of Lebanon since 1976 – out of the country, even if it destroyed Beirut. To help in the fight against the Syrians and other factions, Gen Aoun took arms from Saddam Hussein.

As Lebanon’s other factions began seeking a settlement to the war, Gen Aoun decried them as traitors. Soon he went to war with Samir Geagea’s Lebanese Forces, the dominant Christian militia in the country, bringing some of the worst fighting of the conflict to areas that had escaped the carnage so far.

In October 1990, Syrian forces – with a nod of approval from the United States – launched major air and artillery attacks on Gen Aoun’s headquarters, forcing him to flee to the French embassy, where he remained until he fled Lebanon.

In exile in France, Gen Aoun refused to return to Lebanon until the occupation by Damascus ended. That day came in 2005 when street protests prompted by the assassination of former prime minister Rafik Hariri – Saad Hariri’s father – forced Syria to withdraw its troops.

Gen Aoun returned 11 days later, hungry for power.

While he was away, things had changed in Lebanon. Hizbollah had become the country’s most powerful faction. Gen Aoun cast aside his hatred of Syria and signed a memorandum of understanding with Hizbollah, allying with the group against Lebanese parties that opposed Syrian involvement in Lebanon. The presidency still remained elusive but "the General", as he is known to his fervent followers, did not give up. In the past two and a half years his party’s parliamentarians boycotted presidential votes, helping to block anyone else’s election. His supporters took to the streets, sometimes clashing with the army he publicly reveres. He made friends with his old Christian enemy, Mr Geagea, while making new enemies in the process. But in the end, he appears to have won it all.

 

Hezbollah ally set to become president of Lebanon

Ziena Karam/ Associated Press /Reuters/October 30/16

BEIRUT (AP) — Barring any surprises, a former Lebanese general and a strong ally of the militant Hezbollah group is poised to be elected Lebanon's president next week, formally ending a two-year vacuum in the country's top post and a political crisis that has paralyzed the troubled Mideast nation. Michel Aoun, an 81-year-old veteran Christian leader, will likely be chosen by Parliament on Monday as part of a deal that's expected to give not just a boost for Hezbollah but also to the Shiite group's ally, Syrian President Bashar Assad. The strong-willed Maronite Catholic general notoriously led a "war of liberation" against the Syrian army in Lebanon in 1989-90, but reconciled with the Syrian leadership in 2005 after Syria pulled out of Lebanon. He has been a strong supporter of Hezbollah's involvement on the side of Assad in the neighboring country's civil war, now in its sixth year. Analysts believe Aoun's pick will also affect regional politics beyond Lebanon and Syria and have implications for the rivalry between the Sunni power Saudi Arabia and the mostly Shiite Iran.

"Aoun's election is a clear victory for the pro-Iranian axis in the Levant and another climb down for Saudi Arabia," wrote Paul Salem, vice president for policy and research at the Washington-based Middle East Institute. Lebanon has been without a head of state since President Michel Suleiman stepped down at the end of his term in May 2014, without an agreement on a replacement. Aoun has been a running candidate from the beginning, and has refused to stand down in favor of other candidates. Parliament has met more than 40 times since then, each time failing to elect a president because of a lack of quorum as Aoun's block and allied Hezbollah lawmakers boycotted the sessions because his election was not guaranteed.

In the end, it took an about-face by former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, Lebanon's Saudi-backed main Sunni leader, who formally endorsed Aoun for president last week — reportedly in exchange for Aoun promising him the position of prime minister. Hariri, whose business in Saudi Arabia is seriously struggling, apparently had a change of heart after his endorsements of other candidates, including pro-Syrian politician Suleiman Frangieh, produced no results. The kingdom, Hariri's main backer, is embroiled in other regional crises and appears to have retreated from Lebanese politics. With Hariri and Hezbollah's votes assured, a quorum of two-thirds majority of the 128-parliament has been secured to convene a parliament session early next week at which Aoun is expected to garner enough votes to become president. On Friday night, Aoun received the support of Lebanon's leading Druse politician, Walid Jumblatt, boosting his chances even further for a vast majority in Monday's vote. His election will mark a return for Aoun, who served as interim prime minister at the end of the 1975-90 civil war, to Beirut's Baabda Palace, almost exactly 26 years after he left it under the bombs of Syrian warplanes, forcing him to flee to the French Embassy and eventually to France. He returned in 2005 from a 14 years' exile in France, after Syria pulled its troops out of Lebanon in the wake of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri's assassination in a massive suicide bombing along a main road on the Corniche in Beirut.

 

The Scramble for Lebanon's Presidency/Aoun, Hariri, and the Politics of Oligarchy

By Paul Salem/Foreign Affairs/October 29/16

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/lebanon/2016-10-29/scramble-lebanons-presidency

After lying vacant for two and a half years, Lebanon’s presidential post will finally be filled by a parliamentary vote on Monday. The move reflects a temporary and rare confluence of interests among a majority of the country’s oligarchs and is a necessary step forward in bringing some life back to the country’s atrophying constitutional institutions. But politics in the country will remain tense and divided and noticeable improvement to governance is unlikely. The expected winner is Michel Aoun, 81, the leader of the majority Christian Reform and Change Party, an ally of Hezbollah, and member of the March 8 coalition, which is aligned with Iran and the Syrian regime of President Bashar al-Assad. Aoun largely clinched the nomination two weeks ago when Saad Hariri, the leader of the opposition, a coalition between the Future Movement and other March 14 parties, came out in his support. In exchange, Hariri expects to be named prime minister. Despite resistance to Aoun’s candidacy—from parliament speaker Nabih Berri and rival presidential candidate Suleiman Frangieh, both of whom are March 8 coalition members—Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah appeared to seal the deal in a public address endorsing Aoun, as well as accepting Hariri’s possible return as prime minister, a position he had previously held from 2009 to 2011.

The presidential office has lain vacant since May of 2014, when President Michel Suleiman’s six-year term expired. Initially, the rival March 14 and March 8 coalitions each put forward their own candidates, but neither of them garnered enough support. Nor could the two coalitions agree on a third-party candidate. Government business continued during this period, albeit at a low level of efficiency, under the national coalition government headed by Prime Minister Tammam Salam.

Many political leaders and parties exhibited little urgency in filling the presidential vacancy, but Hariri has felt more need to do so. In the recent local elections, his party lost in the northern Sunni city of Tripoli and only narrowly won the critical local elections in the capital, Beirut. Hariri is experiencing financial difficulties as well, with his late father’s construction company, Saudi Oger, facing serious decline in Saudi Arabia. This has created a shortfall in party funding, and the Future Movement has reportedly been unable to pay its employees across some of its institutions, such as its media channel Future TV. Hariri needs the presidential vacancy filled so that he can return to the premiership. Last year, Hariri had nominated Aoun’s rival, Frangieh, but the selection triggered a rapprochement between Aoun and longtime rival Samir Geagea. Together, Aoun and Geagea whipped up strong opposition to Frangieh’s nomination within the Christian community and it was scuttled.

Hariri’s current pick, Aoun, has also divided the March 8 coalition. Frangieh is a natural rival, and Berri has had long-standing differences and political clashes with Aoun and his nephew Gebran Bassil, the current foreign minister. The March 8 coalition is facing a situation not unlike that of the U.S. Republican Party and its nominee Donald Trump: having created the conditions for his rise, it is now worried about whether he has the temperament to be president. Similarly, the March 8 coalition is worried because Aoun is notoriously mercurial. He has been allied with Hezbollah since 2005, but when he was last in power as interim prime minister from 1988 to 1990, he waged a campaign against armed nonstate actors, including Hezbollah, and declared war on Bashar’s father, Hafez al-Assad. Aoun also might be seen by Berri and others as potentially difficult to deal with as president because he will be the first one since the early 1970s to have a fairly large Christian-community power base. The previous five presidents had small or no significant political following, and hence ended up as fairly weak leaders.

Both Hariri’s past and present picks include leaders allied with Hezbollah, Assad, and Iran, but Frangieh has been a more long-standing and reliable ally of the Assad family, Hezbollah, and Iran and would have been the safer pick for the March 8 coalition. In any case, Hezbollah’s support is decisive within the coalition, while Berri’s current opposition is useful as a bargaining chip. After Aoun’s election there will be much negotiation over the formation of the next government, Berri’s own reelection as speaker, and the development of lucrative sectors such as offshore gas fields.

Unsurprisingly, both pro-Hezbollah candidates have been very poorly received among Hariri’s Sunni base. It has split his majority-Sunni Future Movement party and the anti-Assad March 14 coalition. If he succeeds in heading the next government, the influential position of prime minister will help him to rebuild some of the power base that he has lost since 2011. 

Regionally, Aoun’s election would be a victory for Iranian influence in the Levant and a blow for Saudi Arabia. Riyadh has been downgrading its interests in Lebanon. In February, it cancelled a $4 billion aid package to the Lebanese security forces after foreign minister Bassil refused to support an Arab League resolution condemning the sacking of the Saudi embassy in Tehran. And the Saudi leadership has appeared markedly lukewarm toward Hariri. Whether the Saudis have written off Lebanon as under Hezbollah’s thumb, are overwhelmed with domestic concerns and the war in Yemen, or have lost faith in Hariri’s leadership capacities, is hard to determine with accuracy.

Aoun’s election to the presidency will be followed by constitutionally mandated presidential consultations with parliament to designate a prime minister, most likely Hariri. Hariri would then go about forming a new government. There is nothing necessarily quick about this process; the last negotiations to form a government lasted ten months. The various oligarchs all want a piece of the pie, and the negotiations would have to include difficult discussions on a new parliamentary election law, horse trading on offshore gas deals, and many other contentious matters.

