LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

February 09/17

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

Saint Maron’s Day: Maronites all over the world celebrates today the founder of their Christian Catholic Christian faith Saint Maron’s Annul Remembrance Holy Day. We the Maronites are ought in this event to take our great Saint as a role model in our life who lived a very simple modest and holy life praying and preaching the Bible.

 

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site

http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletins17/english.february09.17.htm

 

News Bulletin Achieves Since 2006

Click Here to go to the LCCC Daily English/Arabic News Buletins Archieves Since 2006

Bible Quotations For Today
Very truly, I tell you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains just a single grain; but if it dies, it bears much fruit
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 12/23-30/:"Jesus answered them, ‘The hour has come for the Son of Man to be glorified. Very truly, I tell you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains just a single grain; but if it dies, it bears much fruit. Those who love their life lose it, and those who hate their life in this world will keep it for eternal life. Whoever serves me must follow me, and where I am, there will my servant be also. Whoever serves me, the Father will honour. ‘Now my soul is troubled. And what should I say "Father, save me from this hour"? No, it is for this reason that I have come to this hour.Father, glorify your name.’ Then a voice came from heaven, ‘I have glorified it, and I will glorify it again.’The crowd standing there heard it and said that it was thunder. Others said, ‘An angel has spoken to him.’Jesus answered, ‘This voice has come for your sake, not for mine."
 

All who want to live a godly life in Christ Jesus will be persecuted. But wicked people and impostors will go from bad to worse, deceiving others and being deceived

Second Letter to Timothy 03/10-17/:"You have observed my teaching, my conduct, my aim in life, my faith, my patience, my love, my steadfastness, my persecutions, and my suffering the things that happened to me in Antioch, Iconium, and Lystra. What persecutions I endured! Yet the Lord rescued me from all of them. Indeed, all who want to live a godly life in Christ Jesus will be persecuted. But wicked people and impostors will go from bad to worse, deceiving others and being deceived. But as for you, continue in what you have learned and firmly believed, knowing from whom you learned it, and how from childhood you have known the sacred writings that are able to instruct you for salvation through faith in Christ Jesus. All scripture is inspired by God and is useful for teaching, for reproof, for correction, and for training in righteousness, so that everyone who belongs to God may be proficient, equipped for every good work.  

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on February 08-09/17
Will the Lebanese President Be Assad's New Friend in Town/Fadi al-Dahouk is a Syrian journalist./Washington Institute/February 08/17
What Is the Muslim Brotherhood/ Thomas Quiggin/Gatestone Institute/February 08/17
Do Not Reward Bad Behaviour/Trump Must Bury Anti-Semitic UN Resolution/ Jagdish N. Singh/Gatestone Institute/February 08/17
Germany's Muslim Demographic Future/ Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/February 08/17
Back to the ‘Axis of Evil’ on Iran/By Barbara Slavin/US Opinion and Commentary/Posted February 7th, 2017
Trump and the Iranian Elections: How His Rhetoric Could Affect the Outcome/By Ariane M. Tabatabai/Foreign Policy/February 07/17
Fanaticism is a barrel of gunpowder/Mohammed Al Shaikh/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
American threats and the Iranian complexities/Hamad al-Kaabi/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
Is Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal for defense purposes/Mosa Zahed/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
The intellectual beauty queen/Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/February 08/17

Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on February 08-09/17
Saudi Minister Says Kingdom Keen on 'Distinctive' Ties with Lebanon
Aoun tasks Justice Ministry to press charges over Istanbul New Year's attack
Mashnouq: President, PM Say New Electoral Law before End of February
Sami Gemayel Meets Saudi Minister, Says Keen on Lebanese-Saudi Ties
Cabinet Dedicates Next Session to Budget, PM Says Saudi-Lebanese Panel to be Formed
Hamadeh: Assad Transformed Syria Entirely Into a Jail and Slaughterhouse
Khalil: Budget Will be Approved without New Taxes
EU Envoys Urge 'Consensual' Electoral Law, Say 'Technical' Delay Must be Brief
UNIFIL and Lebanese Army Conduct Live Firing Exercise
Border Security Meeting Tackles Reopening of Lebanon-Syria Crossings
ISF apprehends father who physically abused two teenage daughters
Army Chief of Staff inspects Beirut military units
Four men try to kidnap Syrian from Klayaa farm
Kahwaji, USEK delegation discuss cooperation agreement
Bou Assi tackles developmental affairs with Maten municipalities union
EU Ambassadors meet with the Minister of Interior and Municipalities to discuss the forthcoming parliamentary elections
Sarraf receives Canadian Ambassador, German senior
Chweifat road reopens to traffic after short closure
Report: Contentious Supervisory Committee Raised at Cabinet Despite Aoun's Decline
Will the Lebanese President Be Assad's New Friend in Town?

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on February 07-08/17
At Least 8 Hurt as 'Electric Malfunction' Causes Blast at Paris MetroIsrael Says Rockets Fired from Egypt at Resort Town
British MPs Approve Bill to Start Brexit
U.N. Preparing Invitations to Syria Peace Talks
Death Toll in Strikes on Syria ex-Qaida Hits 46
Why the pope has taken control of the Knights of Malta
Israeli military responds to tank fire from Syria
White House Weighs Designating Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) a Terrorist Group
Iranian Resistance Condemns Atrocities in Syrian Prison
Iran: Factional Feuding in 2017 Presidential Election
Letter to AP by Senator Torricelli, on Distorted Story About MEK
NCRI Women's Committee Calls for Urgent Action to Free Activist Mother, Shahnaz Akmali
Iran: Internal Disputes Over 'Disqualification of Rouhani' in 2017 Presidential Bid
Syria Says Amnesty Report on Mass Hangings 'Completely False'
Turkey Says to Target IS-Held Raqa, Claims Progress in Al-Bab Battle
Six Red Cross staff killed, two missing in Afghanistan
This is not a Christian gesture’: Pope Francis denounces walls while praising immigrants

Links From Jihad Watch Site for on February 08-09/17
Arizona: Muslim gets 30 years for role in jihad terror attack on Garland Muhammad cartoon contest
Daily Beast crows that Sean Spicer “makes up Atlanta Islamist terror attack”
Canada: Muslim migrant charged with multiple sexual assaults at waterpark
Flynn: “If we can’t tackle enemy doctrines that call for our domination or extinction, we aren’t going to destroy their jihadis
To defeat the enemy, we must understand who he is”: An interview with Robert Spencer
Endeavor to portray Muslims as ‘brown’ and foes of jihad terror as disliking them for racial reasons is dishonest”
Murder victim’s father denies killing was jihad terror: “He said ‘Allahu akbar.’ It’s a bit like me saying I’m Jesus Christ.”
Australia: Islamic conference flyer covers women’s faces, organizers blame “Islamophobia
Muslim Brotherhood protests Jordan’s removal of Qur’an’s jihad verses from curriculum
Twitter suspends comic strip for lampooning the Left’s appeasement of Islamic law
France: Anti-Christian attacks rise 245 percent
UK: Muslim killer muttered “Allah, Allah, Allah,” carried book telling Muslims to “die a shahid,” terrorism ruled out
Trump says media doesn’t report terror attacks, media responds with outrage and fury
House Committee members compromised by rogue IT staff: Abid, Imran and Jamal Awan

Links From Christian Today Site for on February 08-09/17
Betsy DeVos: Five Reasons Christians Love And Hate Trump's New Education Secretary
UK Christian 'Prayer Wall' To Be Built Out Of A Million Bricks Representing A Million Answered Prayers
New Alleged Abuse Victim Says John Smyth Made Him Self-Harm To Rid Himself Of 'Sinful' Gay Desires
German Evangelical Church Invites Pope To Visit In Historic First
Migrants Labouring For Qatar's FIFA World Cup Are Becoming Christians
GAFCON Threatens Rebellion Less Than Two Weeks After Church Adopts Conservative Line On Marriage
John Smyth QC Faces Fresh Allegations Over Abuse In Zimbabwe
Parents Jailed For Church 'Counselling' Session Where One Boy Died And Brother Was Badly Injured
Baptists Clash With Franklin Graham Over His Support For Trump Travel Ban
Thousands Attend Catholic Ceremony In Japan Beatifying 'Samurai Of Christ'

Latest Lebanese Related News published on February 08-09/17
Saudi Minister Says Kingdom Keen on 'Distinctive' Ties with Lebanon
 Naharnet/February 08/17/Saudi Minister for Gulf Affairs Thamer al-Sabhan stressed that Saudi Arabia is keen on Lebanon's unity and seeks “distinctive” political relations between the two countries, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Wednesday. “Lebanon is one of the important countries for the kingdom which is keen on having distinctive political ties, similar to relations between the Saudi and Lebanese people,” al-Sabhan told the daily in an interview. He emphasized that a new Saudi ambassador will soon arrive in Lebanon. The Minsters hailed the roles of President Michel Aoun, Speaker Nabih Berri, PM Saad Hariri and MP Walid Jumblat. Separately, Sabhan referred to the upcoming parliamentary elections and said they are strictly a “domestic matter.” He voiced hopes the political parties agree on a new electoral law that serves justice to all political components. The Saudi Minister, accompanied by the Saudi Charges D'affairs Walid al-Bukhari, has visited Tuesday evening Beirut's Central District where he met with Hariri, former PM Tammam Salam and Education Minister Marwan Hamadeh. He also met with former PM Najib Miqati and is scheduled to hold talks today with Speaker Nabih Berri and other officials before he travels back to Riyadh.
 
Aoun tasks Justice Ministry to press charges over Istanbul New Year's attack
Wed 08 Feb 2017 /NNA - President Michel Aoun on Wednesday tasked Minister of Justice, Salim Jreissati, with communicating with the families of Istanbul New Year's nightclub attack, with the purpose of pressing charges against perpetrators in preservation of the victims' rights. Contacts will be held with the Turkish competent authorities in that respect.
 
Mashnouq: President, PM Say New Electoral Law before End of February
Naharnet/February 08/17/President Michel Aoun and Prime Minister Saad Hariri told ministers during Wednesday's Cabinet session that “the new electoral law will be finalized before the end of February,” Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq said. “There is no choice but to hold the parliamentary elections and I don't have any doubt that they might not be held, seeing as one cannot talk about democracy in Lebanon except through holding elections,” Mashnouq added, during a meeting at the ministry with the ambassadors of the European Union and EU Member States. “A course of constitutional regularity started in the country with the election of a new president and the formation of a new government, and it cannot become complete except after the election of a new parliament, which would enable constitutional institutions to address the problems and challenges facing Lebanon,” the minister went on to say. As for security, Mashnouq reassured that “the situation is under control and there are no security concerns regarding the elections.”“Security agencies proved their competency during the latest municipal and mayoral polls,” he added. While al-Mustaqbal Movement has rejected that the electoral law be fully based on the proportional representation system, arguing that Hizbullah's arms would prevent serious competition in the party's strongholds, Druze leader MP Walid Jumblat has totally rejected proportional representation, even within a hybrid law, warning that it would “marginalize” the minority Druze community. Hizbullah, Mustaqbal, the Free Patriotic Movement, AMAL Movement and the Lebanese Forces are meanwhile discussing several formats of a so-called hybrid electoral law that mixes proportional representation with the winner-takes-all system. The country has not organized parliamentary elections since 2009 and the legislature has instead twice extended its own mandate.The last polls were held under an amended version of the 1960 electoral law and the next vote is scheduled for May.
 
Sami Gemayel Meets Saudi Minister, Says Keen on Lebanese-Saudi Ties
 Naharnet/February 08/17/Kataeb Party chief MP Sami Gemayel held talks Wednesday with visiting Saudi State Minister for Gulf Affairs Thamer al-Sabhan, who has met with several senior leaders in recent days. “Our main concern is the hundreds of thousands of young people who work in the Gulf due to the problems in Lebanon and the economic crisis,” Gemayel said after the meeting. “We are keen on the return of diplomatic ties and mutual visits between the Lebanese and Arab officials to protect the Lebanese who have established families in the Gulf,” Gemayel added.
 
Cabinet Dedicates Next Session to Budget, PM Says Saudi-Lebanese Panel to be Formed
 Naharnet/February 08/17/The Cabinet held an ordinary session Wednesday at the Baabda Palace during which it decided to dedicate next week's session to studying the draft state budget. The session was presided over by President Michel Aoun. “Next Wednesday's session will be dedicated to discussing the state budget and should there be an agenda, another session would be held on Thursday,” Finance Minister Ali Hassan Khalil said after the session. Deputy Prime Minister and Health Minister Ghassan Hasbani meanwhile announced that the ministers of the Lebanese Forces demanded a Cabinet session dedicated to the issue of the stalled electoral law. Prime Minister Saad Hariri revealed that “a higher Saudi-Lebanese committee will be formed and the work of the rest of the joint committees will be activated to follow up on the common issues between the two countries.”Hariri's remarks come after a meeting in Beirut with Saudi State Minister for Gulf Affairs Thamer al-Sabhan. Hariri had held a closed-door meeting with Aoun ahead of the session. Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq also held a meeting with the president after which he described the talks as “excellent.”Mashnouq also noted that the issue of appointing the members of the electoral supervisory commission would not be tackled during Wednesday's session.
 
Hamadeh: Assad Transformed Syria Entirely Into a Jail and Slaughterhouse
Naharnet/February 08/17/Following a report by Amnesty International about Syria's prisons, Education Minister Marwan Hamadeh said on Wednesday that Syrian President Bashar Assad has transformed his country into a big jail and slaughterhouse, the state-run National News Agency reported. “One can not but feel disgusted without any surprise about what is happening in Syria's prisons, mainly in the Saydnaya, of atrocities that have been documented by Amnesty International,” said Hamadeh. “No wonder about that since Bashar Assad has transformed Syria into a slaughterhouse and prison, adding 13,000 gallows to the toxic gases and explosive barrels that destroyed cities, places of worship and schools,” he went on to say. “This last evidence from Amnesty International will be added to a file that will one day be opened in front of the International Criminal Court to try criminals of the Syrian war,” concluded the minister. Amnesty International on Tuesday accused Syria's government of hanging up to 13,000 people at a notorious prison over five years in a "policy of extermination", two weeks before planned peace talks.The damning report, titled "Human Slaughterhouse: Mass hanging and extermination at Saydnaya prison" near Damascus, details the gruesome ritual of mass hangings between 2011 and 2015. The Syrian justice ministry replied to the Amnesty report and said it was "completely untrue and intended to harm Syria's reputation in international forums," according to the official SANA news agency.
 