On the one hand, Aoun’s election to the presidency is a welcome example of a peaceful and constitutional transfer of power in a region where that is a rarity, and where just next door in Syria, the question of presidential succession has left hundreds of thousands dead and millions displaced. On the other hand, Aoun’s elevation to the presidency by the country’s oligarchy will largely perpetuate the dysfunctional political system and is unlikely to bring the kind of change and improvement in governance that much of the country’s youth and non-aligned citizenry yearn for. Lebanon remains a remarkable example of relative stability and communal coexistence and power-sharing in a region set aflame by sectarian civil war, but its government continues to fall far short given the vast potential of its people.

 

Hezbollah, Michel Aoun and Lebanon’s presidential drama

Khairallah Khairallah/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16

Does Hezbollah want president for republic or does it want to change republic in pursuit of its old dream?

Will Hezbollah really accept its own candidate, Michel Aoun, as president of Lebanon or was the whole presidential drama right from the beginning a political manoeuvre to blame oth­ers for the void at the head of the country? The question has become very pertinent now that Future Movement leader Saad Hariri has endorsed Aoun’s candidacy.

Aoun is not qualified to be president of Lebanon. He does not possess the required modera­tion and profound knowledge of Lebanon and the Lebanese in all of their sects and orientations. He lacks the expertise to best under­stand Lebanon’s regional context, especially at a time when profound changes are on the horizon.

Then again, what other choice is there when it is a question of sav­ing the republic, or whatever is left of it, even if the person chosen has the mind of putschist and is not afraid of pursuing the worst-case scenario?

It is scandalous that Aoun has relied on Hezbollah votes to form a majority coalition in parlia­ment. It is even more scandalous that Aoun insists on designating his son-in-law, Gebran Bassil, as minister knowing fully well that the latter would not have been able to secure one parliamentary seat in the district where he was run­ning because Hezbollah does not carry enough weight in that same district.

Hariri had no choice but to ac­cept the gamble, especially when Samir Geagea, executive chair­man of the Lebanese Forces party, had publicly endorsed Aoun. In Lebanon, there are basically five significant Christian voting blocs.

The largest Christian bloc is that of the independent voters, those who do not belong to any political formation. Some of these Chris­tians back Aoun and others are fiercely opposed to him. The sec­ond bloc is that of Aoun’s support­ers. These tend to be lower class, uncultured and definitely blinded by their Christian fanaticism. The other voting Christian blocs are the Lebanese Phalanges Party, the Lebanese Forces Party and the Marada Movement Party.

Hariri has stated that he consid­ers the presidential elections top priority for the country. They must take place even if it meant endors­ing Aoun. He also revealed that, after consulting with Suleiman Frangieh, he had a firm agree­ment with Aoun on three main points. The first concerns Aoun’s commitment not to change the regime, meaning sticking with the Taif agreement. The second is a commitment to bring to life former president Rafik Hariri’s develop­ment and construction project. The last point is a promise to keep away from the events in Syria.

It is not clear whether Aoun realised the dangers of embroiling Lebanon in the Syrian conflict but he must have certainly understood the dangers of having 1.5 million Syrian refugees in Lebanon.

The problem with Aoun is that he has never understood the con­cept of the “city”. Returning Beirut to its former glory as an economic and touristic beacon in the Middle East is beyond his grasp. He has never been more than a military person dabbling in politics and a politician when military solutions were required.

We have to admit, though, that Aoun has been true to his 2006 commitments to Hezbollah, which provided him with the necessary backing in exchange for a Christian cover for Hezbollah’s sectarian weapon in Lebanon.

It is also legitimate to wonder whether Hezbollah and, by exten­sion, Iran will stop backing Aoun now. In other words, as a perpetual candidate for the presidency, Aoun would have served his purpose in keeping the crisis alive in Lebanon. Now that the Future Movement party has accepted him as the only candidate, the expectation is that Hezbollah would change its tune regarding Aoun unless Hezbollah has other uses for him. Could it be that Hezbollah and Iran want through Aoun to do away with the Taif agreement and with the equal division of power between Christians and Muslims in Lebanon? The question is legiti­mate. That the Taif agreement needs revising is legitimate but that it be done under threat is not. Saad Hariri’s wise decision to endorse Aoun placed the onus of the truth on Hezbollah. Does Hezbollah want a president for the republic or does it want to change the republic in pursuit of its old dream? Still, there is one last reservation: Aoun has a history of dealing with events with the mind of putschist. Perhaps Hezbollah can use him exactly for that purpose once he is in power.

 

Lebanon set to have a new president but fears remain

Dalal Saoud/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16

Many hurdles are yet to be surmounted, starting with sealing Aoun-Hariri package deal with Hariri becoming prime minister.

Success of process re­mains in hands of Hezbollah

BEIRUT - The long-awaited election of a president in Lebanon is just around the corner. If no last-minute surpris­es emerge, Hezbollah’s sole presidential candidate, veteran Christian leader Michel Aoun, is to be elected to the post by the parlia­ment on October 31st.

What was not conceivable just days ago is almost a reality. Sunni leader Saad Hariri shifted his stance and endorsed Aoun for the presi­dency and Hezbollah Secretary- General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah reciprocated Hariri’s “sacrifice” and allowed that Hariri could again be­come prime minister. With opposition to Aoun’s presi­dency decreasing, the implicit blessing from the two main region­al powers — Saudi Arabia and Iran — and the apparent lack of objec­tions from international powers, Aoun’s election would terminate the 29-month presidential vacuum.

Having Aoun, 83, at the presi­dential palace is not the end of the game. Many hurdles are yet to be surmounted, starting with sealing the Aoun-Hariri package deal with Hariri becoming prime minister, facilitating the formation of a new cabinet without delay and formu­lating the new government policy statement, a sticking point with Hezbollah’s traditional insistence on recognising its “armed resist­ance” and right to keep its powerful arsenal.

How to translate the pledge to adopt a neutral stance regarding Syria, with Hezbollah heavily in­volved in the war there alongside Iranian and Syrian government forces, is another issue. Separating Hezbollah’s military activities from the government’s neutral diplomat­ic stance is difficult but not impos­sible as Lebanon’s often-confusing policies have become accepted re­gionally and internationally due to its peculiar status. This time, the Lebanese seem to be on their own to shape their country’s internal politics. Samir Geagea, the leader of the Lebanese Forces — the country’s second larg­est Christian political party — who helped pave the way for the new presidential deal, boasted that the next president was completely made in Lebanon, away from any foreign influence.

That was somehow true, given the fact that regional and interna­tional powers have more urgent is­sues to deal with and the Lebanese presidential arrangement was not a threat to the security cover provid­ed to the tiny country to maintain its delicate stability.

The international powers would have intervened if the Lebanese lost security control, their economy in danger or the Lebanese pound was about to collapse, said Riad Tabbarah, Lebanon’s former am­bassador in Washington. To them, he noted, having Aoun or someone else as president would not make a big difference as long as Lebanon “remains calm and stable while awaiting the final settlement in the region”.

That applies to Iran and Saudi Arabia, the respective sponsors of Hezbollah and Hariri’s Future Movement, which have no interest in any escalation that would plunge Lebanon into another war, hence their apparent consent to the presi­dential deal, Tabbarah said.

Aoun, known for his unpredict­able behaviour, bad temper and controversial personality, will be under close watch to see whether he will be able to distance himself from a 10-year close alliance with Hezbollah and act in the country’s national interest — though such a national interest is still an issue of dispute among the Lebanese.

Many Lebanese have expressed doubts about Aoun but others say they have confidence that he would bring the Lebanese together and create a comprehensive under­standing, especially between Hez­bollah and its Sunni rival, the Fu­ture Movement.

“Electing a president does not mean that we have agreed on eve­rything. There are still many big and not easy problems to solve,” said Fadi Karam, an MP from the Lebanese Forces, a strong Hariri ally. “What we did is to take this (presidential) file out of Iran’s hands and turned it into a Lebanese one. Hariri cornered everyone and forced them to take a decision and shoulder their responsibilities.” Karam, who said “nothing will stop” Aoun’s election, referred to a process that is to start with the presidential election, followed by a new prime minister and cabinet and completed with a new electoral law. “This is the right way to build understanding and avoid internal conflict and the country’s collapse,” he said. “Eventually, Hezbollah will have to stop running away and start discussing the issue of its weap­ons.”

The success of the process re­mains in the hands of Hezbollah, the country’s most powerful armed group and political player, which imposed itself as a regional force, and how far it would go to stabilise the country, appease the fears of its frustrated Sunni partners and stop its staunch campaign against Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf countries. Recently, Sarkis Naoum, an Arab commentator and senior columnist for An-Nahar newspaper in Beirut, wrote that Aoun’s election would “consecrate the victory” of Iran and its allies over Saudi Arabia in Leba­non. However, he quickly added: “This is a victory in a battle as the war is still long.”

 

In war against terror, 1983 Beirut bombing was a murderous milestone

Ed Blanche/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16

Slaughter of that Sunday morning established Hezbollah as major force in international terrorism.

October 1983 file photo showing scene around US Marine base near Beirut Airport

BEIRUT - At 6.22am on Sunday, Oc­tober 23rd, 1983, a lone bomber drove a yellow Mercedes truck packed with 9,500 kilograms of pentaerythritol tetranitrate high explosive enhanced by butane gas canisters through the 1.5-metre-high barbed-wire perimeter of the US Marine base in Beirut’s disused international airport.

Then he rammed the truck into the lobby of the four-storey build­ing known as the Battalion Landing Team headquarters (BLT) and deto­nated the bomb.