Khalil: Budget Will be Approved without New Taxes
Naharnet/February 08/17/In light of a cabinet meeting scheduled for Wednesday to discuss the state's fiscal budget, Finance Minister Ali Hassan Khalil said there are genuine intentions to approve the budget this year after Lebanon failed to approve one since 2005.
“As the result of a joint will between political parties, for the first time in years the budget will be discussed with the intention of approving it,” Khalil told al-Joumhouria daily in an interview. “I am keen for a balanced budget that includes a start for reforms without affecting the poorer classes. And I hope from which we will be able to begin reforms on the tax system,” he added. To a question about the 27 tax items included in the draft budget, Khalil said: “The finance ministry did not include any new taxes other than the ones approved during the parliament session that discussed the wage scale issue. “Taxes were added solely on bank revenues, big corporates and real-estate operations for non-low-income earners,” he pointed out. The minister concluded that he included the wage scale in the draft budget which compelled him to include the taxes, that were initially approved in the parliament, for funding. Due to conflicts between the rival political parties, Lebanon has not approved a state budget since 2005 and its public debt has amounted to around $70 billion.
 
EU Envoys Urge 'Consensual' Electoral Law, Say 'Technical' Delay Must be Brief
Naharnet/February 08/17/The Ambassadors of the European Union and EU Member States held talks Wednesday with Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq to discuss “the advancement of preparations for the forthcoming elections,” an EU Delegation statement said. The EU Ambassadors stressed that after the election of a president and the formation of a national unity government, “the timely, transparent and peaceful holding of parliamentary elections will be another step towards consolidating the normal functioning of democratic institutions in Lebanon,” the statement said. The envoys highlighted that the successful holding of municipal elections in May 2016 showed “not only the importance that the Lebanese attach to the right to elect and to be elected, but also served as a reminder that Lebanon is in a position of holding peaceful and democratic elections as legally foreseen,” the statement added. The EU and its member states encourage all Lebanese parties to “engage constructively on the issues of electoral reform and the holding of timely elections,” the EU communique said, noting that “it is of key importance to agree on reforming the existing electoral law in a consensual and inclusive way.” “While the agreement on a new electoral law could lead to a technical postponement of the elections, it is important that such a possible postponement causes only the shortest delay possible,” the EU Ambassadors urged. The statement pointed out that the EU remains “the largest and most essential donor in Lebanon in the field of electoral reform, providing support to the government to implement reforms, and to civil society to advocate and monitor for a better electoral framework.” “A new or amended electoral law would provide a good opportunity to introduce reforms of the electoral process such as pre-printed ballot papers and a quota for women as per the recommendations of the 2009 EU Election Observation Mission,” the statement added. The EU also highlighted its “willingness to continue supporting Lebanon in this regard including by deploying an Election Observation Mission, as stated by the EU High Representative Federica Mogherini during her visit to Lebanon in January 2017.”
 
UNIFIL and Lebanese Army Conduct Live Firing Exercise
Naharnet/February 08/17/The United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) and the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) on Wednesday carried out a joint exercise combining armored assets, machine gun and small arms live fire in an area one kilometer south of the UNIFIL Headquarters in Naqoura, southern Lebanon, UNIFIL said. The exercise, named “Steel Storm,” is one of several joint exercises, conducted regularly between the LAF and UNIFIL peacekeepers. “It strives to improve the skills and expertise of the two forces, maintain their efficiency and mutual knowledge, train on the procedures of execution of fire support, establish the appropriate coordination mechanism and liaise at all levels between LAF and UNIFIL,” a UNIFIL statement said. The exercise was led by the UNIFIL Force Commander Reserve (FCR/French) and LAF’s 5th Brigade elements, 7th briga. The live firing was also conducted by UNIFIL specialized units from Slovenian, Spanish and French contingents constituting each sector and the FCR. The exercise, witnessed by senior UNIFIL and LAF officials, involved “a dynamic presentation of the two forces’ respective infantry and armored assets,” UNIFIL said. Dozens of machine gun rounds were fired at targets located off the coastline. The targets were located at sea in order to minimize disturbance to the population. Lebanese Navy ships, supported by UNIFIL Maritime Task Force, ensured safety at sea.
 
Border Security Meeting Tackles Reopening of Lebanon-Syria Crossings
Naharnet/February 08/17/A security meeting was held Wednesday at the al-Qaa border post between Lebanese General Security officers and others from the Lebanese and Syrian customs authorities in the presence of a representative of the Higher Syrian-Lebanese Council, Lebanon's National News Agency reported. It said the meeting tackled “the ongoing measures and preparations to reopen the border crossings in the Lebanese region of al-Qaa and the Syrian region of Jousiyeh after the completion of the administrative steps.”“The competent authorities will hold other meetings in the coming days,” the agency added.
 
ISF apprehends father who physically abused two teenage daughters
Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Based on the signal of the concerned court, Qobeiyat Station Police members arrested on Wednesday a Lebanese father, with the initials J.S, for physically abusing at an earlier time his two teenage daughters, Internal Security Forces (ISF) Directorate General said in a communiqué. According to the testimonies of the two teenage girls, the father physically abused them through detaining them inside the house bathroom, cruelly hitting them and burning them with a blazing iron bar. The two abused daughters were examined by a coroner who pointed out in his report that one of the girls sustained burns in her face while the other on her hands. The detained father was handed over to the concerned court.
 
Army Chief of Staff inspects Beirut military units
Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Lebanese Army Chief of Staff, Hatem Malak, inspected on Wednesday evening a number of military units in Beirut city and its suburbs. Malak heaped praise on the performance of the military court, especially following up on terror-related dossiers and Israeli violations. He also hailed the efforts of the Lebanese Army intelligence's unprecedented security measures combating terrorist activities. "The Lebanese Army, which has protected and safeguarded the country, is facing the most dangerous terrorist attacks. The Army is and will never be a tool to satisfy this or that side at the expense of the law and the nation's best interest. It is the Lebanese citizen's full right to enjoy security, freedom, and dignity," Malak said.
 
Four men try to kidnap Syrian from Klayaa farm
Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Four unidentified men tried to kidnap a Syrian worker from a farm in Klayaa after forcing him to go inside their vehicle at gunpoint, NNA field reporter said. The kidnappers set the Syrian man free after passersby happened to witness the incident. They hit him with a gun on his head and hands and then ran away, NNA reporter added. Meanwhile, security forces are investigating the incident with the Syrian man in an attempt to unveil the identity of the kidnappers and the reason they attacked him.
 
Kahwaji, USEK delegation discuss cooperation agreement
 Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Army Commander General Jean Kahwaji met on Wednesday at his office in Yarzeh with a delegation of Holy Spirit University of Kaslik (USEK), with talks reportedly touched on issues related to the cooperation agreement in the field of food safety, clinched between the army and the University.
 
Bou Assi tackles developmental affairs with Maten municipalities union
 Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Social Affairs Minister, Elias Bou Assi, on Wednesday tackled developmental, social, and economic affairs with a visiting delegation from Maten municipality headed by Maten municipalities union head, Marwan Salha.
 
EU Ambassadors meet with the Minister of Interior and Municipalities to discuss the forthcoming parliamentary elections
Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - The Ambassadors of the European Union and EU Member States were received today by Minister of Interior and Municipalities, H.E. Nouhad al-Machnouq, to discuss the advancement of preparations for the forthcoming elections.
The EU Ambassadors stressed that after the election of a president and the formation of a national unity government, the timely, transparent and peaceful holding of parliamentary elections will be another step towards consolidating the normal functioning of democratic institutions in Lebanon. The EU Ambassadors highlighted that the successful holding of municipal elections in May 2016 showed not only the importance that the Lebanese attach to the right to elect and to be elected, but also served as a reminder that Lebanon is in a position of holding peaceful and democratic elections as legally foreseen. The EU and its Member States encouraged all Lebanese parties to engage constructively on the issues of electoral reform and the holding of timely elections. It is of key importance to agree on reforming the existing electoral law in a consensual and inclusive way. While the agreement on a new electoral law could lead to a technical postponement of the elections, it is important that such a possible postponement causes only the shortest delay possible.
 The EU remains the largest and most essential donor in Lebanon in the field of electoral reform, providing support to the government to implement reforms, and to civil society to advocate and monitor for a better electoral framework. A new or amended electoral law would provide a good opportunity to introduce reforms of the electoral process such as pre-printed ballot papers and a quota for women as per the recommendations of the 2009 EU Election Observation Mission. The EU highlighted its willingness to continue supporting Lebanon in this regard including by deploying an Election Observation Mission, as stated by the EU High Representative Federica Mogherini during her visit to Lebanon in January 2017.
 
Sarraf receives Canadian Ambassador, German senior
 Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - National Defense Minister, Yaacoub Sarraf, on Wednesday received at his office Canadian Ambassador, Michelle Cameron, and discussed with her bilateral military ties and means for supporting the Lebanese military at all levels. Both also discussed regional affairs. Separately, Minister Sarraf received German Deputy Defense Minister, Markus Grubel, who said that his country was committed to combat terror and solve the displaced people crisis. "We want to contribute in protecting the Lebanese Army from terrorist attacks," said Grubel.
 
Chweifat road reopens to traffic after short closure
 Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Chweifate Road at Al-Sharaa-Hrajli Intersection was reopened to traffic after a short closure by mini-bus drivers, protesting the hiring of Syrian workers as drivers, NNA field reporter said on Wednesday.  

Report: Contentious Supervisory Committee Raised at Cabinet Despite Aoun's Decline
Naharnet/February 08/17/Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq will raise a contentious issue during the cabinet meeting on Wednesday, related to appointing a committee to supervise the parliamentary polls, which was strongly rejected earlier by President Michel Aoun for linkage to the controversial 1960 electoral law, al-Joumhouria daily reported. Ministerial sources told the daily that Mashnouq might raise the issue today because the parliamentary electoral legal framework compel him to do so. Adding to that are the looming electoral deadlines, they said.
It is believed that shall the supervisory committees be appointed, it would mean that the elections will be held based on the contentious 1960 law. In an earlier cabinet meeting, Mashnouq had requested appointing the supervisory committee to overlook the parliamentary polls. But, Aoun rejected the proposal and said it would pave way for staging the election under the 1960 law. Aoun had recently warned that he prefers “vacuum” over holding the parliamentary polls under the 1960 electoral law or another extension of the parliament's term. He also announced that he might call for a popular referendum should the political forces fail to reach a new electoral law. The political parties are bickering over amending the current election law which divides seats among the different religious sects. While al-Mustaqbal has rejected that the electoral law be fully based on proportional representation, arguing that Hizbullah's arms would prevent serious competition in the party's strongholds, Druze leader MP Walid Jumblat has totally rejected proportional representation, even within a hybrid law, warning that it would “marginalize” the minority Druze community. Hizbullah, Mustaqbal, the Free Patriotic Movement, AMAL Movement and the Lebanese Forces are meanwhile discussing several formats of a so-called hybrid electoral law that mixes proportional representation with the winner-takes-all system.
The country has not organized parliamentary elections since 2009 and the legislature has instead twice extended its own mandate. The last polls were held under an amended version of the 1960 electoral law and the next vote is scheduled for May.
 
Will the Lebanese President Be Assad's New Friend in Town?
Fadi al-Dahouk is a Syrian journalist./Washington Institute/February 08/17
Following accusations that Syria had assassinated former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, Syrian forces withdrew from Lebanon in 2005 under UN Security Council resolution 1559. In a speech to parliament announcing the withdrawal, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said that “Syria’s withdrawal from Lebanon does not mean an end to Syria’s role there,” and that Syria’s future actions in Lebanon would not necessarily require troops on the ground.
 With the recent election of General Michel Aoun as Lebanese president, Syrian delegates resume visiting the Lebanese presidential palace, which it frequented after their army entered Lebanon in 1976 on the request of then-president Suleiman Franjieh during the civil war. Damascus came to claim share of the Lebanese cake, and would appoint pro-Syrian Maronite Christians to the position of president.
 As expected, following Aoun’s appointment, Iran and Syria quickly sent congratulations to the new president. Surprisingly, however, his first visitor was Syria’s Minister for Presidential Affairs Mansour Azzam the first visit by a senior Syrian official to Lebanon in five years. Yet Azzam did not visit in order to deliver Assad’s orders to the new president. The Syrian regime’s decisions today are subject to approval from Iran and Russia, and any move by Assad is likely on orders from Tehran or Moscow.
 Iranian Provocation
 Aoun’s arrival in office was only sealed once he agreed to the candidacy for prime minister of Saudi Arabia’s main ally in Lebanon: former prime minister and leader of the Future Movement, Saad al-Hariri. This allowed Aoun to become the favoured candidate of both Hezbollah and the Future Movement, something that Hariri could not have agreed to without Saudi acquiescence.
 While Iran is following a provocative anti-Saudi policy in Lebanon through its ally Hezbollah, Riyadh has largely withdrawn from the scene, allowing Iran to deepen its hold on the country. The period prior to the presidential election saw an unprecedented Saudi escalation against Lebanon. It even cancelled a billion-dollar package of military aid to the Lebanese Army in response to their backing of the Syrian regime and Iran.
 Lebanon is thus almost the only Arab country that bucks the consensus of Arab policy on the Assad regime. Hezbollah has successfully pushed the official Lebanese position closer to the Russian-Iranian camp. Hezbollah’s alliance with the Free Patriotic Movement, founded by Aoun and currently led by his brother in law, Foreign Minister Gibran Bassil, gave Hezbollah a powerful boost.
 In a televised interview with Al-Mayadeen on December 15, Bassil said that “President Bashar al-Assad is the legitimate president of Syria” and that “Hezbollah is our ally, and we have an understanding with them to protect the nation, which led to the election of the president of the republic.”
 Bassil settled rumours the Lebanese president was preparing to visit Syria, saying that Aoun’s first foreign visit would be to Saudi Arabia in order to “correct relations between the two countries”.
 Similarly, to the Syrian attempt to embarrass Aoun by dispatching a Syrian official to Beirut to convey Assad’s congratulations to the Lebanese president, Tehran also pre-empted Aoun’s visit to Riyadh by sending Alaeddin Boroujerdi, the head of the National Security Committee, to Beirut to spoil and influence the outcomes of the Saudi –Lebanese meeting.
 The First Test of the New Era
 Many of the politicians were counting on the Saudi-Lebanese summit to lead to major political and economic breakthroughs in Lebanon, but it turned out to be no more than a handshake between Aoun and the Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz.
 Following the meeting, Al Arabiya held a lengthy interview with Aoun in Saudi Arabia on January 12, in which he stressed the importance of restoring positive relations between the two countries. In answering a question about the intervention of Hezbollah in Syria, Aoun said that it was not the state option and that Lebanon will “prevent any harm that may come from Lebanon to others."
 The answers provided by Aoun on Al-Arabiya were not the same when he was asked similar questions in Beirut. In an interview with the French Channel “LCI”, Aoun said, “President Assad will remain and those who demand his departure know nothing about Syria… We would turn into another Libya and President Assad is the only force that can restore order and reunion all."
 Aoun’s interview with the French channel was preceded by some remark able statements by the President of the Free Patriotic Movement and Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil, who accompanied Aoun to Saudi Arabia. According to Bassil, the Free Patriotic Movement engaged in an alliance with three different forces during the parliamentary elections: Hezbollah, which defends against terrorists; the Lebanese forces, which safeguard the unity and the strength of the community; and the future Movement which builds a state."
 Iran and Saudi Arabia in Lebanon
 The
Saudi State Minister for Arab Gulf affairs Thamer Al Sabhan announced last Monday that Saudi Arabia will appoint a new ambassador to Lebanon. On the other side, Iran has been very keen to maintain its progress over Saudi Arabia in Lebanon. In response to the Emir of Mecca’s meeting with Aoun, Tehran sent Syrian Mufti Ahmad Badreddin Hassoun to Beirut. Hassoun is more senior than the Saudi envoy and has taken strong positions against Saudi Arabia, accusing it of sending extremists to Syria.
 Hassoun also visited the Maronite Patriarch Bechara Boutros al-Rahi, one of Lebanon’s prominent Christian leaders, who has visited Syria several times in recent years, all while praising Assad. He extolled Assad’s virtues during visits to Europe: during a 2011 reception at the Élysée Palace, the French President’s official residence, Rahi said Assad was “a good man." Rahi’s meeting with Hassoun is an indication that the Syrian-Iranian axis has expanded its scope in Lebanon, and this time, the Maronite sect was the target.
 Hassoun, who recently returned from addressing parliament in Ireland, arrived in Lebanon as the Syrian Al-Watan newspaper published an interview with Assad in which the Syrian President delivered a message to Lebanon: “Lebanon cannot be insulated from the fires that are burning around it and adopt a policy of having no policy.
 Assad’s message, which came as his forces were retaking Aleppo, a city that Aoun visited in 2008, was seen as a demand for Lebanon to do more, even though the policy of isolating itself from Syria’s troubles is just one of Lebanon’s many jokes. The policy was agreed upon when the Lebanese government refused, in December 2011, to send security and rights experts to take part in an international delegation of UN observers to Syria, to avoid provoking Assad’s allies in Lebanon. Hezbollah shortly afterwards began sending fighters into battle alongside Assad’s forces, leaving the policy of “isolation” to other actors with no involvement in Syria.
 This begs the question: how can Iran and Saudi Arabia be battling so hard in Syria and yet suddenly become ardent supporters for the same side in Lebanon?
 Political actors and analysts in Beirut agree on much the same answer: Lebanon is everyone’s breathing space. Everyone agrees on the importance of keeping it isolated from Syria. Yet that answer portrays Hezbollah as a moth drawn to a flame; as its reward for dancing with fire, everyone must watch and applaud its parades in Lebanon.
 This argument allows for the Iranian-Syrian alliance to stay one step ahead of its rivals in Lebanon and direct Lebanese policy on the international level. Any successful attempt to save Lebanon from that reality will significantly depend on the extent to which the Gulf Cooperation Council states are prepared to obstruct Iran’s efforts to find a new friend for Assad. It also rests on their willingness to stop seeing Lebanon as an unwanted burden for Riyadh. Iran and Syria, however, are pushing for the whole thing, just as they are doing in parts of Syria that have been devastated by war, leaving nothing but fire and death.
 **Fikra Forum encourages a range of voices and perspectives. Please follow these guidelines to be considered for publication:
 **Fikra Forum is an initiative of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. The views expressed by Fikra Forum contributors are the personal views of the individual authors, and are not necessarily endorsed by the Institute, its staff, Board of Directors, or Board of Advisors.​​

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on February 07-08/17
At Least 8 Hurt as 'Electric Malfunction' Causes Blast at Paris Metro
 Agence France Presse/February 08/17/At least eight people were injured Wednesday evening in a blast resulting from an "electric malfunction" at the Place d'Italie metro station in Paris, French media outlets said. The station was evacuated in the wake of the incident.Al-Mayadeen television said smoke was seen bellowing from the site.

Israel Says Rockets Fired from Egypt at Resort Town
 Agence France Presse/February 08/17/Several rockets were fired from Egypt's Sinai peninsula late Wednesday at the southern Israeli resort town of Eilat, but without causing casualties, the Israeli army said. "Some of these rockets were destroyed in flight by Iron Dome batteries," a spokeswoman said, referring to Israeli's anti-missile interception system. 

British MPs Approve Bill to Start Brexit
Agence France Presse/February 08/17/British MPs overwhelmingly backed a bill on Wednesday empowering Prime Minister Theresa May to start negotiations on leaving the European Union, bringing Brexit a significant step closer. Members of the House of Commons voted by 494 votes to 122 for a law enabling May to trigger Article 50 of the EU's Lisbon Treaty, which begins two years of talks on pulling out of the 28-nation bloc. The unamended two-clause bill now moves to the House of Lords, where there may be more opposition from unelected peers -- and where May's Conservative party does not have a majority. But its passage through the Commons, where two-thirds of MPs had campaigned against Brexit ahead of the June referendum, puts May on course to begin the withdrawal process by the end of March, as she has vowed. "This, elementally, is a straightforward bill which serves only to give the prime minister the power to trigger Article 50 and thereby respect the result of the referendum," said Brexit minister David Jones.
Labor headaches
The referendum result sent shockwaves around Europe, spooking investors and raising fears for the future of the EU itself. In the early weeks, there was speculation that pro-European lawmakers might try to delay or even stop the Brexit process. May initially sought to bypass parliament, prompting an appeal to the Supreme Court that last month ruled she must obtain their approval to trigger Article 50. But during five days of debate on the resulting government bill, it became clear that most MPs would not stop the process -- even if some warned that leaving Europe's single market could be disastrous. The opposition Labor party and the smaller Scottish National Party tabled amendments demanding guarantees on market access, workers' rights and those of EU citizens in Britain. Each was defeated, although during the process the government was forced to promise lawmakers a vote on the final Brexit deal before it is concluded. Labor imposed a "three-line whip," a tough disciplinary measure ordering its MPs not to oppose the legislation, ensuring it would pass. But some 47 Labor MPs rebelled last week, and business spokesman Clive Lewis resigned to back them shortly before Wednesday's vote, bringing a fresh headache for embattled leftist leader Jeremy Corbyn. After two-thirds of Labor voters backed Brexit, many of them driven by concerns over mass immigration from the rest of the EU, Corbyn decided his party could not block the process.But with dismal opinion poll ratings and long-running discontent among MPs over his leadership, a major rebellion could seriously undermine his position.
Vote on final deal
May has promised to prioritize controlling migration in the Brexit negotiations, even if that comes at the expense of giving up membership of Europe's single market and its 500 million customers. Concerns over losing access to the continental trading zone have sent the pound plunging around 15 percent against the dollar since the referendum. Under pressure from MPs, the government was forced to concede on Tuesday that MPs and peers would vote on the agree exit terms and the new trading relationship with the EU. The move helped fend off a rebellion by pro-European members of May's Conservative party, but left many lawmakers unhappy with parliament's future role. There is skepticism on both sides of the Channel that both an exit deal and a trade agreement can be agreed within two years, raising the question of what parliament would be voting on at the end.Ministers also confirmed that if lawmakers rejected the final deal, the alternative was not to return to negotiations -- but to leave the bloc without any agreement at all.

U.N. Preparing Invitations to Syria Peace Talks
Agence France Presse/February 08/17/U.N. envoy Staffan de Mistura will send invitations to Syria peace talks in the coming days, the U.N. spokesman said Wednesday -- seemingly allowing the opposition to bypass a deadline to agree on its negotiators. De Mistura had warned the opposition that he would pick their delegates to the talks opening in Geneva on February 20 if they could not decide by Wednesday on who would represent them. The envoy however appears to have backtracked on the ultimatum. "The invitations will go out in the coming days," U.N. spokesman Stephane Dujarric told reporters. "We all know that these processes are rather complex, demand a lot of discussion and consultation with various people.""So Mr De Mistura and his team are continuing on that track."De Mistura's threat to appoint the negotiating team drew a sharp response from the opposition, which said it was not the U.N. envoy's "business" to pick delegates to peace talks. The Geneva talks are aimed at ending the nearly six-year war in Syria that has killed more than 310,000 people.

Death Toll in Strikes on Syria ex-Qaida Hits 46
Agence France Presse/February 08/17/The death toll in air strikes against al-Qaida's former affiliate in Syria in the northwest of the country has risen to 46, including 24 civilians, a monitor said on Wednesday. The dead included 10 children and 11 women, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said, adding that the toll could rise further because of the number of wounded with serious injuries. The raids hit the headquarters of former al-Qaida affiliate Fateh al-Sham in Idlib and several adjacent neighborhoods of the city at dawn on Tuesday. Observatory head Rami Abdel Rahman said he could not determine whether the raids were carried out by Syrian government ally Russia or a US-led coalition battling jihadists. But Moscow quickly denied on Tuesday that its planes had struck the city. In recent weeks, Fateh al-Sham has come under increasing in Idlib, the last province in Syria almost entirely in rebel hands. Bombing raids against the group have escalated, including one US strike on a training camp in January that killed more than 100 fighters. Rebel groups have held Idlib province since the spring of 2015, four years after the Syrian conflict broke out. More than 310,000 people have died since the war began and millions have been forced to flee their homes.

Why the pope has taken control of the Knights of Malta
The Vatican clashes with an ancient chivalric order
The Economist explains/Feb 8th 2017/by J.H./ON FEBRUARY 2nd, Pope Francis appointed Archbishop Angelo Becciu as his special delegate to the Order of the Knights of Malta, an exclusive, centuries-old Roman Catholic fellowship. He told him to collaborate with the Order’s acting head for the “reconciliation between all its members” and to work for it “spiritual and moral renewal”. The letter in which he gave these instructions completed a virtual takeover of the Order that began on January 24th when the pope forced the resignation of the order's grand master, a 67 year-old Briton, Matthew Festing. What is going on? Popes have occasionally sent representatives in to crack the whip over monastic orders suspected of veering from the doctrinal straight-and-narrow. But the Sovereign Military Order of Malta, which defended pilgrims to the Holy Land during the Crusades, is an order of chivalry. And a singular one. Like countries, the Order has sovereignty (its knights having previously ruled Malta). Yet it no longer has territory beyond its headquarters on the fashionable Via Condotti in Rome. From there it dispatches ambassadors and issues stamps, coins and even its own licence plates. The only similar, sovereign entity with little or no territory is the Holy See. So Francis’s putsch is akin to the annexation of one state by another. The Order today is an international body with around 13,500 knights and dames. It organises humanitarian initiatives in many parts of the world. But its leadership is formed of the rich and noble. A clash with Pope Francis, a champion of the poor and an adversary of privilege, was perhaps inevitable at some point. The showdown was triggered on December 6th when Mr Festing dismissed his grand chancellor, Albrecht Freiherr von Boeselager, after he refused to step down over claims, which Mr Boeselager denies, that he allowed the distribution of condoms in Myanmar. The Vatican appointed a commission of inquiry. The Order responded with a statement that, to protect its sovereignty, “it should not co-operate”. Two weeks later, the pope summoned Mr Festing to demand his resignation. Shortly afterwards the Order’s governing council agreed to its grand master’s removal and the appointment of an interim leader. Mr Boeselager has since been reinstated.
The affair has left some Catholics wondering if the pope is less stringent about artificial contraception than the Catholic catechism, which teaches that its use is sinful. But there have been suggestions that the affair is about more than birth control. There have been claims of freemasonic infiltration and a power struggle within the Order between Germans and Italians. A London-based Catholic weekly, the Tablet, reported that the former grand master had objected to the Vatican commission because of links between three of its members and an unidentified “Geneva fund”. What is more certain is that this opaque affair has become the latest stage in an continuing trial of strength between Pope Francis and his traditionalist critics. Even before the appointment of Archbishop Becciu, the Vatican had the power to appoint a representative inside the Order. Raymond Burke, an arch-traditionalist and critic of the pope, is regarded as having been made its cardinal patron—in order to keep him on the sidelines. Then by making Archbishop Becciu his “exclusive spokesperson in all matters relating to relations between the Apostolic See and the order,” the pope has not just sidelined, but humiliated, one of his most outspoken adversaries. Copyright © The Economist Newspaper Limited 2017. All rights reserved. 