The bed of the truck was lined with concrete, intended to direct the blast upwards into the struc­ture, which was literally lifted off the ground before collapsing in on itself and the sleeping Americans inside.

The explosion, the largest non-nuclear blast on record at the time, flattened the concrete and steel-re­inforced building and killed 241 US service personnel.

A near-simultaneous suicide at­tack using a pick-up truck on the French military barracks in Ramlet al-Baida, 3km to the north, levelled the nine-storey building and killed 58 Foreign Legionnaires.

The US and French troops were part of a Multinational Force (MNF) deployed in Beirut in 1982 at the Lebanese government’s request in an attempt to stabilise the country, then in the eighth year of its 1975- 2000 civil war and invaded by Is­rael.

The two suicide attacks against the MNF, launched in apparent re­taliation for growing US support for the Christian-dominated Lebanese government, signalled a murderous milestone in international terror­ism.

The operation, universally blamed on the Iranian-backed Hezbollah, then in its infancy and pioneering the deadly new tactic of suicide bombing by vehicle, was unprecedented because of the mag­nitude of the destruction it caused.

The Marine barracks bombing was the deadliest terror attack on Americans before the 9/11 carnage. It inspired Osama bin Laden, then fighting the Soviet Army in Afghan­istan, who later formed al-Qaeda and took terrorist bombings to a fearsome new level.

That began with twin bombings of the US embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam on August 7th, 1998, in which 244 people were killed and more than 5,000 wounded.

October 23rd, 1983, marked the end of decades of self-imposed re­straint by Palestinian and other ter­rorist groups in the Middle East and Europe by breaching a psychologi­cal barrier that ushered in an age of wholesale slaughter, which has become the trademark of al-Qaeda and its jihadist offspring, the Islam­ic State (ISIS).

The slaughter of that Sunday morning established Hezbollah as a major force in international terrorism through mass-casualty bombings, particularly against the Americans.

According to Colonel Timothy J. Geraghty, commander of the 24th Marine Amphibious Unit based at Beirut’s seaside airport, the twin at­tacks were part of a strategic cam­paign by Iran and Syria to drive Western powers out of Lebanon.

And they did. The slaughter of 299 prime fighting men for the loss of two suicide bombers was too high a cost for Western govern­ments to accept.

The psychological effects of the twin bombings, and especially the religious zealotry behind them, were overwhelming to Western minds. Here was a new and ruthless enemy beyond anything they had encountered in the Middle East.

“The world we live in and what we knew of the future security en­vironment was forever changed,” General James Amos, commandant of the US Marine Corps, said at a memorial ceremony in Washington on the 30th anniversary of the Bei­rut bombings. “It was a new way to attack the West,” he said.

In February 1984, in a major US policy shift, president Ronald Rea­gan and the Americans’ MNF allies — France, Britain and Italy — un­ceremoniously and ignominiously abandoned Lebanon — after Reagan had repeatedly pledged not to do so — and left the country to its fate and six more years of civil war bloodlet­ting.

Here was a template for a chain of disastrous US interventions in the greater Middle East, among them Somalia in 1993-95, Iraq in 2003- 11 and a 15-year-old conflict in Af­ghanistan, the United States’ long­est war in which Americans are still dying.

The Western withdrawal from Lebanon also demonstrated to the Muslim extremists, Shias and Sun­nis alike, that the Americans had become risk-averse and could be humbled by Islamist warriors fight­ing an asymmetric war.

By bringing about the MNF’s hu­miliating retreat, Iran and Syria, allied with Hezbollah, only then emerging from the shadows, de­clared war on the West.

Extreme Islamic fundamentalism was unleashed, introducing a reli­gious dynamic to a phenomenon that had essentially been driven by nationalism, injustice and poverty.

But the lessons of October 1983 were not learnt until 18 years later when bin Laden’s jihadists took ter­rorism to even bloodier heights by taking the war to America’s sym­bols of power.

“Over time,” observed Matthew Levitt of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, “Hezbollah and Iran’s interests in driving for­eign forces out of Lebanon would expand from attacks targeting Western interests in Lebanon to at­tacks on Western interests abroad.”

In December 1983, a congres­sional inquiry into the BLT bomb­ing concluded that “very serious errors in judgment” by officers on the ground, up through the chain of command had left the US Marines vulnerable.

Much of the blame fell on Ger­aghty. In his 2009 book, Peacekeep­ers At War, he insisted that he was the victim of military ineptitude and political interference.

A congressional commission that investigated the attack on the Ma­rines declared that Geraghty “bore the principal responsibility” for the Marine Corps’ worst single-day fatalities since the invasion of Iwo Jima in 1945.

He was relieved of his command and later left the Marines, joining the Central Intelligence Agency’s counterterrorism division.

Geraghty and those who sup­port him maintain he was made the scapegoat for others’ mistakes. He was not without sympathisers on the commission.

US Representative, Larry Hop­kins, R-Kentucky, was harshly criti­cal of the Pentagon brass and the utter absurdity of the MNF mission to restore stability in a complex, religion-driven Middle Eastern civil war.

“The people of the Middle East have been fighting since the days of Abraham,” Hopkins said. “Ask­ing our Marines to stop the fight­ing there is like trying to change the course of Niagara Falls with a bucket.”

There’s a resonance there with US President Barack Obama’s reluc­tance to drag the United States into another Middle Eastern maelstrom in Syria.

In the end, Reagan took respon­sibility for the Beirut catastrophe, precluding any courts-martial. Ger­aghty, nonetheless, became an ear­ly casualty of the global war against terrorism.

He said he was dangerously ex­posed in “an abominable position” at Beirut airport amid a deteriorat­ing crisis, his military options se­verely limited by the ambiguities of deploying assault troops as peace­keepers in the bewildering com­plexity of Lebanon’s multisided civil war.

Once Washington decided to use military force in Lebanon, particu­larly the 16-inch guns on the battle­ships cruising offshore, to support the Lebanese Army fighting Syri­an-backed Muslim militias in the mountains above Beirut, the peace­keepers lost the neutrality under which they had been cloaked. As Geraghty explained, and as many observers in Beirut at that time knew, it was just a matter of time before radical forces, particu­larly Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps clamouring to get to grips with the Great Satan, went af­ter the Americans.

Tehran and Damascus knew the longer the Americans stayed in Leb­anon the stronger the Christian-led army would become.

Indeed, Geraghty argued that the Syrians and Iranians, with their Lebanese proxies, deliberately set out “to provoke us into unleashing our massive firepower against the Druze and Muslim militias”, thus dragging the Americans into the war.

Ironically, the invading Israelis wanted the same thing but with the Americans on their side.

Geraghty blamed the American entanglement in the fighting to a large extent on gung-ho US special presidential adviser Robert Mc­Farlane, who six years later would be one of the shadowy figures at the centre of the Iran-Contra affair scandal that involved clandestine White House dealings with Tehran and almost brought down Reagan’s presidency.

The author portrayed McFarlane, who others said was heavily influ­enced by the Israelis and their de­sire to get the United States into the war, as a leading advocate of using maximum force to support the be­leaguered Lebanese Army.

In his book, Geraghty recounted that in one of many heated ex­changes, he yelled at McFarlane: “This will cost us our neutrality. Don’t you realise we’ll get slaugh­tered down here? We’re sitting ducks.”

With the benefit of hindsight, Geraghty argued that the US fail­ure to retaliate for the BLT attack, the suicide bombing that demol­ished the US embassy on Beirut’s corniche six months earlier and the frenzy of hostage-taking through­out the 1980s, emboldened the ter­rorists and their sponsors to believe they could go on attacking US and Western interests with impunity — leading, ultimately, to the suicide attacks of 9/11.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on October 29-30/16

Spokesman: Iraq’s PMU to enter Syria to aid Assad after Mosul

Al Arabiya News Channel, Dubai Saturday, 29 October 2016

Ahmed al-Assadi, a spokesman for the Iraq-sanctioned paramilitary known as Popular Mobilization Units (PMU), said on Saturday that they will fight alongside Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad’s forces in Syria after finishing their battle against ISIS in the northern Iraqi city of Mosul, Al Arabiya News Channel reported. The Iran-funded PMU has launched an assault on ISIS west of Mosul on Saturday but reiterated that they would not enter the Sunni majority city. Jaafar al-Husseini, a spokesman for the Hezbollah Brigades, said they launched an offensive Saturday along with other large militias toward the town of Tel Afar, which had a Shiite majority before it fell to ISIS in 2014. Iranian forces are advising the fighters and Iraqi aircraft are providing airstrikes, he said. Iraq launched a massive operation to retake militant-held Mosul, its second largest city, last week. The involvement of the Shiite militias has raised concerns the battle could aggravate sectarian divisions. The Mosul offensive involves more than 25,000 soldiers, Federal Police, Kurdish fighters, Sunni tribesmen and the Shiite militias, which operate under an umbrella organization known as the Popular Mobilization Units. Iraqi Federal Police, meanwhile, has raised on Saturday the country’s flag at an ISIS southern hub in southern Mosul.

 

US: Syrian regime using starvation as ‘weapon of war’

AFP, Washington Saturday, 29 October 2016/The United States accused the Syrian regime Friday of using “starvation as a weapon of war” -- a war crime under the Geneva Conventions -- stepping up the rhetoric against Bashar al-Assad and his Russian backers. Rejecting the Kremlin claims that attacks on Aleppo have stopped, a US official told AFP “the regime has rejected UN requests to deliver aid to Eastern Aleppo -- using starvation as a weapon of war.” The language mirrors the Geneva Conventions’ prohibition against starving civilians “as a method of warfare.”