Israeli military responds to tank fire from Syria
Associated Press/JERUSALEM/February 08/17/The Israeli military says it has struck a target in Syria in response to a tank round fired at the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights, The military says no injuries have been reported from Wednesday's tank fire. It says it struck "a post belonging to the Syrian regime."Israel has largely remained on the sidelines of the war in Syria, but it has carried out reprisals on Syrian positions when errant fire has crossed the frontier. Israel is also widely believed to have carried out airstrikes on arms shipments said to be destined for the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, a close ally of the Syrian government. Israel captured the Golan Heights from Syria in the 1967 Mideast War and the two countries remain enemies.

White House Weighs Designating Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) a Terrorist Group
Reuters – February 7,2017:U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration is considering a proposal that could lead to potentially designating Iran’s powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.The officials said several U.S. government agencies have been consulted about such a proposal, which if implemented would add to measures the United States has already imposed on individuals and entities linked to the IRGC.
The IRGC is by far Iran’s most powerful security entity, which also has control over large stakes in Iran’s economy and huge influence in its political system.
Reuters has not seen a copy of the proposal, which could come in the form of an executive order directing the State Department to consider designating the IRGC as a terrorist group. It is unclear whether Trump would sign such an order.
The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Iran denies any involvement in terrorism.
Several draft orders on other topics have been circulated among U.S. agencies, only to be rejected or postponed by the Trump administration.
Reuters reported last week that officials were debating whether to declare the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist organization, but that decision appears to have been indefinitely postponed.
Naming Iran's single most powerful military and political institution as a terrorist group could have potentially destabilizing effects, including further inflaming regional conflicts in which the United States and regional arch-rivals blame Iran for interference. Iran denies those allegations.Some of Trump’s more hawkish advisors in the White House have been urging him to increase sanctions on Iran since his administration began to take shape. After tightening sanctions against Iran last week in response to a ballistic missile test, White House officials said the measures were an “initial” step.U.S. Gulf allies have long favored a tougher U.S. stance against Iran, whom they blame for regional interference.
The United States has already blacklisted dozens of entities and people for affiliations with the IRGC. In 2007, the U.S. Treasury designated the IRGC’s Quds Force, its elite unit in charge of its operations abroad, “for its support of terrorism,” and has said it is Iran’s “primary arm for executing its policy of supporting terrorist and insurgent groups.”
A designation of the entire IRGC as a terrorist group would potentially have much broader implications, including for the 2015 nuclear deal negotiated between Iran and the United States and other major world powers.
The nuclear deal, which has been harshly criticized by Republicans in Congress and Trump for giving Iran too much and not placing tight enough restrictions on the country, granted Iran relief from most Western sanctions in return for curbs on its nuclear program.
Reuters reported last week that the IRGC designation is among the proposals being considered as part of an Iran policy review in the Trump administration. The objective would be to dissuade foreign investment in Iran’s economy, because of the IRGC’s involvement in major sectors including transportation and oil. In many cases, that involvement is hidden behind layers of opaque ownership.
“The new administration regards Iran as the clearest danger to U.S. interests, and they've been looking for ways to turn up the heat," said a senior U.S. official who has been involved in what he called a broad review of Iran policy.
The official said that rather than tearing up the nuclear agreement, a step he said even Israel and Saudi Arabia oppose, the White House might turn instead toward punishing Iran for its support for Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, the Houthi rebels in Yemen, and some Shiite forces in Iraq, as well as covert support for Shiites who oppose the Sunni regime in Bahrain, and cyber attacks on Saudi and other Gulf Arab targets.
The Revolutionary Guards answer to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, whose power far surpasses that of Rouhani. Current U.S. sanctions include penalties for foreign companies which knowingly conducting “significant” transactions with the Revolutionary Guards, or other sanctioned Iranian entities. However, many companies in which the Revolutionary Guards have an interest in or own are not blacklisted, and have been able to sign foreign deals.
Sanctions lawyers say the fine print of existing U.S. sanctions allows foreign companies to continue to deal with some IRGC-held firms indirectly.

Iranian Resistance Condemns Atrocities in Syrian Prison
NCRI/ Wednesday, 08 February 2017/Mohammad Mohaddessin, Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the National Council of Resistance of Iran described the horrible crime in Saydnaya prison an unprecedented crime against humanity that was committed by the Assad regime's henchmen, with the support of the mullahs' anti-human regime, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) and its intelligence apparatus. Many methods used in this crime against humanity, are similar to mass executions in Iran, in particular the massacre of 30,000 political prisoners in 1988. “The catastrophe of Saydnaya prison once again highlights the necessity of expelling Iranian Revolutionary Guards and its militias, which are the only obstacle to the overthrow of Assad’s dictatorship”, from Syria he added. Peace and tranquility in the region is only possible with the eviction of the Iranian regime from Syria, Iraq, Yemen and other countries in the region, and the removal of regimes and militias affiliated to the Iranian regime.

Iran: Factional Feuding in 2017 Presidential Election
NCRI/ Wednesday, 08 February 2017/NCRI - On Tuesday February 7, 2017, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani called upon everyone to participate freely in the upcoming presidential election and taunting rival factions who don’t want him to run again for the second term said: “Is the election really worth committing sin?”According to the state run news agency ISNA, Rouhani attacked the Khamenei’s faction and said: "A number of people are professionals for violence and I don’t know in which school they have been trained in."
He stated that "there are people who love fighting, violence and invasion", and added: "We are a nation that has unique revolution, constitution, leadership, government, culture and identity... So why should we antagonize each other? "Hassan Rouhani’s statements are made while, Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli, Minister of Interior, had said earlier in July 2016 that he would “definitely” run for President in 2017 and had asked the Interior Ministry to hold a “legal and healthy” election. It is noteworthy that Iran regime’s sham presidential election is supposed to be held on May 18, 2016. Some media and political figures in Khamenei’s faction have already announced that Presidency of Hassan Rouhani would be only one term and he would not be elected next year. Meanwhile, some speculations about the possibility of Rouhani being disqualified by the Guardian Council have been raised. Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of regime, on October 15, 2016, communicated the general policies of the regime's sham elections in 18 articles, to the heads of the three branches of government and the head of the Expediency Council. In paragraph 16 of this policy, "bias toward the candidates" from the three branches and the armed forces and security services have been banned. However, Ali Saeedi, Khamenei's representative in the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), said after the announcement of the policy that political activity is in "the essence" of this institution.Earlier, Iranian Revolutionary Guards officials had rejected interference of this institution in the elections but at the same time with the excuse of "explaining and clarifying" the political currents, practically interfered in the elections of the regime. In previous years, the interference of the IRGC was followed by the complaint of some factions of the regime and some Members of Parliament including Ali Mottahari and Mostafa Kavakebian protested the IRGC’s interference in the elections.

Letter to AP by Senator Torricelli, on Distorted Story About MEK
NCRI/ Wednesday, 08 February 2017/In response to a bias and distorted story ran by Associated Press about Iranian opposition, the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI/MEK) on February 5, 2017, Senator Robert Torricelli wrote the following brief response to the AP.
To: Editors of the Associated Press
The February 5, 2017 AP submission by Jon Gambrell is so outrageous and demonstrably false that it's difficult to know where to begin. Mr Gambrell variously describes the Iranian exile organization, the MEK, as a "cult", and "terrorist group", with a "controversial past" that has gone "against American interests". Specific accusations include "killing Americans" and whose Members "responded by lighting themselves on fire".I served as the legal representative of the MEK in the State Department hearings to advise Secretary of State Clinton on the issue of designating the MEK as a terrorist organization. As I'm certain your reporter is aware, the State Department never offered evidence that the MEK ever engaged in terrorist activities, killed any American or worked contrary to American interests. No evidence was similarity offered to the US District Court for the District of Columbia, the Courts of Britain, France or the European Union who similarly either ordered the removal of a terrorist designation or ordered their governments to present evidence. The integrity of several prominent Americans has been challenged by your reporter. If supporting the MEK in its opposition to the Mullahs religious fascist regime in Tehran is genuinely an ethical breach, it would be more honest to present the entire list of supporters. These would include a majority of the House of Representatives, two former Chairmen of the Joint Chiefs, a Former Director of the FBI, a former Attorney General of the US, a former Assistant to the President for National Security, two former CIA Directors and the Chairmen of the House Foreign Relations and Senate Armed Services Committee. The Iranian regime has an active public relations presence in our country. It is their right to present information to the national dialogue. Your reporter, however, has fallen victim to it and done a great disservice to some very distinguished Americans united for the single purpose of regime change in Tehran. An apology to them and your readers is in order. A further apology to the thousands of Members of the MEK who risked their lives to unveil Iran's secret nuclear program to American intelligence and worked tirelessly to report Iraqi IED locations to American soldiers during the Iraqi occupation is further demanded.
Robert Torricelli

NCRI Women's Committee Calls for Urgent Action to Free Activist Mother, Shahnaz Akmali
 The Women's Committee of the National Council of Resistance of Iran issued a call on international human rights and women's rights organizations, women's rights activists, the UN High Commissioner on Human Rights, the UN Special Rapporteur on the human rights situation in Iran, and on the UN Special Rapporteur on Arbitrary Arrests, to undertake urgent and effective measures to free Ms. Shahnaz Akmali, mother of a young man killed by security forces in the 2009 uprising. Agents of the Ministry of Intelligence (MOIS) arrested Ms. Akmali at home on January 25, 2017, and transferred her to Ward 209 in Evin Prison. Ms. Akmali's son, Mostafa Karimbeigi, 26, was shot dead by the regime's revolutionary guards in the uprising on December 27, 2009. The family searched everywhere for two weeks until they found his body in the Coroner's Office of Kahrizak. During this time, the Ministry of Intelligence continuously threatened the family. After they found Mostafa's body, the MOIS agents did not allow them to bury him in Tehran and the family was forced to bury him in a town outside the capital without holding any ceremonies. Over the past years, Ms. Akmali has demanded prosecution of those responsible for murder of her son. Their family has always been under pressure and threats by the Ministry of Intelligence.
 Women's Committee of the National Council of Resistance of Iran. February 8, 2017

Iran: Internal Disputes Over 'Disqualification of Rouhani' in 2017 Presidential Bid
NCRI/ Wednesday, 08 February 2017/Two days after a member of the Iranian regime’s Parliament announced that: “the issue of disqualification of Hassan Rouhani in presidential election of 2017 is resolved.” A spokesman for the Guardian Council (which approves the candidates) said such news is not true. Abbas Ali Kadkhodaei, spokesman for this council, on Tuesday February 7 in an interview with the Mizan news agency, affiliated to the judiciary, said: “I am not aware of this.”The council’s spokesman added: “At the time of vetting, the members may have different opinions, but ultimately whatever is announced, is the opinion of the Guardian Council.”Mohammad Reza Tabesh, Member of Parliament of the regime, on Sunday February 5 told ILNA news agency that "severe psychological war" against Hassan Rouhani is waged with the aim of not running for the upcoming presidential election and Mr. Rouhani “may not survive all these attacks and give up the presidency”. Referring to remarks of the spokesman a few days ago, Tabesh said that "the disqualification of the incumbent President on the eve of next election campaign is unprecedented."He added: "Even if some members of the Guardian Council had such intentions and motives, this problem is resolved with the guidance of senior officials."This Member of Parliament did not give any explanations about "resolving the issue of disqualification of Rouhani with the guidance of senior officials". It is noteworthy that whenever regime’s sites and authorities cannot address Khamenei (the leader of regime) directly, they refer to him as “a senior official of the regime.”Earlier, Abbas Ali Kadkhodaei had announced the the Guardian Council always reviewed the qualification of the incumbent President for his second term, and there was "no guarantee" that the “incumbent” president would be approved. Ten days after these remarks, Nejatollah Ebrahimian, another member of the Council, affirmed that there were no legal distinction between the president and others, and the president may also be disqualified.

Syria Says Amnesty Report on Mass Hangings 'Completely False'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/February 08/17/Syria's justice ministry on Wednesday dismissed as "completely false" an Amnesty International report alleging up to 13,000 people were hanged over five years in a Syrian government prison. The ministry said the Amnesty report was "completely untrue and intended to harm Syria's reputation in international forums," the official SANA news agency reported. The rights group on Tuesday alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity had been committed and were likely continuing at the Saydnaya prison near Damascus. Amnesty interviewed 84 witnesses, including guards, detainees and judges, and alleged a pattern of regular summary executions. But the justice ministry denied such executions were occurring, saying "death sentences in Syria are not issued until after a trial goes through several stages of litigation." More than 310,000 people have been killed in Syria since the conflict began with anti-government protests in March 2011, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.
 