Aleppo’s quarter of a million residents have been besieged and bombarded for months, prompting international outcry. Washington is currently weighing further sanctions against Syria and a push for justice at the International Criminal Court in The Hague. Officials hope that Russian President Vladimir Putin may rethink his country’s participation in a war that has seen chemical weapons and barrel bombs used against civilians, if Russia is seen as an international pariah. Earlier Friday Russia failed to win re-election to the UN Human Rights Commission, a serious diplomatic blow.

“We are taking steps, whether it’s ramping up public pressure or other forms of pressure,” a second senior Obama administration official told AFP. “We are still looking at the whole arsenal of tools to make them feel the weight of international criticism, not saying that in and of itself is going to work.” “But we have some indication that they don’t want to be viewed -- the Russians in particular -- as being guilty of war crimes.”“We’ve also spoken about forms of international accountability when it comes to Russian and regime actions.”The Kremlin said Friday that Putin did not think it was time to resume air strikes on Aleppo after the defense ministry requested that a moratorium on bombing be lifted. Syrian rebels launched a major assault Friday aimed at linking opposition-held districts with the outside world. But a US official gave the Kremlin’s claim short shrift.

“Despite Russia’s claims, attacks by the regime and its backers have continued in Aleppo,” the official said. “We continue to look at Russia’s actions not their words to determine if Russia is meeting their claims about their military intervention on behalf of the Assad regime.”

 

Syrian airstrikes on Aleppo amid intense clashes

Associated Press, Beirut Saturday, 29 October 2016/Syrian opposition activists are reporting airstrikes and fighting on the edge of the contested northern city of Aleppo. Saturday’s fighting comes a day after Syrian rebels launched a broad offensive aiming to break a weeks-long government siege on the eastern rebel-held neighborhoods of Syria's largest city.The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said warplanes are pounding areas that insurgents captured the day before, mostly on Aleppo's western and southern edges. The Aleppo Media Center, an activist collective, reported airstrikes and artillery shelling of areas near Aleppo. Syrian state media said rebels shelled government-held western neighborhoods of Aleppo on Saturday morning wounding at least six people, including a young girl.

 

Kurdish PM wants to discuss independence after Mosul

AFP, Berlin Friday, 28 October 2016/Iraq’s Kurdish autonomous region plans to renew its push for independence once the city of Mosul is retaken from ISIS, its prime minister said Friday. “The time has long been ripe for it, but we are currently concentrating on the fight against ISIS,” Kurdish prime minister Nechirvan Barzani told Germany’s Bild daily. “As soon as Mosul is liberated, we will meet with our partners in Baghdad and talk about our independence,” he said according to the German translation. The premier of the Kurdistan Regional Government added that “we have been waiting for too long, we thought that after 2003 there would be a real new beginning for a democratic Iraq. But this Iraq has failed. “We are not Arabs, we are our own Kurdish nation ... At some point there will be a referendum on the independence of Kurdistan, and then we will let the people decide.” In February, Kurdish president Massoud Barzani, the premier’s uncle, had called for a referendum on a Kurdish state in northern Iraq, raising tension with Baghdad which opposes secession. The Kurdish peshmerga have fought with Iraqi government forces in a joint offensive to retake Mosul from the ISIS. Barzani said he estimates the coalition would need three months to retake the city and asked for more German weapons to aid his forces, as well as EU aid for refugees from the conflict. On the battle against ISIS, he said "we have taken the outlying districts quickly, but it’s not clear how strongly ISIS will defend the city itself. “We are seeing that they have hundreds of suicide bombers, they must have entire factories where they are making the explosives. That is the greatest threat to the offensive.”

 

Abadi: Battle to liberate Mosul continues

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 29 October 2016/Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi said on Saturday that the battle to liberate Mosul continues shortly after the Iraqi Federal Police raised the country’s flag in the southern besieged village of Shoura, Al Arabiya News Channel reported. "Today and yesterday we liberated many villages and we will continue the fight until all of province is free [of ISIS]." Abadi said. In a brief statement released earlier on Saturday by the Iraqi police, it was revealed that forces managed to enter Shoura from four sides. It confirmed that ISIS is breaking down and withdrawing from its defensive positions.The police also stated that it has liberated Ain-Nasr village from Shoura’s side killing five terrorists and destroying three booby-trapped cars. Major General Maan Al-Saadi, commander of the 2nd special division said that the regions that were liberated from ISIS were handed over to “other forces” to establish security and hinder the return of extremists again. The police have also destroyed the network of tunnels extending to the center of Mosul.

Operations halt

Prior to Saturdays advancements in Mosul, a spokesperson of the International coalition announced on Friday that the Iraqi forces will halt its operations for two days to reinforce the success achieved since the beginning of the liberation operation in Mosul. American Colonel John Dorian said in a video conference from Baghdad: “We think that it will take approximately two days before resuming our progress towards Mosul”, explaining that this pause comes within the plans of the coalition. He added that this break is broad and will take place on several axes; it is necessary for the re-positioning, planning and cleansing operations undertaken by the Iraqi forces in the seized regions. Dorian also pointed out that the break is taken to reinforce Iraqi forces’ position, stressing that they seek to help the Iraqi forces adapt to the tactics and decisions taken by the enemy until now.”In the meantime, the coalition continues its raids targeting tunnels used by ISIS to surprise the Iraqi forces, as well as the terrorist organization’s command centers. The spokesman added that the coalition has launched about 2500 “bombs, missiles and rockets” since the start of the battle of Mosul.

Shiite militias launch operation near Mosul

State-sanctioned Shiite militias launched an assault on ISIS west of the Iraqi city of Mosul on Saturday but reiterated that they would not enter the Sunni majority city. Jaafar al-Husseini, a spokesman for the Hezbollah Brigades, said they launched an offensive Saturday along with other large militias toward the town of Tel Afar, which had a Shiite majority before it fell to ISIS in 2014. Iranian forces are advising the fighters and Iraqi aircraft are providing airstrikes, he said. Iraq launched a massive operation to retake militant-held Mosul, its second largest city, last week. The involvement of the Shiite militias has raised concerns the battle could aggravate sectarian divisions. The Mosul offensive involves more than 25,000 soldiers, Federal Police, Kurdish fighters, Sunni tribesmen and the Shiite militias, which operate under an umbrella organization known as the Popular Mobilization Units. Many of the militias were originally formed after the 2003 US-led invasion to battle American forces and Sunni insurgents. They were mobilized again and endorsed by the state when ISIS, a Sunni extremist group, swept through northern and central Iraq in 2014, capturing Mosul and other towns and cities. A US-led coalition has been providing airstrikes and ground support to Iraqi forces in the Mosul offensive, but al-Husseini said it had no involvement in the Iran-backed militias' advance on Tel Afar. He said the militias will focus on Tel Afar and on securing the western border with Syria. ISIS still controls territory on both sides of the border, where it shuttles fighters, weapons and supplies between Mosul and the Syrian city of Raqqa, the de facto capital of its self-styled caliphate. Iraqi forces advancing toward Mosul from several directions have made uneven progress since the offensive began. Iraqi forces are 4 miles (6 kilometers) from the edge of Mosul on the eastern front, where the elite special forces are leading the charge. But progress has been slower in the south, with Iraqi forces still 20 miles (35 kilometers) from the city. There have been no major advances over the past two days, as Iraqi forces have sought to consolidate their gains by clearing explosive booby-traps left by the extremists and uncovering tunnels they dug to elude airstrikes. (With AP)

 

UAE condemns Iran for aiding Yemen militias following Makkah attack

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Friday, 28 October 2016/The United Arab Emirates foreign minister has condemned Iran for aiding and supporting Houthi militias in Yemen following an attempted attack on Makkah. UAE’s Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed tweeted his condemnation on Friday saying that “Iran claims itself Islamic while supporting militias firing of rockets into Makkah”. The Arab Coalition fighting in Yemen said on Thursday that it intercepted a ballistic missile that hit 65 km away from Saudi Arabia's holy city of Makkah, saying it was fired by militias in Yemen. The missile was fired from Saada province towards Makkah, the coalition said. No damage has been reported.

 

Iraqi flag raised at ISIS southern hub Shoura

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 29 October 2016/Iraqi Federal Police has raised on Saturday the country’s flag at an ISIS southern hub in southern Mosul, Al Arabiya News Channel reported. The police said in a brief statement on Saturday that it managed to enter the besieged village of Shoura in southern Mosul from four sides. It confirmed that ISIS is breaking down and withdrawing from its defensive positions. The police also stated that it has liberated Ain-Nasr village from Shoura’s side killing five terrorists and destroying three booby-trapped cars. Major General Maan Al-Saadi, commander of the 2nd special division said that the regions that were liberated from ISIS were handed over to “other forces” to establish security and hinder the return of extremists again. The police have also destroyed the network of tunnels extending to the center of Mosul. Saadi added that the nineth troop is moving forward to Mosul from the south; the northern axis is now completely closed for ISIS fighters, he said, adding that troops are on the Eastern entrances of the city.

Shiite militias launch operation near Mosul

State-sanctioned Shiite militias launched an assault on ISIS west of the Iraqi city of Mosul on Saturday but reiterated that they would not enter the Sunni majority city.

Jaafar al-Husseini, a spokesman for the Hezbollah Brigades, said they launched an offensive Saturday along with other large militias toward the town of Tel Afar, which had a Shiite majority before it fell to ISIS in 2014. Iranian forces are advising the fighters and Iraqi aircraft are providing airstrikes, he said. Iraq launched a massive operation to retake militant-held Mosul, its second largest city, last week. The involvement of the Shiite militias has raised concerns the battle could aggravate sectarian divisions. The Mosul offensive involves more than 25,000 soldiers, Federal Police, Kurdish fighters, Sunni tribesmen and the Shiite militias, which operate under an umbrella organization known as the Popular Mobilization Units. Many of the militias were originally formed after the 2003 US-led invasion to battle American forces and Sunni insurgents. They were mobilized again and endorsed by the state when ISIS, a Sunni extremist group, swept through northern and central Iraq in 2014, capturing Mosul and other towns and cities. A US-led coalition has been providing airstrikes and ground support to Iraqi forces in the Mosul offensive, but al-Husseini said it had no involvement in the Iran-backed militias' advance on Tel Afar. He said the militias will focus on Tel Afar and on securing the western border with Syria. ISIS still controls territory on both sides of the border, where it shuttles fighters, weapons and supplies between Mosul and the Syrian city of Raqqa, the de facto capital of its self-styled caliphate. Meanwhile, the spokesperson of the International coalition announced on Friday that the Iraqi forces will halt its operations for two days to reinforce the success achieved since the beginning of the liberation operation in Mosul. American Colonel John Dorian said in a video conference from Baghdad: “We think that it will take approximately two days before resuming our progress towards Mosul”, explaining that this pause comes within the plans of the coalition.

 

ISIS suicide bomber targeting Iraq Shiites kills four

AFP, Baghdad Saturday, 29 October 2016/A suicide bombing claimed by ISIS targeted Shiite Muslims in the Iraqi capital on Saturday, killing at least four people, security and medical officials said. The bomber targeted a tent in the Iskan area of western Baghdad where Shiites were distributing food and drinks to pilgrims making their way to the shrine city of Karbala, south of the capital. The attack also wounded at least 16 people, officials said. ISIS issued a statement claiming the attack in which it boasted that the bomber had successfully passed security checkpoints to carry out the attack. The latest attack comes as Iraqi forces close in on Mosul, the last ISIS-held city in the country, after regaining much of the territory that the militants had overran in 2014. But even their ouster from the northern city of Mosul is unlikely to bring an end to Isis bombings, and the militant group may increasingly turn to such attacks as they continue to lose ground.

 

Turkey parliament to consider death penalty for coup plotters: Erdogan

AFP, Istanbul Saturday, 29 October 2016/Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Saturday said his government would ask parliament to consider reintroducing the death penalty as a punishment for the plotters behind the July coup bid. “Our government will take this (proposal on capital punishment) to parliament. I am convinced that parliament will approve it, and when it comes back to me, I will ratify it,” Erdogan said in a speech in Ankara.“Soon, soon, don’t worry. It’s happening soon, God willing,” he said, as crowds chanted: “We want the death penalty!” Capital punishment was abolished in Turkey in 2004 as the nation sought accession to the European Union.  West’s warnings scoffed . On Saturday, Erdogan scoffed at the West’s warnings on the reintroduction of the death penalty. “The West says this, the West says that. Excuse me, but what counts is not what the West says. What counts is what my people say,” he said, during a ceremony to inaugurate a high-speed train station in the Turkish capital. Ankara accuses Muslim preacher Fethullah Gulen who lives in exile in the US of masterminding the attempt to oust Erdogan -- a claim he denies. “What are you doing in Pennsylvania, Go on, come here! Why don’t you come home?” Erdogan added.

 

Erdogan: Turkey aims to reinforce troops on Iraq border

Reuters, Ankara Sunday, 30 October 2016/Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said Turkey was aiming to reinforce its troops deployments in its Iraqi border town of Silopi and that it would have a “different response” for Shiite militia groups if they cause terror in the Iraqi city of Tal Afar. Iranian-backed Iraqi Shiite paramilitary groups have said they have started an offensive against ISIS positions west of Mosul, which will target Tal Afar. Speaking to reporters at a reception marking Republic Day in Ankara, Erdogan said the information he received had not confirmed such movement. He gave no details on the numbers of reinforcements, or what the different response would be. Ankara has repeatedly warned that it would take measures if there is an attack on the city, which has a sizeable ethnic Turkmen population, as part of a wider US- led offensive to retake Iraqi city of Mosul from ISIS.

 

Al Arabiya documentary reveals Houthi lobby network in UN

Staff writer, Al Arabiya News Channel Sunday, 30 October 2016/Al Arabiya News Channel aired on Saturday a documentary showing how the Iran-backed Houthi militia group has a lobbyist network inside the United Nations. Some of the NGOs and individuals, who were not Yemeni or Yemen-based, are also seen as pro-Iran. Here names of some of the preeminent players:

- Ambassador Abdul Illah Hajar, a member of the Houthi delegation, who participated in Yemen’s peace talks. At the peace talks, Hajar introduced himself as a representative of the Yemeni Foreign Ministry branch dealing with International Organizational Affairs.

- Ahmed al-Shami, Executive Director of Arabia Human Right Watch Association (ARWA).

- Mohammed al-Wazir, ARWA’s founder and director of its legal affairs.

- Yousra al-Harazy, who lives in Geneva. She is in charge of organizing ARWA’s motions, and participates in the United Nations Human Rights Council sessions.

On April 28, ARWA submitted a complaint to the International Criminal Court (ICC) on behalf of 34 Yemeni NGOs, accusing the Arab Coalition of committing war crimes and genocide. ARWA claimed compensation worth billions of dollars.

- The Houthis lobby also comprises the SABA organization in Yemen, headed by journalist Ahmed al-Muaid.

- NGOs from other countries

The list include NGOs in other countries such as the Iraqi Development Organization, the Sunni Scholars Association in southern Iraq headed by Sheikh Khaled al-Mullah, in addition to the Lebanon-based al-Khiam Rehabilitation Center (KRC) for Victims of Torture, which was founded in June 1999, and granted advisory membership of the United Nations Economic and Social Council in 2010.

Despite KRC’s presentation of itself as an NGO, its Secretary General Mohamed Safa stated back in 2008 that the center was indeed a partner in the Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah’s victory in the south of the country.

In February 2016, KRC announced embracing the case of opposition Sheikh Ali Salman, leader of al-Wefaq National Islamic Society in Bahrain.

Houthi maneuver

The documentary shows how the Houthis were blamed by Kate Gilmore, the Deputy Commissioner for Human Rights of the United Nations, on Sept. 27 for the siege imposed on the city of Taiz, blocking food, water and creating fuel shortages. The Houthis, simultaneously, held a conference on the sidelines, while Gilmore was presenting her findings, to diffuse and deflect attention. They spent their time discussing human rights conditions in the countries participating in the Arab Coalition, accusing them of collaborating with Al-Qaeda in Yemen.

The Houthis were also able to garner support from similar pressure groups in Europe and the United States.

 

Hadi rejects UN plan, says it ‘rewards Houthis

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English, Saturday, 29 October 2016/Yemeni President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi on Saturday rejected a peace proposal submitted by UN envoy Ismail Ould Cheikh Ahmed aimed at ending the war in his impoverished country, official sources told Al Arabiya News Channel. Hadi received Ould Cheikh Ahmed and refused to take the UN proposal handed to him by the envoy during a meeting held in Riyadh in the presense of Vice President Ali Mohsen Saleh and Prime Minister Ahmed Obeid bin Daghr. The contents of a peace roadmap which the envoy has already presented to the Houthi militias on Tuesday have not been made public. However, Hadi said that the proposal is not based on the terms that were previously agreed for a political solution. A statement on the government’s sabanew.net quoted Hadi as saying the roadmap “only opens a door towards more suffering and war and is not a map for peace”. While previous peace proposals were “logical even if to a certain extent... the thoughts presented today under the name of a roadmap... only carry the seeds of war.” The statement confirmed that Hadi refused to accept it, citing him as saying that the plan “rewards the militias while punishing the Yemeni people.”This article is also avaliable in Arabic on AlArabyia.Net. (With AFP)

 

Coalition spokesman: Houthis launched ballistic missiles from a mosque

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 29 October 2016/The Iran-backed Houthi militias and their allies launched their ballistic missile towards the Saudi city of Makkah - which was intercepted late Thursday - from a mosque in the Yemeni city of Saada, spokesman for the Arab Coalition said in an interview published on Saturday. Brigadier General Ahmed Asiri, who is also an advisor at the Saudi Minister of Defense’s office, told the London-based Asharq Al-Awsat, that the Royal Saudi Forces targeted the location where the missiles were launched towards Makkah, which harbors Islam’s holiest site, and they found it was a mosque. “These people know no religion and have no morals. They are using mosques, schools, and hospitals for their criminal acts,” he said. Asiri reiterated that the coalition will continue to support the internationally recognized Yemeni President Abed Rabu Mansour Hadi’s forces both politically and militarily.

 

Suicide bombing targeting Yemen’s central bank foiled

AFP, Aden Saturday, 29 October 2016/Guards thwarted a suicide attack on the Yemeni central bank on Saturday opening fire on the bomber’s vehicle and blowing it up before it reached the building, a security official said. The central bank has been based in the government-controlled second city of Aden since last month, when President Abedabbo Mansour Hadi ordered its relocation from the militia-held capital Sanaa accusing the militias of running down its foreign reserves. Five guards were wounded when the bomber’s vehicle blew up around 30 meters (yards) from the bank building, the security official told AFP. The force of the blast shattered the bank’s windows and caused damage to other nearby buildings. The bank’s relocation has been a major blow to the rebels, forcing them to halt salary payments to state employees in the large areas of the country they control. The move came after a UN report released in August found that the militias and their allies were diverting about $100 million a month from the central bank, and that its foreign reserves had dwindled to $1.3 billion from about $4 billion in November 2014.