Turkey Says to Target IS-Held Raqa, Claims Progress in Al-Bab Battle
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/February 08/17/Turkey on Wednesday claimed significant progress in the months-long battle to capture the Islamic State (IS) held Syrian town of Al-Bab, signaling it was looking to push to the jihadist stronghold of Raqa in the next stage of the operation. Ankara launched an unprecedented incursion to support rebels inside Syria in August, making rapid advances in initial stages but has been locked in a bloody battle for Al-Bab since December. Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said Al-Bab was now "surrounded on all sides" and the town's outer neighborhoods were "under control.""The efforts to take it completely under control continue," Yildirim added during a press conference in Ankara with the head of Libya's unity government Fayez al-Sarraj. He confirmed two soldiers have been killed in the latest fighting, raising the death toll for Turkey's Syria campaign to at least 50 mostly from IS attacks. Fighting raged on the ground near Al-Bab on Wednesday as Turkish troops and allied rebels forces clashed with IS fighters, the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said. The monitor said both Turkish troops and allied rebels and Syrian regime forces had advanced towards IS-held Al-Bab overnight. Anadolu news agency said pro-Ankara forces had captured strategic hilltops from the jihadists. Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said that over the last few days, Turkish special forces, soldiers and Syrian rebels had made "serious" progress in Al-Bab.
 Raqa next up?
 Cavusoglu suggested that once Al-Bab was captured Turkey and its allies could send special forces to take Raqa, the de-facto capital for the Islamic State (IS) group to the southwest.
 "The target after this (Al-Bab) in Syria is the Raqa operation," Cavusoglu said alongside his Saudi Arabian counterpart Adel al-Jubeir in Ankara. "As regional countries, as countries inside the (U.S.-led) coalition, we can put our special forces in, we need to put them in," Cavusoglu added, referring to any Raqa offensive. His comments come after U.S. President Donald Trump and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke via telephone and discussed acting together in Turkey's battle to capture Al-Bab and also over Raqa. Jubeir said Saudi Arabia was "looking forward to working with Turkey and the Trump administration in order to intensify the efforts to eradicate Daesh (IS)." Last August, Ankara launched an ambitious military operation supporting Syrian opposition fighters to clear its border of IS and pushing back Syrian Kurdish militia. Cavusoglu warned against working with the militia to retake the city. "It is necessary to conduct the Raqa operation not with terror groups but the right people," he said. Erdogan's spokesman Ibrahim Kalin said a "concrete plan" to clear IS from Raqa was being discussed with Washington. Trump had a "positive attitude" on the Raqa issue, Kalin added during an interview with NTV broadcaster.
 'Russia-Turkey coordination'
 Al-Bab has been besieged since Monday, when government forces of President Bashar Assad advancing from the south severed a road leading into the town. Turkish forces and allied rebels meanwhile have advanced from the east, north and west, the Observatory told AFP in Beirut. This has created a delicate situation for Ankara, which has opposed Assad since the onset of the almost six-year civil war. But relations between Turkey and Assad's chief ally Russia improved markedly in the last months and the two sides worked together to evacuate citizens from Aleppo. Kalin said Turkey was coordinating with Russia to avoid any risk of contact with Syrian regime forces. According to the Observatory, six civilians were killed overnight and 12 injured in Turkish bombardment. Turkish forces regularly carry our air strikes in support of its ground operation in Syria but officials insist that the utmost is done to avoid any civilian casualties and have vehemently denied claims civilians have been killed in previous strikes. The Turkish army said 254 targets were hit and 58 "terrorists" were killed in the latest strikes in Al-Bab
 
Six Red Cross staff killed, two missing in Afghanistan
Wed 08 Feb 2017/NNA - Suspected Islamic State gunmen killed six Afghan employees of the Red Cross delivering relief supplies in snowbound northern Afghanistan on Wednesday, officials said, underscoring the dangers faced by aid workers in the war-battered country. Two other Red Cross workers were missing in the incident in the volatile province of Jowzjan, the international charity said. The Red Cross convoy, comprising three drivers and five field officers, came under attack while they were carrying relief supplies to a restive area badly affected in recent days by heavy snowfall. "This is a despicable act," said Monica Zanarelli, head of the International Committee of the Red Cross in Afghanistan. "Nothing can justify the murder of our colleagues and dear friends."
 ICRC president Peter Maurer denounced the killings as a "huge tragedy", saying it appeared to be a deliberate attack on the charity's staff. Jowzjan police chief Rahmatullah Turkistani told AFP that Islamic State fighters had killed the aid workers. "Daesh fighters are active in the area," he said, using the Arabic acronym by which IS is commonly known in the area. "We had previously repeatedly warned them not to go to such dangerous areas under Daesh control."Turkistani said the bodies of the six workers had been brought to a provincial hospital. Some of the bodies had multiple bullet wounds and had been shot from close range in the head and chest, Fraidoon Habib, director of the hospital, told AFP. The ICRC, which has been operating in Afghanistan for decades, did not say how the latest incident would impact them. "At this point, it's premature for us to determine the impact of this appalling incident on our operations in Afghanistan," Zanarelli said. We want to collect ourselves as a team and support each other in processing this incomprehensible act and finding our two unaccounted for colleagues." Aid workers in Afghanistan have increasingly become casualties of a surge in militant violence in recent years.--AFP 

This is not a Christian gesture’: Pope Francis denounces walls while praising immigrants
Lindsey Bever/Washington Post/ February 08/17
Amid controversy over President Trump’s immigration executive order barring travel to the United States from seven Muslim-majority countries, Pope Francis on Wednesday echoed his previous comments about building bridges of understanding instead of walls, according to the Associated Press.He made the comments during a weekly address Wednesday that coincided with the “International Day of Prayer and Awareness Against Human Trafficking” and the feast day of Sudanese immigrant Saint Josephine Margaret Bakhita.
“In the social and civil context as well, I appeal not to create walls but to build bridges,” he said, according to the AP. “To not respond to evil with evil. To defeat evil with good, the offense with forgiveness. A Christian would never say ‘you will pay for that.’ Never.
“That is not a Christian gesture,” he continued. “An offense you overcome with forgiveness. To live in peace with everyone.”
In strongly worded statements, several prominent U.S. Catholic leaders denounced Trump’s executive order. Although Pope Francis did not directly address the president’s recent actions, he has made the same point in the past.
After Trump declared during his presidential campaign that he would deport millions of undocumented immigrants and build a wall along the border between Mexico and the United States, Francis denounced the wall idea, telling reporters on board the papal plane that anyone who wanted to build a wall “is not Christian.”
“A person who thinks only about building walls — wherever they may be — and not building bridges, is not Christian,” he said in February, according to an AP translation. “This is not in the Gospel.”
“I’d just say that this man is not Christian if he said it this way,” he added.
The Vatican later said the remarks were not a personal attack on Trump.
“It is not that the pope wishes to be, in any way, a personal attack nor an indication of voting,” Vatican spokesman Father Federico Lombardi told Vatican Radio, according to a translation from the Vatican’s press office.
Lombardi said at the time the pope believes people “should not build walls, but bridges” — which is “very consistent with what is a courageous following of the gospel of welcome and solidarity.”
As The Washington Post’s Sarah Pulliam Bailey reported, weeks before the presidential election, Francis again spoke out against inciting fear and building walls during a meeting with participants in a group of grass-roots organizations called Third World Meeting of Popular Movements, and he urged political leaders to act.
“No tyranny can be sustained without exploiting our fears,” Francis said, according to Vatican Radio’s translation. “Citizens are walled-up, terrified, on one side; on the other side, even more terrified, are the excluded and banished.”
Fear “is fed and manipulated,” he added.
“Because fear — as well as being a good deal for the merchants of arms and death — weakens and destabilizes us, destroys our psychological and spiritual defenses, numbs us to the suffering of others, and in the end it makes us cruel.”
Francis said he believes that mercy is the “best antidote” to fear — and is “much more effective than walls, iron bars, alarms and weapons. And it is free,” according to the Catholic News Service.
During his audience at the Vatican, Pope Francis urged government leaders to help combat human trafficking.
Acts of Faith newsletter
Conversations about faith and values.

Wednesday marked a time for prayer and action against human rights crimes, as well as remembrance for the Sudanese saint.
“I urge all those in government positions to combat this scourge with firmness, giving voice to our younger brothers and sisters who have been wounded in their dignity,” Francis said, according to Vatican Radio. “All efforts must be made to eradicate this shameful and intolerable crime.”
Saint Josephine Bakhita “was kidnapped as a child and sold into slavery in Sudan and Italy,” the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops explained. “Once Josephine was freed, she became a Canossian nun and dedicated her life to sharing her testament of deliverance from slavery and comforting the poor and suffering. She was declared a Saint in 2000.” The pope said the “enslaved, exploited and humiliated girl in Africa never lost hope” but “persevered in her faith and ended up as a migrant in Europe where she heard the call of the Lord and became a nun.”
“Let’s pray to Saint Josephine Bakhita for all migrants and refugees who are exploited and suffer so much,” the pope said.

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on February 08-09/17
What Is the Muslim Brotherhood?
 Thomas Quiggin/Gatestone Institute/February 08/17
 https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9909/muslim-brotherhood
 A variety of groups ascribe to the Islamist objective of imposing their politicized beliefs on others. Included in these are ISIS, al-Qaeda and Hizb ut-Tahrir. However, the largest and best organized of all the Islamist groups is the Muslim Brotherhood. It is the well-spring from which the Islamist ideology flows.
 The founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al-Banna, stated that "It is in the nature of Islam to dominate, not to be dominated, to impose its law on all nations and to extend its power to the entire planet."
 A bill, introduced by Senator Ted Cruz, to have the Muslim Brotherhood designated as a terrorist group would have far-reaching impact, and be the single greatest blow stuck against Islamist extremism in the USA.
 The Muslim Brotherhood operating in the U.S. made it clear that "their work in America is a kind of grand jihad in eliminating and destroying the Western civilization from within and 'sabotaging' its miserable house by their hands and the hands of the believers so that it is eliminated and God's religion is made victorious over all other religions."
 The North Atlantic Islamic Trust, according to former FBI Agent Robert Stauffer, "served as a financial holding company for Muslim Brotherhood-related groups." This money was wired into the U.S. from countries such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Afghanistan, Egypt, Malaysia and Libya.
 Muslims living in the United States likely have little to fear from the Trump Administration and the 115th Congress. By contrast, Islamists living in the United States have grounds to be worried.
 A bill introduced by Senator Ted Cruz to have the Muslim Brotherhood designated as a terrorist group could have far-reaching implications, many of which have received little public attention. The bill, if acted upon, would be the single greatest blow stuck against Islamist extremism in the USA. It would also have far reaching impact in Canada and elsewhere.
 Islamists are those who have the desire to "impose any interpretation of Islam over society by law." A variety of groups ascribe to the Islamist objective of imposing their politicized beliefs on others. Included in these are ISIS, al-Qaeda and Hizb ut-Tahrir. However, the largest and best organized of all the Islamist groups is the Muslim Brotherhood. They are the well-spring from which the Islamist ideology flows. The founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al-Banna, stated that "It is in the nature of Islam to dominate, not to be dominated, to impose its law on all nations and to extend its power to the entire planet."
 The Muslim Brotherhood operating in the United States made it clear that:
 "their work in America is a kind of grand jihad in eliminating and destroying the Western civilization from within and 'sabotaging' its miserable house by their hands and the hands of the believers so that it is eliminated and God's religion is made victorious over all other religions."
 The producer of the memorandum from which this statement is derived was Mohamed Akram (A.K.A. Mohammad Akram Al-Adlouni). He is now the Secretary General of al-Quds International, the international think tank of the Muslim Brotherhood.
 Today, according to a 2015 report, Mohammed Akram Adlouni is the General Secretary of the Al Quds International Foundation, a Special Designated Global Terrorist entity, accused by the U.S. Treasury Department of financing Hamas. The Treasury Department notes:
 "Hamas's leadership runs all of the foundation's affairs through Hamas members who serve on the Board of Trustees, the Board of Directors, and other administrative committees. All documents, plans, budgets, and projects of Al-Quds are drafted by Hamas officials. Several senior Hamas officials, including Specially Designated Global Terrorists Musa Abu-Marzuq and Usama Hamdan, served on Al-Quds' Board of Trustees. Representatives at an Al-Quds conference were told to consider themselves unofficial ambassadors for Hamas in their respective countries."
 The chairman of the board of trustees of the Al Quds International Foundation is identified as Qatar-based Yusuf al-Qaradawi, the spiritual leadership figure of the Muslim Brotherhood. Qaradawi is the subject of an Interpol Red Notice.
 The Senate Bill - S.68
 Senate Bill S.68, would not only have the effect of designating the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist entity, but it would also list three Muslim Brotherhood front groups: The Council for American Islamic Relations (CAIR), the Islamic Society of North America (ISNA) and the North American Islamic Trust (NAIT).
 CAIR has already been identified as a Muslim Brotherhood front organization, founded to advance the cause of Hamas, and it was listed as a terrorist entity by the United Arab Emirates in 2014. CAIR functions as the public relations and legal arm of the Muslim Brotherhood and it regularly launches lawsuits against those who speak out against extremist Islam. Its designation as a terrorist group would severely damage the interests of the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas.
 ISNA was the first of the major Muslim Brotherhood groups formed out of the Muslim Student Association (MSA), itself formed by Muslim Brotherhood adherents. Its loss would undermine the Muslim Brotherhood on multiple levels.
 The Major Impact
 The most important issue in Bill S.68 may be the inclusion of the NAIT – the North American Islamic Trust. Formed in 1973, it can fairly described as a waqf, which is the Islamic finance equal to a trust or endowment fund.
 The property and cash holdings of the NAIT have never been made completely clear. CAIR itself stated that the NAIT holds the title of some 27% of the 1200 mosques in the USA. The NAIT website states that it "holds the title of approximately 300 properties." This means that the Muslim Brotherhood controls a large number of mosques and other properties in the U.S. where the message of the Brotherhood is spread.
 Former FBI Agent Robert Stauffer led a 1980s investigation into the NAIT, including its role in the ideological takeover of moderate mosques. At that time, he assessed that the ISNA received millions of dollars from the NAIT, which he says "served as a financial holding company for Muslim Brotherhood-related groups." This money was wired into the U.S. from countries such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Afghanistan, Egypt, Malaysia and Libya.
 Like CAIR and ISNA, NAIT would have its assets frozen if it is designated as a terrorist group. This would include property such as real estate, as well as cash and other assets held in bank accounts. The responsibility for this would mainly fall to the Department of the Treasury, the Justice Department and the integrated inter-agency strategy known as National Money Laundering Strategy (NMLS).
 In addition to stripping the Muslim Brotherhood of its assets, Bill S.68 would also have the effect of silencing the extremist voice of the Muslim Brotherhood in the U.S., along with its extensive network of collaborators. The financial inflow from other countries would be stopped (think Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey), while funding to Muslim Brotherhood front groups in other countries would be halted as well (think Canada).
 This bill would be a most helpful first step in countering what seems to be on the part of many a purposeful global jihad.
 *Tom Quiggin, a court qualified expert on terrorism and practical intelligence, is based in Canada.
 © 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
 