Egyptian FM warns Muslim bloc after its mocking of Sisi

The Associated Press, Cairo Saturday, 29 October 2016/Egypt's Foreign Minister has protested remarks by the chief of the world's largest bloc of Muslim countries, for mocking Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi. Sameh Shukry warned Iyad Madani, the head of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, on Saturday that Egypt will be "reviewing its position toward the secretariat of the organization."This week, Madani mistakenly confused the Tunisian president's name with that of Egypt's el-Sisi, then told Essebsi, "I am sure your fridge has more than water."

He was mocking el-Sisi who claimed in a conference this week that for a decade his fridge had nothing but water, in a message to Egyptians to bear harsh economic conditions.

 

Roadside blast in Egypt’s North Sinai kills senior military officer

Reuters, Cairo Saturday, 29 October 2016/A senior military officer and one soldier were killed on Saturday by a roadside explosion in Egypt’s North Sinai where the government faces an ISIS-led insurgency, security sources told Reuters. Hundreds of soldiers and police have been killed in the insurgency and there have also been attacks in Cairo and other cities. Militant groups appear to be stepping up attacks with the emergence of a new group calling itself the Revolution Brigade which claimed responsibility for the killing of a brigadier general, a commander in North Sinai, outside his home on the outskirts of Cairo last week.

Major attack

That attack came just one week after ISIS ambushed a military checkpoint killing 12 Egyptian soldiers in the town of Bir al-Abd, the first major attack in the central Sinai area, which had so far escaped the militant campaign. Military and police sources who did not wish to be identified told Reuters that Saturday’s explosion was a targeted attack on Colonel Rami Hassanein, who was killed while travelling in an armored vehicle just outside North Sinai’s Sheikh Zuweid. One other soldier was killed and three others were injured in the attack, the sources said. Egypt’s military has not released a statement on the incident and was not available for comment.

 

Egypt’s PM in Red Sea after floods kill 18

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 29 October 2016/Egypt’s Prime Minister Sherif Ismail visited the Red Sea governorate on Saturday to check damages caused by deadly rain floods that killed at least 18 people and 47 injured. The floods were caused by heavy rains in several towns in Upper Egypt and along the Red Sea coast on Wednesday and Thursday, severally affecting impoverished areas with poor infrastructure. The prime minister took a tour of the places affected by the flood in the town of Ras Gharib -150 kilometers north of Hurghada - and listened to explanations by the governor on how the affected areas would be rebuilt and what relief efforts are being accorded to victims, according to local daily Ahram Online. Six others were also killed and 24 others wounded early on Friday when two buses and three other vehicles overturned in floods on a highway in the governorate of Sohag, which lies some 500 km south of Cairo, the health ministry said. Schools in the coastal town, which is around 150 km north of Hurghada, have been indefinitely suspended due to the flooding. (With AFP)

 

Palestinian attacker shot by Israeli troops

AFP, Jerusalem Saturday, 29 October 2016/A Palestinian attacked Israeli troops with his car and then with a knife in the occupied West Bank before being shot and seriously wounded, the army said on Saturday. The attack happened late on Friday near the Jewish settlement of Ofra, northeast of the city of Ramallah, an army statement said. The assailant attempted to run over soldiers with his car, prompting them to open fire. He then got out of the vehicle brandishing a knife and troops fired again, seriously wounding him, the statement said. There has been a spate of car-ramming and knife attacks in Israel and the Palestinian territories, most of them in the West Bank or annexed east Jerusalem. Analysts say Palestinian frustration with the Israeli occupation and settlement-building in the West Bank, comatose peace efforts and their own fractured leadership have fed the unrest. Israel says incitement by Palestinian leaders and media is a leading cause. Human rights groups have accused Israeli security forces of using excessive and often lethal force in tackling the violence, most of which has been carried out by lone-wolf assailants, many of them young. Internal reviews by the army of two fatal shootings of attackers earlier this month found that the use of deadly force could have been avoided, public radio reported on Tuesday. Since October last year, the violence has claimed the lives of 235 Palestinians, 36 Israelis, two Americans, a Jordanian, an Eritrean and a Sudanese, according to an AFP count.

 

Israel apologizes for Deputy Minister’s comments on Italy quake

AFP, Jerusalem Sunday, 30 October 2016/Israel apologized on Saturday after a deputy minister said an earthquake in Italy was punishment for a UNESCO resolution on east Jerusalem that has angered the Jewish state. Ayub Kara, deputy minister of regional cooperation, said during a visit to the Vatican on Wednesday he was sure the quake that hit central Italy the same day happened because of the resolution, which Israel has said denies the Jewish connection to the city. “We repudiate the remarks of Deputy Minister Kara,” a foreign ministry spokesman said in a statement.“Since making the statement, Deputy Minister Kara has issued an apology, which is also endorsed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs,” it said. Kara is a Druze lawmaker from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s far-right Likud party.The condemnation of his remarks came just hours before the start of an official visit to Israel by Italian President Sergio Mattarella. The Arab-sponsored resolution passed by the UN cultural agency on October 18 criticized the Jewish state for restricting access to the Al-Aqsa mosque compound in annexed east Jerusalem.

Furious

Israel is furious that the UNESCO resolution refers to the holy site in Jerusalem’s Old City only by its Muslim name, Al-Aqsa or Al-Haram al-Sharif. Jews refer to the site as the Temple Mount and it is considered the holiest site in Judaism. Israel recalled its ambassador to UNESCO for consultations on Wednesday over the issue. Italy’s Prime Minister Matteo Renzi last week described the resolution as “incomprehensible and unacceptable”, and said his officials should have voted against it instead of abstaining. Israel occupied and later annexed Palestinian east Jerusalem in 1967 in a move never recognized by the international community. UNESCO is responsible for protecting important heritage sites and is one of the few international organizations that recognize Palestine as a member state.

 

Saudi UN envoy: Re-electing Riyadh to HR Council reflects ‘trust’

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Saturday, 29 October 2016/Saudi Ambassador to the UN Abdullah bin Yahya Al-Moallami said on Friday that re-electing the kingdom as a member of the Human Rights Council will allow his country to complete its mission in defending human rights in the Arab and Islamic worlds, the official Saudi Press Agency (SPA) reported. The ambassador Abdullah bin Yahya Al-Moallami also said re-electing Saudi reflects the international community’s “trust” in the kingdom’s “leading role” in the UN Human Rights Council. He added: “The Kingdom will continue this role during the three upcoming years.” The four Arab countries: Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Egypt and Tunisia are part of the 14 countries who gained membership of Human Rights Council. Their first session will start on January, 2017.

 

Two suicide bombers kill at least eight in northeast Nigeria’s Maiduguri

Reuters, Maiduguri, Nigeria Saturday, 29 October 2016/Two suicide bombers killed at least eight people on Saturday in the northeastern Nigerian city of Maiduguri, the heart of a seven-year-old insurgency by extremist Boko Haram militants, the military said. There was no immediate claim of responsibility but the attacks bore the hallmarks of Boko Haram which has been trying to set up a caliphate in the northeast, killing thousands and displacing more than 2 million people. In one attack a woman who blew herself up at 0600 GMT in front of the Bakasi camp for displaced persons on Maiduguri’s outskirts, killing five men and wounding 11 women, the army said in a statement. At about the same time another female suicide bomber blew herself up while trying to enter a fuel depot of state oil firm NNPC, killing three persons, the army said. Residents saw bodies being carried into an ambulance by government emergency services. Boko Haram controlled a swathe of land around the size of Belgium at the start of 2015, but Nigeria’s army, aided by troops from neighboring countries, has recaptured most of the territory. The group still stages suicide bombings in the northeast, as well as in neighboring Niger and Cameroon.

 

EU and Canada to sign trade pact after Belgians strike key deal

Reuters, Brussels Saturday, 29 October 2016/Canada and the European Union will sign a landmark free trade deal on Sunday after a series of key votes in Belgian regional assemblies on Friday ended opposition that had threatened to destroy the entire agreement. Soon after the final Belgian vote, European Council president Donald Tusk called Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and invited him to Brussels for the signing ceremony, which is scheduled for noon local time (1000 GMT). “The Canada-EU Summit will be Sunday. Great news and I’m looking forward to being there,” Trudeau said on Twitter. The Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), which backers say will boost bilateral trade by 20 percent, appeared to be in trouble after Belgium’s French-speaking Wallonia region raised a series of late objections. All 28 EU governments back CETA but Belgium’s central government had been prevented from giving consent because it needed approval from sub-federal authorities. After Belgian politicians agreed to an addendum on Thursday to allay Wallonia’s concerns, the regional parliament voted on Friday to back the deal. The parliaments of Brussels and the Dutch-speaking community approved the deal a few hours later. Wallonia’s Socialist premier, Paul Magnette, who had become a hero to protesters across Europe, said the Belgian negotiations produced a deal he could live with. “The amended and corrected CETA is more just than the old CETA. It offers more guarantees and it is what I will defend,” Magnette  The addendum addresses fears that a system to protect foreign investors could strengthen multinationals. It also provides a safeguard clause for farmers. “With this saga, which I must say made some noise, everybody in Europe knows the Walloon parliament exists,” Magnette said. The agreement could partially enter force next year, some eight years after talks began, as long as the European Parliament also backs it. It would bring in tariff reductions before national and regional parliaments complete ratification. The opposition to CETA is part of a growing backlash in the West against globalization, with the fiercest protests against a proposed EU-US deal best known by its initials, TTIP. Protesters say TTIP and CETA would strengthen multinationals and degrade food, environmental and labor standards. Magnette said on Friday that “TTIP is dead and buried.” The Belgian dispute over CETA reflects a split in the country between a richer, Dutch-speaking north and a largely French-speaking south that has struggled to cope with the decline of its coal and steel industries. The federal government has just one party from the south, Prime Minister Charles Michel’s MR liberals, the Socialists’ arch-enemies. But not everyone in Wallonia agreed with Magnette. “It is clear that the text of CETA stays the same: the DNA of CETA is one of deregulation and it puts nations in competition at an unprecedented level,” said Frederic Gillot of PTB-GO, a hard-left party that is winning voters from the Socialists.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis& editorials from miscellaneous sources published on on October 29-30/16

Is new imam answered prayer or impending doom for Hagia Sophia?

Pinar Tremblay/Al Monitor/October 29/16

Onder Soy, the new imam of the Hunkar Kasri, part of the Hagia Sophia complex, recently led the first Friday prayers there in 80 years, sparking enormous joy and excitement among many Muslims. It also spawned concern among people who worry about potential loss of tourism revenue and frustration among those who fear this could be the first step toward completely converting the site into a mosque.

While many Turks applaud the appointment of an imam inside the Hagia Sophia, others worry President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is claiming the national and historical treasure to build his case for an imperial presidency.

The situation is complicated.

First, the Hagia Sophia Museum — which encompasses the former Byzantine and Ottoman house of worship — has not become a functioning mosque. The imam, appointed Oct. 20 by the Turkish Religious Affairs Directorate, will oversee only the Hunkar Kasri, itself a tourist attraction with its impressive Iznik tiles. The Hunkar Kasri, which means "mini palace for the sultans," was a place for the Ottoman sultans to rest before and after they attended prayers at the Hagia Sophia.

Since 1991, the Hunkar Kasri has been open to prayer but had no official imam. It is a small area where observant Muslims can perform their midday and afternoon prayers. Now, with its own permanent imam, it is able to serve the public full time. Hence, believers can attend prayers five times a day, and also the special Friday prayers.

However, several believers who were interviewed on television Oct. 21 after the first Friday prayers at the complex said this access was not enough. One commented, “We are calling upon the president: Please open the Hagia Sophia as a mosque again so we can pray freely.” Below are a few examples from hundreds of jubilant comments on social media.

Political commentator Savci Sayan, who is known for his adoration of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, tweeted, “I am dreaming of the president leading the Friday prayer at Hagia Sophia. And I am praying for this dream to come true. #LetUsPray.”

Another citizen tweeted, "Now there is an imam for the Hunkar Kasri of Hagia Sophia. The next order of business should be to open Hagia Sophia for believers."

The hashtag #AyasofyaAcilsinDunyaCildirsin ("Open Hagia Sophia and let the world be green with envy") also started trending as several tweets claimed that Istanbul cannot be free as long as Hagia Sophia remains a museum.

Several people who support Erdogan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) encouraged the idea as well, suggesting, “We do not want to enter Hagia Sophia by paying [for a ticket], but by having performed an ablution."

Turkish media outlets showed a great deal of interest in the new imam. He became a celebrity overnight as details about him spread, including his interest in kickboxing and karate and his love of music. Islamist news outlets did not hesitate to lead their newscasts with a photo of the imam wearing boxing gloves. Dini Haberler's caption read, “Against the Christian Crusaders, we now have a boxing imam.”

Al-Monitor reported in June that Islamist groups in Turkey have intensified their efforts around the Hagia Sophia. Today, the urging to open it as a mosque and for Erdogan to lead Friday prayers there has reached fever pitch. For proponents of the change, the Hagia Sophia as a museum symbolizes Turkey in chains; for independence to be complete, it must become a functioning mosque. A group called "Free Hagia Sophia" tweeted after the July 15 coup attempt, quoting a prominent religious scholar, “If we turn Hagia Sophia back into a mosque, all Turkey's hard times and troubles will end.”

However, there were a few lonely critical voices that dared to comment against the permanent imam's appointment.

One Twitter user wrote, “So Hagia Sophia now has an imam assigned by the Religious Affairs Directorate. It is only inside our homes where you have not yet nominated an imam.” Some people want to know, now that the Hagia Sophia Museum has an imam, whether the site has a religious status, which could affect its status as an international monument.

As Turkey is suffering from a significant loss in tourism, this news worries some businesses in the area. Al-Monitor spoke to the owners of 11 prominent businesses in Istanbul's Egyptian Market (also known as the Spice Bazaar), and all expressed concern about how the news will be reported in the international media. One of them said, “Please make sure you highlight that Hagia Sophia is still a museum. Visitors can still tour it. We are all Muslims, but let’s be honest, Istanbul does not need more mosques. We need more tourists.” Indeed, the vendors’ concerns are shared by the Turkish Ministry of Culture and Tourism, which reported a 32% decrease in the number of tourists from January to August 2016 compared with the same period in 2015. Not only have the number of visitors decreased, the average amount of money each spends in Turkey has gone down significantly.

So given the depressing figures, why would Erdogan risk further financial loss? A seasoned political science professor from a prominent Turkish university who spoke to Al-Monitor on condition of anonymity noted “Erdogan’s recent rhetoric on Lausanne and other international treaties designating the Turkish Republic’s borders [in which he] challenges the agreements from their foundations."

As he prepares for another possible election or referendum, said the professor, "We see that Erdogan is after an imperial presidency. And what better place to finalize this than a prayer session at the Hagia Sophia and converting it back to a mosque? This will be just like how the sultans' inaugurations were done — and all Turkish soap opera audiences know that."

The jubilation over possibly making the Hagia Sophia back into a mosque is not only a religious but also a nationalistic matter for Turks. That is precisely why, when Greek Defense Minister Panos Kammenos canceled his planned visit to Istanbul, the Turkish media reported it as a victory.

Twitter users posted pictures of the building with captions such as “Now the sound of call to prayer at the Hagia Sophia rises. This decision made the European devils mad.” Others expressed their joy that the call to the prayer reached all the way to Greece, leading Kammenos to cancel his trip.

In the Greek media, though, the reporting is a bit different. First, Kammenos’ purpose in traveling to Istanbul was to attend the Oct. 23 ceremony celebrating the 25-year anniversary of the enthronement of ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew. The issue of the new imam was only one reason he canceled his trip. The Greek government is worried about Erdogan's revisionist approach, his criticism of the Lausanne Treaty and his recent claims on Greek islands and territory. Turkish violations of Greek sea and airspace is also a recurring source of tension between the two countries. Erdogan’s words and what some see as his intent to gradually convert the Hagia Sophia into a mosque despite several international and Greek complaints have exacerbated matters.

One retired Greek diplomat told Al-Monitor on condition of anonymity, “The Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and office of the presidency say Hagia Sophia will remain a museum, whereas the unofficial pro-AKP voices are running the other direction. We fear with regard to Hagia Sophia, the government is fanning the flames only to say they had to obey the public’s wishes at the end.” Like other countries bordering Turkey, Greece is concerned about the volatility of Erdogan’s fury in both the domestic and international realms.

The last time Erdogan spoke about the Hagia Sophia becoming a mosque was before the presidential elections in June 2014. As another renovated mosque was opening in Istanbul, audiences asked about it, and Erdogan replied evasively, “Let’s first make sure other mosques in the vicinity are filled up during prayer times, particularly in the morning prayers.”

None of the commentators have argued that Erdogan’s desire has been fulfilled to turn the Hagia Sophia into a mosque today. But can Erdogan achieve his presidency without leading prayers there?

 

Why Reformists have no choice but to back Rouhani

Saeid Jafari/Monitor/October 29/16

TEHRAN, Iran — Conditions seem to be moving toward the smooth re-election of Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani after one of his main rivals, former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, announced that he will not be running in the May 2017 vote. But will the Reformists, who were Rouhani’s key supporters and the reason for his victory in the 2013 election, continue backing him? It appears as if the situation has not turned out the way the Reformists envisaged and that there is some dissatisfaction with Rouhani’s performance within their camp.

Despite the discontent among his key Reformist backers, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani seems set for another term — if only because of a lack of options. Reformist politician and member of parliament Mohammad Reza Aref, who quit the 2013 presidential race at the last minute to allow for a Reformist consensus around Rouhani, is one of the people who does not have a favorable view of the president. Aref, the head of the Reformist-moderate “List of Hope” for the Feb. 26 parliamentary elections, has continuously refrained from voicing his outright support for Rouhani in the upcoming presidential vote.

In an Aug. 13 interview with the Young Journalists Club, Aref — who served as first vice president during former Reformist President Mohammad Khatami’s second term (2001-2005) — was asked to comment on whether Rouhani is the Reformists only potential candidate in the May 2017 vote. He responded, “Whatever comment I make in this regard will be viewed as personal since the final decision on the Reformists’ presence at the polls has not been made yet. The cohesion of the Reformist camp is paramount to us. Therefore, we will discuss this after the [Reformists’] type of presence [in the next presidential election] has been decided on.”Aref’s comments may stem from his personal discontent with Rouhani for not appointing him as his first vice president after being elected president, and later for not supporting his bid to become parliament speaker. Although Rouhani never made a direct or official statement about Aref’s decision to run for speaker, the president’s advisers and deputies supported Aref’s main rival, incumbent Principlist Ali Larijani.

One informed source close to former President Khatami who asked to remain anonymous shared with Al-Monitor an interesting anecdote about the government’s role in the vote for the speakership. He told Al-Monitor, “Before the inauguration of the new parliament, [Oil Minister] Bijan Zangeneh and [Minister of Roads and Urban Development] Abbas Akhoundi visited Khatami to discuss Aref’s candidacy and request that he convince Aref to not compete in the race so that Larijani could remain in the post of speaker. This request by Zanganeh and Akhoundi — who had both served as ministers in Khatami’s administration — greatly angered Khatami who responded, 'If in 2013 we convinced Aref to quit the race, it was because Hassan Rouhani was on the other side and we could form a coalition around him. But what reason would we have for requesting this of Aref today? To withdraw in favor of Ali Larijani, who has no ties to the Reformists? What will the people who counted on us and voted for our List of Hope say?'”