 Do Not Reward Bad Behaviour/Trump Must Bury Anti-Semitic UN Resolution
 Jagdish N. Singh/Gatestone Institute/February 08/17
 https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9887/palestinians-bad-behaviour
 The Trump Administration needs to see to it that UN Security Council Resolution 2334 is rendered null and void.
 UNSC Resolution 2334 also implies that Jerusalem's Jewish Quarter, Western Wall and Temple Mount are all occupied territory, when in fact, it was Israel that liberated them from the illegal Jordanian conquest of them in the war of 1948.
 Given the history of violence which the Palestinians indulge in against the Jews, it would seem a counter-productive precedent to reward decades of terrorism and uncivilised behaviour with a state. It would also leave the Palestinians, who deserve a responsible and accountable leadership, under the domination of two corrupt and brutal governments, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas.
 A study of the various proposals Israel has made to Palestine from time to time shows the key obstacle to peace is not the Palestinians' demand for any piece of land but their refusal to recognize the existence of the Jewish state, or presumably any state but an Islamic one.
 The U.S. could also move its embassy to Jerusalem. This would send the Palestinian leadership and others in the region a strong message that Washington will support both historical facts and countries that comport themselves with civilised behaviour.
 In the long-continuing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians, conventional wisdom has it that peace can be achieved through realistic negotiations between the parties to the conflict.
 The previous Obama administration displayed a clear tilt towards one party to the conflict, the Palestinians, at the cost of the other, Israel.
 Last month, Washington's abstention from voting on United Nations Security Council (UNSC) Resolution 2334 led to its passage. This resolution condemns Israeli settlements in "Palestinian Occupied Territories." Resolution 2334 also implies that Jerusalem's Jewish Quarter, Western Wall and Temple Mount are all occupied territory, when in fact, it was Israel that liberated them from the illegal Jordanian conquest of them in the war of 1948. The resolution effectively states that any Jewish presence beyond the 1949 armistice lines, or Israeli construction in Judea, Samaria or Jerusalem, is illegal.
 Objectively speaking, this resolution amounts to anti-Semitism: it is simply counterfactual to the Jews' history in the region. Both the Bible and archeology reveal that Jews have had a historical connection with this land for more than 3000 years.
 Given the history of violence that the Palestinians indulge in against the Jews, it would seem a counter-productive precedent to reward decades of terrorism and uncivilised behaviour with a state. It would also leave the Palestinians, who deserve a responsible and accountable leadership, under the domination of two corrupt and brutal governments, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas.
 One hopes President Donald J. Trump, as the leader of the democratic world, would waste no time to bury this counter-factual, anti-Semitic resolution. Nikki Haley, Trump's appointment to the United Nations, has already condemned the controversial resolution as an "outrageous bias" against Israel, and criticized the Administration of former President Barack H. Obama for the abstention that let the resolution pass.
 Nikki Haley (pictured above from 2014), President Trump's appointment to the United Nations, has already condemned UN Security Council Resolution 2334 as an "outrageous bias" against Israel. (Image source: defenseimagery.mil)
 The Trump Administration needs to see to it that UNSC Resolution 2334 is rendered null and void. Significantly, it has the moral and political support of the American Congress. The U.S. House of Representatives overwhelmingly condemned the resolution. The Senate has introduced a similar bipartisan bill to cut funding from the United Nations.
 Ironically, it is Washington's "no" to this resolution that will help the peace process, not this resolution, as the Obama Administration disingenuously tried to claim.
 A study of the various proposals Israel has made to the Palestinians from time to time shows the key obstacle to peace is not the Palestinian demand for any piece of land but its refusal to recognize the very existence of the Jewish state, or, presumably any state but an Islamic one, preferably its own. That there is any dispositive linkage of land for peace is a myth.
 Sometimes, the Palestinians do recognize the state of Israel. At a news conference, then Palestine Liberation Organization chairman Yasser Arafat once said, "We accept two states, the Palestine state and the Jewish state of Israel."
 The Palestinian leadership said they did so in the Oslo Accords, too, but they never practised it. In all the proposals for peace Israel has set forth, the Palestinians have never even made a counter-offer, and seem especially averse to signing an "end of conflict" document.
 The current Palestinian leadership is divided into two factions -- the West Bank-based Fatah party of the Palestinian Authority (PA), and the Gaza Strip-based Hamas. Both openly incite violence against the Jews, and aspire to the eventual creation of an Islamic state replacing all of Israel.
 According to a recent House of Representatives resolution, there have been more than 300 terrorist attacks targeting Israelis since September 2015. PA President Mahmoud Abbas, too, incites violence against Jews.
 Washington's "no" to the resolution would give the right message to the Palestinian Authority to join the Israeli leadership in direct negotiations, recognize the Jewish state and appreciate its security concerns.
 The United States could also move its embassy to Jerusalem. This would send the Palestinian leadership and others in the region a strong message that Washington will support both historical facts and countries that comport themselves with civilised behaviour.
 **Jagdish N. Singh is a senior journalist based in New Delhi.
 © 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
 
 Germany's Muslim Demographic Future
 Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/February 08/17
 https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9892/germany-muslims-demographic
 Critics of Germany's open-door immigration policy are warning that the recent surge in Germany's Muslim population — which surpassed six million in 2016 for the first time — has already changed the face of the country forever.
 The price for reversing Germany's demographic decline appears to be the further Islamization of Germany under the guise of multiculturalism.
 With a fertility rate of 1.6 births per woman, well below the replacement rate of 2.1, Germany will require a permanent influx of 300,000 migrants per year in order keep the current population level stable through the year 2060, according to the report.
 "We are importing Islamic extremism, Arab anti-Semitism, national and ethnic conflicts of other peoples, as well as a different understanding of society and law. German security agencies are unable to deal with these imported security problems, and the resulting reactions from the German population." — Leaked German intelligence document.
 More than a decade ago historian Bernard Lewis warned that if current migration trends continue, Europe will be Islamic by the end of the 21st century. Germany's political elites are at the vanguard of making that prediction come true.
 Germany will need to take in 300,000 migrants annually for the next 40 years to stop population decline, according to a leaked government report.
 The document, parts of which were published by the Rheinische Post on February 1, reveals that the German government is counting on permanent mass migration — presumably from Africa, Asia and the Middle East — to keep the current size of the German population (82.8 million) stable through 2060.
 The report implies that Chancellor Angela Merkel's decision to allow into the country some 1.5 million mostly Muslim migrants between 2015 and 2016 was not primarily a humanitarian gesture, but a calculated effort to stave off Germany's demographic decline and to preserve the future viability of the German welfare state.
 If most of the new migrants arriving in Germany for the next four decades are from the Islamic world, the Muslim population of Germany could jump to well over 20 million and account for more than 25% of the overall German population by 2060.
 Critics of Germany's open-door immigration policy are warning that the recent surge in Germany's Muslim population — which surpassed six million in 2016 for the first time — has already changed the face of the country forever.
 Mass migration is fast-tracking the rise of Islam in Germany, as evidenced by the proliferation of no-go zones, Sharia courts, polygamy, child marriages and honor violence. Mass migration has also been responsible for social chaos, including jihadist attacks, a migrant rape epidemic, a public health crisis, rising crime and a rush by German citizens to purchase weapons for self-defense — and even to abandon Germany altogether.
 The government has not said how it plans to integrate potentially millions of additional Muslims into German society. The price for reversing Germany's demographic decline appears to be the further Islamization of Germany under the guise of multiculturalism.
 Out with the old, in with the new...
 According to the report, which was drafted by the Federal Statistics Office (Destatis), the government had previously predicted that Germany's population would drop from a high of 82 million to 73 million by the year 2060 — or even 67.6 million in the worst case scenario. That estimate is now being revised, however, based on a recalculation of forecasts regarding immigration, birth rates and life expectancy.
 Due to positive net migration (more people entering the country than leaving it), the German population increased by 1.14 million in 2015, and by another 750,000 in 2016, to reach an all-time high of 82.8 million at the end of 2016, according to preliminary estimates by Destatis.
 With a fertility rate of 1.6 births per woman, well below the replacement rate of 2.1, Germany will require a permanent influx of 300,000 migrants per year in order keep the current population level stable through the year 2060, according to the report.
 The report stresses the need quickly to integrate migrants into the workforce so that they can begin paying into the social welfare system. "According to past experience, this will not be easy and will take longer than initially often hoped," the report concedes. "Successes will only be visible in the medium to long term."
 A recent survey by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung found that the 30 biggest German companies have employed only 54 refugees, including 50 who have been hired as couriers by Deutsche Post, the logistics provider. Company executives said the main problem is that migrants lack professional qualifications and German language skills.
 According to the Federal Labor Office, the educational level of newly arrived migrants in Germany is far lower than expected: only a quarter have a high school diploma, while three quarters have no vocational training at all. Only 4% of new arrivals to Germany are highly qualified.
 For now, the vast majority of migrants who entered Germany in 2015 and 2016 are wards of the German state. German taxpayers payed around €21.7 billion ($23.4 billion) on aid for refugees and asylum seekers in 2016, and will pay a similar amount in 2017.
 A Finance Ministry document revealed that the migrant crisis could end up costing German taxpayers €93.6 billion ($101 billion) between now and 2020. About €25.7 billion would be for social spending, such as unemployment benefits and housing support. About €5.7 billion would be destined for language courses and €4.6 billion for integrating refugees into the workforce.
 Mass migration has also increased the demand for housing and has pushed up rental costs for ordinary Germans. Some 350,000 new apartments are required each year to meet demand, but only 245,000 apartments were built in 2014, and another 248,000 in 2015, according to the Rheinische Post.
 Meanwhile, migrants committed 208,344 crimes in 2015, according to a police report. This figure represented an 80% increase over 2014 and worked out to around 570 crimes committed by migrants every day, or 23 crimes each hour, between January and December 2015.
 A leaked German intelligence document warned that mass migration from the Muslim world will lead to increasing political instability in the country. The document warned that the "integration of hundreds of thousands of illegal migrants will be impossible given the large numbers involved and the already-existing Muslim parallel societies in Germany." The document added:
 "We are importing Islamic extremism, Arab anti-Semitism, national and ethnic conflicts of other peoples, as well as a different understanding of society and law. German security agencies are unable to deal with these imported security problems, and the resulting reactions from the German population."
 In an interview with Die Welt, an unidentified high-ranking security official said:
 "The high influx of people from other parts of the world will lead to the instability of our country. By allowing this mass migration, we are producing extremists. Mainstream society is radicalizing because the majority does not want migration, which is being forced by the political elites. In the future, many Germans will turn away from the constitutional state."
 A recent YouGov poll found that 68% of Germans believe that security in the country has deteriorated due to mass migration. Nearly 70% of respondents said they fear for their lives and property in German train stations and subways, while 63% feel unsafe at large public events.
 An INSA poll found that 60% of the Germans believe that Islam does not belong to Germany. Nearly half (46%) of those surveyed said they are worried about the "Islamization" of Germany.
 If the German election were held today, however, Angela Merkel would easily win another four-year term as chancellor. An INSA poll conducted for Bild on February 2 found that Merkel's ruling Christian Democratic Party (CDU) would win with 33% of the vote, compared to 27% for the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) and 9% for the anti-immigration party Alternative for Germany (AfD).
 Calculating the Muslim Population of Germany
 Germany now vies with France for the highest Muslim population in Western Europe.
 The increase in Germany's Muslim population is being fueled by mass migration. An estimated 300,000 migrants arrived in Germany in 2016, in addition to the more than one million who arrived in 2015. At least 80% (or 800,000 in 2015 and 240,000 in 2016) of the newcomers were Muslim, according to the Central Council of Muslims in Germany.
 In addition to the newcomers, the rate of population increase of the Muslim community already living in Germany is around 1.6% per year (or 77,000), according to data extrapolated from a Pew Research Center study on the growth of the Muslim population in Europe.
 Based on Pew projections, which were proffered before the current migration crisis, the Muslim population of Germany was to have reached an estimated 5,145,000 by the end of 2015.
 Adding the 800,000 Muslim migrants who arrived in Germany in 2015, and the 240,000 who arrived in 2016, combined with the 77,000 natural increase, the Muslim population of Germany jumped by 1,117,000, to reach an estimated 6,262,000 by the end of 2016. This amounts to approximately 7.6% of Germany's overall population of 82.8 million.
 The Muslim population of Germany could swell to 20 million as early as 2020, according to the president of the Bavarian Association of Municipalities (Bayerische Gemeindetag), Uwe Brandl. His forecast is based on so-called family reunifications — individuals whose asylum applications are approved will subsequently bring between four and eight additional family members to Germany.
 More than a decade ago historian Bernard Lewis warned that if current migration trends continue, Europe will be Islamic by the end of the 21st century. Germany's political elites are at the vanguard of making that prediction come true.
 *Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute. Follow him on Facebook and on Twitter.
 © 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.  
 
Back to the ‘Axis of Evil’ on Iran
By Barbara Slavin/US Opinion and Commentary/Posted February 7th, 2017
When Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu comes to the White House next week, he is likely to find common ground with its new occupant on at least one topic: Iran.
Tough rhetoric by the Trump administration, coupled with new sanctions over missile tests and Iran’s inclusion in a controversial travel ban, signals an era of U.S. outreach to the Islamic Republic and its people is over.
Iran policy under Trump is “not accommodation but confrontation,” Suzanne Maloney, an Iran expert at the Brookings Institution, said at an event this week at another Washington think tank, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. She predicted that the new administration would not rip up a landmark nuclear deal reached in 2015 but would “use it as a sledge hammer to push back at every turn” at Iran’s influential role in the Middle East.
For those who have watched U.S. policy toward Iran oscillate over the past three decades, the return to a more aggressive stance – without any evident diplomatic outreach — brings a depressing feeling of déjà vu.
In 2002, President George W. Bush included Iran in an “axis of evil” with North Korea and Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. The harsh rhetoric chilled tacit cooperation between the U.S. and Iran in Afghanistan and precluded potential cooperation in Iraq. It also boosted the fortunes of Iranian hardliners who reclaimed the presidency in 2005 after Mohammad Khatami, who had advocated better relations with the United States, left office.
 Twelve years later, current President Hassan Rouhani, an architect of the nuclear deal, is expected to run for re-election in May. A more momentous transition will take place when Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is 77 and ailing, dies.
 Making Iran a White House punching bag again is sure to delight those Iranians most fearful of a positive change in Iran’s domestic and foreign policies and could skew these upcoming transitions in the direction of hardliners.
 Khamenei, who supported the nuclear deal grudgingly and has made sure that its opponents continue to get a wide hearing in Iran, gave a taste of what may be to come.
 Speaking Tuesday in Tehran to air force commanders, Khamenei sarcastically “thanked” Trump for the travel ban, which he said “made it easier for us to reveal the real face of the United States… Now, with everything he [Trump] is doing — handcuffing a child as young as 5 at an airport — he is showing the reality of American human rights,” Khamenei said.
 The visa restrictions, imposed on Iran and six other Muslim-majority countries, were particularly counterproductive since they fell on ordinary people, not on governments.
 Also of questionable value is the new macho White House rhetoric against Iran.
 Michael Flynn, the new national security adviser, put Iran “on notice” last week after Iranian missile tests — a cryptic comment in the White House press room that he did not explain. Trump, meanwhile, tweeted that Iran was “playing with fire” and didn’t realize “how kind” President Obama had been.
 Senior White House officials, in a subsequent background call with reporters, said their intention was not to undermine the nuclear agreement but to deter Iran from further missile tests. A U.N. Security Council resolution “calls on” Iran not to test missiles that could theoretically be equipped with a nuclear warhead. The nuclear deal makes it impossible for Iran to build a nuclear weapon for more than a decade and Iran rejects the missile resolution as crippling what it sees as its legitimate defense needs.
 Despite the administration’s reassurance on the nuclear deal, the agreement could unravel in an atmosphere of growing mutual hostility. An incident in the Persian Gulf between an Iranian speedboat and a U.S. Naval vessel could escalate into a wider military confrontation that would further destabilize the Middle East.
 Meanwhile, the Trump administration has no apparent strategy for pushing back on Iranian regional influence in a way that would also meet the primary Trump goal of defeating the group that calls itself the Islamic State (ISIS).
 Iran-backed militias are fighting ISIS in Iraq in close proximity with American forces and are needed to remove ISIS from Mosul. Iran is also fighting on the side of Bashar al-Assad in Syria – a murderous dictator that the Trump administration appears in no hurry to replace.
 In Yemen, Iran supports Houthi rebels who have attacked U.S. partner, Saudi Arabia, and overthrew a Saudi-backed government. The main beneficiary of the war so far has been a potent al-Qaeda offshoot that the Trump administration targeted in its first major military action sincetaking office – a flawed raid that killed a US Navy Seal and a number of civilians.
 Critics of the Obama diplomacy with Iran have conceded that Iran has largely abided by the agreement and shifted focus to Iran’s regional activities and to the limited duration of some of the restrictions on the Iranian nuclear program.
 If the Trump administration would like to renegotiate the deal – or seek a new one that addresses such concerns – it will need to use diplomatic tools and not simply sanctions and insults.
 Iran-bashing has always been a popular activity in Washington, particularly on Capitol Hill. But U.S. mistakes in the past – such as the removal of Saddam – opened the way for Iran to increase its profile in the Middle East. If Trump wants to start “winning” in that complicated region, he will need to offer incentives as well as punishment to Tehran.
 **Barbara Slavin is Acting Director of the Future of Iran Initiative at the Atlantic Council in Washington. Follow her on Twitter @barbaraslavin1. The views expressed are that of the
 
Trump and the Iranian Elections: How His Rhetoric Could Affect the Outcome
By Ariane M. Tabatabai/Foreign Policy/February 07/17
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/2017-02-07/trump-and-iranian-elections
 The Iranian government
is not a monolith. Its regime is actually based on decentralization. To be sure, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei does sit atop the formal hierarchy, and he calls many of the shots. But the other centers of power have considerable influence in domestic matters and foreign affairs. As a result, infighting in Iran on certain issues can parallel, or at times even surpass, that in Western democracies. And it often picks up during key national and international events, such as throughout Iran’s nuclear talks with the P5+1 and leading up to presidential and parliamentary elections.
 Iran is scheduled to hold its next presidential elections in May. The campaign doesn’t officially start until just weeks before the date of the vote, and the list of candidates isn’t finalized until shortly before then, too. But even though most of the candidates have yet to formally announce that they are running and the Guardian Council, a body composed of jurists and clerics, has to validate their candidacy, the politicking leading up to the elections has already begun. The moderate, pro-dialogue president, Hassan Rouhani, is up for reelection, and his chances largely hinge on Iranians’ assessment of the benefits of engagement with the West and the resulting nuclear deal.
 But selling the deal is an increasingly difficult task for Rouhani and his team. And the rhetoric coming out of the Beltway isn’t helping. For months, Rouhani argued that his country was better off engaging America and having the nuclear deal in place. This, he claimed, allowed his country to reintegrate the international community, rebuild its economy, and avoid military confrontation. Today, hard-liners (several of whom are likely to seek the presidency) argue that none of this has materialized. But despite the perceived lack of progress on the economic front, Rouhani is still the most viable candidate. This is mainly because none of the individuals potentially running for president have his name recognition or social and political capital. This, however, could change if U.S.-Iranian relations keep escalating.
 In this context, the rhetoric coming out of the Donald Trump administration in the United States is key for Rouhani’s future—and Iran’s.
 THE FALL AND RISE OF ENGAGEMENT
 In 1997–2005, under the reformist President Mohammad Khatami, Iran made several overtures to Washington. Tehran supported the early stages of the U.S. military campaign in Afghanistan following the September 11 attacks. It also helped forge the path for a smooth transition of power in Kabul by playing a decisive role in the Bonn Agreement in 2001, pushing the Northern Alliance to make critical concessions and insisting on the new political system being based on democratic elections. But the George W. Bush administration’s “axis of evil” speech marked an end to all that. Soon, Iran toughened its stance on U.S. efforts in Afghanistan and adopted a less constructive tone in the channel. It also started to become a nuisance in some respects. In particular, it released the notorious Afghan warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, who founded Hezb-i Islami, into Afghanistan. Prior to this move, Tehran and Washington were discussing the possibility of Hekmatyar being transferred to the new government in Kabul.
 Meanwhile, during the nearly decade and half U.S. efforts in Iraq, tougher stances by the United States have often led to Iranian misbehavior there. To be sure, Tehran’s presence in Iraq isn’t related to that of the United States. Iran has national security interests there that are for the most part unrelated to Washington’s. And its actions can’t be blamed on the United States. But the Revolutionary Guards have been known to use their position to poke the U.S. military in the eye. And that’s often the case when the United States ups the ante vis-à-vis Tehran. The Islamic Republic sees rhetorical escalation, like policies it feels targeted by, as an overture to increase its support for various militias in the country, supplying them with the means to target U.S. troops. That was particularly the case before the rise of the Islamic State. The more Washington has escalated its anti-Iranian rhetoric, the more aggressive the Revolutionary Guards have become.
 More recently, during the nuclear talks, the Iranian parliament mirrored the U.S. Congress both rhetorically and in placing obstacles on the way of the deal. For example, Senator Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) and 47 of his Republican colleagues signed a controversial letter to Iranian leaders that warned the Islamic Republic that Congress or the next president could undo any deal signed with President Obama. That, combined with congressional leaders’ rhetoric and the Republican presidential candidates’ comments, including threats to dismantle the agreement or impose more sanctions, made it more difficult for Rouhani to sell the nuclear deal at home.
 TRUMP’S TEHRAN ADVANTAGES
 Since taking office, Trump and administration has started its mandate by adopting a more vocal and hard-line position on Iran. The president recently tweeted, “Iran is playing with fire - they don’t appreciate how ‘kind’ President Obama was to them. Not me!” White House Communications Director Sean Spicer later said that the Iranians “are getting the message and they’re going to continue to get the message” that the administration will be tougher on them than President Obama was. Later, National Security Adviser Michael Flynn warned Iran that Washington will no longer be satisfied with the “ritual” of holding UN Security Council meetings: “The days of turning a blind eye to Iran’s hostile and belligerent actions toward the United States and the world community are over.” None of the statements coming out of the White House gives us any indication of what the new administration’s precise policy direction will be. (The only policy so far has been to impose sanctions on entities involved in Iran’s ballistic missile program, which isn’t the major shift promised by Trump’s advisers.)
 Yet Iran’s government has believed that it could work with Trump more than it would have been able to with his opponent, former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Trump is viewed as a pragmatic business-oriented leader who’s willing to shake up the status quo in Washington. Trump ran on a platform of changing decades of U.S. foreign policy. Khamenei even praised Trump during the campaign, claiming that the candidate had captured the U.S. electorate’s desire for change. Clinton, meanwhile, has a consistent more aggressive stance toward Iran. During her first race for the White House, she famously threatened to “attack” and “obliterate” Iran if it attacked Israel using nuclear weapons in 2008. And while Secretary Clinton supported the nuclear deal, she also promised to be tougher on Tehran.
 This positive, or at least neutral view, of Trump is beginning to change, primarily because of the administration’s travel ban, which targets Iran as one of seven nations whose citizens now face restricted entry into United States. And the recent comments made by National Security Adviser Michael Flynn that the United States is “officially putting Iran on notice” are likely to further fuel Iran’s discontent with Washington and the impression that it’s back to business as usual between the two countries. Following its tough talk, the administration imposed new sanctions on certain Iranian entities involved in the country’s ballistic missile program. Far from being a departure from Washington’s traditional Iran policy or a tougher stance on the country, the sanctions are in fact a continuation of the failed policy of the past. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards seized the opportunity and conducted military drills in response to President Trump’s escalatory rhetoric and sanctions.
 Trump entered the White House at a time when U.S.-Iranian relations were the best they’d been in the nearly four decades since the 1979 revolution. For the first time, the two countries had a working relationship on at least one key strategic area, and open channels of communication on others, too. Trump could build on this progress while the Rouhani government is still around and make it as irreversible as possible. Tehran doesn’t have the intent or capabilities to pose an existential threat to U.S. security. Rather, the Islamic Republic is a nuisance to the United States whose misbehavior is better dealt with through engagement than escalatory rhetoric. This would allow Washington to keep the Iranian public on its side, rather than turn it away and help it galvanize around the country’s conservatives. It would also help the moderates and reformers who seek better relations with the West and the rest of the international community. Keeping open channels of communication and a moderate rhetoric allows Washington to get its way without jeopardizing its interests. For example, in 2016, the Revolutionary Guards captured ten U.S. sailors close to one of their bases in Farsi Island, in the Persian Gulf. The incident could have escalated quickly, leading to the sailors being kept hostage and possibly leading to military confrontation by the two sides. And a confrontation in the Gulf could lead to the Guards closing the Straight of Hormuz, with numerous consequences for the international economy, U.S. interests, and U.S. allies’ security. Instead, then Secretary of State John Kerry managed to de-escalate quickly and ensure the speedy release of the sailors, thanks to his diplomatic channel with Iran’s moderate foreign minister, Javad Zarif.  Trump entered the White House at a time when U.S.-Iranian relations were the best they’d been in the nearly four decades since the 1979 revolution.
 But this can’t be achieved if Washington chooses to adopt an escalatory rhetoric. Such a narrative only emboldens the hard-liners, who are pressed to remind their constituents that the United States can’t be trusted. It also helps the Revolutionary Guards justify their efforts to push the envelope and test ballistic missiles, support adversarial groups such as the Houthis in Yemen, and conduct a more aggressive cyber program. At the same time, the rhetoric undermines Iran’s moderates and reformists, who have spent a lot of their political capital to engage the United States on key issues, often getting into trouble with Iran’s conservatives for it. And while the Islamic Republic has a history of four decades of anti-U.S. propaganda and rhetoric, it hasn’t managed to convince its constituents that the United States is all that bad. Many Iranians still hope to come to the United States, consume U.S. products and culture, and generally view the country favorably. But this can change rapidly if the United States plays into the hard-liners’ hands by continuing to escalate its rhetoric and pushing for regime change.
 While specific hard-line candidates have yet to announce that they’ll run for president and be confirmed by the Guardian Council, it’s a safe bet that those who end up doing so will advocate chillier relations with the United States. Many hard-liners opposed the nuclear deal, and virtually all of them view the United States unfavorably. They are likely to push back on Rouhani’s attempts to engage Iran’s Gulf Arab neighbors and Washington and support Tehran’s misbehavior in the greater Middle East.
 Ultimately, the Trump administration’s escalatory rhetoric will produce precisely the opposite of what it hopes to achieve: it will embolden Iran’s most hard-line factions and provide the Revolutionary Guards with a justification for doubling down on its military drills, missile tests, cyber-activities, and propping of terrorist groups in the Middle East. It will also undermine Iran’s moderate factions, closing the window on any kind of engagement for years to come after only the first weeks of the Trump presidency. This administration must learn from the Bush administration’s mistake and adopt a more restrained tone. This does not mean that it must act weak and refuse to call out Tehran for its concerning activities, but, rather, that it should do so decisively, diplomatically, and in tandem with the European Union and other key partners.