The source added that Zangeneh and Akhoundi then tried to convince Khatami that Aref would not get enough votes and that it would be best if he ran for deputy speaker instead. Khatami, however, opposed their request and apparently said, “We do not expect the government to support Aref, but expect it to at least refrain from entering the scene and allow us to do our own work.” The meeting is said to have ended with Zangeneh and Akhoundi promising to convince Rouhani to do so.

This did not happen given that Rouhani’s first Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri two days later, on May 7, expressed his full support for Larijani at a gathering that was held to acquaint new parliamentarians with Iran’s parliament and the legislative process. At the meeting, Jahangiri praised Larijani and said, “The parliament speaker very bravely and thoughtfully stood up and even made a sacrifice to show his support for the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.” Jahangiri made no mention of Aref at the session.

Larijani’s decisive victory in the battle for the speakership is said to have once again disheartened Aref — so much so that until today he has abstained from voicing support for Rouhani’s re-election. One lawmaker from Tehran who was among the nominees on the Reformists’ List of Hope told Al-Monitor, “Mr. Aref feels that he has been deprived of his rights in an ungentlemanly manner and is very depressed and does not have much desire to voice his opinion or have an active role.”

It could be that the Reformists have realized that they have no other candidate than Rouhani and their lack of support could thus be aimed at pressuring the president into giving them a larger role in the next government.

In an interview with the Iranian Labor News Agency July 22, Mohammad Reza Khatami, the deputy speaker of Iran’s sixth parliament (2000-2004), introduced Rouhani as the Reformists’ first and last option for the May 2017 presidential vote. Meanwhile, prominent Reformist theoretician Saeed Hajjarian, a Reformist theoretician, told Basij News Aug. 28, “The Reformists have no choice but to support Rouhani. Even the Principlists will slowly come toward Rouhani and have no choice but to support him, because they, too, have no one to present for next year’s election.”

Saeed Laylaz, the deputy head of council of the Executives of Construction Party, shares Hajjarian and Khatami’s views. In an interview with Al-Monitor, Laylaz said, “If Ahmadinejad had come [forward as a candidate], there would be more unity and consensus among the Reformists. However, when next year’s election comes, you will still witness the Reformists forming a consensus around Rouhani without any difficulty.”

He added, “I don’t understand the great concern regarding Mr. Aref’s potential actions. He has always respected the Reformists’ collective and strategic decisions and never taken a step autonomously or against the public good of the Reformists. Therefore, I am certain that he, too, as one of the greats in the Reformist movement, will act wisely as he has done before and support Rouhani.”As such, given the current situation, Hajjarian’s analysis seems to be the most logical: The Reformists have no other option than Rouhani and they have no other choice either.

 

25 years after the Madrid Conference: A shattered dream

Nassif Hitti/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16

It is important for Pal­estinian leadership to be up to challenge and be over and above its members’ differences.

It has been a quarter of a century since the Madrid Peace Conference. In the history of the Arab-Israeli conflict, it was the first and only serious attempt at reaching a comprehensive peace on four tracks — Palestinian, Jordanian, Syrian and Lebanese — Egypt having already signed a peace agreement with Israel.

Comprehensive peace meant engaging in multilateral negotia­tions regarding refugees, water, arms control, regional security, the environment as well as economic cooperation and development. Negotiations were supposed to address key common issues in terms of their implications and concerns for the Arabs in exchange for attractive issues of normalisa­tion for the Israelis. The principle of trade-offs was there, carrying different incentives for the Arabs and Israelis.

The end of the Cold War allowed for US-Soviet cooperation and partnership while the 1991 war to liberate Kuwait opened the door towards establishment of a new re­gional order as called for by former US president George Bush, thriv­ing on the Arab international coali­tion that defeated Iraq’s Saddam Hussein. The second Palestinian intifada sent a strong warning about the need to break the status quo of occupation.

All these factors combined into a driving force behind the Madrid conference, which began October 30th, 1991. Yet the moment of optimism and hope was rapidly dashed because of the lack of serious commitment and needed engagement on the part of a third party group, mainly the United States, to commit itself to push for peace and overcome Israel intran­sigence.

Madrid ended up with a Jordani­an-Israeli peace accord, which was the easiest track among the four compared to the core one — being the Palestinian — and the strategic two-in-one, being the Syrian and the Lebanese — with the latter hanging on the former. It led also to the Oslo accords.

In other words, the fall of the comprehensive approach and its being replaced by the gradual transitional step-by-step approach on the Palestinian issue.

A shift occurred since then from a strategy of conflict resolution to one of conflict management on the core Palestinian issue. The Arab Peace Initiative that was devel­oped later was not translated into a policy-oriented strategy because the Arabs did not commit the nec­essary diplomatic resources to it.

The current Palestinian disunity and absence of serious working consensus within the Palestinian body politic, the Arab fragmenta­tion and the emergence of key pressing priorities on the agen­das of the key international and regional actors in a conflict-torn Middle East have marginalised the Palestinian issue.

Yet, identity-based conflicts such as national liberation ones — which is the case of the Palestin­ian issue — never die because of a certain unfavourable balance of power. The danger of marginalisa­tion could turn a conflict from a political one (national liberation) into a religious one with a strong revival of religious radicalism, especially when the occupied ter­ritories are defined and defended as being the promised land.

Indeed, religious radicalism be­gets religious radicalism. The Pal­estinian conflict area could become an attractive hotbed for jihadism. The danger also lies in Israel’s set­tlement policy aiming at changing the geographic and demographic natures of the occupied territories, destroying the possibility of estab­lishing a viable Palestinian state.

The parameters and process for a serious comprehensive settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict are well established. Negotiations could be resumed under the strategy of re­versed engineering, defining a final set of goals based on the reached agreements and pertinent UN reso­lutions. This means allowing the establishment of a viable Palestin­ian state along the 1967 lines with East Jerusalem as its capital and for the two states to exist side by side in peace.

Such a commitment to the final goals facilitates making hard con­cessions. This needs five elements:

a standing international conference that meets every time it is necessary to follow and ac­company the negotiations. From it emanates a committee to follow on the goals of the conference;

a well-defined time frame for negotiations;

the definition of the terms of reference of the negotiations for no serious negotiations take place in a vacuum;

the assuming by the third par­ty (the follow-up committee on the part of the conference) of the role of the referee, facilitator, bridge builder and responsibility for the respect of the terms of reference;

to provide at the end of the process all the necessary guar­antees for implementation of the agreement.

Time works against peace amid current Israeli policies.

It is also important for the Pal­estinian leadership to be up to the challenge and be over and above its members’ ideological organisation­al and political differences and to develop a policy-oriented strategy towards the achievement of the Palestinian state.

The hope is that the lessons of a quarter of a century of missed opportunities could be learnt in the interest of peace, which is in the interest of all, allowing for the opening of a new page in the his­tory of the Middle East.

 

Education is the only hope for the Middle East

Claude Salhani/The Arab Weekly/October 30/16

If one is to look at region’s history as guide for what its future may be, prognosis is rather bleak.

Fierce fighting between a US-backed coalition, which includes support from Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates, is under way to oust the forces of the Islamic State (ISIS) from the Iraqi city of Mosul. The United Nations said it is expecting about 150,000 people displaced by the fighting to seek shelter in makeshift camps. In all probability, those num­bers are likely to grow when equally heavy fighting follows once the battle for control of Raqqa, the main stronghold of ISIS forces in Syria, begins, creating a second front against the extremist jihadist group.

With winter weeks away, there are good reasons to fear for the well-being of these displaced people. They will most certainly spend at least the coming winter under UN tents.Judging by the scale and the ferocity of the fighting in Mosul, it is conceivable that it may take months before Iraq’s second city is safe and reinhabited by its residents. ISIS has had a long time to prepare for the battle for Mosul, so Iraqi troops and their allies can expect to have to go slowly to remove improvised explosive devices and unex­ploded ordnance.

ISIS combatants deployed hundreds of booby traps in cities and towns from which they retreated.The powers involved in the coalitions fighting ISIS — the US-led group, the one led by Moscow as well as Arab countries involved — should begin to reflect on the future of these two cities, their adjoining regions, their battered populations and where they are likely to go from here.

There are two battles to be fought. The first is to remove the threat posed by ISIS. The second, which may prove to be more difficult than the first, is to educate the people of the region to avoid repetition of past conflicts.

If one is to look at the region’s history as a guide for what its future may be, the prognosis is rather bleak. Before these battles end is the time to take action and reflect upon how the future will shape the battered populations of this region. Hundreds of thou­sands of people should not be left to idle away months and years in refugee tents. Doing so only provides potential recruits to perpetuate the never-ending cycle of violence.

The Arab countries that have invested much in financing the wars in Iraq and Syria should continue their investment in those two countries once the fighting subsides. This time they must invest in rebuilding not only the physical aspects of the battered cities and towns but also contribute towards establishing proper education for the children. And that should include religious education.

One place to start the rebuilding is to lead the inhabitants of Iraq and Syria into the unchartered waters of national reconciliation. Traditionally, animosity in that part of the world has tilted towards revenge, the eye-for-an-eye philosophy mentioned in the Bible. The trouble with the old ways is that they quench the desire for immediate vengeance but do little to address the problems they create for future generations.

What would it take to bring reconciliation to the Middle East conflicts? What would it take to replace strife and quick, almost knee-jerk reactions with dialogue and political maturity?Defeating ISIS would be good but how do we avoid repetition of such violence?The answer is education, educa­tion and more education. A pertinent question though is: Who is to carry out this educa­tion?