Fanaticism is a barrel of gunpowder
Mohammed Al Shaikh/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
Terrorism and sectarianism are inseparable. Whoever is a fanatic to his doctrine, atoning others, is a terrorist even if he doesn’t admit it. When Obama gave Iran the green light to wreak havoc and sabotage Arab countries. Iran employed sectarian division to achieve its plans and its expansionist ambitions. Iran was acutely aware that there are some simple ignorant minds that will fall for the first spark of fanaticism. This is, unfortunately what happened.
I have friends from the Saudi Shiite community and I find them the most noble of men. I trust them. They are the most faithful to the homeland; but they suffer from fanaticism and its implications, just as Sunni intellectuals do. Someone once told me: if Iran wished to achieve its goals, it wouldn’t find better than some Saudi Sunni fanatics, since Sunnis are Intolerant, and they profess loud and clear that Shiites are their ultimate enemy. Naturally, this will push some into the arms of Iran, to defend their existence.
If we were to read the history of some nations who suffered from civil wars, one cannot ignore the horrors, the tragedies and the bloodshed, all because of sectarian and doctrinal differences, which could have been avoided
What my friend said is convincing and rational; because every exclusionary action will have the same kind of reaction. It is known in political sociology that you cannot deal with political or religious social phenomena unless you surround it with objective dimensions, seek the motivation behind it, their causes, where it came from, and the catalysts that made them a phenomenon on the first place. As long as we privilege the religious affiliation to the national union, we are creating a fissure in the national cohesion. Iran pays millions of dollars and exploits its Arabic-speaking media platforms to infiltrate the Gulf, recruit agents, raise fanaticism and control the minds of some. Some Sunni fanatical idiots fall for the schemes of Iran and call for the exclusion of Shiite citizens of their rights of citizenship, making Iran’s dream come true.
Tragedies that could have been prevented
If we were to read the history of some nations who suffered from civil wars, one cannot ignore the horrors, the tragedies and the bloodshed, all because of sectarian and doctrinal differences, which could have been avoided if some people showed tolerance with the offender, and agreed to live with each other despite differences.
We now live in an era which has seen President Trump ascended to the presidency of the United States. Since the first month of his mandate, he and his cabinets announced their intentions to limit the influence and power of Iran, since curbing its expansion is one of their first priorities. Such a position entails a new mind set from us; most importantly we need to confine our difference with Iran and limit it to the expansion issue, its support for terrorism. We ought to disassociate our populist discourse from the rotting sectarian dimension. We are not against Iran because they are Shiites, and we have no agenda to convert the Iranian Shiites to Sunni, as Iran actively does. We aim to live in peace alongside them, and transcend the issues of sectarian affiliations. Just like they should not threaten our national sovereignty, not seek to shake our security, or interfere in our national affairs under the pretext of supporting the oppressed Shiites. If this were to happen, we could all live in peace.
**This article was first published in al-Jazirah newspaper.

American threats and the Iranian complexities
Hamad al-Kaabi/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
War drums have begun to roll between Washington, specifically President Donald Trump, and Tehran. Each is challenging the other and threatening escalatory actions, in another sign of the return of the climate of tension between the two sides, with the possibility of entering into a confrontation.
The recent warnings issued from Washington are a clear and explicit indication of the determination of President Trump to translate his words into actions, particularly in regard to the Iranian nuclear file and the deal itself. There is no doubt that these shifts in attitude will have implications on the ambition of American and European companies in obtaining shares of investments in the Iranian market which is now at stake.
It is difficult to speculate whether these companies will continue to look for possible new markets, seek privileges and do business with Iran. But the indicators speculate that it will dramatically fall in the near term at least. Because capitalism is inherently cautious, and its tentacles will point out that it is risky to invest in a politically and economically unstable Tehran. Therefore, the fear and agonies of the companies that have already entered into agreements during the past year will increase, by virtue of strong shades of doubt about the success of its investments, and its ability to compensate for what was spent in light of the continuation policy of Iran.
Despite the fact that President Trump threatened to tear apart the signed agreement between Iran and the major powers, as if it has never happened. Khamenei also threatened and vowed to get rid of the Convention as a kind of retaliation and challenge, and to show indifference to what the Trump administration plans to do. Observers believe that provocation may come from Tehran as well, especially since it had enough enough time to implement its nuclear program, which could push both parties to act dangerously.
Cancelling the deal?
The United States’ decision to cancel the nuclear deal, could be a great one, more than many can imagine, because of the aggressive attitude of Iran in defying the international community's policy, and presenting reasons for the breaches of the terms of the agreement, such as the continuing missile testing. Apart from what some media say, that the existence of other powers will guarantee the survival of the agreement, Europe will undoubtedly follow the United States in its foreign decisions, no matter what these decisions are, in order to preserve the eternal coalition between them. Europe will also fear being exposed against Russia which included Crimea as the world stood still, and also for many other historial and psychological reasons since the US has always been a shield to the backbone of European security. Consequently, Europe will not abandon its historic vital ally who granted its security for more than six decades, in order to defend Iran, with which they have no interest nor a history.
The recent warnings issued from Washington are a clear and explicit indication of the determination of President Trump to translate his words into actions
There are also some other reasons why the other parties will walk in the footsteps of Trump, especially since Iran did not show much commitment to the clauses of the nuclear deal, as well as other pressing issues regarding Tehran and its human rights policies, military activities outside its borders, its support of terrorist militias, and sitting astride the top of the list of countries supporting terrorism. All of which will undoubtedly strongly push the rest of the five other countries to break its commitment to the Convention. Especially since Iran, the party concerned, doesn’t abide to it.
In this context, the possibility of Russia changing its stance with Iran is very probably, especially if the nuclear deal went out of the window and the economic sanctions returned again, which could make companies distance themselves from it, and avoid getting involved in an oscillating market because of politics. The concerns of Western companies about accessing the Iranian market for fear of the collapse of the deal are what dispels the idea of the Iranian paradise; a notion that is constantly advertised by the regime in case the sanctions were to be lifted! Soon enough, the dreams that Tehran promised foreign companies have turned, over time, to nightmares due to the unavailability of a fertile investment environment, to the lack of an economic system compatible with the political system in the country, and also in light of Iran's greed for external expansion and construction of the alleged empire that controls the area and water pathways, and navigational movement, God forbid.
Regarding the waterways, the recent Houthi assault on the Saudi frigate is another indication that Iran is continuing its pursuit of regional destabilization, its support of Houthi militias, and does not have good intentions towards the region and its peoples. This insistence on threatening stability and peace in the region, made the United States send the USS Cole destroyer to Bab al-Mandab, to maintain the security of the region, against the growing Iranian threat.
*This article was first published by Al Ittihad newspaper.

Is Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal for defense purposes?
Mosa Zahed/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
Just days after the new US administration commenced, Tehran resolved to put Washington’s Iran policy to the test by firing a medium-range ballistic missile, designed to be capable of carrying nuclear warheads, in an ostensible act of power projection during an era in which the mullahs’ regime is faced with internal and external economic and political challenges.
In response to Tehran testing the waters, the new administration conveyed its message back loud and clear, with the US Treasury announcing sanctions last Friday against individuals and entities, exhibiting resoluteness in adopting measures that serve to confront Iran’s ballistic missile programme and destabilising activities in the Middle East.
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif’s initial remarks neither confirmed nor denied the missile launch, but in due course Zarif took to Twitter and elaborated that Iran “Will never initiate war, but we can only rely on our own means of defense.”
Considering the challenges that lie ahead vis-à-vis Iran, and in order to enable the construction of an effective strategic approach that aims to restore regional stability, it is imperative for the international community to comprehend the true nature of the regime in Tehran. Only then can one become cognizant of the true intentions of Iran’s ballistic missile programme and its comprehensive support for terrorist organisations across the globe through the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
This exercise requires a study to the doctrine of the ayatollahs as one cannot merely rely on tweets of government officials like Zarif, who nevertheless disseminate lies and sugar coat the grim reality for political purposes.
Considering Iran’s substantial military, economic and political involvement in Syria, Yemen, Iraq and Lebanon, it is reasonable to assume that Tehran’s ballistic missile arsenal serve as a deterrence against any force that dares to counter its expansionism and Khomeinism.
The mandate and credo of Iran’s theocracy can be traced back to the first political tract of the architect of the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, titled ‘Kashf al-Asrar’ (the Unveiling of Secrets), which was published in the early years of 1940. In this book, Khomeini dedicates an entire section to jihad in Islam in which he argues that it is “obligatory for all men…, to prepare themselves for conquering other nations and to disseminate Islamic law in all the countries across the world.”
Khomeini’s Jihadist creed in fact advocates the alteration of the world’s status quo and calls for a conquest that will ultimately subject other countries to the ideals of his brand of Islamic fundamentalism, through the establishment of an “Islamic state under supervision of an imam…”
This grand project completely disregards territorial integrity and sovereignty of other nation-states and exclusively eyes to expand “God’s sovereignty” on earth. Khomeini’s rationale for global jihad propounds that Islam will “benefit everybody” and that conquered nations will be “proposed luminous heavenly law which, if implemented, embraces eternal bliss.”
A global Islamic state
Khomeini was not the first clergyman in the twentieth century who propagated jihad with the objective of overthrowing un-Islamic rulers across the world in order to establish a global Islamic state. Nearly two decades prior to the publication of Khomeini’s manifesto, Abul A'la Maududi had already put forward similar ideas in his work titled ‘Al Jihad fil-Islam’ (Jihad in Islam).
Maududi argued that “Islam wishes to destroy all states and governments anywhere on the face of the earth which are opposed to the ideology and programme of Islam…” with the objective of establishing an “ideological Islamic State.” Parallel to Khomeini’s reasoning, Maududi stressed that “Islam requires the earth - not just a portion, but the whole planet...the entire mankind should benefit from the ideology….”
It is clear that Maududi’s early work on jihad influenced Khomeini’s line of thought in subsequent years, as sections of Khomeini’s Kashf al-Asrar undeniably show similarities in nature to Maududi’s notions. In fact, Maududi’s teachings further continued to shape the views of the future founder of the Islamic Republic through the leaders of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood – who were themselves heavily influenced by Maududi – as Khomeini and his followers developed close ties with the group in the 1950s. These connections effectively cleared the path for the Brotherhood to promulgate its ideology and by extension that of Maududi in Iran.
Whereas the Brotherhood failed to establish an Islamic state based on its ideological and political programmes, Khomeini and his adherents successfully consolidated power following the Iranian revolution in 1979 and established a theocracy, modelled on Khomeini’s creed, which codified the export of their brand of Islamic revolution in the constitution. The preamble of the Khomeinist constitution emphasises in this regard that the army and the IRGC “will be responsible not only for guarding and preserving the frontiers of the country, but also for fulfilling the ideological mission of jihad in God’s way; that is, extending the sovereignty of God’s law throughout the world…”
Contrary to the deceiving statement issued on Twitter by Zarif, which aims to generate the impression that Iran’s ballistic missile programme merely serves as a means of the country’s defense, Tehran has in fact stayed true to the Khomeinist doctrine for the past 38 years by aggressively expanding its influence and presence across the region, stretching from Afghanistan to the Mediterranean Sea. Considering Iran’s substantial military, economic and political involvement in Syria, Yemen, Iraq and Lebanon, it is reasonable to assume that Tehran’s ballistic missile arsenal, which is the largest and most diverse in the Middle East, and support for terrorist groups and Shiite militias serve as a deterrence against any force that dares to counter its expansionism and Khomeinism.

The intellectual beauty queen
Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/February 08/17
Our connections to items that were popular years ago has now greatly changed. There is a short video that shows items that were possessed by many in the 80s and 90s such as simple toys, cassettes and other things that at the time were indispensable.
A few weeks ago during a television interview, former Miss Lebanon Nadine Nassib Njeim spoke about the lack of a connection between people and books. This seemed like a strange statement to be made by a celebrity who is presumed to convey fluffy ideas or discuss trivial matters. The statement was not made by a bespectacled intellectual while sipping his morning coffee near a window.
The point is that technology has taken over our lives through tablets and smart phones which have many advantages such as facilitating communication, getting closer to others and managing work affairs. However, the phenomenon can dominate one’s life, distract their mind and destroy their wit.
One of the best habits is to dedicate time for reading and learning no matter what the circumstances are. For instance, one can read in the metro or on the tram in Dubai and it’s delighting to see relaxed passengers read a book. It is not a condition to read next to a lamp while sitting on a leather chair in the middle of the night, and you must not follow a long ritual to get some reading done. Reading a few pages in the metro or the plane or the café may influence us a lot. We all go to the airport two hours before the plane takes off. We can use this time to read a precious book or read an enjoyable fantasy story or a book that challenges our convictions. It’s with time that we realize how the 20 or 30 pages we read have influenced us and changed us towards possessing positive or practical knowledge and helped us develop our social behavior and emotional intelligence.
If we read prominent figures’ biographies, we’d learn how attached they were to books and how their extensive knowledge was the outcome of reading during their entire lives. When late Egyptian journalist, poet and literary critic Abbas Mahmoud al-Aqqad read Bertrand Russell’s works, he was impressed with his philosophical ideas that greatly influenced him. Aqqad thus wrote a lot about thought and an example is his book “Thought on Islamic Duty.” During the day, philosopher Roland Barthes read modern and controversial books while before going to bed, he read an old classical book. These two examples reveal how much geniuses were attached to books and knowledge and show the desire to learn more and enjoy knowledge.
Reading is like taking a tour through history. It’s a continuous and permanent journey in which knowledge has no end.
It’s been scientifically proven that reading plays a role in man’s psychological balance as it helps him relax and feel comfortable and positive when he reads everyday for 20 or 30 minutes. This allows one to engage in discussions and dialogues and enhances his self confidence during occasions and gatherings. Without reading, one will repeat the same statements he makes. Reading for this short time on a daily basis is not a difficult task to commit to.
In Omar Amiralay’s documentary “The Man with the Golden Soles” which is about former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri, the latter spoke about culture and said it’s rare for him not to read a book each week. This wealthy politician who was known for his international connections was very well-aware of the importance of reading as that’s how he updated his knowledge in the world. Reading is an investment in the mind and is a means of recreation. Books are a blessing to everyone, wealthy and poor.
Reading is like taking a tour through history. It’s a continuous and permanent journey in which knowledge has no end.
**This article was first published in Okaz on February 8, 2017.